The Week That Was: 2022-12-10 (December 10, 2022)
Dropped at You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Venture
Quote of the Week: “It doesn’t matter how lovely your principle is, it doesn’t matter how sensible you might be. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s incorrect.” – Richard Feynman
Variety of the Week: +0.13 C/decade
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Venture (SEPP)
Scope: The next gadgets might be mentioned. The SEPP board unanimously accepted the advice of the Frederick Seitz Awards Committee headed by Will Happer and gave the 2022 award for integrity in science to Professor of Arithmetic Christopher Essex. The formal presentation might be on the 15th Worldwide Convention on Local weather Change organized by The Heartland Institute from February 23 to February 25 in Orlando Florida. SEPP might be a co-sponsor of the occasion.
Francis Menton sought an official US coverage on electrical energy storage is required if the US is to go to Web Zero carbon dioxide emissions. He discovered a report by the Nationwide Renewable Vitality Laboratory (NREL) that has many phrases and little substance.
Meteorologist Cliff Mass gives a considerate reply to the query: How can we predict the local weather 50 years from now if we are able to’t forecast the climate subsequent week? The strategy he states, boundary values, is embodied within the work of Professor van Wijngaarden and Happer on the affect of the key greenhouse gases on earth’s temperature. The strategy was utilized by the Proper Local weather Stuff Crew and was employed in designing the Apollo Lunar Lander which made six lunar landings with people from 1969 to 1972 – over 50 years in the past.
A frequent author in Judith Curry’s Local weather And so on., Frank Bosse discusses a current publish by Gavin Schmidt of NASA-GISS in regards to the noticed Transient Local weather Response (TCR) for 1979- 2022 (with out long run feedbacks or changes). Schmidt’s publish makes use of the newest international local weather fashions of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) used within the Sixth Evaluation Report (AR6, 2021) and NASA-GISS floor temperature knowledge. The modeling signifies a modest enhance in temperatures from a doubling of carbon dioxide, not a drastic local weather emergency.
AMO physicist Howard Hayden cautioned TWTW that IPCC’s Fourth Evaluation Report (AR4, 2007) has a graph displaying an atmospheric window, the place warmth power from the earth’s floor (infrared power) escapes on to area with out being impeded by greenhouse gases. That is mentioned additional in gentle of the work by van Wijngaarden and Happer.
Economist Ross McKitirick wrote that the Canadian Parliamentary Price range Officer produced a report that debunks the claims of a local weather emergency or disaster. Is the bloom on the fad of Web Zero wilting when topic to detailed evaluation?
An Impartial Thoughts: Not too long ago retired from the College of Western Ontario, additionally known as Western College, a Canadian public analysis college, Emeritus Professor of Arithmetic and Physics Christopher Essex has demonstrated the impartial considering that’s required for science to advance — and which makes bureaucrats cringe. He has lengthy criticized local weather fashions for his or her unrealistic therapy of the environment: the fashions can’t compute that the environment cools in addition to they compute it warms. As meteorologist Joe Bastardi states, the fashions can’t see cooling. Essex begins a publish on Donna Laframboise’s web site: [boldface added]
“It’s well-known that daytime winter temperatures on Earth can fall effectively beneath -4°F (-20℃) in some locations, even in midlatitudes, regardless of warming worries. Typically the floor may even drop beneath -40°F (-40℃), which is similar to the floor of Mars. What is just not so well-known is that such chilly winter days are colder than they’d be with no environment in any respect!
“How can that be if the environment is sort of a blanket, in line with the usual greenhouse analogy? If the greenhouse analogy fails, what’s local weather?
“Local weather pc fashions within the Sixties couldn’t account for this non-greenhouse-like image. Nonetheless fashionable pc fashions are higher than these previous fashions, however the local weather implications of an environment that cools in addition to warms has not been embraced. Will pc fashions have the ability to predict local weather after it’s? The meteorological program for local weather has been underway for greater than 40 years. How did it do?
“Feynman, Experiment and Local weather Fashions
‘Mannequin’ is utilized in a peculiar method within the local weather discipline. In different fields, fashions are often formulated in order that they are often discovered false within the face of proof. From elementary physics (the Normal Mannequin) to star formation, a mannequin is supposed to be put to the take a look at, irrespective of how meritorious.
“Local weather fashions wouldn’t have this character. No statement from Nature may cause them to get replaced by some new type of mannequin. As an alternative, local weather fashions are seen by some because the implementation of good established classical physics expressed on oracular computer systems, and as such should be considered absolutely understood and past falsification. When it comes to regular science, that is fantasy.
“Trendy critics of local weather fashions cite a well-known comment of the physicist Richard Feynman: ‘It doesn’t matter how lovely your principle is, it doesn’t matter how sensible you might be. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s incorrect.’ These critics think about fashions as principle, and observations as experiment. No educated mannequin builder believes that local weather fashions seize all options of the system effectively. As such they disagree with observations. Nonetheless, they don’t violate Feynman’s edict as a result of local weather fashions aren’t any principle for local weather, and observations of an uncontrolled system aren’t any experiment. Feynman was talking within the context of managed bodily experiments, which can’t be finished for local weather.
If a local weather mannequin disagrees with knowledge, in precept the sub-grid-scale (extra beneath) of advert hoc local weather fashions might be adjusted to make it agree. Fortuitously, good mannequin builders resist the temptation to overdo such tuning. Nonetheless, they could do issues inadvertently like tune fashions to be extra like one another than just like the environment and oceans.
“Excessive Computing in Search of Local weather
“Excessive situations can compromise any pc calculation, regardless of fashionable religion in any other case. Sharp transitions on boundaries, excessive gradients, and extremes in density are examples. There are additionally extremes which are usually neglected, e.g., an excessive of time. Direct computation of the meteorological physics for lengthy timescales is an excessive in time. Integrations of classical physics on computer systems for climatological timescales are distinctive and unprecedented. Like different types of excessive computation, there are penalties.”
“Numerical evaluation on computer systems contends with the finite illustration (i.e., a finite variety of numbers) of all computer systems. There are three kinds of errors that consequence,
- Spherical off error: the pc should chop off (truncate) numbers due to area limitations.
- Truncation error: To place an equation onto a pc you could often chop off (truncate) elements of the bodily equations you goal to compute.
- Symmetry Error: The way you chop up the equations impacts the symmetry (Lie symmetry) of the equations you propose to combine. That is realized within the violation of conservation legal guidelines, that are uniquely essential for excessive local weather timescales.”
The publish offers a superb instance of the impartial considering that Essex contributes to understanding science. It was the limiting the criticisms of the fashions to experiment that compelled TWTW to go looking additional into the writings of Feynman and discover that Feynman thought-about nature to be the last word choose of bodily sciences, primarily based on observations in addition to experiments. Modelers claiming that experiments depend, however not observations, is an excuse for failure to correctly take a look at their fashions towards nature. See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and the next for info on the Heartland Convention: https://www.heartland.org/occasions/occasions/iccc-15
********************
No Drawback Right here: Final week’s TWTW mentioned a report by Francis Menton that no authorities selling “Web Zero” carbon dioxide emissions has produced an illustration mission displaying how it may be achieved and what the prices could be. Following up on it, Menton looked for an official US authorities report on the Vitality Storage Drawback. He writes: [boldface added]
“So, I assumed to go searching for the closest factor I may discover to the Official Occasion Line on how the U.S. is supposedly going to get to Web Zero emissions from the electrical energy sector by some early date. Essentially the most authoritative factor I’ve discovered is a giant Report out in August 2022 from one thing known as the Nationwide Renewable Vitality Laboratory, titled ‘Analyzing Provide-Aspect Choices to Obtain 100% Clear Electrical energy by 2035.’ An accompanying press launch with a date of August 30 has the headline ‘NREL Examine Identifies the Alternatives and Challenges of Attaining the U.S. Transformational Purpose of 100% Clear Electrical energy by 2035.’
“What’s NREL? The Report identifies it as a non-public lab ‘operated by Alliance for Sustainable Vitality, LLC, for the U.S. Division of Vitality underneath Contract. In different phrases, it’s an express advocacy group for ‘renewable’ power that will get infinite oodles of taxpayer cash to place out advocacy items making it appear to be the group’s most well-liked schemes will work.
“Make no mistake, this Report is a giant piece of labor. The Report identifies some 5 ‘lead authors,’ 6 ‘contributing authors,’ and 56 editors, contributors, commenters, and others. Undoubtedly thousands and thousands of your taxpayer {dollars} have been spent producing the Report and the underlying fashions … The top product is a superb illustration of why central planning doesn’t work and might by no means work.
“So now that our President has supposedly dedicated the nation to this ‘100% clear electrical energy’ factor by 2035, certainly these geniuses are going to inform us precisely how that’s going to be finished and the way a lot it can value. Good luck discovering that in right here. From the press launch:
“The research . . . is an preliminary exploration of the transition to a 100% clear electrical energy energy system by 2035—and helps to advance understanding of each the alternatives and challenges of reaching the formidable purpose. Total, NREL finds a number of pathways to 100% clear electrical energy by 2035 that might produce important advantages, however the actual know-how combine and prices might be decided by analysis and improvement (R&D), manufacturing, and infrastructure funding selections over the subsequent decade.
“It’s an ‘preliminary exploration.’ With the nation already supposedly dedicated to this multi-trillion-dollar mission on which all of our lives rely, they’re simply beginning to consider methods to do it. ‘The precise know-how combine and prices’ — in different phrases, every little thing essential — ‘might be decided by analysis and improvement’ — in different phrases, stay to be invented. However don’t fear, that can all be finished over the subsequent ten years, with loads of time then remaining to get every little thing deployed at scale within the three years from then to 2035.
After additional dialogue, Menton writes:
“In different phrases, they don’t have any clue. They’re wildly tossing out concepts of issues which have by no means been tried or demonstrated, not to mention costed — and supposedly we’re going to have our entire power system transitioned to this in 13 years. No shock that the perfect thought they’ve is hydrogen — which, as I describe completely in my report, is a horrible thought. And all that infrastructure they discuss for the hydrogen — none of that at the moment exists, or is underneath building, or is even in a strategy planning stage.”
Menton concludes:
“The Report has a giant part on value/profit evaluation, the place it’s confidently concluded that the advantages far outweigh the prices underneath any of many situations. That is with out the storage downside being solved or an answer demonstrated, or prices remotely identified.
“When you’ve got the time and inclination, you will discover the complete Report on the hyperlink above.[not included here] I’d probably not advocate losing your precious time on this, however readers who need to add additional critiques have the chance to take action.
“Your taxpayer {dollars} at work.”
TWTW did some additional examination into NREL, the hyperlinks given within the press releases, and located:
“NREL is ruled by a Board of Administrators consisting of 5 executives every from MRIGlobal and Battelle, [not-for-profit consulting groups] and one every from the next 5 universities: the College of Colorado, Colorado State College, Colorado Faculty of Mines, Massachusetts Institute of Expertise, and Stanford College.”
Authorities duty? See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
********************
Figuring out the Drawback: In answering the query “How can we predict the local weather 50 years from now if we are able to’t forecast the climate subsequent week?” Meteorologist Cliff Mass writes that climate forecasts and local weather prediction are completely different issues. He writes:
“Climate forecasting: an preliminary worth downside
“Climate prediction, an initial-value downside, begins with a complete, 3-D description of the environment known as the initialization. Then massive supercomputers are used to unravel the equations describing atmospheric physics to forecast the precise state of the environment sooner or later at particular occasions.
“Forecast accuracy declines with time and by roughly two weeks almost all predictability is misplaced, one thing described theoretically by Professor Edward Lorenz of MIT. [Chaos theory]
“Forecast ability drops quickly between 5 and 10 days.”
“Local weather forecasting: a boundary worth downside
“Forecast ability for particular climate options is misplaced after roughly 2 weeks as a result of the environment basically loses reminiscence of the preliminary noticed state of the environment.
“In local weather forecasts for prolonged durations of time, the important thing constraint is just not the preliminary situations, however the quantity of radiation coming into and out of the environment. If we all know how a lot radiation is coming into and out of the highest of the environment, the local weather fashions can produce a practical common local weather for these situations.
“The quantity of radiation emitted and absorbed by the environment is drastically managed by the composition of the environment which we now have to imagine (e.g., how a lot CO2, methane, and particles within the environment).
“Such projections are solely nearly as good as our estimate of the quantity of greenhouse gases within the environment in 50 or 100 years. Large uncertainty! However we do the perfect we are able to.”
Apparently, Mass is unaware of the work of van Wijngaarden and Happer. Utilizing the HITRAN database they’ve calculated the temperature results of a doubling of CO2 with clear skies (cloudless). Since clouds mirror daylight into area, and, typically, have cooling impact; the clear skies calculations are an higher certain for international warming with a doubling of CO2. In fact, the opposite difficulty is that the worldwide local weather fashions don’t even approximate the environment. See hyperlink underneath Defending the Orthodoxy.
********************
Backing Down? A publish by Frank Bosse on Judith Curry’s Local weather And so on. hyperlinks to a February 2, 2022, publish by Gavin Schmidt on the IPCC CMIP6 fashions (the newest model). (Schmidt beforehand wrote that CO2 was the management knob of the earth’s temperatures.) Once more, these fashions use floor temperature to “seize” the greenhouse impact and ignore atmospheric temperature developments, the place the greenhouse impact happens. Consequently, the info seize human alteration of the Earth’s floor that trigger warming similar to urbanization and draining wetlands.
The idea used is Transient Local weather Response (TCR). In line with the IPCC,
Specifically, the worldwide imply temperature change which happens on the time of CO2 doubling for the precise case of a 1%/yr. enhance of CO2 is termed the transient local weather response (TCR) of the system. This temperature change, indicated in Determine 9.1, [not shown here] integrates all processes working within the system, together with the energy of the feedbacks and the speed of warmth storage within the ocean, to present a simple measure of mannequin response to a change in forcing.
Additional:
“Equilibrium local weather sensitivity
The equilibrium local weather sensitivity (IPCC 1990, 1996) is outlined because the change in international imply temperature, T2x, that outcomes when the local weather system, or a local weather mannequin, attains a brand new equilibrium with the forcing change F2x ensuing from a doubling of the atmospheric CO2 focus.
In brief, in line with the IPCC, TCR is temperature change when the quantity of CO2 doubles, not temperature change (Equilibrium Local weather Sensitivity) when equilibrium is achieved. Bosse concludes his presentation with:
Contemplating this truth, the observations level to a TCR of 1.6/1.21= 1.3 Ok/doubling of CO2 as the perfect estimate. The 17 to 83 % probably vary from the regression is 1.22 to 1.38.
These TCR values are similar to the estimate of Lewis/Curry (2018).
The TCR of 1.3, confirmed by the newest knowledge, offers a warming in 2100 of 1.75 vs. pre-industrial occasions, when contemplating the 4.5 W/m² forcing situation. We’d stay inside the ‘2°C purpose’ even with a forcing of 5W/m² to 2100, we might produce 1.9 Ok of warming.
All accessible critical literature excludes a catastrophic end result of the worldwide warming, if we stay inside the 2K restrict. It appears very probably that we are going to achieve this. No doom and no want for glue on streets and work. Someone ought to inform the scared people who find themselves doing such unusual issues within the title of ‘The Science’.
Science tells it in any other case, giving a lot hope that mankind will keep away from the ‘catastrophic local weather endgame’.
It’s helpful to recollect Le Chatelier’s Precept: “A change in one of many variables that describe a system at equilibrium produces a shift within the place of the equilibrium that counteracts the impact of this transformation.” Although it initially utilized to chemical options, it has been proven to use to the bodily world typically. Any exception, similar to optimistic warming impacts from growing water vapor from tropospheric warming should be demonstrated, such because the “tropical sizzling spot”) None have.
See hyperlink underneath Questioning the Orthodoxy and https://archive.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/345.htm
********************
Atmospheric Window: AMO physicist Howard Hayden cautioned TWTW {that a} drawing in IPCC (AR4, 2007) confirmed an atmospheric window with about 40 watts per sq. meter passing via with none blocking from greenhouse gases. That’s about one-tenth of the infrared radiation (IR) emitted by the floor and about one-sixth of the IR that goes to area.
One of many disturbing traits of the drawing is that it offers no info of how the affect of greenhouse gases could change with altitude. For instance, in “Dependence of Earth’s Thermal Radiation on 5 Most Plentiful Greenhouse Gases” Determine 1, we see that the focus of water vapor diminishes quickly from the floor to the tropopause, the place most water vapor freezes out. The decline is just like the lapse price. Water vapor is the dominant greenhouse fuel, however its affect declines considerably with altitude. This isn’t proven on the IPCC drawing. See https://wvanwijngaarden.information.yorku.ca/recordsdata/2020/12/WThermal-Radiationf.pdf?x45936
********************
Prices of Motion: In discussing “World greenhouse fuel emissions and Canadian GDP” by the Canadian Parliamentary Price range Officer (PBO), Ross McKitrick writes:
“One of many annoying bits of jargon that goes round local weather coverage circles is the phrase ‘the price of inaction.’ As in, ‘we now have to do one thing, doing nothing is just not an choice, the price of inaction is just too massive.’ The price of inaction is the foregone advantage of the motion, and in line with the PBO, it’s not massive in any respect. Actually, it’s tiny.”
“And we now have to ask: what if the insurance policies value greater than 0.8 per cent of GDP? [The PBO’s estimated cost of no action on greenhouse gases]. We might be completely sure that they may.”
So doing one thing could also be much more pricey to society than doing nothing. This was true with World Conflict I. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
********************
Variety of the Week: +0.13 C/decade: In reporting the worldwide temperatures developments for November 2022, Roy Spencer writes:
“The linear warming pattern since January 1979 now stands at +0.13 C/decade (+0.12 C/decade over the global-averaged oceans, and +0.18 C/decade over global-averaged land).”
The modifications are erratic and never linear. They embody the altering greenhouse impact, volcanic aerosols within the environment at first of the report, and elevated atmospheric water vapor from submerged volcanoes that create ocean sizzling spots, unrelated to the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). These are inflicting a warming of the Arctic. So, the pattern on account of growing human-caused greenhouse gases is lower than what the numbers point out. See hyperlinks underneath Measurement Points – Ambiance.
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About World Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
World Sea-Degree Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Might 20, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy
Can Laptop Fashions Predict Local weather?
Visitor publish by Christopher Essex, Emeritus Professor of Arithmetic and Physics, College of Western Ontario, Large Image Information, Apr 13, 2022
Trying For The Official Occasion Line On Vitality Storage
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Dec 8, 2022
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2022-12-8-looking-for-the-official-party-line-on-energy-storage
Hyperlink to: “Analyzing Provide-Aspect Choices to Obtain 100% Clear Electrical energy by 2035.”
By Denholm, Paul, et al., NREL, August 2022
Press Launch: NREL Examine Identifies the Alternatives and Challenges of Attaining the U.S. Transformational Purpose of 100% Clear Electrical energy by 2035
By Employees, Workplace of Vitality Effectivity & Renewable Vitality, Aug 30, 2022
https://www.power.gov/eere/articles/nrel-study-identifies-opportunities-and-challenges-achieving-us-transformational-goal
Opinion: The Parliamentary Price range Officer simply debunked local weather alarmism
That is the alternative of an ’emergency’ or ‘disaster’
By Ross McKitrick, Monetary Submit (Canada), Dec 7, 2022
https://financialpost.com/opinion/parliamentary-budget-officer-debunk-climate-alarmism
Hyperlink to report: World greenhouse fuel emissions and Canadian GDP
By Philip Bagnoli, et al, The Parliamentary Price range Officer (PBO), Nov 8, 2022
https://distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca/bbc2846795c541eddc656e484a15e7ecd91bd0aff45196f231523d8c5c9aafe4
World’s Northern Hemisphere Tropical Storm Collected Cyclone Vitality Plunges 33% in 2022
By Larry Hamlin, WUWT, Dec 6, 2022
RPC8.5: nonetheless a rip-off
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 7, 2022
‘Cheap’ Concessions To Local weather Hysteria Lack Motive
By Gregory Wrightstone, Every day Caller, Dec 3, 2022 [H/t ICECAP]
https://dailycaller.com/2022/12/03/opinion-reasonable-concessions-to-climate-hysteria-lack-reason-gregory-wrightstone/
“Dr. William Happer, professor emeritus within the Division of Physics at Princeton College, has coauthored a paper that exhibits that the greenhouse impact of carbon dioxide is proscribed to a slim band of the electromagnetic spectrum and can’t trigger harmful heating of the planet.
“’Carbon dioxide is totally pure,’ he says. ‘Crops want it to develop. All of us breathe out about two kilos of it on daily basis. When folks say that we have to take away carbon dioxide from the air, I can’t think about what they’re considering as a result of at the moment there’s not sufficient carbon dioxide in comparison with what vegetation would like. We live in a time of a carbon dioxide famine within the context of geological historical past. We’d like extra of it not much less.’”
Gross zero
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 7, 2022
Hyperlink to Report: Integrity Issues: Web Zero Commitments by Companies, Monetary Establishments, Cities and Areas
By Catherine McKenna, chair, et al. United Nations’ Excessive‑Degree Professional Group on the Web Zero Emissions Commitments of Non-State Entities,
From the report: “We’re at a crucial second for humanity. The window to restrict harmful international warming and guarantee a sustainable future is rapidly closing. That is the stark however unequivocal discovering of current local weather change experiences.”
[SEPP Comment: Does the UN understand what scientific integrity is?]
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Dec 5, 2022
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2022/12/how-can-we-predict-climate-50-years.html
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
It’s not April 1st however…
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 7, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Exposing a foolish effort to criticize the work of David Young, presented in last week’s TWTW.]
Worldwide Vitality Company: Renewables will surpass coal by 2025
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 6, 2022
Hyperlink to report: Renewables 2022: Evaluation and forecast to 2027
By Employees, Worldwide Vitality Company, December 2022
From the press launch: “The worldwide power disaster has triggered unprecedented momentum behind renewables, with the world set so as to add as a lot renewable energy within the subsequent 5 years because it did previously 20.”
“The invasion of Ukraine is about to be a selected accelerant for the transition in Europe. The capability added in European nations from 2022 to 2027 might be double that of the enlargement within the earlier 5 years, in line with the IEA.”
[SEPP Comment: Another unrealistic report by the IEA that is built on promises not facts. Some European countries are discovering how fragile electrical systems become with increasing unreliable renewables. No utility scale demonstration of the promise of hydrogen.]
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Transient Local weather Response from observations 1979-2022
By Frank Bosse, Local weather And so on. Dec 7, 2022
4 Weeks Left For Fossil Fuels
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 5, 2022
https://realclimatescience.com/2022/12/four-weeks-left-for-fossil-fuels/ [Video]
[SEPP Comment: In 1901, Knut Angstrom demonstrated that CO2 has little effect beyond a minimum concentration and that the calculations of Svante Arrhenius were wrong, Arrhenius subsequently withdrew his calculations. Yet the EPA uses the original Arrhenius calculations!]
Now that I’m in energy legal guidelines matter
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 7, 2022
“True. From a person who had all of the solutions to a person who has no solutions and remains to be decided to implement them.
“Our view is considerably much less insider. We are saying folks didn’t purchase the message 20 years in the past they usually nonetheless don’t as a result of they give the impression of being out the window and see winter in November.”
The Local weather Alarmists Are Deeply Disturbed Folks
I & I Editorial Board, Dec 9, 2022
“We’re not saying the local weather alarmists are insane. However we really feel it’s our obligation to level out that they do say the identical issues again and again and count on that this time they’ll get it proper.”
Vitality and Environmental Evaluate: December 5, 2022
By John Droz, Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Dec 5, 2022
After Paris!
How A lot Will Loss & Injury Price?–Overseas Workplace Have No Concept
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 8, 2022
“Following COP27 and the tentative settlement to arrange a “loss and harm” fund, I assumed I’d ask the Overseas Workplace just a few questions on the price to the UK.”
“I knew they’d don’t have any solutions to my questions. However who of their proper thoughts would comply with one thing after they do not know of the price or how they’d pay for it?”
Local weather Change Weekly #455: COP 27 Will Finish Up as FLOP 27
By H. Sterling Burnett, Surroundings & Local weather Information, Dec 8, 2022
Issues within the Orthodoxy
When Is ‘China Carbon Time’ for Your State?
By Jon Sanders, John Locke Basis, Nov 30, 2022
“The U.S. is main the world in reducing CO2 emissions whilst China retains growing theirs, however environmental activists, politicians, and renewable power producers are pushing the states to undertake enormously costly emissions-reduction objectives
“This temporary asks how a lot of China’s enhance in emissions may states conceivably offset, and it makes use of a metric of minutes within the day to assist illustrate the issue.”
Searching for a Widespread Floor
JC navigates the brand new media
By Judith Curry, Local weather And so on. Dec 9, 2022
Local weather Reparations Are Newest Indication of Pressing Want for Strong Debate on Local weather and Vitality Coverage
By Jennifer Schubert-Akin, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 06, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/06/climate_reparations_are_latest_indication_of_urgent_need_for_robust_debate_on_climate_and_energy_policy_868469.html
Science, Coverage, and Proof
Rising U.S. Industrial Safety Coverage Should Faucet America’s Core Strengths
By George David Banks, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 06, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/06/emerging_us_industrial_security_policy_must_tap_americas_core_strengths_868467.html
Fashions v. Observations
A Forecast Failure and the Subsequent Snow Occasion
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Dec 3, 2022
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2022/12/a-forecast-failure-and-next-snow-event.html
UAH World Temperature Replace for November 2022: +0.17 deg. C
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Dec 6, 2022
World Temperature Report, November 2022
By Employees, Earth System Science Heart, UAH
Map: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2022/november2022/202211_Map.png
Graph: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2022/november2022/202211_Bar.png
Report: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2022/november2022/202211_Bar.png
Altering Climate
Australia Sees Coldest And Wettest Spring In Many years Amid Third La Niña In A Row
By Die kalte Sonne, (Translated/edited by P. Gosselin), No Tips Zone, Dec 6, 2022
Atlantic Hurricane Season 2022
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 9, 2022
“Whole for each all hurricanes and main hurricanes are near the bottom on report.”
Who let it snow let it snow let it snow?
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 7, 2022
“Now when you ask folks what the climate might be like in a few months, somewhat than in 2100, they don’t know.”
Why November Was So Gentle
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 5, 2022
Snowpack Standing for the Northwest
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Dec 7, 2022
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2022/12/snowpack-status-for-northwest.html
Untampered Japan Meteorological Company Knowledge Present Tokyo Autumn Hasn’t Warmed In Many years
By P Gosselin, Charts by Kirye, Dec 3, 2022
New Examine: Observational Knowledge Affirm 95% Of Submit-Nineteen Seventies Warming Is Not Linked To CO2 Will increase
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Dec 8, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Causes and Course of Local weather Change and Its Hydrological Penalties within the Larger Poland Area in 1951–2020
By Andrzej A. Marsz, et al., Quaestiones Geographicae, Sep 3, 2022
https://sciendo.com/article/10.2478/quageo-2022-0033
Oimjakon, Siberia Sees “Extraordinarily Low Temperatures” As Mercury Plummets To 65 Beneath! [F]
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Dec 4, 2022
Oimjakon, Siberia Sees “Extremely Low Temperatures” As Mercury Plummets To 65 Below!
UK Autumn 2022–Gentle and Moist, However Definitely Not “Excessive”
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 3, 2022
Simulations of seasonal snow within the Higher Colorado River Basin
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 7, 2022
“From the CO2Science Archive:”
Altering Local weather
Document breaking DNA exhibits Mastodons roaming a sizzling North Greenland 2 million years in the past
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 10, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: A 2-million-year-old ecosystem in Greenland uncovered by environmental DNA
By Kurt H. Kjæ, et al, Nature, Dec 7, 2022
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05453-y
[SEPP Comment: Estimates of continental drift place Greenland in the Arctic for over 50 million years. The opening of the abstract may explain why this got by in Nature: “Late Pliocene and Early Pleistocene epochs 3.6 to 0.8 million years ago had climates resembling those forecasted under future warming. Palaeoclimatic records show strong polar amplification with mean annual temperatures of 11–19 °C above contemporary values.” It is the forecasts of climate models that counts, not understanding of the greenhouse effect. Boldface added.]
Altering Seas
Change the federal government, or the reef will get it!
By Graham Younger, Spectator, Australia, Dec 3, 2022
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
All people is aware of: polar bears are dying on account of local weather change
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 7, 2022
“So the bears appear to love having much less sea ice, even when melting ice causes local weather alarmists to soften down as effectively.”
The Reindeer On Wrangel Island [High Arctic Russia] Have Skilled Mass Die-Offs Due To Twenty first Century Icing Occasions
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Dec 5, 2022
https://notrickszone.com/2022/12/05/the-reindeer-on-wrangel-island-have-experienced-mass-die-offs-due-to-Twenty first-century-icing-events/
Hyperlink to paper: First proof of a brown bear on Wrangel Island, Russia
By Babiy, Ulyana V., et al. BioOne, 2022
From paper: “After a number of winters with icecrust formation and rain-on-snow occasions, the inhabitants of reindeer decreased from 8,500 in 2002 to 450–500 in2007 (Gruzdev and Sipko 2007b, Kazmin and Kholod 2014). Following this die-off, wolves and wolverines recolonized the island. By 2016 the variety of reindeer had stabilized at roughly 200–300 people, with predation thought-about the primary issue stopping inhabitants enhance (Mizin et al. 2018).”
Agriculture Points & Concern of Famine
Cultivated Meat, Not Plant-Primarily based Meat, is the Way forward for Environmentally Conscience Meals
By Micah Safsten, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 8, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/08/cultivated_meat_not_plant-based_meat_is_the_future_of_environmentally_conscience_food_868865.html
[SEPP Comment: One can only imagine some of the names the greens who oppose genetically modified vegetables and grains will have for cultivated meat!]
Decreasing Requirements
Clear Vitality Promotion
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Dec 6, 2022
Local weather Forecasting
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 9, 2022
Video:
[SEPP Comment: As predicted. Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) changed its difference between observations and model predictions by eliminating the error range!]
BBC Hurricane Criticism–Stage 2
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 5, 2022
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Obscure?
To Finish Local weather Lunacy, Cease Treating Warming & C02 Hysterically
By David Simon, Actual Clear Markets, Dec 6, 2022 [H/t Ron Clutz]
https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2022/12/06/to_end_climate_lunacy_stop_treating_warming_and_c02_hysterically_868446.html
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
“now accepted as a actuality”
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 9, 2022
Video: https://realclimatescience.com/2022/12/now-accepted-as-a-reality-2/
Textual content: https://realclimatescience.com/2022/12/now-accepted-as-a-reality/
“Youngsters simply aren’t going to know what snow is,”
The Mirror Makes Ludicrous Declare That Massive Elements of England Will Be Below Water By 2100
By Chris Morrison, The Every day Sceptics, Dec 6, 2022
“The present annual price of sea degree rise is estimated by the U.S. climate service NOAA’s Laboratory for Satellite tv for pc Altimetry to be 3.1 mm, with a 13% margin of error.”
[SEPP Comment: When its estimates are compared with tidal gauges in stable locations, the NOAA estimates are far too high, and margin of error is far too small.]
This 12 months’s Puffin Scare Story
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 9, 2022
[SEPP Comment: “…stormy weather caused by climate change.” It has never been stormy in the North Atlantic before?]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Do a Ballot?
What goes round…
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 7, 2022
“…’in line with a 2021 United Nations Improvement Programme’s international ballot that coated 50 international locations and had 1.2 million respondents, a majority of individuals imagine local weather change is an emergency and assist mitigation insurance policies.’”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Go Private.
Steven Koonin: Responsible as Charged (DeSmog’s Corridor of Fame)
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Dec 7, 2022
“There are some low blows similar to implying that John Christy, Judith Curry, and Richard Lindzen should not ‘local weather specialists.‘ (DeSmog: need to host a debate with any of those individuals current?)”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda
Local weather activists “waging conflict on the thoughts”
Press Launch, Web Zero Watch, Dec 8, 2022
Hyperlink to: The Local weather Change Cult and the Conflict on the Thoughts
By Stephen McMurray, Web Zero Watch, 2022
The U.S. needs to slash carbon emissions from energy vegetation. Pure fuel is in the way in which
By Michael Copley, NPR, Dec 5, 2022
https://www.npr.org/2022/12/05/1139401121/the-u-s-wants-to-slash-carbon-emissions-from-power-plants-natural-gas-is-in-the-
“Below President Joe Biden, the US goals to chop all carbon air pollution by 2035 from the facility vegetation that run American houses and companies. It’s a primary step towards the broader purpose of zeroing out greenhouse fuel emissions throughout your complete financial system by midcentury to rein in local weather change.”
[SEPP Comment: According to NPR, the power industry that says it can’t be done is evil?]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Protest
Anti-Oil, Anti-Fuel: “The Plan Was to Do One thing Unlawful”
By William Allison, Vitality in Depth, Dec 7, 2022
https://eidclimate.org/the-plan-was-to-do-something-illegal-anti-oil-and-natural-gas-activists-split-over-protests/
Increasing the Orthodoxy
Extinction Hype and Doubtful Biodiversity COP15 in Montreal
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Dec 7, 2022
Twenty first Century Robber Barons: the WEF
By Brian Parsons, American Thinker, Dec 9, 2022
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2022/12/21st_century_robber_barons_the_wef.html
Local weather lockdowns coming? You can be tracked in your suburb and glad about it.
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 3, 2022
Hyperlink to the WEF “plan”: The stunning stickiness of the “15-minute metropolis”
By WEF Employees, Mar 15, 2022
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/03/15-minute-city-stickiness/
‘Widespread Floor’ on ESG? Solely Unhealthy Wins
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Dec 6, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Cannot make deals with fanatics?]
ESG is the Psychotic Bully of the Funding World
By Linnea Lueken and H. Sterling Burnett, WUWT, Dec 8, 2022
The Local weather Cash Monster Cabal could also be beginning to unravel… Vanguard flees GFANZ
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 8, 2022
[SEPP Comment: GFANZ is the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero.]
Questioning European Inexperienced
Blackouts will set off a folks’s revolt towards the brand new eco-tyranny
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 8, 2022
Europe’s local weather obsession may show lethal
By Liz Peek, The Hill, Dec 5, 2022
Plunging In direction of Darkness: Germany Sees Week-Lengthy Wind, Solar Lull As Vitality Provide Dwindles
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Dec 7, 2022
“Blackout Information summarizes the outcomes of Germany’s power technique for November:
“‘Germany emitted extra CO2 per kilowatt hour in electrical energy technology than India, China and South Africa, and landed in 127th place out of 147 international locations within the rating.’”
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
Inexperienced Uncooked Deal: Local weather Fanatism Has Put Us Full Throttle On The Freeway To Hell
By Fred Mueller, Through P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Dec 9, 2022
[SEPP Comment: The charts presented show the energy crisis hit before the invasion of Ukraine.]
The exploitation of ‘inexperienced power’
Rich nations abuse poorer nations’ workforces and surroundings
By Rick Amato and Ronald Stein, Washington Instances, Nov 30, 2022 [H/t Paul Homewood]
https://www.washingtontimes.com/information/2022/nov/30/exploitation-of-green-energy/?mc_cid=232c44ba14&mc_eid=4961da7cb1
Inexperienced Jobs
Is the Renewable Vitality Trade Nothing Extra Than a Jobs Program?
By Julius Sanks, WUWT, Dec 9, 2022
[SEPP Comment: The graph showing US Energy Production Per Employee is telling.]
Funding Points
At present’s financial challenges exacerbated by Ponzi schemes
By Ronald Stein, CFACT, Dec 7, 2022
https://www.cfact.org/2022/12/07/todays-economic-challenges-exacerbated-by-ponzi-schemes/
The Political Video games Proceed
Local weather Cash Is Pouring Into Washington — Watch Out For The RINOs
By Derrick Morgan and Mike McKenna, Every day Caller, Dec 2, 2022
https://dailycaller.com/2022/12/02/opinion-you-know-things-are-grim-when-republicans-buy-into-climate-alarmism-derrick-morgan-and-mike-mckenna/
Litigation Points
How an Early Oil Trade Examine Turned Key in Local weather Lawsuits
For many years, Sixties analysis for the American Petroleum Institute warning of the dangers of burning fossil fuels had been forgotten. However two papers found in libraries at the moment are enjoying a key position in lawsuits aimed toward holding oil corporations accountable for local weather change.
By Beth Gardiner, Yale 360, Nov 30, 2022
https://e360.yale.edu/options/climate-lawsuits-oil-industry-research
[SEPP Comment: A report in 1968 when a new ice age was the fear of the day?]
EPA and different Regulators on the March
Vitality Division rule would reduce authorities constructing emissions 90 %
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 7, 2022
“A brand new proposed rule from the Biden administration would reduce emissions from new federal buildings 90 % from 2003 ranges within the subsequent two years.”
[SEPP Comment: What is the 2003 emission level of a building that does not exist? Why wait? Think of the great stimulus created by cutting CO2 emissions of all federal buildings right now?]
EPA resolution may spell doom for Ohio’s greatest coal plant
By Patrick Cooley, The Columbus Dispatch, Nov 29, 2022
https://www.dispatch.com/story/enterprise/energy-resource/2022/11/29/cheshire-coal-plant-could-be-forced-to-close-after-epa-decision/69671852007/
Vitality Points – Non-US
Rishi Sunak’s incoherent power coverage will poison Britain’s future
By Employees, Web Zero Watch, Dec 7, 2022
“To proceed intellectually bankrupt and counterproductive insurance policies in the midst of an power disaster of unprecedented magnitude means that the equipment of presidency in Westminster has ceased to work, and that rational evaluation can now not impact a change after all. The outlook for the buyer and the nation as entire may be very bleak.” – NZW power director John Constable
UK Vitality Reforms May Stifle Development
By Metropolis A.M, Oil Worth.com, Dec 05, 2022
https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Vitality-Basic/UK-Vitality-Reforms-May-Stifle-Development.html
“Ofgem has pushed via a flurry of reforms within the UK’s power sector.
“The power watchdog has confronted heavy criticism over its dealing with of the power disaster.
“One of many nation’s power suppliers says the regulator is ‘overcompensating’ for its failures in its makes an attempt to deal with the disaster.”
Labour Goal Web Zero Electrical energy By 2030
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 7, 2022
“Our power safety, and all that goes with it, are being put in danger by politicians who don’t perceive how the grid works and reliant on recommendation from wide-eyed youngsters enjoying round with their X-Packing containers.”
A yellow and blue Christmas
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 7, 2022
“Pondering is after all exhausting work. And thus it seems that in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany’s largest state, each economically and demographically, the emergency measure is to elevate the debt ceiling to allow them to borrow much more cash to subsidize folks’s power payments. It isn’t, repeat not, to develop extra sources of power.”
Vitality Points — US
For Vitality, America’s Finest Overseas Coverage Is a Good Home Coverage
By Brigham McCown, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 7, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/07/for_energy_americas_best_foreign_policy_is_a_good_domestic_policy_868867.html
North Carolina assault underscores vulnerability of energy grid
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Dec 7, 2022
“’A single cyberattack can shut down lots of if not 1000’s of substations directly,’ mentioned Rajit Gadh, director of UCLA’s Sensible Grid Vitality Analysis Heart.”
Virginia air air pollution board votes to depart regional carbon-credit program
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 8, 2022
“The state Air Air pollution Management Board voted 4-1 to proceed the exit from the Regional Greenhouse Fuel Initiative (RGGI), with two abstentions, an official confirmed.”
The False Assumptions Behind Local weather Laws in Pennsylvania
By Kevin Mooney, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 6, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/06/the_false_assumptions_behind_climate_regulations_in_pennsylvania_868702.html
Washington’s Management of Vitality
Supporting Alaska’s Willow Venture Helps Our Unions
By Joey Merrick, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 8, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/08/supporting_alaskas_willow_project_supports_our_unions_868962.html
[SEPP Comment: Developing oil resources on the North Slope in Alaska is opposed by those in Washington dedicated to strangling the Trans-Alaska Pipeline System (TAPS).]
U.S. To Bail Out Britain By Doubling Pure Fuel Exports
By Metropolis A.M, Oil Worth.com Dec 08, 2022
https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Pure-Fuel/US-To-Bail-Out-Britain-By-Doubling-Pure-Fuel-Exports.html
“The UK is grappling with sky-high power costs.
“The Biden administration has agreed to double U.S. pure fuel exports to Britain.
“The initiative has an ‘fast purpose’ of stabilizing power markets and lowering demand.”
[SEPP Comment: Time for oil and gas workers to go on strike and tell the administration to manufacture the gas from government subsidized solar and wind?]
Return of King Coal?
King Coal: Stories Of My Dying Have Been Vastly Exaggerated (apologies to Mark Twain)
By Tilak Doshi, Forbes, Dec 1, 2022
https://www.forbes.com/websites/tilakdoshi/2022/12/01/king-coal-reports-of-my-death-have-been-greatly-exaggerated-apologies-to-mark-twain/?sh=41610c87476a
Cumbria Coal Mine Will get Go-Forward
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 8, 2022
“A victory for frequent sense!”
Nuclear Vitality and Fears
South Australia Pushes for Zero Carbon Civilian Nuclear Energy
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 5, 2022
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
Mega Wind farm accepted that may’t function half the yr
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 9, 2022
[SEPP Comment: According to the US EIA: “The average capacity factor of U.S. wind generators (35% in 2021) is lower than the average capacity factor of nuclear generators (93% in 2021), which are designed to run at or near full output, which they typically do.”]
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/element.php?id=52038#:~:textual content=Thepercent20averagepercent20capacitypercent20factorpercent20of,outputpercent2Cpercent20whichpercent20theypercent20typicallypercent20do.
Photo voltaic’s Lofty Ambitions Are Consuming Ever-Bigger Expanses of Land Down Beneath
By John Murawski, Actual Clear Investigations, Dec 7, 2022
https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/articles/2022/12/07/solars_lofty_ambitions_are_consuming_ever-vaster_expanses_of_land_down_below_868493.html
“State and federal officers see in photo voltaic power the potential to counteract international warming with an infinite pure useful resource.”
“The momentum behind photo voltaic power may make sunshine the nation’s dominant supply of electrical energy, supplying as much as 45% of the nation’s electrical energy by mid-century, from a meager 2.8% of U.S. electrical energy technology now, in line with a Division of Vitality forecast.”
[SEPP Comment: According to NREL maps, the average annual solar potential for most of Virginia is 4.25 to 4.50 kWh/m2/Day. The greatest is greater than 5.75 from California to Texas. From October to February all of Virginia is less than 4.00 kWh/m2/Day (24 hours) with none coming at night, and very little coming when the sun is low in the sky). Who needs heat in the winter? Or light at night?]
(World Horizontal Irradiance, https://www.nrel.gov/gis/solar-resource-maps.html )
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Vitality — Different
My Vitality Storage Report: Hydrogen As An Various To Batteries
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Dec 4, 2022
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2022-12-4-my-energy-storage-report-hydrogen-as-an-alternative-to-batteries
“It’s no marvel that inexperienced hydrogen is all speak. No one is prepared to really attempt to construct out an illustration mission. The so-called ‘hydrogen financial system’ is extremely unlikely ever to occur.”
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Autos
The Mirage of Electrical Autos
By Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Dec 6, 2022
California Dreaming
DRIED UP: In California, desalination provides solely partial resolution to rising drought
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Dec 5, 2022
“The American West is experiencing its driest interval in human historical past, a megadrought that threatens well being, agriculture and whole methods of life. DRIED UP is inspecting the dire results of the drought on the states most affected — in addition to the options People are embracing.”
[SEPP Comments: A false statement given that the west has been inhabited for 10,000 to 12,000 years or more.]
New blood, Large Oil: California Legislature begins particular session
By Alexei Koseff and Sameea Kamal, Cal Issues, Dec 6, 2022
https://calmatters.org/politics/california-legislature/2022/12/california-legislature-new-session/
Newsom proposes penalizing oil corporations amid excessive gasoline costs
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Dec 6, 2022
“’Large Oil has been mendacity and gouging Californians to line their very own pockets lengthy sufficient,’ Newsom mentioned. ‘I sit up for the work forward with our companions within the legislature to get this finished.’”
[SEPP Comment: California’s anti-carbon dioxide energy policy has nothing to do with increasing cost?]
Different Scientific Information
Apollo 17: fiftieth Anniversary of the Most Profitable Manned Area Mission… So Far
By David Middleton, WUWT, Dec 7, 2022
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
US fuel costs decrease than they have been a yr in the past
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Dec 8, 2022
Hyperlink to press launch: Like Snowflakes, Fuel Costs Maintain Falling As Demand Stays Low
Press Launch, AAA, Dec 8, 2022
https://gasprices.aaa.com/
[SEPP Comment: Deceptive article. According to the EIA, in November 2020 average gas prices were $2.11, 2021 3.39, in November 2022 $3.68.]
https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=emm_epmr_pte_nus_dpg&f=m
Declare: Indoor Farms can Clear up Local weather Disaster Climate Disruption
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 7, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Imagine the corn fields of the Midwest indoors!]
French President: Cease Scaremongering About Inexperienced Electrical energy Blackouts
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 8, 2022
[SEPP Comment: What about scaremongering about CO2?]
In an “Emergency Heatwave”, await it, ABC Nanny tells Australians to “use air-con”
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 6, 2022
“The actual difficulty right here is just not the Heatwave Emergency Warnings, however that the ABC acts as a propaganda unit. They need to be mocking the BoM as a substitute for treating us like infants and filling our airwaves with meaningless warnings.
“Once we have been youngsters we’d activate the backyard sprinklers and run via them on sizzling days, and we didn’t await the ABC to counsel it.”
Progressives push again on effort to place Manchin allowing deal in NDAA
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Dec 5, 2022
“Reps. Raúl Grijalva (D-Ariz.) and Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) tweeted that they’d vote towards the annual invoice, generally known as the Nationwide Protection Authorization Act (NDAA), if it contained what they described as ‘giveaways to the fossil gasoline {industry}.’”
[SEPP Comment: Legal permits are “giveaways” and subsidies are ???]
The Finish Is Close to
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 6, 2022
“David Attenborough says the tip of the world is close to on account of a one half per thousand enhance in atmospheric CO2 over the previous century.”
Video: The present CO2 ranges not seen in thousands and thousands of years. “We at the moment are perilously near tipping factors, the place as soon as handed will ship temperatures spirally catastrophically larger.” We’ll see the collapse of every little thing. Local weather change is the largest risk to safety that fashionable people have ever confronted.
[SEPP Comment: Very Sad! This once significant man has no concept of the greenhouse effect or climate history.]
ARTICLES
1. SEC Rule Goals to Make Each Firm a Local weather Firm
What occurred to informing traders about related monetary dangers?
By James Freeman, WSJ, Dec. 9, 2022
https://www.wsj.com/articles/sec-rule-aims-to-make-every-company-a-climate-company-11670615181?mod=opinion_lead_pos11
TWTW Abstract: The journalist writes:
“Securities and Alternate Commissioner Hester Peirce is sounding the alarm on the damaging local weather proposal that SEC Chairman Gary Gensler remains to be attempting to jam via on a partisan vote.
“This week Commissioner Peirce defined that past requiring public corporations to demand knowledge on local weather dangers from even small companies and farmers of their provide chains, the rule may additionally drive modifications in how corporations function and even who runs them. In a speech on the American Enterprise Institute Ms. Peirce famous:
“… the local weather proposal mandates disclosure about board oversight of climate-related dangers, together with figuring out board members or board committees liable for overseeing climate-related dangers; detailing board member local weather experience; describing the processes and frequency of discussions about climate-related dangers; explaining how the board is knowledgeable about, and the way usually it thinks about, climate-related dangers and whether or not it considers climate-related dangers as a part of its enterprise technique, danger administration, and monetary oversight; and describing whether or not and the way the board units climate-related targets or objectives and the way it oversees progress in reaching them. The proposal additionally features a corresponding set of disclosures associated to administration: who’s liable for managing climate-related dangers, what their local weather experience is, how they get knowledgeable about these dangers, and the way usually the managers liable for climate-related dangers report back to the board…
“One remark letter objected that the ‘disclosures usurp the decision-making authority of company boards and govt administration, authority particularly granted to them by state company legislation.’
“Washington would basically be forcing each public firm, no matter {industry}, to deal with local weather, whereas additionally pressuring them to rent leaders who share this obsession. However even probably the most climate-obsessed ought to acknowledge that such change requires a brand new legislation, not unelected monetary regulators immediately deciding to nominate themselves ministers of world warming.”
“One additionally has to marvel why Mr. Gensler—working an company with no specific experience within the science of local weather—feels compelled to impose this method on companies which are already going through huge stress to undertake the local weather agendas of institutional financiers.”
The essay concludes that there could also be a political battle over this enlargement of SEC energy.
*******************
2. Biden Begins a Local weather Commerce Conflict
The Inflation Discount Act’s subsidies are angering U.S. allies.
By The Editorial Board, WSJ, Dec. 5, 2022
https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-starts-a-climate-trade-war-electric-vehicles-ira-batteries-minerals-north-america-protectionsim-11670169459?mod=opinion_lead_pos1
TWTW Abstract: The editorial begins:
“Wasn’t President Biden going to finish Donald Trump’s damaging commerce wars towards allies? Apparently not. His ‘tremendous aggressive’ local weather protectionism—to cite French President Emmanuel Macron—is infuriating U.S. pals and should set off a subsidy and tariff conflict.
“U.S. allies are upset in regards to the Inflation Discount Act’s beneficiant subsidies for domestically manufactured inexperienced applied sciences. In his journey to Washington final week, Mr. Macron mentioned the U.S. subsidies could ‘maybe repair your difficulty however you’ll enhance my downside.’ They’re actually an issue for everyone.
“The dispute entails tax credit for electric-vehicle and battery manufacturing. The IRA’s $7,500 client tax credit score are restricted to EVs assembled in North America. Most overseas auto makers make EVs overseas and export them as a result of the worldwide and U.S. markets are nonetheless small. They will’t faucet the buyer tax credit score until they spend money on American manufacturing. However making EVs within the U.S.—or Canada or Mexico—could also be extra pricey and will render their vehicles much less aggressive in different export markets.
“Half of the U.S. $7,500 tax credit score can also be contingent on an growing share of the automobile’s battery minerals being extracted or processed within the U.S. or a rustic by which the U.S. has a free-trade settlement—beginning at 40% in 2023 and growing to 80% in 2027. The opposite half might be accessible solely to EVs whose battery parts are principally made in North America, beginning at 50% in 2023 and reaching 100% by 2029.
“No auto maker is anticipated to qualify for the complete $7,500 tax credit score subsequent yr, however Tesla and GM could also be eligible for half. Overseas auto makers will grow to be much less aggressive within the U.S. and battle to fulfill stringent fuel-economy mandates. The upshot? They should purchase regulatory credit from Tesla and GM.”
After discussing further privileges granted to particular firms by the legislation, the editorial concludes with:
“European leaders are threatening to file a grievance with the World Commerce Group if the Biden Administration doesn’t rewrite the IRA to increase subsidies to overseas EVs and inexperienced applied sciences. However the latter would compound the coverage felony by forcing U.S. taxpayers to subsidize foreign-made vehicles. Europe may additionally impose subsidies for home producers or tariffs towards U.S.-made EVs.
“The West’s local weather insurance policies are already harming customers and slowing financial progress by elevating power costs and distorting funding. Now they’re threatening a commerce conflict that can trigger extra hurt. The brand new local weather protectionism received’t finish effectively.”
