The Week That Was: 2022-12-17 (December 17, 2022)
Delivered to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Venture
Quote of the Week: “On this age of specialization males who totally know one discipline are sometimes incompetent to debate one other. The good issues of the relations between one and one other side of human exercise have because of this been mentioned much less and fewer in public. Once we have a look at the previous nice debates on these topics, we really feel jealous of these occasions, for we must always have preferred the thrill of such argument. The outdated issues, such because the relation of science and faith, are nonetheless with us, and I consider current as troublesome dilemmas as ever, however they don’t seem to be typically publicly mentioned due to the constraints of specialization.” – Richard Feynman [1956]
Variety of the Week: Two Occasions Overbuild
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Venture (SEPP)
Scope: An general theme within the TWTW is knowing limitations. The Lawrence Livermore Laboratories performed a tremendous experiment. For a quick on the spot the fusion of hydrogen atoms produced extra vitality than consumed. That is the long-sought energy of the celebs. Two governors of those laboratories, Steven E. Koonin and Robert L. Powell, wrote an essay revealed within the Wall Road Journal explaining why it is a breakthrough and that will probably be a long time earlier than (if ever) fusion turns into a dependable vitality supply.
Journalist Josh Zumbrun cited statements of the director of the laboratory’s program to the press. He writes of particular deficiencies that should be overcome. This sober strategy is in marked distinction to many different authorities packages involving local weather and vitality. Some particular excesses will likely be mentioned together with the lacking “scorching spot” within the troposphere over the tropics and the “runaway greenhouse” on Venus.
David Whitehouse of Web Zero Watch writes:
“A brand new research by a workforce of main local weather scientists means that the impact of carbon dioxide this century could be small if not undetectable when in comparison with pure local weather variability.”
This can be a starting of a gradual realization by a few of world local weather modelers that the outcomes of their fashions are from hypothesis on the affect of carbon dioxide on world temperatures – which isn’t supported by nature. One other research mentioned by Kenneth Richard of No Methods Zone means that the issues could stem from a altering reflective energy (albedo) of the earth’s environment, however the numbers are so tiny that no conclusions will be drawn.
William Happer and Bruce Everett had a civilized change with Rice College Professor of Economics Peter Hurtley over the difficulty of carbon taxes. Happer and Everett neatly summarize their opposition with which Hurtley largely agrees. Hurtley’s advocacy of carbon taxes relies on carbon dioxide inflicting excessive climate occasions. This illustrates the significance of the work of Ross McKitrick who has proven that the likelihood calculations of many research attributing excessive climate occasions to growing carbon dioxide concentrations are and not using a examined theoretical foundation, and thus are statistically meaningless.
In Grasp Useful resource, Robert Bradley summarizes the interview of ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods showing within the December 12 version of the Wall Road Journal. As Bradley writes:
The local weather alarmists/compelled vitality transformationists have an actual mental and political debate on their fingers. Mugged by actuality, the activists should confront the failure of ‘inexperienced’ alternate options in assembly world demand for inexpensive, dependable, taxpayer-neutral, plentiful vitality.
Francis Menton continues to show that elements of the Division of Vitality (DOE) ignore the necessity for “inexpensive, dependable, taxpayer-neutral, plentiful vitality.” These DOE sections don’t acknowledge the necessity for utility scale, inexpensive steady 24-hour electrical energy storage if wind and photo voltaic are used for era. Moreover, getting it 90% proper isn’t adequate. The final 10% will cease fashionable civilization from functioning.
Judith Curry writes that local weather alarmists, propagandists, are inflicting actual hurt to society. This demonstrates the folly of the false angle by some “scientists” that they have to exaggerate to be efficient. As well as, the hurt being executed to the integrity of science isn’t mentioned.
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For a Temporary Second: Physicist Steven E. Koonin and Professor of Chemical Engineering & Supplies Science Robert L. Powell, governors of Lawrence Livermore Nationwide Laboratory, wrote a superb abstract of why the experiment on fusion introduced this week is a breakthrough. Within the Wall Road Journal they write: [boldface added]
“The Vitality Division has introduced the primary acquire in vitality from fusion in a laboratory—the first-time fusion reactions produced extra vitality than it took to induce them. Final week 192 laser beams on the Lawrence Livermore Laboratory’s Nationwide Ignition Facility heated and compressed a capsule of hydrogen to beforehand unattainable temperatures and pressures, igniting fusion reactions that produced 50% extra vitality than the laser beams had delivered.
“Nuclear reactions can launch the vitality that binds collectively protons and neutrons in an atom’s nucleus. Nuclear energy vegetation use fission, not fusion. Fission releases vitality when a big uranium nucleus splits into two radioactive fragments, which carry the vitality as they fly aside.
“Fusion, in contrast, depends on the universe’s smallest atom, hydrogen. Vitality is launched when two hydrogen nuclei mix to supply a helium nucleus and a neutron. In contrast to fission, fusion produces no radioactive fragments. Fusion is far tougher to induce than fission, for the reason that hydrogen nuclei should be heated to just about 100 million levels Celsius to beat {the electrical} repulsion that hinders their response. Stars run on fusion vitality, however on Earth it has beforehand been launched solely in thermonuclear explosions. This beautiful new end in laboratory fusion opens doorways for unprecedented research in primary and utilized science.
“The idea of laser fusion had been pursued with out success for the reason that Sixties and it grew to become a central a part of a Nineties program to make sure continued confidence within the nuclear-weapons stockpile with out underground testing. Though scientists knew that high-powered laser beams might probe the properties of matter related to the early phases of detonating a nuclear weapon, the aim of laser fusion would permit for research within the later phases. It will additionally problem and show the power to know and predict the dynamics of scorching, dense matter extra usually.
“Building of the ignition facility on the Livermore lab started in 1997, and experiments making an attempt ignition started quickly after building was accomplished in 2009. The design and building of the world’s strongest laser was an engineering triumph, however three years of failed makes an attempt to attain fusion ignition introduced this system near cancellation in 2012. However this system continued with a extra deliberate strategy that included outdoors peer evaluate.
“The last decade of analysis from 2012 to 2022 illustrated the power of the Vitality Division’s nationwide laboratories to marshal an interdisciplinary workforce of scientific and engineering expertise from the federal government, universities, and personal sector in long-term pursuit of an audacious aim. Researchers in lasers, nuclear and plasma physics, precision-target fabrication, instrumentation, and high-fidelity laptop modeling helped design and undertake a sequence of experiments that steadily approached ignition situations. The payoff got here final week.
“As latest world occasions make obvious, the U.S. nuclear deterrent is efficient provided that there’s confidence that the weapons stay efficient. Laser ignition demonstrates to the world a deep understanding of weapons science and will likely be essential in sustaining confidence within the coming a long time.”
The authors point out efforts in France and China then proceed:
“The U.S. now leads each different nation by a decade due to its foresight, perseverance, and analysis enterprise. Continued funding in laser fusion will be certain that this management endures.
“As of late one can’t point out fusion with out desirous about vitality. The ignition milestone demonstrates fusion acquire, a crucial situation for sensible vitality manufacturing. However that’s solely step one. A number of a long time of engineering could be required to make fusion a sensible, emissions-free supply of electrical energy. And even then, it must be cost-competitive with alternate options. Just like the preliminary resolution to pursue the ignition aim, this isn’t in any respect assured. But it surely’s effectively price contemplating.”
See Article # 1 and hyperlinks below Nuclear Vitality and Fears
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Hurdles to Overcome: In his dialogue of the Livermore experiment, reporter Josh Zumbrun provides wanted context. He writes: [boldface added]
“A easy ratio generally often called Q gives a simple and intuitive solution to perceive if scientists are making progress: It’s vitality launched divided by vitality used. A Q beneath one means the response consumed extra vitality than it produced. A Q above one means extra vitality was produced than consumed.
“On this newest experiment, scientists put in 2.05 megajoules of vitality and received 3.15 megajoules out. Q was 3.15 divided by 2.05, or about 1.5.
“Tony Roulstone, a nuclear-energy engineer on the College of Cambridge, known as this milestone the ‘now we all know it really works’ one, equal to when the physicist Enrico Fermi first created a nuclear chain response in 1942, finally resulting in the a whole lot of fission reactors around the globe that right this moment produce 10% of the world’s electrical energy.
“If a response produces extra warmth than it consumes, couldn’t you simply run the experiment on repeat and create infinite vitality? The sensible challenges are monumental, mentioned Mr. Roulstone. The laser must be fired many occasions a second, with these good little diamond capsules precisely inserted and positioned dozens of occasions a second, he mentioned.
“The larger impediment is the second Q worth, the engineering break-even. The scientists behind the latest breakthrough have been cautious to make clear that the precise response produced extra vitality than it consumed, however all the reactor didn’t.
“Mark Herrmann, the Livermore lab’s program director for weapon physics and design, instructed reporters that to generate 3.15 megajoules of vitality, the lab consumed about 300 megajoules of vitality to fireside its laser.
“You don’t must be a physicist to comprehend that that is removed from a viable supply of energy. The Q worth for all the reactor is about 0.01—roughly 1% of break-even.
“‘The laser wasn’t designed to be environment friendly,’ mentioned Mr. Herrmann. ‘The laser was designed to offer us as a lot juice as attainable to make these unimaginable situations occur within the laboratory.’
“This implies scientists want to enhance the know-how by an element of 100, mentioned Jonathan Menard, chief analysis officer at Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory.
“The factor to look at in forthcoming fusion experiments is whether or not this engineering Q worth begins to march towards 1 or stays tiny.
“There’s purpose for hope. Over time, lasers have grown extra environment friendly, utilizing much less electrical energy to generate the identical optical energy. (That is recognized by the delightfully low-tech time period ‘wall-plug effectivity.’)
“Additionally, the Livermore scientists mentioned that the diamond capsule of their experiment had imperfections and that building of the Nationwide Ignition Facility, the place the experiment came about, started over 20 years in the past. ‘The know-how is ’80s and ’90s know-how,’ mentioned Tammy Ma, lead for the laboratory’s inertial fusion vitality institutional initiative.
“‘Should you acquire an element of 10 on the fusion and 10 on the effectivity, that provides you an element of 100 roughly,’ mentioned Dr. Menard. ‘That may be within the ballpark of break-even. Each of these are theoretically attainable.’ With authorities assist that might take one to twenty years, he mentioned. ‘We should always strive for one and push actually arduous for that,’ he added.
“Then comes the ultimate problem: financial, or industrial, break-even. After you have fusion reactors that produce extra vitality than they devour, will they really be price constructing, or would different sources of vitality be cheaper?
“That may rely upon what occurs to the costs of different energy sources comparable to fossil fuels. Even when fusion is costlier than some alternate options, Dr. Menard mentioned he thinks it will probably have a helpful position. Even with higher battery techniques, for instance, photo voltaic and wind energy will probably stay most helpful when the solar is shining, and the wind is blowing. Fusion vegetation may very well be powered up at different occasions to fill the hole.
“‘It’s going to take much more technological development to make it a sensible vitality supply,’ he mentioned. But it surely’s nonetheless inspiring, he mentioned: ‘I hope folks will get excited to work on this superfun problem—making a star on Earth.’”
Briefly, it’s going to require a rise in effectivity of 100 occasions the present effectivity and nobody is aware of what the prices will likely be or how lengthy it’s going to take. See Article # 2 and Nuclear Vitality and Fears.
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Uncertainty v. Certainty: The good uncertainty expressed by Livermore Laboratories in with the ability to develop fusion as a supply of vitality is starkly completely different than the good certainties expressed by different elements of DOE in with the ability to change fossil fuels with wind and photo voltaic and the good certainties the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) locations within the predictions / forecasts within the fashions it makes use of and the science (or lack of it) behind its studies. For instance, on the Working Group I (Science), Fifth Session, Madrid 27-29, November 1995, the IPCC started pushing a extremely speculative paper by local weather researcher at Lawrence Livermore Nationwide Laboratory Benjamin Santer claiming a “distinct human fingerprint.”
This grew to become the notorious “scorching spot” in local weather fashions of a powerful warming at about 60,000 ft over the tropics. It has not been present in over 40 years of complete atmospheric knowledge of temperature developments. But, the warming ensuing from the non-existent “scorching spot” stays within the IPCC studies.
A second instance of false certainty is the declare by NASA-GISS that Venus is an instance of “runaway greenhouse”, and the declare {that a} hotter planet emits extra warmth. The atmospheric strain on the floor of Venus is 93 earth’s atmospheres. That strain ends in monumental warmth. As AMO physicist Howard Hayden explains in Fundamental Local weather Physics # 3,
“For a second instance, think about Venus. The floor is scorching sufficient to soften lead, however due to its very excessive albedo of 75%, the planet absorbs 156 W/m2 from the solar and emits 156 W/m2 to area, versus our [Earth’s] 239 W/m2. On this case, the warmer planet radiates much less vitality to area. [Virtually zero heat to space comes directly from the surface.]
Regardless that Venus absorbs solely 65% as a lot vitality from the solar because the earth, its environment on the floor is ninety-three occasions the mass of Earth’s environment on the floor and is chargeable for the excessive floor temperature. The floor temperature is regular, not “operating away.” See https://enthusiasmscepticismscience.wordpress.com/2015/11/21/remembering-madrid-95-a-meeting-that-changed-the-world-2/ and http://www.sepp.org/science_papers/Climatepercent20Physicspercent203.pdf
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Sluggish Realization? The very fact is that the Earth isn’t warming with growing atmospheric carbon dioxide as local weather fashions predicted. Some local weather modelers look like looking for a solution or an excuse. David Whitehouse discusses one new paper which asserts that the offender could also be a discount in atmospheric aerosols, minute particles suspended within the environment. One of many authors of the paper is Myles Allen, Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, Division of Physics, College of Oxford. Allen was Coordinating Lead Creator on the IPCC’s 3rd, 4th, and 5th Evaluation Studies. Based on his web site:
He’s credited by the BBC with first demonstrating, 15 years in the past, the necessity for ‘Web Zero’ carbon dioxide emissions to cease world warming. His analysis focuses on how human and pure influences on local weather contribute to noticed local weather change and dangers of utmost climate and in quantifying their implications for long-range local weather forecasts.
“He proposed the usage of Probabilistic Occasion Attribution to quantify the contribution of human and different exterior influences on local weather to particular particular person climate occasions and leads the www.climateprediction.internet/ venture, utilizing distributed computing to run the world’s largest ensemble local weather modelling experiments.”
TWTW doesn’t anticipate something vital coming from this paper or the one reported by Kenneth Richard. See hyperlinks below Questioning the Orthodoxy.
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Civil Disagreement: AMO physicist Will Happer and vitality specialist Bruce Everett criticized a paper advocating carbon [dioxide] taxes by Rice College Professor of Economics Peter Hartley. Hartley rebutted the criticism. Happer and Everett summed their criticism with:
In conclusion, evaluation suggests the next externalities of atmospheric CO2
• no affect on human and animal well being,
• a considerable optimistic affect on plant development and crop yields,
• optimistic impacts from the modest warming noticed to date, and
• no empirical assist for internet damages, which stay a prediction, not an statement.
It’s troublesome to extract from this evaluation any foundation for supporting a Pigouvian tax [a tax on something that causes harm to others not involved, such as respiratory harm caused by soot from coal-fired power plants without proper filters] on CO2. America presently emits roughly 5 billion metric tonnes of CO2 per 12 months, primarily from fossil-fuel use. A carbon tax at $50/mt (the US Authorities’s SCC) would impose an annual burden of $250 billion on the US economic system or roughly $2,000 per family. This burden could be along with the substantial will increase in gasoline, heating oil, pure gasoline and electrical energy costs skilled over the past 12 months. Regardless of the very best hopes of local weather activists, renewable vitality is simply too expensive and performance-limited to exchange the fossil gasoline economic system.
Pigouvian taxes are applicable when an recognized externality (a) is adverse and (b) will be quantified. Carbon dioxide meets neither take a look at, and a carbon tax would create a considerable dead-weight loss to the economic system for no profit in any respect. [Boldface added]
Surprisingly Hartley totally agreed however concluded:
In abstract, financial evaluation implies a transparent hierarchy in insurance policies aimed toward moderating the dangerous results of utmost climate occasions. First, get rid of dangerous command and management laws of the vitality trade, imposed within the identify of ‘local weather coverage,’ which inflict substantial prices with none confirmed advantages. Second, every jurisdiction ought to implement cost-effective defensive measures that shield in opposition to, and scale back the prices of, dangerous climate occasions, irrespective of the trigger. Third, and provided that the then vastly lowered anticipated prices nonetheless warrant it, and provided that efficient worldwide settlement will be obtained, Pigouvian taxes on CO2 emissions may very well be imposed. So, sure, merely proposing a tax on CO2 emissions with out these preconditions would certainly be ‘a foul concept.’ [Boldface added]
Apparently, Hartley is unaware of econometrician Ross McKitrick’s efficient paper demonstrating that the possibilities utilized in many research attributing excessive climate occasions to growing CO2 are meaningless. See hyperlinks below Difficult the Orthodoxy and In search of a Frequent Floor.
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ExxonMobil Is aware of! On Grasp Useful resource, Robert Bradley has a abstract of an interview of ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods showing within the Wall Road Journal. It’s summed as “No Web Zero Right here.” Woods acknowledges that Web Zero by 2035 or another date is fantasy. Apart from Disneyland, companies can not final lengthy on fantasy, until closely authorities backed. As Bradly writes:
‘Take into account ExxonMobil. ‘Exxon Is aware of’ ought to change ExxonKnew, for ExxonMobil is aware of that shopper demand and income will likely be with the mineral energies, not dilute, intermittent, government-dependent wind and photo voltaic. Evaluate this strategy with Shell, which finds itself in authorized hassle with its embrace of Web Zero,”
“Sure, there was political correctness [in the interview] (“wind, photo voltaic and electrical automobiles … have an essential position to play…”) and rent-seeking (“carbon seize and storage is acknowledged as an essential know-how in addressing emissions, we’re specializing in it”). However quite a few citation factors make it clear that oil and gasoline is the longer term–and a much bigger future than right this moment.” [Emphasis in original.] Among the many quotes are:
“’What we have been seeing even earlier than the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a coverage strategy dominated by ideology. Aspiration and hope collide with the realities of a worldwide vitality system that’s sophisticated, multidimensional, and critically essential to financial development and prosperity.’
“’… coverage makers are stepping again and managing the specter of local weather change and lowering emissions in a manner that extra successfully addresses issues like nationwide safety. Affordability, reliability, availability of vitality are also all critically essential. And hopefully they give you a greater strategy.’
“’Establishments and companies around the globe have to maneuver from the enterprise of propaganda to the enterprise of math, and really do the work to know how we’re going to strike that stability.’” See hyperlink below Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere.
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Fantasy Uncovered: Francis Menton exposes the ignorance of elements of the Division of Vitality that ignore the vitality storage drawback created by unreliable and variable electrical energy era from wind and photo voltaic changing dependable vitality era from fossil fuels and nuclear. Brief-term “financial savings” of utilizing unreliable energy will likely be very expensive in the long term. Based on Menton, there are three apparent coverage limitations which might be being ignored within the US.
“(1) Increasingly wind generators and photo voltaic panels are basically ineffective as a result of they will by no means totally provide {an electrical} grid or present vitality safety with out full dispatchable backup.”
“(2) The so-called ‘the entire above’ vitality technique is equally disastrous.”
“(3) A carbon tax is a horrible concept.”
Menton additionally goes into the declare that “100% Clear Electrical energy” is about 90% solved is absurd. Until it’s 100% solved, dependable back-up should be obtainable. For instance, laptop chip manufacturing, now being closely backed by the federal authorities, requires 100% dependable electrical energy below tight tolerances. A short hiccup can destroy a month or two of manufacturing, relying on the complexity of the chip. See hyperlinks below Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Concern and Threat: In her put up on “Misperception and amplification of local weather danger” Judith Curry states:
“The theme of this specific put up is how our perceptions of danger differ from the precise danger itself. Understanding this distinction gives insights to understanding these fears, in addition to offering insights into how these variations are manipulated by propagandists.”
She goes right into a breakdown of the distinction between notion of danger and danger itself in addition to forms of danger and understanding of danger. Earlier than closing she writes:
“Congratulations to all of the proselytizers of local weather doom, you could have lastly demonstrated an precise antagonistic affect of local weather change that’s truly attributable to people – psychological misery. This psychological misery is instantly attributable to you: the mistaken, irrational, politically motivated those that have created efficient propaganda that’s creating adverse stress reactions notably amongst youngsters who’ve but to develop a transparent sense of self and lack a context for with the ability to filter the BS.”
She then goes into the concept that excessive climate occasions are attributable to CO2. This provides rise to the false assumption that excessive climate occasions are controllable. As said above, Ross McKitrick has proven that chances assigned to CO2 inflicting excessive climate occasions is dependent upon ignorance of the situations expressed within the Gauss-Markov Theorem. See hyperlinks below Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Variety of the Week: Two Occasions Overbuild: Utilizing evaluation began by the late Roger Andrews, Francis Menton states:
“El Hierro Island has a 2x overbuild of wind generators and loads of storage from its water reservoir to provide demand for a full day; however they will’t constantly get previous 50-60% of provide from the wind/storage system.”
El Hierro Island (within the Canary Islands) is the very best instance of an illustration venture of wind plus storage TWTW has been capable of finding. With a inhabitants of about 12,500, it isn’t a metropolitan space, and the system requires diesel turbines to function forty p.c or extra of the time. To imagine that metropolitan areas can obtain internet zero with wind, photo voltaic, and storage is absurd.
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No TWTW subsequent week. TWTW will resume on New Yr’s weekend with the Better of 2022
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Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About World Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
World Sea-Degree Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Temporary, Could 20, 2019
An Introductory-Degree Clarification of my Critique of AT99
Ross McKitrick, His Weblog, August 25, 2021
Coverage Implications Of The Vitality Storage Conundrum
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Dec 13, 2022
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2022-12-13-policy-implications-of-the-energy-storage-conundrum
The Impossibility Of Bridging The “Final 10%” On The Manner To “100% Clear Electrical energy”
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Dec 10, 2022
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2022-12-10-bridging-the-last-10-on-the-way-to-100-clean-electricity
Misperception and amplification of local weather danger
By Judith Curry, Local weather And many others. Dec 13, 2022
Greenhouse gasses are good
By Bob Ryan, American Thinker, Dec 15, 2022
https://www.americanthinker.com/weblog/2022/12/greenhouse_gasses_are_good.html
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
Viewpoint: With historic droughts on the rise, we should reclaim our water
By Joshua Nodiff, Earth Institute at Columbia College, Dec 15, 2022 [H/t Bernie Kepshie]
https://phys.org/information/2022-12-viewpoint-historic-droughts-reclaim.html
[SEPP Comment: Reclaiming water may be a desirable goal, but the premise is false.]
Declare: Pc Fashions Predict a Third of Vertebrates will Die [go extinct] by 2100
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 16, 2022
twenty first century warming is probably not resulting from greenhouse gasses, main local weather scientists say
By David Whitehouse, Web Zero Watch, Dec 16, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Is Anthropogenic World Warming Accelerating?
By Stuart Jenkins, et al., Journal of Local weather, Nov 22, 2022
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/24/JCLI-D-22-0081.1.xml
New Examine: Shortwave Local weather Forcing Elevated From 2001-2018, Explaining The Warming
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Dec 15, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Spatiotemporal traits and driving elements of worldwide planetary albedo: an evaluation utilizing the Geodetector methodology
By Mingzhu Lv, et al., Theoretical and Utilized Climatology, Nov 17, 2021
https://hyperlink.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-021-03858-9
Elevated Residing Requirements Contradict Local weather Doomsayers
By Vijay Jayaraj, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 14, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/14/elevated_living_standards_contradict_climate_doomsayers_870053.html
Will Photo voltaic Energy Exceed Coal Energy in 2027?
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 13, 2022
“No matter [Executive Director of the International Energy Agency] Fatih Birol’s spin, renewable vitality will nonetheless be a minor participant in 5 years’ time. Extra importantly, there isn’t any proof that the world can run on intermittent wind and solar energy alone.”
After Paris!
COP15 begins and different local weather change tales you want to learn this week
Editorial, World Financial Discussion board, Dec 12, 2022
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/12/cop15-and-other-climate-change-stories-you-need-to-read-12-december/
“UN Secretary-Basic António Guterres instructed delegates there isn’t any time to lose: ‘Humanity has grow to be a weapon of mass extinction. This convention is our likelihood to cease this orgy of destruction,’ he mentioned on the opening ceremony on 6 December.”
COPs and robbers
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 14, 2022
Change in US Administrations
Biden administration to purchase 3 million barrels of oil to replenish reserves
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 16, 2022
5 Causes Why U.S. Shale Manufacturing Received’t Soar In 2023
By Irina Slav, Oil Value.com, Dec 12, 2022
https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Crude-Oil/5-Causes-Why-US-Shale-Manufacturing-Wont-Soar-In-2023.html
“Final week, the chief vitality adviser to the Biden administration, Amos Hochstein, blamed institutional buyers for the stalled drilling within the U.S. oil and gasoline trade and known as it outrageous and un-American.”
[SEPP Comment: For implementing what the administration is doing?]
Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide
The mitigating affect of CO2 on drought and warmth stress in wheat
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 14, 2022
From the CO2Science Archive:
Issues within the Orthodoxy
Preventing Local weather Change Requires Holding China Accountable
By Stephen Perkins, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 13, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/13/fighting_climate_change_requires_holding_china_accountable_870037.html
In search of a Frequent Floor
Are Carbon Taxes a Good Concept?
Happer and Everett versus Hartley
An change together with William Happer, Bruce Everett, Unfavourable; Peter Hartley Affirmative, The World Warming Coverage Basis, 2022
Carbon Taxes? Happer & Everett Reply
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 13, 2022
Science, Coverage, and Proof
Higher Colorado River states announce voluntary cutback program
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 15, 2022
“The plan, unveiled by representatives of Colorado, New Mexico, Utah and Wyoming Wednesday, would subsidize customers of river water to voluntarily reduce on their use. The pilot program would pay collaborating customers at the least $150 per acre-foot of water conserved.”
[SEPP Comment: Attempting to solve a problem recognized more than 50 years ago built on optimistic constant weather (climate).]
Rearguard
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 14, 2022
“Canada’s Finance Minister and deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland has obliged planning to spend $2 billion on the shares of a non-existent firm that may appeal to non-public funds to inexperienced know-how. What might probably go unsuitable?”
The gasoline of the longer term
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 14, 2022
“Once more, vitality is dear as a result of governments made it that manner by making it scarce. And whereas excessive costs, and income, result in funding, a rise in manufacturing and falling costs, the just about common plan is to cover the shortage by miserable costs in order that the scarcity persists. Oh, and ensure the system relies on the stuff that doesn’t work not the stuff that does, as ‘Coal spurned: renewables to ‘preserve lights on’”.
“The thought is that the voters could have low-cost vitality. In actuality what they’ll have is affordable lack of vitality, which isn’t the identical.”
Measurement Points — Floor
Svalbard Airport Temperatures
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 16, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Showing the database for claiming an increase in Svalbard temperatures is far from reliable.]
Altering Climate
Response to Willis Eschenbach’s WUWT Submit “How The El Nino Is Altering”
By Bo Tisdale, WUWT, Dec 14, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Based on the work of Professor Yim of the University of Hong Kong, we must carefully distinguish between an El Niño event as part of ENSO and a Pacific Ocean hot spot (the blob) created by underseas volcanic activity.]
Hurricane knowledge at your fingertips
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 14, 2022
The coldest summer season day in Australia and no one notices
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 11, 2022
Drought emergency declared in Southern California
By Olafimihan Oshin, The Hill, Dec 15, 2022
Baked Alaska
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 15, 2022
The Finish Of Scottish Snowboarding
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 16, 2022
Altering Local weather
New Examine: Birch And Pine Forests Far Extra Plentiful In The Arctic Throughout The Holocene Than At this time
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Dec 12, 2022
Hyperlink to newest paper: Paleoeconomy greater than demography decided prehistoric human affect in Arctic Norway
By Tony Brown, et al. PNAS Nexus, Nov 5, 2022
https://tutorial.oup.com/pnasnexus/article/1/5/pgac209/6751926?login=false
The elephant within the Arctic
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 14, 2022
“Nationwide Geographic pulls the same stunt, enthusing concerning the story in all types of conventional and correct NG methods earlier than insisting that:
“’Collectively, the DNA paints the image of a posh, totally built-in ecosystem—one which existed and developed throughout an period when the polar area was someplace between 11 to 17 levels Celsius (about 20 to 30 Fahrenheit) hotter than right this moment, and an period that gives one of many closest attainable analogs to our future with local weather change.’”
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Polar bear habitat replace: Winter situations effectively on their manner throughout the Arctic besides in Svalbard
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Dec 11, 2022
Agriculture Points & Concern of Famine
Local weather Change is Not Inflicting Famines
Editorial and Video, Simply Details, Dec 15, 2022 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://rumble.com/v20sbxg-climate-change-is-not-causing-famines.html
Reducing Requirements
Arctic Report: major productiveness nonetheless excessive & sea ice flatline continues regardless of hotter temperatures
By Susan Crockford, Plar Bear Science, Dec 14, 2022
Hyperlink to: Arctic Report Card: Replace for 2022
The warming Arctic reveals shifting seasons, widespread disturbances, and the worth of numerous observations
By Employees, NOAA Arctic Program, 2022
https://www.arctic.noaa.gov/Report-Card/Report-Card-2022
[SEPP Comment: Crockford exposes how low NOAA has gone. An increase in primary production should be celebrated, but it is condemned. Still waiting for the Arctic “death spiral.”]
ESG RIP: Evaluate of Terrence Keeley’s “Sustainable”
Half 2: The ESG Actuality: Not Doing Good, however Feeling Good
By Rupert Darwall, Actual Clear Books, Dec 13, 2022
https://www.realclearbooks.com/articles/2022/12/13/esg_rip_review_of_terrence_keeleys_sustainable_869834.html
“The sum of £40 million a 12 months is an terrible lot of cash for a college to spend on buying advantage safety from its personal members.”
“Limiting one’s income-generating alternative set with out advancing one’s values or environmental objectives deserves deeper reflection. It might even be self-defeating, given others with opposite views and values might revenue from one’s self-imposed and strategically ineffective restrictions.”
“Sustainability, too, is a nonscientific idea, as will be seen by reference to its origin within the report of the UN World Fee on Setting and Improvement, higher often called the Brundtland Report, in 1987:
“’In essence, sustainable improvement is a means of change by which the exploitation of assets, the route of investments, the orientation of technological improvement, and institutional change are all in concord and improve each present and future potential to satisfy human wants and aspirations.’”
[SEPP Comment: What is sustainable about solar electricity generation that fails every night?]
‘Turbocharged’ Renewables: The IEA Hawking Its Wares Once more
By Tilak Doshi, Forbes, Dec 13, 2022
https://www.forbes.com/websites/tilakdoshi/2022/12/13/turbocharged-renewables-the-iea-hawking-its-wares-again/?sh=401bd73d27ae
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
Extra Local weather Misinformation and Factual Errors within the Seattle Occasions. Ought to You Care?
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Dec 13, 2022
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/search?updated-max=2022-12-15T20:15:00-08:00&max-results=2
[SEPP Comment: Claiming that local tribes must move because sea levels are rising; when they are falling locally is just one problem.]
Doesn’t Ben Marlow Know Something At All About Vitality?
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 13, 2022
The Delusional Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 12, 2022
“The delusional Ambrose Evans-Pritchard nonetheless believes that the world is determined to transition to inexperienced vitality.
“He’s nervous that if we open a brand new coking coal mine in Cumbria, we’ll fall behind different international locations within the race for “clear” vitality, international locations, I suppose, like Germany who’re demolishing a windfarm with a view to dig for lignite!”
“The billions invested in wind and photo voltaic have barely made a dent in China’s general vitality combine. They nonetheless solely account for six% of complete vitality consumption.”
The Telegraph–The place 28.5% = 26.2%
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 16, 2022
AEP Throws His Toys Out Of The Pram Once more!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 11, 2022
Speaking Higher to the Public – Do a Ballot?
Regardless of ostracism, namecalling, and billions of {dollars}, globally almost 4 in 10 are local weather skeptics
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 14, 2022
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda
All people is aware of: local weather change is making hurricanes extra intense
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 14, 2022
Speaking Higher to the Public – Protest
Protesting China’s Local weather Disaster
By Paul Bledsoe, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 13, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/13/protesting_chinas_climate_catastrophe_870025.html
Increasing the Orthodoxy
Don’t Let Monetary Regulators Dream Up Local weather Options
We’ll get dangerous coverage and an much more fragile monetary system if we do.
By John Cochrane, Metropolis Journal, March 24, 2021
https://www.city-journal.org/dont-let-financial-regulators-dream-up-climate-solutions
Melting ice brings Chinese language risk nearer, warns Armed Forces chief
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 15
“Which results in the query why [Admiral Sir] Tony Radakin is making a idiot of himself. The one conclusion I can come to is that he’s below orders to play the local weather card, in order to scare the general public.”
Questioning European Inexperienced
Europe’s energy disaster has ‘little or no to do with Putin,’ portfolio supervisor says
By Anmar Frangoul, Sustainable Vitality, CNBC, Dec 12, 2022
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/12/europes-power-crisis-has-very-little-to-do-with-putin-ceo.html
“Increasing on his level, Lekander defined that, in his view, the present scenario was all the way down to quite a few elements.
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
Fossil Future at ExxonMobil (no ‘internet zero’ right here)
By Robert Bradley Jr. Grasp Useful resource, Dec 13, 2022
Non-Inexperienced Jobs
Germany’s Krupp Mannesmann Metal Mill “In Hazard Of Failing Due To Financing”, Inexperienced Vitality Prices
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Dec 11, 2022
Funding Points
Extra financing wanted for IMF local weather change fund: director
By AFP Employees Writers, Washington (AFP), Dec 13, 2022
https://www.terradaily.com/studies/More_financing_needed_for_IMF_climate_change_fund_director_999.html
[SEPP Comment: Is there any international organization that does not claim it needs more money to fight climate change?]
The Looming Demise of ESG and Advantage Investing
By William Sullivan, American Thinker, Dec 16, 2022
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2022/12/the_looming_demise_of_esg_and_virtue_investing.html
“The CFO of the state of Florida, Jimmy Patronis, simply weeks in the past, fired BlackRock for its woke shenanigans, pulling $2 billion from the agency’s administration. He tells BlackRock:…’ Utilizing our money, nevertheless, to fund BlackRock’s social-engineering venture isn’t one thing Florida ever signed up for. It’s received nothing to do with maximizing returns and is the other of what an asset supervisor is paid to do. Florida’s Treasury Division is divesting from BlackRock as a result of they’ve brazenly said they’ve received different objectives than producing returns.’”
The Political Video games Proceed
Committee’s Anti-Oil, Gasoline Investigation a Large Nothingburger
By Will Allison, Vitality in Depth, Dec 9, 2022
https://eidclimate.org/oversight-committees-anti-oil-and-natural-gas-investigation-and-report-turns-out-to-be-a-giant-nothingburger/
Hyperlink to report: To: Members of the Committee on Oversight and Reform
Fr: Chairwoman Carolyn B. Maloney and Chairman Ro Khanna
Re: Investigation of Fossil Gas Trade Disinformation
“The ‘explosive’ report merely states the plain – that vitality firms plan to proceed producing oil and pure gasoline to satisfy world demand. It’s a becoming finish to an investigation characterised by blended messages, disorganization, and improper activist affect.
Home Democrats Accuse Large Oil Of Greenwashing
By Tsvetana Paraskova , Oil Value.com, Dec 12, 2022
https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Vitality-Basic/Home-Democrats-Accuse-Large-Oil-Of-Greenwashing.html
Home local weather disaster panel outlines milestones forward of probably dissolution
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 14, 2022
Greenwashing, emphasis on inexperienced
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 14, 2022
“In Canada’s capital we’ve simply had a bitter style of the tendency of state-sponsored megaprojects to take too lengthy, value an excessive amount of and ship too little with our Gentle Rail Transit white elephant, with related issues rising in our largest metropolis. Wherever you reside there’s nearly definitely one thing related. And also you ain’t seen nothing but, apparently.”
Senate rejects Manchin’s vitality allowing modification to protection invoice
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Dec 15, 2022
Subsidies and Mandates Ceaselessly
Virginia Agrees to Compensate Fishing Trade for Harm from Offshore Wind
By Steve Haner, Bacon’s Insurrection, By way of WUWT, Dec 14, 2022
“The announcement, made December 12, hints at it coming from venture builders, however in Virginia in fact that may be a monopoly utility assured by legislation to gather all prices from its clients. Dominion Vitality Virginia’s deliberate 176-turbine Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) simply received costlier.”
[SEPP Comment: And the wind blows “all the time” except when it doesn’t such as during a hot Bermuda high during August with air conditioners running. Government “solving” its costly policies with more costly policies!]
Vitality Points – Non-US
Peak Calls for For Pure Gasoline
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 11, 2022
“Pure gasoline accounts for 43% of the UK’s major vitality consumption. Compared, renewable vitality solely provides 4%.
“Our reliance on gasoline although is far higher in winter months:”
Inexperienced Germany Hemorrhaging €1.5 Billion per DAY to Maintain the Lights On
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 15, 2022
Germany’s Vitality Woes Set To Proceed As Authorities Stays Caught On Wishful Considering
Month-to-month publication from Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (Translated, edited by P. Gosselin), No Methods Zone, Dec 13, 2022
“How can Germany go with out coal, nuclear?
“Even nuclear energy, which is in its remaining days of operation, provided 3.8 GW, greater than photo voltaic and wind energy mixed. How ought to Germany be provided in such conditions, if in 2024 the added coal and lignite energy vegetation have will all have been taken off the grid and the nuclear energy vegetation have already been switched off in April 2023?”
EU vitality disaster might worsen subsequent 12 months, company warns
Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Dec 12, 2022
5 Essential Vitality Questions For 2023
By Leonard Hyman & William Tilles, Oil Value.com, Dec 08, 2022
https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Vitality-Basic/5-Essential-Vitality-Questions-For-2023.html
FES & Peak Demand Eventualities
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 12, 2022
“All in all, we’re in all probability peak demand for electrical energy as excessive as 120 GW by 2035. And will probably be a lot greater nonetheless if householders, who can not afford warmth pumps, go for standard electrical resistance heaters.”
Belgium’s Vitality Suicide?
By Drieu Godefridi, Gatestone Institute, Dec 15, 2022
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/19231/belgium-energy-suicide
Vitality Points — US
Finish preferences for unreliable electrical energy
At this time’s grids are being ruined by systemic preferences for unreliable electrical energy. Congress ought to finish these now.
By Alex Epstein, His Weblog, Dec 14, 2022
https://alexepstein.substack.com/p/end-preferences-for-unreliable-electricity?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=513601&post_id=90361888&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=e mail
New PBS Sequence “Vitality Change” Is Should-Watch Vitality TV
By Robert Bryce, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 15, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/15/new_pbs_series_energy_switch_is_must-watch_energy_tv_870275.html
“One of many the reason why our discussions about vitality and local weather coverage are so shallow is easy: we don’t get to listen to many actual debates concerning the points. As an alternative, we’re bombarded by narrowly targeted messaging from NGOs, commerce teams, and local weather activists who’re pushing agendas that may perpetuate their favored industries.
“This lack of debate – mixed with the innumeracy and scientific illiteracy of policymakers and most people — has resulted in a number of dangerous vitality insurance policies on the native, state, and nationwide ranges.”
Assaults on Electrical Grid Spotlight Irresponsible Biden Vitality Insurance policies
By J. Kennerly Davis Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 14, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/14/attacks_on_electric_grid_highlight_irresponsible_biden_energy_policies_870050.html
“Contemplating the intense threats going through our electrical system, you’d anticipate a accountable authorities to be working tirelessly to extend home transformer manufacturing and to be stockpiling the 1000’s of spares we’ll want for the worst emergencies.”
Congress Should Suppose Large on Aggressive Vitality Infrastructure
By Devin Hartman & Neil Chatterjee, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 13, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/13/congress_must_think_big_on_competitive_energy_infrastructure_870023.html
“This strategy will save time, whereas granting FERC the discretion on implementation particulars that require professional judgment.”
[SEPP Comment: Recently, has FERC shown critical judgement?]
Washington’s Management of Vitality
Extra Biden Oil And Gasoline Restrictions Are On The Horizon
By Felicity Bradstock, Oil Value.com, Dec 10, 2022
https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Crude-Oil/Extra-Biden-Oil-And-Gasoline-Restrictions-Are-On-The-Horizon.html
Oil and Pure Gasoline – the Future or the Previous?
Why U.S. Electrical energy Is Turning into Even Extra Pure Gasoline Dominant
By Jude Clemente, Forbes, Dec 11, 2022
https://www.forbes.com/websites/judeclemente/2022/12/11/why-us-electricity-is-becoming-even-more-natural-gas-dominant/?sh=34b61ed8660f
Will nuclear fusion energy save us?
By David Whitehouse, Web Zero Watch, Dec 14, 2022
“A contemporary society wants excessive vitality density energy manufacturing techniques. With out vitality storage renewables are restricted. We want fusion vitality which has been promised for therefore lengthy, however I feel people could have walked on Mars lengthy earlier than we get industrial fusion energy.”
Fusion works, however makes use of a supernova finances to make a mini solar for a fraction of a second
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 15, 2022
Small Modular Reactors Aren’t Tough Nuclear Waste Turbines
By Aaron Larson, Energy, Dec 7, 2022
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
How Can Offshore Wind Farms Afford To Promote At £37/MWh
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 16, 2022
[SEPP Comment: You don’t have to deliver what you bid?]
A Colder Interval Forward with A Likelihood of Scattered Gentle Snow over the Western Lowlands
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Dec 15, 2022
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2022/12/a-colder-period-ahead-with-chance-of.html
“It’s fascinating to notice that electrical vitality demand will increase with the chilly temperatures and that hydro is offering a lot of the vitality (see latest Bonneville statistics beneath). [not shown here] Renewables (photo voltaic, wind) present very, little or no. It’s important that after we want essentially the most vitality (when it is rather scorching and really chilly) wind vitality is mostly minimal in our area. One purpose I strongly assist nuclear vitality improvement.”
Germany Will Flip Into A Enormous Industrial Wind Turbine Junkyard, “If Authorities Will get Its Manner”
By P Gosselin, NO methods Zone, Dec 14, 2022
One other “low-cost” windfarm turning out costly
Windfarms in 2025 Will Be No Cheaper
By Andrew Montford, Web Zero Watch, Dec 15, 2022
“Their refusal to confess that offshore windfarms prices usually are not coming down is miserable, and a reasonably apparent indication that their motivations are non secular somewhat than rational. Nonetheless, these of us who do care about information soldier on. What else can we do?”
“Sadly, the precise spent so far, in accordance with the revealed accounts, is £1.4bn. In different phrases, they’ve spent almost half of the introduced value earlier than beginning offshore works! We are able to subsequently safely say that this isn’t a £3billion windfarm. It is going to value at the least £4 billion, and doubtless extra.”
One other “low-cost” windfarm turning out costly
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 15, 2022
“For the report, Dogger Financial institution A has a present strike value of £51.06/MWh”
D.C. Council Advances Photo voltaic Invoice Regardless of Fairness Issues
By Jacob Fenston, WAMU, Dec 7, 2022
“The photo voltaic growth invoice ups the quantity of native photo voltaic required below the District’s renewable portfolio commonplace. Present legislation requires 10% of electrical energy within the metropolis to come back from native photo voltaic by 2041; this laws will increase that to fifteen%. Moreover, the invoice maintains the penalty that electrical energy suppliers should pay in the event that they fall wanting the photo voltaic goal. Underneath present legislation, that penalty would start to section out quickly starting in 2024. The laws makes the phase-out extra gradual over the following decade.”
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Autos
The Lonely PHEV
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Dec 13, 2022
[SEPP Comment: The plug-in hybrid electric vehicles may be a far better alternative than the highly promoted battery-powered vehicles (BEVs) or EV.]
EVs Could Should Hibernate
By Duggan Flanakin, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 12, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/12/so_evs_may_have_to_hibernate_869197.html
But when EVs are the longer term…
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 14, 2022
“’China has used its ‘growing nation’ pretensions to evade a wide range of the multilateral environmental and local weather change obligations that burden ‘First World’ international locations…. the greenhouse gasoline output from Europe and North America have just about flatlined over the previous quarter of a century, whereas China’s output has quadrupled.’”
Carbon Schemes
New CPV Gasoline-Fired Energy Plant Will Embody Carbon Seize
By Darrell Proctor, Energy, Dec 12, 2022
Hyperlink to: Credit score for Carbon Oxide Sequestration
Rule by IRS, Federal Register, Jan 15, 2021
https://www.federalregister.gov/paperwork/2021/01/15/2021-00302/credit-for-carbon-oxide-sequestration
California Dreaming
California fee cuts paybacks to rooftop photo voltaic clients
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Dec 15, 2022
“New clients will likely be topic to charges which might be tied to how a lot electrical energy is price at a given time of day. They’ll additionally have to pay a hard and fast month-to-month charge.”
“Echoing these sentiments, Environmental Working Group president Ken Prepare dinner described the end result as ‘a shame and disservice not solely to Californians, however to the nation.’
“’It’s a whole retreat from California’s unmatched place of management within the clear vitality revolution,’ Prepare dinner mentioned.”
[SEPP Comment: Great to talk about leadership when you don’t have to pay the price.]
Well being, Vitality, and Local weather
Local weather Change will save lives and stop coronary heart assaults
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 13, 2022
Environmental Trade
Free economies are clear economies
By Drew Bond, Washington Examiner, Dec 10, 2022
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/op-eds/free-economies-are-clean-economies
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
Science, Artwork And Arithmetic
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 16, 2022
Video
Seashores Are A Factor Of The Previous
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 16, 2022
David Viner Is Now Simply A Factor Of The Previous
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 12, 2022
[SEPP Comment: According to Joe Bastardi of WeatherBell Analytics, many children in the middle of the US will discover what snow is.]
ARTICLES
1. How Fusion Works and Why It’s a Breakthrough
American science scores a triumph, although it’ll be a long time earlier than it yields a viable vitality supply.
By Steven E. Koonin and Robert L. Powell, WSJ, Dec. 14, 2022
https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-fusion-works-and-why-its-a-breakthrough-national-ignition-facility-laser-beam-laboratory-science-nuclear-weapon-11671052081?mod=hp_opin_pos_3#cxrecs_s
TWTW Abstract: Coated in the principle textual content of This Week, above.
*************
2. When Will Nuclear Fusion Vitality Be Prepared for Prime Time? Watch These Three Numbers
There are two extra hurdles earlier than it begins delivering clear, inexpensive vitality
By Josh Zumbrun, WSJ, Dec 16, 2022
https://www.wsj.com/articles/when-will-fusion-be-ready-for-prime-time-watch-these-three-numbers-11671159158
TWTW Abstract: Coated in the principle textual content of This Week, above.
*************
3. ‘Degrowth’ Appears to be like As Dangerous As It Sounds
The identical dingy outdated central planning in a classy local weather wrapper.
By James Freeman, WSJ, Dec. 15, 2022
https://www.wsj.com/articles/degrowth-looks-as-bad-as-it-sounds-11671142180?mod=hp_opin_pos_2#cxrecs_s
Hyperlink to commentary: Degrowth can work — right here’s how science can assist
Rich international locations can create prosperity whereas utilizing much less supplies and vitality in the event that they abandon financial development as an goal.
By Jason Hickel, et al., Nature, Dec 12, 2022
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-04412-x
“It’s not clear what science has to do with any of this, however have the authors ever seen how unhealthy the environments are in anti-capitalist societies?”
TWTW Abstract: The evaluate of the commentary begins:
“The politicization of scientific journals that have been as soon as extremely esteemed is a tragic story of our occasions. Some exasperated readers have even puzzled whether or not they might do with out specialists completely. Now alongside comes a commentary in Nature carrying the headline:
“Degrowth can work — right here’s how science can assist
“Rich international locations can create prosperity whereas utilizing much less supplies and vitality in the event that they abandon financial development as an goal.
“The science right here is of the luxuriously gentle selection, and it’s in all probability finest to keep away from math if one is making an attempt to argue that societies can increase prosperity whereas stunting their economies. The authors, whose alleged experience is concentrated in ecological economics, supply quite a few provocative recommendations, comparable to:
“Scale back less-necessary manufacturing. This implies cutting down harmful sectors comparable to fossil fuels, mass-produced meat and dairy, quick style, promoting, vehicles and aviation, together with non-public jets. On the similar time, there’s a want to finish the deliberate obsolescence of merchandise, lengthen their lifespans and scale back the buying energy of the wealthy.
“Much less-necessary manufacturing is commonly within the eye of the beholder, however gasoline, meals, clothes and transportation won’t be the primary sectors that come to thoughts when customers think about issues they will do with out. As for the objectives of fewer non-public jets and a discount in buying energy among the many wealthy, even ecological economists ought to know that there will likely be a draw back for many who produce what the wealthy buy. The authors would possibly think about what occurred to shipyard employees when the U.S. Congress sought to soak the wealthy by making use of a heavy tax on yachts in 1990. Gross sales plummeted, and so did jobs.
“Talking of taxes, the Nature piece encourages much more of them, and no surprise as a result of the authors envision a lot greater governments.
The evaluate goes on to state that folks and companies function on expectations of rewards for the work comparable to wages and income. Why anticipate the rest?
