The Week That Was: 2022-11-26 (November 26, 2022)
Delivered to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Mission
Quote of the Week: “A change in one of many variables that describe a system at equilibrium produces a shift within the place of the equilibrium that counteracts the impact of this alteration.” — Le Chatelier’s Precept, 1884
Variety of the Week: $1.1 billion of $6 billion
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Mission (SEPP)
Scope: The UN’s intoxicating annual dance of the sugar plum fairies is over (COP 27) is over and is deliberate to happen subsequent 12 months (COP 28) in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, a present case of the luxurious offered by means of fossil fuels within the as soon as small fishing village on the sting of the barren desert. The irony is becoming. Over the previous few years leaders of western nations have made intoxicated guarantees as to the extent they are going to punish their international locations for the prosperity that use of fossil fuels has introduced. Just a few examples of the early awakening of chilly cause will likely be mentioned.
The October 22 TWTW contained an vital quote by Richard Feynman from The Which means of It All
“And it’s of paramount significance, with a purpose to make progress, that we acknowledge this ignorance and this doubt. As a result of we’ve got doubt, we then suggest wanting in new concepts. The speed of improvement of science shouldn’t be the speed at which you make observations alone however, way more vital, the speed at which you create new issues to check.”
The UN IPCC’s science has stagnated since its first report in 1990. Certainly, US atmospheric and local weather science has stagnated because the 1979 Charney Report which claimed {that a} doubling of CO2 will trigger a warming 3°C plus or minus 1.5°C (about 3 to eight°F). This lack of progress is the results of these accountable for these experiences, and their advocates, claiming that the “science is settled.” There isn’t a doubt displaying that progress must be made.
Throughout this forty plus years, nice strides have been made in understanding and measuring what is going on within the environment and the way greenhouse gases heat the environment, thus the floor beneath it. These important advances are ignored in IPCC and US authorities experiences. As such, the experiences exhibit important purposeful illiteracy of bodily sciences and the restrictions of making use of arithmetic to bodily science. Just a few examples of this purposeful illiteracy will likely be mentioned. These embody:
Roy Spencer’s report evaluating temperatures in cities in Alberta with temperatures of the encompassing countryside.
The dialogue by Cliff Mass on the absurd notion of pure tipping factors.
The dialogue by Christopher Rufo on the statistical illiteracy on the now-trendy use of the statistical significant time period “stochastic.”
Jo Nova discusses the most recent “State of the Local weather” in Australia.
The purposeful illiteracy demonstrated by organizations similar to UN WHO and the European Atmosphere Company on air air pollution. One doesn’t get mathematical certainty by making use of rigorous arithmetic to poorly understood ideas. One could get absurd outcomes with large unknown errors.
And the entire amateur-hour charade demonstrated by leaders of some international locations on the right way to pay for the excesses promised at COP 27.
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After the Dance: The UN annual dance of the sugar plum fairies is over. Now some laborious questions start: The best way to pay for all the guarantees made? President Biden averted answering such questions by visiting different international locations to make meaningless offers. Francis Menton summed the aim effectively when writing within the Manhattan Contrarian:
In any sane world, the American President would use such a spherical of conferences to advance American pursuits, and likewise to extol, as a mannequin for the world, the freedom-based financial system (typically mis-named “capitalism”) that has made the U.S. the world’s wealthiest and most profitable nation. Certainly, when ex-President Trump traveled the world for conferences like these, some model of these have been typically his essential themes.
However now, we’ve got a President who’s a person of the Left, and it’s the other. You possibly can’t assist noticing that Biden — just like the leftists who set his agenda and write his phrases — is ashamed of the nation he leads and of its financial success. Thus, he makes use of these events primarily to apologize and to attempt to purchase forgiveness and atonement for his nation’s supposed sins.
One can say that after World Battle II, each president till President Obama was proud to signify america. In the meantime, in accordance with experiences, European officers are accusing the Biden Administration of being a “battle profiteer” for utilizing Putin’s invasion of Ukraine as an excuse for elevating the value of pure gasoline and benefiting from weapons gross sales and commerce whereas rising subsidies to inexperienced pursuits. Among the expenses could look like unfair, however the administration has restricted the event of oil and pure gasoline within the US, leading to increased costs, because the EIA information on costs present.
COP-27 closed with no clear estimate how a lot cash is to be transferred to growing international locations for “compensation” for imaginary harm to them from the usage of fossil fuels, or how a lot every nation will partake. The satan is within the particulars to “be decided later.”
Additional, the Democrats misplaced management of the Home, the place new spending payments originate. (A typical trick to keep away from this Constitutional requirement is so as to add new spending to an current invoice and calling it a “persevering with decision.”) Nevertheless, presently, the Republicans in command of the Home appear decided that they won’t enable funds to different international locations for rising prosperity that has lengthy been a part of the custom of American authorities, no matter political get together. They are going to reject the false claims that carbon dioxide emissions are inflicting a rise in dangerous climate. See hyperlinks underneath After Paris!, Change in US Administrations, and The Political Video games Proceed.
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Incomplete Science: As mentioned in earlier TWTW’s, the work of physics Professors van Wijngaarden and Happer has proven that our understanding of the greenhouse impact is incomplete. Opposite to the worldwide local weather modeling of the IPCC and its followers, there isn’t a uniform principle for the way greenhouse gases have an effect on earth temperatures. Additional, our understanding of clouds, that are very important for understanding the results of the environment on earth’s temperatures, is much from full. Due to this fact, the altering environment can’t be modeled with any understanding of the likelihood of error. Thus, mannequin forecasts/projections or predictions are meaningless.
Nevertheless, utilizing the work of van Wijngaarden and Happer, an higher certain could be established for the identified improve in radiative forcing of doubling CO2 and different greenhouse gases. (The higher certain would come with such debatable issues as temperature rise.)
Additionally, the work of AMO physicist Howard Hayden reveals that the IPCC and its followers don’t perceive the Stefan-Boltzmann regulation, which was developed individually by Josef Stefan in 1879 and Ludwig Boltzmann in 1884. This regulation has been used extensively by astronomers for estimating temperatures of our bodies in house for over 100 years. There isn’t a cause to simply accept UN experiences as educated within the science concerned and it’s silly to base vitality insurance policies on these experiences.
In his dialogue on the very restricted impact methane has on temperatures, Happer concluded with the poem by Alexander Pope on the Pierian spring: “Drink deep or style not.” The identical applies right here within the IPPC’s dialogue of the Stefan Boltzmann regulation and planetary warmth stability. See final week’s TWTW and http://www.sepp.org/science_papers.cfm
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Floor Based mostly Temperatures: In his persevering with investigation of land-based datasets (known as surface-air) with exaggerated warming tendencies really produced by urbanization, Roy Spencer targeted on the cities of Calgary and Edmonton in largely rural Alberta. The Abstract states:
“Comparability of rural with city temperature monitoring websites throughout Canada in the course of the summers of 1978-2022 reveals the anticipated common nighttime heat bias in city areas, with a weaker daytime impact. When utilized to the Landsat imagery-based diagnoses of elevated urbanization over time, 20% of the temperature tendencies in a small area encompassing Calgary and Edmonton are discovered to be attributable to rising urbanization. Calgary leads the record of Canadian cities with elevated urbanization, with an estimated 50% of the nighttime warming tendencies throughout 10 Canadian mostly-metro areas attributable to elevated urbanization, and 20% of the daytime warming tendencies.”
After presenting the small print of the report, Spencer concludes:
“Canadian cities present a considerable city warmth island impact in the summertime, particularly at evening, and Landsat-based estimates of elevated urbanization recommend that this has induced a spurious warming part of reported temperature tendencies, no less than for areas experiencing elevated urbanization. A restricted comparability in Alberta suggests there stays an city warming bias within the CRUTem5 dataset, in line with my earlier postings on the topic and work completed by others.
“The difficulty is vital as a result of rational vitality coverage needs to be primarily based upon actuality, not notion. To the extent that world warming estimates are exaggerated, so will likely be vitality coverage selections. As it’s, there may be proof [link given below] that the local weather fashions used to information coverage produce extra warming than noticed, particularly in the summertime when extra warmth is of concern. If that noticed warming is even lower than being reported, then the local weather fashions grow to be more and more irrelevant to vitality coverage selections.” [Boldface added]
See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and https://www.drroyspencer.com/2022/10/50-year-u-s-summer-temperature-trends-all-36-climate-models-are-too-warm/
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Tipping Factors? Le Chatelier’s precept was developed for Chemistry in 1884. It has been utilized to thermodynamics and the conservation of mass-energy in particle physics. Thus, the favored trend of speaking about local weather tipping factors is disturbing. On his web site, Climate Weblog, Cliff Mass has description of the hurt the promoters of this absurdity are inflicting. He begins [Boldface in original]:
“It looks as if there may be one other strident local weather “tipping level” headline each different day.
“Threats of irreversible catastrophic local weather change simply across the nook.
“The reality is that such claims by some media retailers and local weather activists are opposite to the perfect science.
“An try and sow fear and panic, with the motivation to encourage individuals to “do the appropriate factor.” And it’s each unethical and counterproductive.
“What’s a local weather tipping level?
“In response to the Merriam-Webster dictionary, a tipping level is outlined as
‘the essential level in a state of affairs, course of, or system past which a major and infrequently unstoppable impact or change takes place’
“And a local weather tipping level could be outlined as
‘a essential threshold that, when crossed, results in massive and infrequently irreversible adjustments within the local weather system.’
“Particularly, the concept is that rising greenhouse gases (like CO2) will lead to warming that may produce massive, irreversible adjustments within the local weather system.
“Like driving off a cliff. And that lowering greenhouse gasoline emissions and concentrations later won’t assist. The adjustments can be irreversible. We couldn’t return.”
After going by way of some particulars on how silly it’s to use the idea to local weather, Mass concludes:
“These pushing local weather tipping factors are doing the satan’s work. They know that the results of human-caused local weather change are at present comparatively modest. However people aren’t sufficiently motivated to take the actions the activists need. So, they’ve determined to scare the inhabitants, with an impending, terrifying precipice of local weather change.
“Not moral, not primarily based on science. And they’re inflicting people psychological hurt and pushing governments to make poor selections.”
See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Stochastic Fears? A typical time period in statistics is “Stochastic” that means randomly distributed, or not predictable. A stochastic likelihood distribution could also be examined statistically however can’t be predicted exactly. An instance of a stochastic course of is radioactive decay. There could also be a set likelihood of any atom in a bunch breaking down giving off alpha and beta particles, however there isn’t a likelihood of predicting which atom. Additional, the likelihood of the decay have to be established by remark. Completely different components and isotopes of components decay at completely different charges.
Political commentator for Manhattan Institute Christopher Rufo writes in Metropolis Journal:
“In an opinion piece for Scientific American, author Bryn Nelson insinuated that my factual reporting on Drag Queen Story Hour was an instance of ‘stochastic terrorism,’ which he defines as ‘ideologically pushed hate speech’ that will increase the chance of unpredictable acts of violence. On the evening of the assault, Nelson argued, I had appeared on Tucker Carlson Tonight to debate my reporting, and, hours later, the alleged attacker, David DePape, radicalized by ‘QAnon’ conspiracy theories about ‘Democratic, Devil-worshipping pedophiles,’ broke into the Pelosi residence and attacked Paul Pelosi with a hammer.
“It is a weird declare that, for {a magazine} supposedly devoted to ‘science,’ hardly meets a scientific customary of trigger and impact.”
The time period “stochastic terrorism” is absurd. That it seems within the as soon as famous Scientific American illustrates how far that publication has sunk. Rufo’s remark that it doesn’t meet the scientific customary of trigger and impact is meaningless. See hyperlink underneath Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
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Beating the Drums: Jo Nova experiences that the Australian local weather is ok, nothing uncommon, however the Australian Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Analysis Group (CSIRO) and Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) are in disaster mode. Their newest State of the Local weather, 2022, ignores information that Nova makes use of. Nova writes:
The “greatest crimes of this report are what they don’t say. The CSIRO and BoM should know, however don’t point out, that satellites don’t present any warming in Australia within the final ten years in any respect. Satellites observe throughout all seven million sq. kilometers of Australia and are calibrated in opposition to hundreds of climate balloons. The CSIRO and BoM desire to make use of thermometers in carparks, close to runways, or near incinerators, then they magically modify tendencies at some websites up by as a lot as 2 levels (that’s the entire century-long development proper there?!)
“However it is smart in a non-scientific form of means. Authorities funded scientists would get smaller grants if there was no local weather disaster. There are a billion causes to search out ‘world warming’ and none in any respect to search out pure cycles of climate that nobody can tax. The hapless researcher who finds that Australia has at all times been a land of droughts and flooding rains will discover themselves sacked for being non-collegial, known as a pariah and a local weather denier. Simply ask Peter Ridd.” [Boldface added]
Nova goes into particulars backing up her assertions then states:
“5 causes UAH [University of Alabama in Huntsville atmospheric temperature data] is completely different (higher) to the RSS [Remote Sensing Systems] world temperature estimates
- UAH agrees with hundreds of thousands of calibrated climate balloons launched around the globe. RSS now agrees extra with floor knowledge from gear positioned close to airports, concrete, air-conditioners and which is itself wildly adjusted.
- Within the newest changes UAH makes use of empirical comparisons from satellites that aren’t affected by diurnal drift to estimate the errors of these which are. RSS begins with mannequin estimates as an alternative.
- Two explicit satellites disagree with one another (NOAA-14 and 15). The UAH workforce take away the one they suppose is wrong. RSS retains each inconsistent measurements.
- Diurnal drift in all probability created synthetic warming within the RSS set previous to 2002 however created synthetic cooling after that. The brand new model of RSS retains the warming error earlier than 2002 however fixes the error after then. The upshot is a hotter general development.
- UAH makes use of a extra superior methodology with three channels. RSS continues to be utilizing the unique methodology Roy Spencer and John Christy developed with just one channel (which is seen from three angles).”
One doesn’t must be a scientist to know what bodily proof is vital and what’s not. See hyperlinks underneath Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science.
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Mathematical Absurdity: The Linear No Threshold Mannequin (LNT) for toxicity is widespread however doesn’t stand as much as testing. For instance, naturally occurring arsenic is poisonous, however it’s extensively utilized in medication for numerous illnesses. (Compounds of arsenic not containing carbon could also be extra poisonous than natural compounds (containing carbon)). The Dose-Response mannequin historically used is much better for figuring out toxicity than the LNT mannequin which will produce absurd outcomes – all arsenic is poisonous. That is medically illiterate.
The UN WHO and the European Atmosphere Company are following the EPA’s path of illiteracy. For instance, in accordance with experiences, the EEA claims that there have been “238,000 untimely deaths within the European Union in 2020”, these have been from matter smaller 2.5 microns, additionally “nitrogen dioxide (NO2) above the WHO’s advisable threshold led to 49,000 untimely deaths within the EU’, and “In response to the WHO, air air pollution causes seven million untimely deaths per 12 months worldwide, placing it on par with smoking or poor diets.”
Smoke “most cancers sticks” freely as a result of it’s no extra deadly than respiration contemporary air? See Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
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Simply Mortgage the Cash: Maybe probably the most amusing remark about funding the claims that wealthy international locations ought to pay poor international locations for prospering got here from the Prime Minister of Barbados who instructed that the World Financial institution might simply mortgage the cash.
Like many different worldwide organizations, the World Financial institution has grown in energy, however not duty. It now can increase cash in monetary markets by promoting bonds to buyers. With no prospect of compensation, this might not final so long as FTX and its crypto foreign money. See hyperlink underneath Funding Points.
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Variety of the Week: $1.1billion of $6 billion. For many years, California inexperienced politicians have tried to shut all nuclear energy in California and have succeeded in closing all however Diablo Canyon nuclear plant, which was scheduled to be decommissioned in two phases in 2024 and 2025, however in September lawmakers voted to maintain it open for 5 years. Most California politicians look like completely ignorant about the place dependable electrical energy is generated.
Approved by President Kennedy in 1961, the Pacific DC Intertie is a 3.1-gigawatt DC transmission line connecting the Los Angeles Division of Water and Energy with the Bonneville Energy Administration alongside the Columbia River in Oregon. The scheme is sensible. Within the winter, it delivers energy from the southwest US, when it’s not wanted, to the northwest when it’s wanted, lessening the burden on hydroelectric dams. In the summertime, when energy is required in southwestern US, the system is reversed. Dependable electrical energy from nuclear energy vegetation within the winter is critical for the scheme to work. Shutting off all nuclear energy would put Southern California in dire straits.
Regardless of actions of greens in opposition to nuclear and hydro, the Biden Administration will give Pacific Gasoline & Electrical Co. $1.1 Billion to maintain Diablo Canyon open. The brand new $550 billion Infrastructure Legislation accommodates $ 60 billion funding for 2023, and $6 billion is within the grants program for conserving nuclear energy vegetation open. – a worth taxpayers pay for presidency teenage pondering. See hyperlink underneath Nuclear Vitality and Fears and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pacific_DC_Intertie#:~:textual content=Thepercent20Pacificpercent20DCpercent20Intertiepercent20(additionally,voltagepercent20directpercent20currentpercent20(HVDC).
Climategate Continued
Climategate: By no means Neglect (twelfth anniversary) [13 years ago]
By Robert Bradley Jr. Grasp Useful resource, Nov 22, 2022
Censorship
Charity Fee opinions grievance in opposition to local weather sceptic thinktank
Transfer comes after legal professionals and MPs raised considerations about charitable standing of World Warming Coverage Basis
By Helena Horton, The Guardian, Nov 21, 2022
“The Good Legislation Mission stated it discovered ‘a number of hundred thousand kilos’ value of spending on one-sided analysis and a monetary relationship between GWPF and NZW which seems to breach key protections of charity regulation’.”
[SEPP Comment: And government-funded research is not one-sided?]
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About World Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
World Sea-Stage Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Could 20, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy
Local weather Tipping Factors: Actual Threats or Misinformation?
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Nov 22, 2022
Canadian Summer season City Warmth Island Results: Some Ends in Alberta
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Nov 19, 2022
Outdoors the Black Field: Again to Fundamentals
By Advert Huijser, WUWT, Nov 23, 2022
CO2 is Harmless however Clouds are Responsible. New Science has Created a “Black Swan Occasion”
By Charles Blaisdell PhD ChE, WUWT, Nov 23, 2022
The Internet-Zero Absurdity on the Again of An Envelope.
By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, WUWT, Nov 22, 2022
40 minute video
Research Finds The CO2 Greenhouse Impact Is Actual…However Harmful World Warming From Rising CO2 Is Not
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Nov 24, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Verification of the Greenhouse Impact within the Laboratory
By Hermann Harde and Michael Schnell Science of Local weather Change, Jan 4, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Verifying decades of previous laboratory work which is ignored by the IPCC and its followers.]
Pushing the identical previous local weather insurance policies at COP27 is solely insane
After a long time of failure to curb emissions, let’s settle for that capitalist funding shouldn’t be the issue: it’s the answer
By Bjorn Lomborg and Jordan Peterson, The Telegraph, Nov 4, 2022
Defending the Orthodoxy
Did the world make progress on local weather change? Right here’s what was determined at world talks
By Nathan Rott, et al. NPR WAMU, Nov 20, 2022
The Local weather Cons,
By I & I Board, Nov 21, 2022
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
The Australian Local weather is Superb — however the State of the CSIRO and the BOM is a Disaster
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Nov 25, 2022
Hyperlink to: State of the Local weather 2022
The biennial State of the Local weather report sequence attracts on the most recent local weather analysis, encompassing observations, analyses and projections to explain year-to-year variability and longer-term adjustments in Australia’s local weather. The 2022 State of the Local weather report is now out there.
Full Report: State of the Local weather 2022
By Workers, CSIRO and BOM, 2022
file:///C:/Customers/Proprietor/Downloads/22-00220_OA_REPORT_StateoftheClimate2022_WEB_221115.pdf
Local weather Change, Faux Claims and Greenwashing
One of many causes world nations have been poor in coping with local weather change, which threatens to warmth our globe in life-threatening methods, is the complexity of the problem.
By Walter Moss, LA Progressive, Nov 21, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Three decades of increasing UN & US government propaganda with increasing intensity is progress?]
Additionally, not a local weather scientist
By John Robeson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 23, 2022
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Editors and Apparent Misinformation
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Nov 22, 2022
“Wind and photo voltaic are unreliable, and with out long-term battery storage, which hasn’t but been invented, will lead to harmful, killer blackouts when the wind doesn’t blow and the solar doesn’t shine.”
[SEPP Comment: According to the chart from the Wall Street Journal, it costs $40 per MWh to light a light bulb with solar at midday, but $153 per MWh to light it at midnight. So, people will adjust and want light only during the day?]
Calls for for ‘local weather reparations’ are laughable
By Dan Hannan, Washington Examiner, Nov 21, 2022
What to not learn
By John Robeson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 23, 2022
“It [an article in The Economist] additionally advisable the sixth IPCC Evaluation Report however solely the “Summaries for Policymakers” that are the final a part of the IPCC’s work it is best to really learn as a result of they’re the bit the place the politicians misrepresent what the scientists stated primarily based on their very own preconceptions after which go ‘scientists say’ when challenged.”
“a number of traces of proof”
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Nov 25, 2022
“When authorities scientists and the press declare “a number of traces of proof” – it usually means they made the entire thing up.”
Vitality and Environmental Evaluation: November 21, 2022
By John Droz, Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Nov 21, 2022
World local weather convention closes with local weather harm compensation deal
By Kyle Balluck and Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Nov 20, 2022
In the meantime again on the actual Earth
By John Robeson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 23, 2022
COP-27, Reparations However, Is Merely Anti-African
By Paul Driessen, Shale Directories.com, Nov 22, 2022
Is that each one? UN desires 4, 6 or $10 trillion a 12 months and a “transformation of the world’s monetary system”
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Nov 23, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Would elimination of the UN be cheaper and more beneficial to humanity?]
We’d prefer to suppose it’s our doing
By John Robeson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 23, 2022
“However in truth, the time-stamp displays the amateurishness of the entire enterprise of gathering tens of hundreds of individuals to revamp the entire world economic system and its ecology in lower than two weeks with none effort to be sure to knew the right way to do it, and what you have been going to comply with do, earlier than you stepped into the limelight.”
As predicted, COP27 was a flop but once more
Yearly, the annual UN local weather convention heralds two weeks of intergovernmental pantomime.
Assertion: Internet Zero Watch, Nov 21, 2022
hyperlink to: Flop 27: The place Are Our Local weather $$Trillions?
By Workers, Internet Zero Watch, 2022
COP-27: A Window Into How The UN Retains The Poor Poor
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Nov 24, 2022
“As with most all the pieces the UN does, there was nothing on this convention for anybody to be grateful for.”
“And God forbid that the poor international locations ought to get wealthy and never want the wealth transfers anymore. What then can be left for the UN to do?”
COP27 local weather damages is only a fantasy plan to tax the West for dangerous climate, and develop the UN
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Nov 22, 2022
COP27 Is A Downpayment On Catastrophe
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 20, 2022
Exit Stage Left
By Workers, Doomberg, Nov 1, 2022
“Europe accuses US of cashing in on battle”
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Nov 25, 2022
“Biden’s inexperienced subsidies and taxes that Brussels says unfairly tilt commerce away from the EU and threaten to destroy European industries”
Europe accuses US of cashing in on battle
EU officers assault Joe Biden over sky-high gasoline costs, weapons gross sales and commerce as Vladimir Putin’s battle threatens to destroy Western unity.
By Barbara Moens, Jakob Hanke Vela and Jacopo Barigazzi, Politico, Nov 24, 2022
President Biden Takes To The World Stage
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Nov 20, 2022
Issues within the Orthodoxy
China To Double Coal-Fired Energy Plant Capability…Goals To Keep away from European, US Blunders
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Nov 25, 2022
“In Germany, whereas radical teams of climate-crazies like Extinction Revolt and Final Era are gluing themselves to highway and airport tarmac surfaces to rescue the planet from the parable that’s the local weather disaster, China is planning to double the capability of its coal-fired energy vegetation, experiences German on-line Blackout Information right here.”
[SEPP Comment: From Richard Greene in comments section: “The article is about using coal to generate electricity. The chart is for primary energy sources, NOT just the fuel sources for electricity generation.”]
Coal is used for 63.6% of electrical energy technology, greater than the share of coal used for major vitality in China.
“The right chart for this text is right here”
Searching for a Widespread Floor
Earth Can Regulate its Personal Temperature Over Millennia, New Research Finds
Press Launch, MIT, By way of WUWT, Nov 20, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Presence or absence of stabilizing Earth system feedbacks on completely different time scales
By Arnscheidt and Rothman, Science Advances, Nov 16, 2022
From the summary: “On time scales between 4 and 400 ka, fluctuations fail to develop with time scale, suggesting that stabilizing mechanisms just like the hypothesized “weathering suggestions” have exerted dominant management on this regime.”
Fashions v. Observations
Equilibrium Local weather Sensitivity is over-estimated in a key CMIP6 mannequin
By John Robeson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 23, 2022
From CO2 Science
Scorching American fashions
By John Robeson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 23, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Roy Spencer’s work on 50 years of models v. observations.]
Altering Climate
Pacific Typhoons Proceed Downward Development, Contradicting Alarmist Claims Of Extra Storms
By P Gosselin, Charts by Kirye, No Methods Zone, Nov 23, 2022
Climatey climate snow thingy
By John Robeson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 23, 2022
[SEPP Comment: The seasonal change from climate to weather.]
Chilly Snaps Kill Extra Than Scorching Snaps- BBC Admits
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 19, 2022
From BBC: “Staying heat: What does an unheated room do to your physique?”
All people is aware of: local weather change means extra wind storms
By John Robeson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 23, 2022
“Sure, what you’re seeing [wind gust data] is a downward development. The height 12 months was 1971, absolutely 50 years in the past, and 2022 is on observe to tie 2004 and 2007 because the minimal years. All people is aware of local weather change means greater wind storms. Somebody simply wants to inform the local weather.”
Equatorial Rainfall by Hour
By Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Nov 24, 2022
Altering Local weather
Ice Age Temperatures and Precipitation Reconstructed from Earthworm Granules
Press Launch, Johannes Guttenberg Universitaet, Mainz, posted Nov 22, 2022, on WUWT.
Hyperlink to paper: Millennial-timescale quantitative estimates of local weather dynamics in central Europe from earthworm calcite granules in loess deposits
By Charlotte Prud’homme, et al. Communications, Earth and Atmosphere, Nov 21, 2022
From the summary: “We present that local weather within the Rhine Valley was considerably cooler in the course of the heat season and general drier with annual precipitation values lowered by as much as 70% in comparison with the current day.”
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
South Pole Hits Document Chilly November Temperatures
By Chris Morrison, The Every day Sceptic, Nov 20, 2022 [H/t ICECAP]
“The information observe the six-month winter of 2020-21, which was the coldest since information started in 1957. Inexplicably, all these info and tendencies have escaped reporting within the mainstream media.”
“The Australian geologist Professor Ian Plimer provides brief shrift to all of the lies and obfuscations encompass settled local weather science. If it had been proved that human emissions of carbon dioxide drive world warming, ‘there can be countless quotation of the dozen or so seminal scientific papers demonstrating this proof’. As a substitute, he notes, there’s a ‘deafening silence’. Local weather cycles haven’t modified as a result of people are alive in the present day, ‘and can’t be modified by emotions, ideology or laws’. He additionally famous: ‘Bearers of validated info are denigrated, cancelled and deemed controversial by those that haven’t any counterargument, no skill to critically analyse, and who depend on self-interest and emotions.’”
“dramatic proof”
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Nov 24, 2022
Video
Jap Canadian Arctic has way more sea ice than typical whereas Svalbard polar bears cope with much less
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Nov 24, 2022
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
The “Stochastic Terror” Lie
The Left’s newest gambit for suppressing speech is constructed on preposterous grounds.
By Christopher F. Rufo, Metropolis Journal, Nov 14, 2022
Greenhouse gasbags
By John Robeson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 223, 2022
“The New York Occasions’ David Wallace-Wells thinks this veil of ignorance could quickly raise, gushing that ‘some of the fascinating developments from this 12 months’s main local weather convention, COP27, which kicked off Nov. 6 with the U.N. secretary common António Guterres declaring that the world was on a ‘freeway to local weather hell,’ is a brand new on-line instrument launched by the nonprofit coalition Local weather Hint that enables us to see emissions in near-real time…. it marks one other step towards what’s starting to look just like the inevitable improvement of a kind of world carbon surveillance state… providing one other piece of the rising framework for world sanctions and local weather litigation.’”
BBC Hurricane Grievance
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 25, 2022
“Naturally I’ve resubmitted my grievance, which is able to set off Stage 2 of the complaints course of. Preserving it easy, I’ve stated:
“Your headline claims 2021 hurricane season was third most energetic.
As I’ve already identified, there have been 50 different years with as many or extra hurricanes. The third most energetic declare refers to Tropical Storms, not Hurricanes, so this must be corrected.”
Get it Proper, Washington Publish, Local weather Change Isn’t Inflicting a Decline in Coral Reefs
By H. Sterling Burnett, Local weather Realism, Nov 21, 2022
Adelies Are Doing Superb, Regardless of What The BBC Say
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 24, 2022
“And one other examine discovered that the breeding inhabitants of Adelies in East Antarctica had grown by 53% since 1993, and that 13 new colonies had been discovered. Like most animals, penguins are extraordinarily adaptable.
“The BBC after all would moderately you deal with the lovable, cuddly chicks who’re going to die of hunger. However sadly Mom Nature could be very merciless.”
A Deluge of Dangerous Maths and Worse Reporting
By Tony Thomas, Quadrant, Nov 20, 2022
BBC Response To Svalbard Grievance
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 22, 2022
BBC Publicise Potty Gaia’s New E-book
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 23, 2022
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Obscure?
Altering My Thoughts on Local weather
‘We must be searchers for options moderately than planners and designers of options.’
By Bret Stephens, The Bulwark, Nov 21, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Is it changing as it has for hundreds of millions of years or is CO2 the cause?]
ESG: “Doing Good or Sounding Good?”
A dialog with NYU professor Aswath Damodaran
By Timothy M. Doyle, Actual Clear Vitality, Nov 22, 2022
“Capital invested in environmental, social, and governance (ESG) funding merchandise are forecast to achieve $41 trillion by the top of the 12 months. Aswath Damodaran, professor of company finance and valuation on the NYU Stern Faculty of Enterprise, is among the foremost educational critics of ESG.”
“Damodaran calls the entire ESG idea “fuzzy:” If 100 ESG specialists have been in a room collectively and requested to outline and measure ESG, you’ll possible get 100 completely different solutions.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
Air air pollution killed 238,000 Europeans prematurely in 2020: EEA
By AFP Workers Writers, Copenhagen (AFP), Nov 23, 2022
AFR: 10 Local weather Disasters in 5 Years Value $1.5 Trillion
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 22, 2022
Increasing the Orthodoxy
US Army Operating Faux Social Media Accounts
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Nov 25, 2022
Questioning European Inexperienced
OBR Reveals The Crippling Value Of Internet Zero
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 24, 2022
“In different phrases, that determine of £573 bn above might be solely a 3rd of the true price to the general public sector. In the meantime, as already famous, the personal sector may also need to pay out way more within the quest for Internet Zero.”
[SEPP Comment: According to its website, “The OBR is led by the three members of the Budget Responsibility Committee (BRC). They have executive responsibility for the core functions of the OBR, including the judgements reached in its forecasts.”
‘The RC are supported in their work by the OBR’s permanent staff of 35 civil servants, led by Steve Farrington. The staff work in teams covering: economic forecasting and analysis; fiscal forecasting and analysis; welfare forecasting and analysis; sustainability analysis; and strategy, communications and operations. OBR staff vacancies are advertised openly where possible and applications for externally advertised posts are welcome from both inside and outside the civil service.”] https://obr.uk/about-the-obr/who-we-are/
Nationwide Grid points – then cancels – electrical energy scarcity warning
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 22, 2022
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
Australia’s Inexperienced Vitality Dream Sinking Below Royalty Calls for, Tradie Shortages
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 20, 2022
Funding Points
Evaluation: Drops of local weather finance begin to fill an ocean of want
By Simon Jessop and Aidan Lewis, Reuters, Nov 22, 2022
Barbados Proposes Wealthy International locations Present $1Trillion to Fund Local weather Motion
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 25, 2022
[SEPP Comment: The World Bank should increase lending without any security or funding to support it?]
Uncertainties about local weather compensation fund set off skepticism
By Rachel Frazin and Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Nov 22, 2022
[SEPP Comment: How is this possible?]
The Political Video games Proceed
GOP Rep. Banks: We’ll ‘Do Every little thing’ We Can to Block Local weather reparation Funds, We Can Block It.
By Ian Hanchett, Breitbart, Nov 24, 2022
From a video interview.
“However to pay for the climate, dangerous climate in international international locations out of the pocketbooks of hard-working People is likely to be probably the most insane factor I’ve ever seen.”
Cap-and-Commerce and Carbon Taxes
Even Proposals for a Windfall Earnings Tax Are Damaging
By Benjamin Zycher Actual Clear Vitality, Nov 22, 2022
Subsidies and Mandates Eternally
Environmental Levy Replace [UK]
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 25, 2022
“The price of subsidies already paid out since 2012/13 got here to £78 billion, so by 2028 we could have forked out £134 billion.
“Bear this in thoughts when the renewable foyer tells us we should always have been constructing extra wind farms!”
Vitality Points – Non-US
Excessive Carbon Costs certain Seem to Create Vitality Poverty
By Workers, Parker Gallant Vitality Views, Nov 12, 2022 [H/t John Robson]
Gazprom Threatens To Curb European Gasoline Flows By means of Ukraine
By Tsvetana Paraskova, Oil Worth.com. Nov 22, 2022
Do we want a brand new electrical energy market?
By Bryan Leyland, GWPF, 2022
Revealed: Brits are paying the best electrical energy payments in the complete world
By Michel Williams, Metropolis AM, Nov 16, 2022 [H/t John Robson]
Vitality Disaster: German Minister President Suggests Heating One Room In Winter Is Sufficient
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Nov 20, 2022
Twice as costly: The excessive price of Germany’s floating LNG terminals
By Nikolaus J. Kurmayer, EURACTIV.com, Nov 21, 2022
“In the meantime, Spiegel reported that the entire train is at present budgeted at €6.56 billion, up from €3 billion within the 2022 funds, a determine confirmed by the ministry to Reuters.”
[SEPP Comment: Far less in capital cost but more costly to operate than land-based facilities.]
Vitality Points – Australia
Renewable Vitality Revolution? Vitality Australia Warns of Blackouts and Worth Spikes
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 25, 2022
“’By no means attribute to malice that which is sufficiently defined by stupidity’ – Hanlon’s Razor”
FREE MONEY: Aussie Governments Desperately Pump Priming their Inexperienced Vitality Revolution?
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 24, 2022
Vitality Points — US
To Win on Local weather Options and Scale back Vitality Costs, Boosting Home Vitality Provides Is Key
By Tom Magness, Actual Clear Vitality, Nov 21, 2022
Oil and Pure Gasoline – the Future or the Previous?
Pure Gasoline – 100 Years In the past At present, November 25, 1922!
By Tom Shepstone, Shale Directories.com, Nov 25, 2022
[SEPP Comment: The wonders of electricity and gas coming to rural America!]
A Cautionary Story For Oil Corporations’ Navigating The Transition
By Michael C. Lynch, Vitality Coverage Analysis Basis, November 2022
[SEPP Comment: From the executive summary: “Consensus can be horribly wrong, whether of the industry, government, academia and/or think-tanks.”]
Biden grants PG&E $1.1 billion to maintain Diablo Canyon nuclear plant open
By Emma Newburger, CNBC.com, Nov 21, 2-22
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
Prices of Wind and Photo voltaic Vitality Are Skyrocketing
By John Hinderaker, Energy Line, Nov 22, 2022
“The one factor that would make the state of affairs catastrophically worse is that if governments imposed drastic new demand on the electrical energy grid by making us all drive electrical autos. However no, they may by no means be that silly. Might they?”
75% Of German Wind Generators Kill 70 Bats Every In 2 Months. There Are 30,000 Wind Generators In Germany.
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Nov 21, 2022
Hyperlink to paper; Wind generators with out curtailment produce massive numbers of bat fatalities all through their lifetime: A name in opposition to ignorance and neglect
By Christian C. Voigt, et al. World Ecology and Conservation, September 2022
From summary: “Inside the European Union it’s legally required to curtail the operation of wind generators at durations of excessive bat exercise, but this isn’t practiced at previous wind generators.”
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Vitality — Storage
Tiniest Ever Historical Seawater Pockets Revealed
Press Launch, DOE/Pacific Northwest Nationwide Laboratory. By way of WUWT, Nov 20, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Pushing the bounds: Resolving paleoseawater signatures in nanoscale fluid inclusions by atom probe tomography
By S.D.Taylor, et al. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Dec 1, 2022
“Findings might open up an entire new chapter in local weather science and assist establish subsurface areas to securely retailer hydrogen for carbon-free vitality.”
[SEPP Comment: Why store hydrogen?]
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Automobiles
Gasoline Responsibility Hike Deliberate–To Subsidise EVs
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 24, 2022
Why photo voltaic electrical autos is likely to be the following technology of EVs
By Katie Brigham, CNBC, Nov 22, 2022
California Dreaming
Column: Rich Californians “Simply Cease Oil” marketing campaign – widespread in Europe; has anybody requested, say, Bangladesh?
By Terry Etam, BOE Report, Nov 22, 2022 [H/t WUWT]
Different Information that Could Be of Curiosity
Seabed Mining Will Assist Break China’s Grip on Vital Minerals
By Tom LaTourrette, Actual Clear Wire, Nov 18, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Even after UN demands?]
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
Bloomberg: Corporations Greenwashing Their Picture Utilizing “Bogus” Carbon Credit
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 21, 2022
“Carbon credit – the one ‘market’ the place false claims profit each events within the transaction.”
Local weather protesters at Berlin airport briefly halt visitors after gluing themselves to runway
By Julia Shapero, The Hill, Nov 24, 2022
Spermageddon
By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Nov 22, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Global warming will stop human reproduction? It did not work in the tropics where humans evolved!]
Tasmanian Local weather Disaster: Early Tomato Planting and Some Useless Seaweed
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 22, 2022
“However does this type of seasonal knowledge nonetheless work because the local weather warps?”???
ARTICLES
1. The West Made the World Affluent. COP27 Will Make Us Pay
Perhaps trade makes climate disasters likelier. It actually allows us to make them much less hazardous.
By Gerard Baker, WSJ, Nov. 21, 2022
“No good deed goes unpunished, they are saying. So, for having the genius to provide the concepts, create the financial system and develop the capital that has in a bit greater than a century given the world unimaginable prosperity, eradicated lethal illnesses that after killed hundreds of thousands, lowered toddler mortality, prolonged life expectancy and lifted tons of of hundreds of thousands of individuals out of starvation and poverty, we should now be made to pay.”
TWTW Abstract: Exposes the essential pondering abilities of the attendees which haven’t superior past the teenage group suppose “it appeared a good suggestion on the time.
********
2. Biden Indicators Up for Local weather Reparations
The most recent shakedown is a brand new fund to pay poor international locations for supposed harm brought on by Western use of fossil fuels.
By The Editorial Board, WSJ, Nov. 20, 2022
TWTW Abstract: The editorial begins:
“The usage of local weather coverage to soak People retains getting worse, and the United Nation’s local weather convention in Egypt ended this weekend with settlement on a brand new fund to pay reparations to poor international locations. Welcome to the most recent local weather shakedown.
Poor international locations have lengthy sought to power rich international locations to pay for the “loss and harm” they undergo from pure disasters which are supposedly climate-related. That is separate from the $100 billion a 12 months that wealthy international locations have promised to assist poor international locations cut back emissions and adapt to local weather change.
The 2015 Paris accord instructed wealthy international locations compensate poor international locations for local weather harm—the rationale being that industrialization has elevated temperatures and led to pure disasters. Poor international locations lastly compelled dialogue of a proper mechanism to pay local weather reparations onto this 12 months’s U.N. convention agenda.
John Kerry, the U.S. local weather envoy, dismissed the concept earlier this month: “It’s a well known incontrovertible fact that america and plenty of different international locations won’t set up . . . some kind of authorized construction that’s tied to compensation or legal responsibility. That’s simply not taking place.” However on Thursday Europe deserted the U.S. by proposing a deal, and Mr. Kerry rolled over.
Rich international locations will now arrange a fund to cowl local weather harm for the least developed international locations—i.e., not China or middle-income nations. This will likely be financed from “a broad donor base” and “mosaic of options,” similar to worldwide improvement banks and taxes on aviation, transport and fossil fuels.
Europe hopes this can induce poor international locations to cut back emissions to fulfill the Paris goal of limiting world warming to 1.5 levels Celsius in comparison with pre-industrial ranges. The world has already warmed by 1.1 levels, and a U.N. report final month estimated temperatures would rise 1.8 levels even when Western international locations meet their “net-zero” objectives.
However China emits two-thirds extra CO2 than Europe and the U.S. mixed. Coal accounts for 60% of China’s energy technology, and extra new coal vegetation are set for approval by way of 2025 than the complete current U.S. fleet. China says it wants extra coal energy for vitality safety and, in contrast to Europe and the U.S., it received’t commit local weather suicide.”
The editorial continues by saying that prosperity has benefited all, some greater than others, however common prosperity is ignored by the IPCC and its followers.7