The Week That Was: 2023-03-04 (March 4, 2023)
Dropped at You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Venture
Quote of the Week: The primary precept is that you could not idiot your self and you’re the best particular person to idiot. — Richard P. Feynman
Variety of the Week: Six instances and 4 instances
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Venture (SEPP)
Scope: One focus this week will likely be on a brand new paper by professors emeriti William Happer at Princeton College and Richard Lindzen on the Massachusetts Institute of Know-how, respectively, and Gregory Wrightstone, a geologist of greater than 40 years’ expertise, who now heads the CO2 Coalition. The paper explains that Governments across the globe are taking actions to implement fossil fuel-free or “Web Zero” power techniques and not using a thorough examination of the scientific foundation for doing so. The one exception is governments in Asia.
On the 15th Worldwide Local weather Change Convention (ICCC) in Orlando, Judith Curry gave a stable abstract of what she calls the Depraved science downside – mixing science with politics. The result’s politics with a false scientific certainty. A number of key factors will likely be mentioned.
Additionally, on the 15th ICCC, Willie Quickly addressed the query is international warming predominantly human induced or pure. A number of key factors will likely be mentioned. Another displays will likely be mentioned in future TWTWs.
The October 23, 2021, TWTW, addressed an vital paper by a Professor of Economics on the College of Guelph, Canada, Ross McKitrick printed within the journal Local weather Dynamics. The paper addressed errors in understanding the situations for making use of the Gauss-Markov theorem in assessing the chances of uncommon climate occasions in a paper printed in Local weather Dynamics by Myles Allen and Simon Tett twenty years earlier. A whole self-discipline arose from this error, which was included in each Evaluation Report by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) since 2001. Throughout the 15th ICCC, Ken Haapala requested McKitrick did he know of any papers refuting his evaluation. The reply was no. The abstract of the difficulty by Richard Tol of the College of Sussex and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam is reproduced under.
In getting ready for a listening to held by Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI), Marlo Lewis of CEI requested TWTW concerning the present research on sea degree rise. A abstract is introduced under.
The EU and the US proceed on their mad pursuit of unreliable electrical energy from wind and photo voltaic partially pushed by the parable that electrical energy from wind and photo voltaic will likely be inexpensive. Now, wind energy promoters are exposing the parable by demanding will increase in subsidies and assured charges, no matter their bids to supply low-cost electrical energy. Web Zero Watch and Andrew Montford expose extortion makes an attempt within the UK. In the meantime China, India, and Pakistan proceed to thumb their nostril on the Western fable that carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are inflicting harmful international warming.
*****************
Web Zero Problem: The Govt Abstract of “Difficult ‘Web Zero’ with Science” sums up properly the thrust of the 40 plus web page report:
“Governments across the globe are taking actions to implement fossil fuel-free or “Web Zero” power techniques and not using a thorough examination of the scientific foundation for doing so. This paper undertakes that examination by reviewing the scientific assist (or lack thereof) that has been used to justify this transition to Web Zero. No try is made to handle the numerous financial, societal, or environmental penalties of a near-total reliance on renewable power and the required battery-backup that’s essential to transition to a fossil gasoline free future.
Two of the paper’s authors – Drs. William Happer and Richard Lindzen, professors emeriti at Princeton College and Massachusetts Institute of Know-how, respectively – have spent many years learning and writing concerning the physics of Earth’s environment. The third, Gregory Wrightstone, a geologist of greater than 40 years, has spent a lot of the final decade writing and talking concerning the interaction of geology, historical past, and local weather.
The authors discover that Web Zero – the worldwide motion to remove fossil fuels and its emissions of CO2 and different greenhouse gases – to be scientifically invalid and a risk to the lives of billions of individuals. Among the many paper’s findings are:
• Web Zero proponents frequently report that excessive climate is extra extreme and frequent due to local weather change whereas the proof exhibits no improve – and, in some instances, a lower – in such occasions.
• Pc fashions supporting each authorities Web Zero regulation and the trillions of {dollars} subsidizing renewables and electrical automobiles, vehicles, house heating, home equipment and plenty of different merchandise don’t work.
• Scientific analysis and research that don’t assist the ‘consensus’ narrative of dangerous man-made international warming are routinely censored and excluded from authorities reviews such because the Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change and the Nationwide Local weather Evaluation.
• Conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change that contradict the narrative of catastrophic international warming from fossil fuels are rewritten by authorities bureaucrats for public reviews to assist the false narrative of Web Zero.
• The numerous advantages of modest warming and growing carbon dioxide are routinely both eradicated or minimized in governmental reviews.
• Eliminating fossil fuels and implementing Web Zero insurance policies and actions imply the elimination of fossil fuel-derived nitrogen fertilizers and pesticides that may end in about half the world’s inhabitants not having sufficient meals to eat. Many would starve. [See recent events in Sri Lanka]
• The adoption of Web Zero is the rejection of overwhelming scientific proof that there isn’t a danger of catastrophic international warming brought on by fossil fuels and CO2.
Web Zero, then, violates the tenets of the scientific technique that for greater than 300 years has underpinned the development of western civilization.”
After supporting all of the assertions together with utilizing the curves exhibiting the greenhouse impact of assorted gases produced by Happer & Wijngaarden in “Dependence of Earth’s Thermal Radiation on 5 Most Considerable Greenhouse Gases,’ the authors state:
“In abstract:
• 394 W/m2 can be radiated to area with out the greenhouse impact.
• Solely 277 W/m2 is radiated to area due to the greenhouse impact.
• 117 W/m2 distinction is radiated to the Earth, and it retains us from freezing to dying.
• 3 W/m2 extra warming if CO2 is doubled from 400 ppm 800 ppm.
• 120 ppm, 120 W/m2 reasonably than 117 W/m2, goes again to Earth and leads to a trivial temperature improve of 1°C (2 ° F).” [Correction approved by Happer]
It goes on to state that a number of the CMIP fashions could acknowledge CO2 is “saturated” and:
“Accordingly, since CO2 at at this time’s degree is “saturated,” because of this alone there isn’t a danger fossil fuels and even doubling CO2 will trigger catastrophic international warming.”
The Conclusion of the report states:
“Thus, in our scientific opinion, any authorities or different evaluation advocating “Web Zero” regulation, coverage or different motion is scientifically invalid and fatally flawed science if it:
- Omits unfavorable information that contradicts conclusions, for instance, on excessive climate occasions resembling warmth waves, wildfires, hurricanes, tornadoes, fires, and droughts.
- Depends on fashions that don’t work and thus would by no means be utilized in science.
C. Depends on IPCC findings, that are authorities opinions, not science.
D. Omits the extraordinary social advantages of CO2 and fossil fuels.
E. Omits the disastrous penalties of decreasing fossil fuels and CO2 to ‘Web Zero.’
F. Rejects the science that demonstrates there isn’t a danger of catastrophic international warming brought on by fossil fuels and CO2.
We urge all authorities companies concerned in ‘Web Zero’ regulation, coverage, or different motion, together with USGCRP [US Global Change Research Program] in its ultimate model of the fifth Nationwide Local weather Evaluation, to use the scientific technique and
1. Delete any reliance on and quotation to IPCC government-controlled findings.
2. Delete any reliance on and quotation to CMIP fashions and every other fashions until they’ve been confirmed to work.
3. Delete any reliance on strategies aside from the scientific technique, resembling peer overview and consensus.
4. Embrace and analyze the large social advantages of CO2.
5. Embrace and analyze the large social advantages of fossil fuels.
6. Instantly cease all efforts to remove fossil fuels to keep away from large human hunger sooner or later.”
See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
*****************
“Good Information” Helps Political Coverage: In her 15th ICCC video presentation, Judith Curry had some wonderful slides of be aware. One in all them introduced the issue of blending politics with science. In that slide Curry asserts.
“Coverage makers misuse science by:
- Utilizing science as a car to keep away from ‘sizzling potato’ coverage points,
- Anticipating black-and-white solutions to advanced issues
- Demanding Scientific arguments for desired insurance policies
- Funding a slender vary of tasks that helps most well-liked insurance policies.
Scientists misuse policy-relevant science by:
- Taking part in energy politics with their experience
- Conflating [mixing] proof with knowledgeable judgement [which may be questionable]
- Ignoring information and analysis paths that undermine their political choice.
- Entangling disputed info with values
- Intimidating scientist whose analysis interferes with their political agenda.”
In discussing what she calls Depraved science, the over lapping of science and politics, Curry introduced various preceptive slides. As mentioned within the January 21 TWTW, in his 1995 e book, The Imaginative and prescient of the Anointed: Self-Congratulation as a Foundation for Social Coverage, Thomas Sowell noticed the issue in social sciences. It has now unfold to bodily sciences with devastating penalties in power coverage. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
*****************
Man-made or Human-caused? In his presentation on the 15th ICCC, Willie Quickly summarizes key discovering of two papers not too long ago produced by the Heart for Environmental Analysis and Earth Sciences (CERES). Begun in 2018, CERES is a staff led by Quickly, Ronan Connolly and Michael Connolly which works with many researchers on multi-disciplinary environmental and Earth science tasks.
Within the transient 20 minutes given to him, Quickly addressed the next:
- “Historical past and the evolution of the worldwide land temperature information
- The city warmth island downside and different non-climatic biases
- What occurs if we simply use rural stations?
- ‘Statistical homogenization of the temperature information’ as a attainable resolution?
- Issues with present ‘homogenization” makes an attempt
- Are the IPCC’s “photo voltaic forcing’ estimates right?
- Can the Solar clarify the worldwide warming of rural stations?”
Quickly goes by way of the phases of local weather change: fixed temperature (1870s to Nineteen Twenties); international warming (Nineteen Thirties to Nineteen Forties); international cooling (Nineteen Forties to Seventies); and international warming once more (Nineteen Eighties to current). Quickly discusses the issues of floor devices, notably the City Warmth Island impact, which he presents in some element.
The issue with strictly rural temperatures is the dearth of knowledge. The staff developed a rural Northern Hemisphere instances collection for 4 areas: US; Arctic; Eire; and China. There merely just isn’t sufficient information for the Southern Hemisphere and solely about 10 to fifteen p.c of the full information for the Northern Hemisphere is used.
These information present a cyclical warming – warming, cooling, warming, cooling, and so on. Apparently, sea floor temperature estimates don’t agree with the IPCC’s conclusions of a harmful international warming. Quickly goes into the homogenization changes on floor information and finds a number of issues: 1) there isn’t a consistency to the changes; 2) there’s a “city mixing” downside (as cities turn into extra city). With out consistency in changes and constant urbanization, the ensuing changes are extremely questionable.
Quickly goes into photo voltaic variability which will higher clarify the warming and cooling cycles than carbon dioxide (CO2). However the IPCC ignores local weather variability, together with utilizing the ridiculous 2,000-year hockey-stick in its newest Abstract for Policymakers (AR-6, 2021). Quickly concludes with future instructions for CERES analysis. See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
*****************
Deafening Silence: Nobody has come ahead to problem Ross McKitrick’s work describing the misguided understanding of the Gauss-Markov Theorem by Myles Allen and Simon Tett that gave rise to a big physique of labor attributing excessive climate occasions to CO2. Thus, it’s helpful to repeat the feedback by local weather modeler Richard Tol after reviewing the work by McKitrick. Tol wrote:
“The talk between Ross McKitrick on the one hand and Myles Allen and Simon Tett on the opposite is a tough one. It’s a couple of element in statistical idea. Most individuals attempt to keep away from statistics, not to mention the internal workings of estimators which can be strong to heteroskedasticity.
Allen and Tett labored on a way developed earlier by Klaus Hasselmann, now a Nobel laureate. Regression evaluation consists of a mannequin and an error time period. It maximized the similarity between mannequin and information, minimizing the error. Atypical least squares, the usual regression technique, assumes that every one errors are the identical. If this assumption is violated, the usual errors of the estimated parameters are biased even when there are infinitely many observations. The take a look at whether or not there’s a local weather sign within the information depends on these normal errors. That take a look at is due to this fact improper.
Allen and Tett had been conscious of this downside and proposed an answer of their 1999 paper. Sadly, their record of references exhibits that they didn’t seek the advice of a lot statistical literature. They didn’t go to Oxford’s wonderful departments of statistics or econometrics both – the place they might have realized that Halbert White had printed an answer in 1980, an answer that was in each textbook by 1990
The answer proposed by Allen and Tett doesn’t resolve the issue. Quite the opposite. Atypical least squares would have carried out higher. The estimated normal error remains to be inconsistent. Worse, McKitrick exhibits that the estimated parameter is now biased. Allen and Tett additionally proposed a take a look at of their technique. McKitrick exhibits this take a look at is improper as properly: It finds too many false positives. That’s, Allen and Tett printed a non-solution that made issues worse plus a option to cowl all of it up.
In his reply, right here and elsewhere, Myles Allen makes gentle of his mistake. It was so way back. He additionally reveals that he doesn’t perceive the difficulty. Allen argues that there at the moment are far more information. This may overcome all statistical issues. Nothing might be farther from the reality. The Allen and Tett estimator is biased. Extra information simply means that you’ve larger confidence within the improper end result.”
Apparently, in his e book, The Primacy of Doubt, extensively revered local weather modeler Tim Palmer refers back to the false attribution research as proof the worldwide local weather fashions are right.
World Climate Attribution nonetheless publishes research claiming that excessive climate occasions resembling storms, floods, heatwaves and droughts are related to greenhouse gasoline emissions. They use international local weather fashions resembling CMIP6 utilized by the IPCC. (Notice the round argument: fashions are justified attributable to attribution research and these attribution research use these fashions.)
All that is “peer reviewed” which means that “peer overview” is little greater than conformity to the imaginative and prescient of the anointed. The Imperial School London, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), and Purple Cross Purple Crescent Local weather Centre are companions with World Climate Attribution. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/evaluation/heatwave/
*****************
Altering Seas: TWTW responded to the request by Marlow Lewis on the newest in sea degree change as follows: (hyperlinks are within the textual content)
As we mentioned, I’ve reviewed TWTW for articles on sea degree rise that you could hyperlink to in your Wednesday listening to. The under can be utilized to complement Kip Hansen’s posts resembling https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/02/14/sea-level-rise-and-fall-part-4a-getting-even-more-of-a-rise-out-of-nothing/.
NASA meteorologist, the late Tom Wysmuller, wrote some wonderful stuff, however I used to be unable to search out it on the present web site maintained in his honor. The most effective I discovered are: 1) The Inconvenient CO2/Sea Stage Non-Linkage; and a couple of) the responses to query # 2 on the FAQ Web page. The graph used firstly of the primary put up is what I usually reference, which appeared within the 2008 NIPCC report. http://colderside.com/Colderside/Sea_Level_percent26_CO2.html and http://colderside.com/Colderside/F.A.Q..html
There are three main difficulties with the declare that sea degree rises are accelerating.
1. Geological stability: In line with tidal gauges within the Gulf of Bothnia, sea ranges are falling drastically. Alongside the coast of Finland, the variation in sea degree tendencies is over 2 meters, over 6 toes. (Decide a sea degree development – rise or fall?) https://en.ilmatieteenlaitos.fi/sea-level-variations The Gulf of Alaska and Hudson Bay are different places with falling sea ranges. https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/ Conversely, the Atlantic Coastal Plain and Gulf of Mexico are experiencing important sea degree rise from groundwater extraction which is inflicting the land to sink. Coastal Virginia (Norfolk-Newport Information) is a superb instance. https://pubs.usgs.gov/circ/1392/pdf/circ1392.pdf (Roger Bezdek did a wonderful paper on this downside exhibiting creating funnels of subsiding land round main wells at West Level and Franklin, Virginia, from the USGS report cited, pp 13 & 16.) For my part, the issue for coastal areas is solvable by desalination strategies developed by the Israelis, utilized in different Mid-Japanese nations and in Carlsbad, California. https://www.usgs.gov/special-topics/water-science-school/science/desalination and https://www.carlsbaddesal.com/ .
2. Altering patterns of prevailing winds. Over 100 years in the past the British Nationwide Oceanography Heart https://ntslf.org/tgi/newlyn-tidal-observatory established tidal gauges at geodetic steady places at Newlyn, Cornwall, England, https://psmsl.org/information/acquiring/stations/202.php and North Shields, Northumberland, England. As Paul Homewood demonstrates, examination of all the information exhibits intervals of accelerating sea degree rise and falling sea ranges. https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2020/09/03/uk-sea-level-rise-not-unprecedented-nor-accelerating/ Altering prevailing winds are the probably trigger in altering sea degree tendencies in these places.
3. As Kip Hansen exhibits, instrument modifications are the probably reason behind the latest fad of accelerating sea degree tendencies. Authorities scientific organizations ought to notice that following instrument modifications intervals of stabilization, or calibration, are wanted to guarantee that various kinds of devices are measuring the identical factor the identical means. The notorious hockey-stick episode demonstrated that proxy information resembling tree rings could not measure temperature alone or the identical means as thermometers. Many authorities organizations ignore these previous failures and fail to correctly standardize measurements.
In line with Brown College in Windfall, Windfall, Rhode Island, has been topic to floods from hurricanes (gales) since 1764. https://www.brown.edu/Departments/Joukowsky_Institute/programs/architectureandmemory/8084.html. Different main hurricane floods embrace 1815, 1869, 1938, Carol in 1954, and Connie and Diane in 1955. The 2010 flood was from rain. https://www.climate.gov/security/flood-states-ri An issue is its geological location on the small finish of a funnel. The development of the Fox Level Hurricane Barrier, accomplished in 1966, will assist towards hurricanes and northeasters, however that doesn’t shield towards river flooding from the Windfall River attributable to rainfall. Normally, sea degree rise is actual, however not accelerating, and less than 8 inches per century.
*****************
Grasping Inexperienced: Andrew Montfort of Web Zero Watch discusses that the subsidies acquired by inexperienced wind energy are usually not falling as promised earlier. Additional, the wind trade within the UK is ignoring its bids to ship inexpensive electrical energy and demanding larger subsidies. The US can anticipate comparable measures as favorable rules are utilized by wind and photo voltaic to cost out dependable turbines of electrical energy. See Subsidies and Mandates Endlessly and Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind.
*****************
Variety of the Week: Six instances and 4 instances: In line with NPR, China is constructing six instances extra coal-fired energy crops than every other nation; Reuters states that Pakistan plans to quadruple home coal-fired energy; and an article in Oil Worth.com states that India has dedicated its coal-fired energy crops for max technology for the summer time. Clearly, the leaders of those nations shouldn’t have “The Imaginative and prescient” that leaders of Western nations have. See hyperlinks underneath Issues within the Orthodoxy.
Censorship
Opinion: Policing misinformation from the misinformation police
State-sponsored ‘consultants’ on ‘misinformation’ are sometimes the worst offenders
By Ross McKitrick, Particular to Monetary Publish, Feb 23, 2023 [H/t Ron Clutz]
https://financialpost.com/opinion/policing-misinformation-misinformation-police
How a reality verify works
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Mar 1, 2023
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About World Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
World Sea-Stage Rise: An Analysis of the Information
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Temporary, Might 20, 2019
Difficult “Web Zero” with Science
By Richard Lindzen and William Happer, CO2 Coalition, 2023
The True disaster: Local weather Change or Local weather Coverage
15th Worldwide Convention on Local weather Change, Feb 24 & 25, 2023
Video: https://climateconference.heartland.org/
Local weather Uncertainty & Danger: the presentation
By Judith Curry, Local weather And so on. Feb 24, 2023
World warming: Largely human-caused or principally pure?
Dr. Willie Quickly’s February 2023 presentation at ICCC15, Florida (USA)
By Employees, CERES Staff, March 1, 2023
https://www.ceres-science.com/put up/iccc15?utm_campaign=ac9e7761-fb5c-48bc-bf95-f14bfe941c79&utm_source=so&utm_medium=mail&cid=a6aceb6f-639d-4f5c-9bce-75f70ae61d57
Suboptimal Fingerprinting? A debate about local weather statistics
By Employees, GWPF, Oct 18, 2021
Hyperlink to simplified paper: Suboptimal Fingerprinting?
By Ross McKitrick, GWPF, 2021
https://www.thegwpf.org/content material/uploads/2021/10/McKitrick-Optimum-Fingerprinting.p
Research finds sinking tundra floor unlikely to set off runaway permafrost thaw
Press Launch: DOE/OAK Ridge Nationwide Laboratory, Through WUWT, Feb 22, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: Drying of tundra landscapes will restrict subsidence-induced acceleration of permafrost thaw
By Scott L. Painter, et al. PNAS, Feb 13, 2023
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2212171120
Defending the Orthodoxy
The UN Owns The Science
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 24, 2023
“’We personal the science’ says UN Secretary [ Under-Secretary-General for Global Communications] Melissa Fleming on local weather change WEF 2022”
[SEPP Comment: Arrogance comparable to Fauci declaring “I am the Science.”
UN secretary-general knocks ‘climate-wrecking corporations’ in human rights remarks
By Lauren Sforza, The Hill, Feb 27, 2023
Climate Scientists Want Rationing To Fight Climate Change
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Feb 20, 2023
UN Plan to Kill Free Speech Headlined by a President who was Convicted of Corruption
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 23, 2023
“I’m actually encouraged by these frantic efforts by mostly left-wing politicians and UN bureaucrats to use coercion to regain control of the narrative, because I see it as evidence they are losing. Across the world people are increasingly doing their own research. Those who crave power over our lives don’t seem to like the conclusions empowered free people are drawing from the evidence.”
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
George Soros calls for weather control to stop global warming, ice sheet melting
‘Our civilization is in danger of collapsing,’ George Soros says
By Thomas Catenacci, Fox News, Feb 17, 2023
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/george-soros-calls-weather-control-stop-global-warming-ice-sheet-melting
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Nothing beats panic
By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Feb 22, 2023
“Despite a long history of climate policies costing far more than planned and accomplishing precisely nothing, the option of making a principled and logical decision to do no harm seems beyond the capability of our policymakers.”
Don’t Believe The Geniuses Claiming To Know Our Energy Future
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Feb 26, 2023
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2023-2-26-dont-believe-the-geniuses-claiming-to-know-our-energy-future
Objective Science Assessment: Hypothesis CO2 Controls The Climate Is On Quicksand
By Fred Mueller, No Tricks Zone, Feb 21, 2023
More money than brains
By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Mar 1, 2023
“Are we so spoiled by the affluence capitalism has bestowed on us, including by its spectacular development of hydrocarbon energy, that we’ve forgotten where wealth comes from and think we can trash our inheritance and the trust fund money will just keep flowing in? Sure seems that way.”
How Scotland pays back for Malawi (non existent) climate damage
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Feb 26, 2023
“Instead of blubbering on about climate change, maybe the Scottish government should be helping Malawi to build a reliable electricity grid, based on fossil fuels.”
Energy and Environmental Review: February 27, 2023
By John Droz, Jr., Master Resource, Feb 27, 2023
Change in US Administrations
Biden administration announces first Gulf of Mexico offshore wind lease sales
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Feb 22, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Unable to link to highly touted 2023 U.S. Offshore Wind Market Report that claims to estimate demand without any construction trends.]
Kerry to serve in local weather envoy function at the least by way of COP28 summit in November.
By Lauren Sforza, The Hill, Feb 26, 2023
“In 2021, Kerry introduced that China and the US got here to a shock settlement on local weather change that included phasing out coal and decreasing methane emissions and stated that the world couldn’t ‘resolve the local weather disaster’ with out China.’
[SEPP Comment: So, China is building six times more coal-fired power plants than any other country?]
Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide
This simply in: heat, sunshine, CO2 good for crops
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Mar 1, 2023
The digital water content material of Chinese language crops
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Mar 1, 2023
From the CO2Science Archive:
China is constructing six instances extra new coal crops than different nations, report finds
By Julia Simon, NPR, Mar 2, 2023
https://www.npr.org/2023/03/02/1160441919/china-is-building-six-times-more-new-coal-plants-than-other-countries-report-fin
Hyperlink to report: China permits two new coal energy crops per week in 2022
By Employees, Centre for Analysis on Power and Clear Air (CREA) and the World Power Monitor (GEM), Feb 27, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Needed to backup wind and solar???]
China approves largest growth in new coal energy crops since 2015
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 27, 2023
“When will Western leaders notice they’ve been hoodwinked by China?”
[SEPP Comment: Will green fools ever learn?]
India Invokes Most Power Output Regulation from Coal Crops
By Charles Kennedy, Oil Worth.com, Feb 20, 2023 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://oilprice.com/Power/Coal/India-Invokes-Most-Power-Output-Regulation-from-Coal-Crops.html
Pakistan plans to quadruple home coal-fired energy, transfer away from gasoline
A scarcity of pure gasoline, which accounts for over a 3rd of the nation’s energy output, plunged giant areas into nighttimes final 12 months.
By Employees, Reuters, Feb 14, 2023
https://www.businesstoday.in/newest/world/story/pakistan-plans-to-quadruple-domestic-coal-fired-power-move-away-from-gas-370102-2023-02-14
Germany Cautious Of Europe’s Ban Of Fossil Gasoline Vehicles By 2035… Too Dear, Technically Unfeasible
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Feb 18, 2023
Science, Coverage, and Proof
Feedback welcome, so long as you agree with us
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Mar 1, 2023
“As a result of governments have so little else do to, and are doing it so properly, the American federal authorities is seemingly planning to make evaluating carbon emissions central to each initiative it undertakes. In line with the discover ‘Steerage: Nationwide Environmental Coverage Act Steerage on Consideration of Greenhouse Fuel Emissions and Local weather Change Posted by the Council on Environmental High quality on Jan 9, 2023’ posted on Rules.gov, ‘America faces a profound local weather disaster and there may be little time left to keep away from a harmful – probably catastrophic – local weather trajectory.’” [Boldface added]
Fashions v. Observations
The Holocene Temperature Conundrum
By Andy Might, WUWT, Feb 25, 2023
“Local weather fashions are clearly not modeling pure local weather change precisely, particularly not orbital forcing. In case you can’t mannequin pure local weather change, you haven’t any thought what the human affect on local weather is. In case you can’t mannequin the Holocene appropriately, you don’t perceive local weather change.”
[SEPP Comment: The modelers claim you cannot go backwards only forwards.]
Hurricanes Are Getting Stronger (However Solely In Pc Fashions!)
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Mar 1, 2023
Revealed discipline examine observations – not inhabitants measurement – show polar bears are thriving
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Feb 23, 2023
“There may be irrefutable proof from Barents and Chukchi Sea subpopulations, amongst others, that polar bears are fats and reproducing properly regardless of marked declines in summer time sea ice over the past 20 years. These indicators of bodily and reproductive well being, in any species, are indicators of thriving populations.”
Mannequin Points
Local weather change growing storm dangers to coastal communities: examine
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Feb 28, 2023
Hyperlink to paper Growing sequential tropical cyclone hazards alongside the US East and Gulf coasts
By Dazhi Xi, Ning Lin & Avantika Gori, Nature Local weather Change, Feb 27, 2023
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01595-7
From summary” A Katrina-like TC [tropical cyclone] and a Harvey-like TC impacting the US inside 15 days of one another, which is non-existent within the management simulation for over 1,000 years, is projected to have an annual prevalence chance of greater than 1% by the top of the century underneath the excessive emission state of affairs.”
[SEPP Comment: Simulated thinking?]
Measurement Points — Floor
A brand new option to extract a local weather sign from climate noise: Seasonal lag
By David M. Barnett, Local weather And so on. Feb 27, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Ground temperature data (surface-air) are so messy that almost any conclusions can be drawn from them.]
Local weather alerts from historic ice and wooden
By David Whitehouse, Web Zero Watch, Feb 23, 2023
“The Holocene – the time for the reason that finish of the final glaciation – which has witnessed all of humanity’s recorded historical past and the rise and fall of civilizations – started solely 11,700 years in the past. It’s a comparatively heat interval, however how heat was it at its warmest? What occurred prior to now informs present local weather fashions putting the present international warming into perspective.”
Do European tree ring analyses point out uncommon latest hydroclimate?
By Frank Bosse and Nic Lewis, Local weather And so on. Feb 21, 2023
Measurement Points — Environment
UAH World Temperature Replace for February 2023: +0.08 deg. C
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Mar 3, 2023
“The linear warming development since January 1979 stays at +0.13 C/decade (+0.11 C/decade over the global-averaged oceans, and +0.18 C/decade over global-averaged land).”
Altering Climate
New Podcast: How Far Out in Time Can We Skillfully Predict the Climate?
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Feb 28, 2023
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/02/new-podcast-how-far-out-in-time-can-we.html
[SEPP Comment: Thanks to satellite data and improved modeling with greater computing capability, forecasting skill has increased to about one week. Explains the value of ensemble forecasting for weather – does not apply for climate.]
Roger Pielke Jr. unspins tornadoes
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 22, 2023
The 2022 Hurricane Season
By Paul Homewood, The World Warming Coverage Basis, 2023
https://www.thegwpf.org/content material/uploads/2023/02/Homewood-Hurricanes-2022-1.pdf?mc_cid=4577f9d94c&mc_eid=4961da7cb1
“The rise in Atlantic hurricanes within the final fifty years just isn’t a part of a long-term development, however is just a restoration from a deep minimal in hurricane exercise within the Seventies, related to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation.”
Random Chance Evaluation Of World Drought Information Affirm No Sample Can Be Linked To Human Exercise
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Feb 20, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: The Spatial Scale Dependence of The Hurst Coefficient in World Annual Precipitation Information, and Its Position in Characterising Regional Precipitation Deficits inside a Naturally Altering Local weather
By Enda O’Connell, Greg O’Donnell, and Demetris Koutsoyiannis, Hydrology, Nov 7, 2022
https://www.mdpi.com/2306-5338/9/11/199
Overview Of The 2022/23 Winter In England
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Mar 3, 2023
“Once more, it’s noticeable that, apart from the exceptionally moist winter of 2013/14, different latest moist winters, resembling 2019/20 and 2020/21 haven’t been unusually moist by historic requirements.
“The information tells us that the English local weather is altering a lot lower than now we have been instructed”
[SEPP Comment: Don’t be fooled by “yellow snow.” According to the Met Office weather warnings guide: “Yellow Warning: Yellow warnings can be issued for a range of weather situations. Many are issued when it is likely that the weather will cause some low-level impacts, including some disruption to travel in a few places.”]
1791 – No Rain For The Complete 12 months In Southern California
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Mar 3, 2023
[SEPP Comment: In declaring unprecedented drought, did alarmist consult old records?]
Damaging windstorms of the Canadian prairie
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 22, 2023
From the CO2 Science Archive
Warming Globe? Then Why Haven’t Winters In Tokyo Been Warming For the reason that Nineteen Eighties?
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Mar 1, 2023
Sunny Spain
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Mar 2, 2023
Oh that snow
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 22, 2023
Altering Local weather
2M Years In the past Corals, Manatees Occupied N. Greenland Seas As Elephants Browsed A Forested Panorama
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Mar 2, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: A 2-million-year-old ecosystem in Greenland uncovered by environmental DNA
By Kurt H. Kjær, et al. Nature, Dec 7, 2022
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05453-y
[SEPP Comment: Is the DNA technique used valid? Today, cold water corals spawn as far north as the Bay of Fundy between the Canadian provinces of New Brunswick and Nova Scotia,]
Altering Seas
Additional Exploration of Historic Sea Stage Rise Acceleration
By Chris Corridor, WUWT, Feb 21, 2023
New Research: Mid-Holocene Sea Stage Was 2-3 m Greater Than At this time…Charges Of Rise Reached 80 mm/yr
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Feb 23, 2023
Hyperlink to newest paper: Growth of Pag-asa Reefs, West Philippine Sea: Position of Relative Sea Stage Change and Wave Publicity
By Denise Faye S.et al. Phillippine Journal of Science, Feb 2023
[SEPP Comment: Hesitant to generalize from a set of measurements in the western Pacific. Could be from a shift in prevailing winds.]
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Antarctic Sea Ice: ‘The start of the top!’ – once more
By David Whitehouse, Web Zero Watch, Mar 2, 2023
“One may say that this prime instance of science miscommunication is the fault of the NSIDC scientists, and their feedback posted on their web site which had been taken by journalists, and repeated with out evaluation or true context. A lot of science journalism nowadays consists of “turning round” a press launch.”
Kill dates of black mosses are archives of Antarctic glacier historical past
Mosses, one of many few crops in Antarctica, could be overridden by advancing glaciers
Press launch NSF, Feb 28, 2023 [H/t Alex Pope]
https://beta.nsf.gov/information/kill-dates-black-mosses-are-archives-antarctic
Hyperlink to paper: Kill dates from re-exposed black mosses constrain previous glacier advances within the northern Antarctic Peninsula
By Dulcinea V. Groff, et al. Geology, Jan 20, 2023
https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/gsa/geology/article/51/3/257/619980/Kill-dates-from-re-exposed-black-mosses-constrain
From the summary: “The mix of our new terrestrial proof for glacier advances with different traces of proof exhibits the regional synchroneity of glacial dynamics and cryosphere-biosphere connections throughout speedy local weather shifts and the sensitivity of terrestrial ecosystems to local weather cooling.”
Elephant seal stays present Antarctic sea was hotter within the mid-to-late Holocene
By Host, Tallbloke’s Talkshop, Feb 18, 2023 [H/t Paul Homewood]
Hyperlink to Press Launch: Elephant seal stays present Antarctic sea was hotter within the mid-to-late Holocene
By College of Maine, Phys.org, Feb 17, 2023
https://phys.org/information/2023-02-elephant-antarctic-sea-warmer-mid-to-late.html
Hyperlink to paper: Widespread southern elephant seal occupation of the Victoria land coast implies a warmer-than-present Ross Sea within the mid-to-late Holocene
By Brenda L. Corridor, et al. Quaternary Science Evaluations, Mar 1, 2023
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0277379123000392?viapercent3Dihub
From summary: Right here, we current a document of previous relative ocean-temperature and sea-ice change derived from the presence after which eventual abandonment of southern elephant seal (Mirounga leonina) occupation websites alongside the Victoria Land Coast (VLC) of the western Ross Embayment. Our outcomes recommend vastly lowered landfast and sure pack ice, in addition to probably the incursion of comparatively heat modified Circum-Polar Deep Water from ∼7100 to 500 yr BP, with the best discount in ice/warmest water temperatures at ∼5200 and ∼2300-1800 yr BP.
[SEPP Comment: Note that the paper deals with the Ross Sea, part of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS), not the continent, Antarctica.]
Greenland Temperatures Rose 1°C In 1994 … Since Then They Have Been ‘Comparatively Fixed’
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Feb 27, 2023
Hyperlink to most up-to-date paper: Temporal and Spatial Variability in Up to date Greenland Warming (1958–2020)
By Qinglin Zhang, et al. Journal of Local weather, Mary 1, 2023
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/9/JCLI-D-21-0313.1.xml
From the summary: “Beneath the background of Greenland quickly warming, the shift from constructive to unfavorable NAO (unfavorable to constructive GBI) is essential to the sudden warming in Greenland for the reason that mid-Nineties.”
Polar Wildlife Report reveals Arctic and Antarctic animals had been thriving in 2022
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Feb 27, 2023
Hyperlink to report: The Polar Wildlife Report, 2022
By Susan Crockford, GWPF, Feb 27, 2023
Agriculture Points & Worry of Famine
How dare you comply with our recommendation?
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Mar 1, 2023
“When politicians and journalists of all stripes have been waging relentless warfare on the power that brings a wide range of recent meals from afar, and pushing the “100 mile weight loss program” which in Britain in winter is just about restricted to neeps and tatties, who’s actually responsible if Britons are again to the form of culinary selections that they had within the Center Ages?”
How Biotechnology Overregulation Harms Farmers, Boosts Meals Prices And Fuels Inflation
By Henry Miller, ACSH, Feb 17, 2023
https://www.acsh.org/information/2023/02/17/how-biotechnology-overregulation-harms-farmers-boosts-food-costs-and-fuels-inflation-16899
[SEPP Comment: Wacky government regulations such as a bacterium that inhibits the formation of ice on plants is a pesticide?]
Reducing Requirements
BBC ‘Actuality Verify’ – Hoist by its personal petard
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Mar 2, 2023
Modi requires World Financial institution reform at G20 finance meet
By Nivrita Ganguly, Bengaluru, India (AFP) Feb 24, 2023
https://www.spacewar.com/reviews/Modi_calls_for_World_Bank_reform_at_G20_finance_meet_999.html
“’Belief in worldwide monetary establishments has eroded. That is partly as a result of they’ve been gradual to reform themselves,’ Modi stated by video hyperlink because the two-day gathering started.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
No, @CNN, an Opinion Piece about ‘Harmful Local weather Suggestions Loops’ Doesn’t Qualify as Science
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Feb 24, 2023
Plus you didn’t even need a automotive
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 22, 2023
“…The Economist rushes to guarantee us that really folks don’t need automobiles anyway. Not less than not cool younger folks.”
The place Does The Telegraph Get Its Dopey Journalists From?
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 23, 2023
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
Icing A Local weather Scare
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 25, 2023
[SEPP Comment: The case of the disappearing glaciers. IPCC knowingly promoting false claims on Himalayan glaciers in the Fourth Assessment Report (AR-4, 2007).]
Florida’s local weather exodus has already begun — and it’s solely going to worsen
4.9k
By Jake Bittle, Yahoo Information, Feb 21, 2023 [H/t Bernie Kesphire]
https://information.yahoo.com/floridas-climate-exodus-already-begun-110000919.html
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda on Youngsters
Now that now we have made you depressing…
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Mar 1, 2023
“A Canadian federal authorities ballot discovered that younger individuals are scared and depressed about local weather. Which is seemingly an achievement as a result of, you see, ‘Increasingly more proof is pointing to the urgency for local weather motion, underscoring the necessity for communities to adapt to the altering local weather and put together for essentially the most difficult impacts of local weather change.’”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Youngsters for Propaganda
Austrian kids take authorities to courtroom over local weather
By Employees, AP, Feb 21, 2023
https://apnews.com/article/climate-and-environment-austria-government-germany-lawsuits-19d097e8859528de569a690783207653
“Their lawyer Michaela Kroemer says Austria’s local weather legislation from 2011 doesn’t sufficiently shield the plaintiffs, aged 5 to 16, from the life-threatening penalties of world warming. Particularly, she stated the kids’s proper to “generational justice” — assured within the Austrian structure — is breached by the Alpine nation’s local weather legislation.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Protest
Villagers cease boiler change to hydrogen for net-zero trials
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Mar 2, 2023
“As an alternative of complaining about Cadent, the residents must be aiming their fireplace on the authorities who’re really those organising these trials.
“If they’re apprehensive concerning the trial now, simply allow them to think about what it is going to be like when the entire nation has its gasoline lower off.”
Increasing the Orthodoxy
Tory MP Warns Of 15-Minute Metropolis Menace
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 28, 2023
In line with Sweco UK: “The fundamental premise is that regardless of the place they reside, all residents ought to be capable of go to high school, take pleasure in leisure actions, work and store inside strolling or biking distance of their houses – and luxuriate in a greater high quality of life because of this.”
Questioning European Inexperienced
UK Capability Public sale Outcomes
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 27, 2023
“Extra alarmingly although is the dearth of latest technology being introduced ahead. Whereas gasoline and interconnectors nonetheless dominate the general combine, there is just one new CCGT, Eggborough, rated at 1.5 GW. As present gasoline crops age and shut down, this lack of latest capability will come again to hang-out us.”
Warmth pumps have triggered a revolt towards Web Zero
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Mar 3, 2023
My Family Electrical energy And Fuel Costs Rise 87% And 178% Respectively!
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Feb 19, 2023
Grid Capability Points Threaten Web Zero
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 27, 2023
Tsunami Of Inexperienced Bans: German Economics Minister Plans Finish Of Fuel, Oil Heating Starting 2024!
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Feb 28, 2023
Eire rues errors of the previous because it struggles to maintain the lights on
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Mar 1, 2023
“’The cellular generators, described as ‘successfully jet engines’, are set to be put in in areas together with Dublin and close by County Meath.
“’The €350m (£308m) non permanent capability was ordered by setting minister Eamon Ryan final 12 months as a ‘final resort’, after regulators flagged a looming shortfall in technology.’”
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
New geological examine proves that the inexperienced power motion is not possible to realize
The maths doesn’t assist the online zero activist motion’s rhetoric. Eliminating indispensable fossil fuels, as Germany is experiencing at an accelerating charge, with out changing it with the equal of other power, would shortly collapse trendy society. Consider it because the “Jonestown Bloodbath” on a world scale.
By Robert A. Bishop, LifeSite, Feb 17, 2023
https://www.lifesitenews.com/opinion/new-geological-study-proves-that-the-green-energy-movement-is-impossible-to-achieve/?utm_source=daily-usa-2023-02-18&utm_medium=e-mail
Hyperlink to report: Analysis by GTK: present mineral assets are usually not sufficient to construct an infrastructure primarily based on fossil-free power.
By Employees, Geological Survey of Finland, Apr 12, 2022
Inexperienced Power: Best Wealth Switch to the Wealthy in Historical past
By Steve Goreham, Grasp Useful resource, Feb 21, 2023
Rank Innumeracy On The Value Of Electrical energy From Renewables
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Feb 21, 2023
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2023-2-21-rank-innumeracy-on-the-cost-of-electricity-from-renewables
Web Zero by 2050? We’d like about 10,000 years of present Lithium manufacturing to get there first
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 22, 2023
But when warming is dangerous…
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 22, 2023
“One option to increase consciousness of the looming disaster brought on by the greenhouse impact and international warming brought on by fossil fuels is, apparently, to construct a greenhouse, warmth it with fossil fuels and develop issues inside it that may’t develop outdoors as a result of it’s too chilly the place you reside.”
Local weather Cartels Plan to Cancel Single Household Properties, Personal Vehicles
By Larry Bell, Newsmax, Mar 1, 2023
https://www.newsmax.com/larrybell/climate-cartels-cancel-private-cars/2023/03/01/id/1110617/
Tidbits
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Mar 1, 2023
“However the Financial institution of Canada says in any other case. They’re costlier and pushing them is driving inflation: ‘The slowest however maybe essentially the most persistent development is related to the continued transition from fossil fuels to inexperienced power. The transition requires an immense reallocation of investments which raises prices attributable to greater demand for brand spanking new funding and lack of funding provide into fossil gasoline manufacturing. These price pressures are exacerbated by the very long time required to construct inexperienced power infrastructure, additional boosting costs for fossil fuels. This shift to comparatively greater power costs may also contribute to challenges for financial coverage to maintain inflation on course over the long run.’”
Inexperienced Jobs
Power Effectivity
By Tony Heller His Weblog, Mar 2, 2023
“Photo voltaic produces lower than 3% of US electrical energy, and its advocates are bragging that this requires 40% of the US power workforce.”
Funding Points
The World Financial institution Takes a Fallacious Flip
Biden’s firing of financial institution president places a query mark over its future.
By Rupert Darwall, Actual Clear Power, Feb 27, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/02/27/the_world_bank_takes_a_wrong_turn_884205.html
“In a 1998 paper, Anne Krueger, a former vice chairman for analysis on the financial institution, argued that after the opening up of world capital markets to most nations outdoors Africa, the World Financial institution confronted three selections: it might be a growth financial institution targeted solely on poor nations; it may proceed to function in all creating nations, however deal with ‘tender points’ just like the setting; or it may shut down.”
How Larry Fink turned your pension fund into leftist activist machine
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Mar 3, 2023
Is The ESG Colossus Stumbling
By Tilak Doshi Contributor, Reposted from Forbes, WUWT, Feb 22, 2023
The Political Video games Proceed
Offshore wind influence probe proposed
By David Wojick, CFACT, Feb 20, 2023
https://www.cfact.org/2023/02/20/offshore-wind-impact-probe-proposed/
Litigation Points
German courtroom rejects farmer’s local weather swimsuit vs Volkswagen
A German courtroom has rejected a farmer’s bid to pressure automaker Volkswagen to finish the sale of automobiles with combustion engines by 2030
By The Related Press, Feb 24, 2023
https://abcnews.go.com/Enterprise/wireStory/german-court-rejects-farmers-climate-suit-volkswagen-97438714
“Within the case on the state courtroom within the western city of Detmold, farmer Ulf Allhoff-Cramer stated that drier soil and heavier rains due to local weather change are harming his fields, cattle and industrial forests.”
Cap-and-Commerce and Carbon Taxes
Drivers might be hit with new ‘tyre tax’ in crackdown on emissions
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 27, 2023
“’Tyre and brake put on air pollution is predicted to be the following battleground for clear air campaigners after drivers change to electrical automobiles.’”
Subsidies and Mandates Endlessly
The shameless blackmail by the wind trade is a golden alternative for the Chancellor
The federal government ought to reject the wind trade’s crude blackmail and cancel contracts that seem to have been obtained on the premise of false representations.
Press Launch, Web Zero Watch, Mar 3, 2023
Inexperienced levies aren’t falling
By Andrew Montford, Web Zero Watch, Feb 28, 2023
Shifting the price of Web Zero from trade to households is unjust and ineffective
Press Launch, Web Zero Watch, Feb 23, 2023
“The UK authorities is at this time asserting that it’s going to pressure British households to pay a further cost on their power payments to scale back the prices of Web Zero for some 300-energy intensive industrial customers.”
Future Semiconductor Laws Must Help Essential Mineral Tasks
By Shubham Dwivedi & Gregory D. Wischer, Actual Clear Power, Feb 21, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/02/21/future_semiconductor_legislation_needs_to_support_critical_mineral_projects_883074.html
Web Zero Intelligence: British TUC [Trade Union Congress] Calls for Web Zero AND Power Subsidies
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 25, 2023
EPA and different Regulators on the March
Biden-Harris Administration Pronounces Over $250 Million to Fund Modern Tasks That Sort out Local weather Air pollution
Press Launch, EPA, Mar 1, 2023 [H/t Jim Buell]
https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/biden-harris-administration-announces-over-250-million-fund-innovative-projects-tackle#:~:textual content=Newspercent20Releasespercent3A-,Bidenpercent2DHarrispercent20Administrationpercent20Announcespercent20Overpercent20percent24250percent20Millionpercent20topercent20Fund,Projectspercent20Thatpercent20Tacklepercent20Climatepercent20Pollution&textual content=WASHINGTONpercent20percentE2percent80percent93percent20Todaypercent2Cpercent20thepercent20Bidenpercent2D,andpercent20buildpercent20cleanpercent20energypercent20economies.
“These planning grants, by way of the U.S. Environmental Safety Company (EPA), are the primary tranche of funding going to states, native governments, Tribes, and territories from the $5 billion Local weather Air pollution Discount Grants (CPRG) program created by President Biden’s Inflation Discount Act.” [Boldface added]
EPA to award $250 million in IRA funds to scale back local weather air pollution
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Mar 1, 2023
“The funds are the primary in $5 billion in grant funding allotted by the Inflation Discount Act’s (IRA)”
EPA outlines one other $550 million towards addressing environmental inequity
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Feb 23, 2023
Power Points – Non-US
Germany Faces $1 Trillion Problem to Plug Large Energy Hole
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 28, 2023
From Bloomberg, UK:: “’The pending price ticket for future-proofing the nation’s power system is projected to quantity to over $1 trillion by 2030, in accordance with BloombergNEF. The prices embrace investments in upgrading energy grids and above all new technology to handle the part out of nuclear and coal crops, deal with elevated demand from electrical automobiles and heating techniques, and meet local weather commitments.’” [Boldface added]
A Marshall Plan for Power Safety
By James ‘Spider’ Marks, Actual Clear Power, Feb 21, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/02/21/a_marshall_plan_for_energy_security_883070.html
Fuel Energy Is Cheaper Than Wind, Regardless of Carbon Temporary’s Claims
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Mar 2, 2023
Power Points – Australia
Australian renewables integration: Half 1
By Chris Morris & Planning Engineer (Russ Schussler), Local weather And so on. Mar 2, 2023
“Forty years in the past, Australia had an electrical energy system delivering low-cost, dependable energy. That’s now not the case. Growth and alter have been pushed by politics and dogma, not engineering and economics.”
Wind, Photo voltaic, and Family Electrical energy Costs
By Mike Jonas, WUWT, Feb 20, 2023
Power Points — US
One other Harmful Proposal
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Feb 28, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Why not apply the concept of VPP (Virtual Power Plants) to the now heavily subsidized computer chip manufacturing?]
Brace Your self for Coming Electrical energy Shortages
By Employees, Institute for Power Analysis, Mar 2, 2023
How may the Aurora Borealis have an effect on power grids when renewables are added to the combination?
Press Launch, College of Oklahoma, Feb 23, 2023
Hyperlink to award summary: CAREER: Untangling Chaotic Electromagnetic Transient Phenomena in Energy Programs Combined with Risky Inverter-Based mostly Renewable Power Assets
By Employees, NSF, Jan 26, 2023
https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2237527&HistoricalAwards=false
New York Impartial System Operator Info for Coverage Makers
By Roger Caiazza, WUWT, Feb 25, 2023
“Sadly, the Scoping Plan is only a conglomeration of management methods which can be projected to supply the emission reductions required. The Plan didn’t do any feasibility analyses or handle any ‘what if” questions raised by the NYISO.”
Washington’s Management of Power
How FERC (Federal Power Regulatory Fee) can shield the grid from wind and photo voltaic
By David Wojick, CFACT, Feb 24, 2023
https://www.cfact.org/2023/02/24/how-ferc-can-protect-the-grid-from-wind-and-solar/
“Proposed FERC rule: With a view to be accepted for interconnection an intermittent generator should have enough backup.”
[SEPP Comment: Does FERC really care about electricity reliability?]
The Politics of and Alternative for Allowing Reform
By Alex Flint, Actual Clear Power, Feb 26, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/02/26/the_politics_of_and_opportunity_for_permitting_reform_883765.html
“About 80 p.c of U.S. power is derived from fossil fuels. To cut back greenhouse gasoline emissions, we might want to exchange in depth parts of our present power system. Our allowing necessities preclude that.”
Oil and Pure Fuel – the Future or the Previous?
How U.S. Shale Modified The Face Of World Politics
By Michael Kern, Oil Worth.com, Feb 28, 2023
https://oilprice.com/Power/Crude-Oil/How-US-Shale-Modified-The-Face-Of-World-Politics.html
China is Locking Up Future Pure Fuel Provides
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 22, 2023
U.S. LNG Large Sees Revenues Extra Than Double
By Tsvetana Paraskova, Oil Worth.com, Feb 27, 2023
https://oilprice.com/Newest-Power-Information/World-Information/US-LNG-Large-Sees-Revenues-Extra-Than-Double-In-2022.html
Return of King Coal?
Joe Biden Meets the Tar Child
By Duggan Flanakin, Actual Clear Power, Feb 22, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/02/22/joe_biden_meets_the_tar_baby_883251.html
Oil Spills, Fuel Leaks, Chemical Spills & Penalties
Vinyl Chloride And The Ohio Prepare Derailment
By Joe Schwarcz, ACSH, Feb 21, 2023
https://www.acsh.org/information/2023/02/21/vinyl-chloride-and-ohio-train-derailment-16907
Bipartisan invoice would tighten federal oversight of trains carrying hazardous supplies
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Mar 2, 2023
EPA to require Norfolk Southern to check instantly for dioxins in East Palestine
By Julia Shapero, The Hill, Mar 2, 2023
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
Dependable vs. Intermittent Technology: A Primer (Half I & II)
By Invoice Schneider, Grasp Useful resource, Mar 1& 2, 2023
Half I: https://www.masterresource.org/renewable-energy-fallacies/reliable-vs-intermittent-schneider-i/
Half IIhttps://www.masterresource.org/renewable-energy-fallacies/reliable-vs-intermittent-schneider-ii/
[SEPP Comment: Washington fighting inflation by feeding parasites. Part II bogs down with excessive acronyms.]
Calls for for extra subsidy expose the phantasm of falling wind energy prices
Press Launch, Web Zero Watch, Mar 1, 2023
“Notes for Editors: Articles and research on unrealistic offshore wind bids for Contracts for Distinction.”
Tidbits
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Mar 1, 2023
“But Parker Gallant calculates that on February nineteenth alone wind generators in Ontario cranked out a lot unneeded energy, at $135/MWh, that we ended up promoting 69k MW to Michigan, New York and Quebec at a lack of $9.62 million, which means we paid $759.51/MWh for the 12,666 MW we saved. As with Pyrrhus, extra financial savings like that and we’ll be bankrupt.”
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Different
SMH: Aussie Hydrogen Export Plans At Danger from US Hydrogen Growth
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 24, 2023
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Storage
Power Storage Programs Can Construct a Greener Future
By Bahadir Yetki, Actual Clear Power, Feb 28, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/02/28/energy_storage_systems_can_build_a_greener_future_884243.html
“Bahadir Yetki is Chief Govt Officer of Kontrolmatik Applied sciences and Pomega Power Storage Applied sciences.”
[SEPP Comment: No costs?]
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Automobiles
Center courses can’t afford electrical automobiles, warns Vauxhall proprietor
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 28, 2023
Are Electrical Automobiles About To Sweep The Nation?
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Feb 23, 2023
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2023-2-23-are-electric-vehicles-about-to-sweep-the-country
“Inside EVs on January 18 reviews that EVs had a giant improve in gross sales and market share within the U.S. in 2022, going all the best way to a 5.8% market share, after solely a 3.1% share in 2021. The article by some means omits to say how a lot of the gross sales improve was pushed by the newest rounds of large authorities subsidies.”
Impact of Greater Battery Prices
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Feb 28, 2023
‘Vehicles must be restricted to 20mph to keep away from an e-scooter ban’
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 27, 2023
EV Foyer Hates The Reality That EVs Value Too A lot
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Mar 2, 2023
“In any case, an EV with 75,000 miles on the clock. not untypical for firm automobiles, can be nearly nugatory provided that the battery can be close to the top of its life.”
USPS to buy 9,000 electrical automobiles, set up 14,000 charging stations
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Mar 1, 2023
Postmaster Normal “DeJoy maintained that the USPS didn’t have enough money a bigger EV order, however in December 2022 introduced that $3 billion in Inflation Discount Act funds can be used to develop the USPS EV order, and that new automobiles can be 100% electrical after 2026.”
[SEPP Comment: Washington: Squander money to reduce inflation?]
California Dreaming
A Very Costly Winter
By Lucas Davis, Power Institute at Haas, Feb 21, 2023
“Excessive pure gasoline and electrical energy costs have already spurred a particular assembly of the California Public Utilities Fee and Governor Newsom has referred to as for a Federal investigation. It will likely be fascinating to see what comes of this.”
[SEPP Comment: The governor’s energy policies have nothing to do with high cost to consumers?]
Quickly Shifting Rip-off
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Mar 3, 2023
Video: https://realclimatescience.com/2023/03/rapidly-shifting-scam-2/
Textual content: https://realclimatescience.com/2023/03/rapidly-shifting-scam/
California Dreaming
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 18, 2023
“However this suicidal lurch to solar energy brings with it a a lot larger geopolitical danger. A grid that’s wholly depending on batteries would put California on the mercy of China’s monopoly of batteries and the uncooked supplies that go into them.
“And as soon as California has gone down that path, there can be no means again.”
Tijuana River sewage could also be contaminating air alongside Southern California coast: examine
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Mar 2, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: Bacterial and Chemical Proof of Coastal Water Air pollution from the Tijuana River in Sea Spray Aerosol
By Matthew A. Pendergraft, et al. Environmental Science & Trchnology, Mar 2, 2023
https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.est.2c02312
[SEPP Comment: No discussion of measured concentrations of airborne pollutants. It is not clear but apparently pollutants come from a mixing of waters from storm sewers with sanitary sewers in Tijuana, not California.]
Well being, Power, and Local weather
Scotland first to ban environmentally dangerous anaesthetic
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Mar 3, 2023
“It’s laborious to explain simply how appalling and irresponsible this resolution is:”
[SEPP Comment: In 1972, the US EPA banned DDT, for which indoor spraying was very effective in stopping the spread malaria. The environmentalists war against humanity continues.]
California particle air pollution linked to heightened danger of coronary heart assault: examine
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Feb 24, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: Affiliation of Lengthy-term Publicity to Particulate Air Air pollution With Cardiovascular Occasions in California
By Stacey E. Alexeeff, et al. JAMA Community, Feb 24, 2023
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2801820?utm_source=For_The_Media&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=ftm_links&utm_term=022423
“They discovered that publicity to PM 2.5 at concentrations between 12 and 13.9 micrograms per cubic meter was related to a ten p.c elevated danger of experiencing a coronary heart assault and a 16 p.c elevated danger of dying from heart problems — compared to exposures underneath 8 micrograms per cubic meter.”
[SEPP Comment: Absurd statistics?]
‘Endlessly chemical substances’ disrupt key metabolic processes in kids and youths: examine
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Feb 22, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: Metabolic Signatures of Youth Publicity to Mixtures of Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances: A Multi-Cohort Research
By Jesse A. Goodrich, et al. Environmental Well being Views, Feb 22, 2023
https://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/doi/10.1289/EHP11372
“300 twelve obese/overweight adolescents from the Research of Latino Adolescents at Danger (SOLAR) and 137 younger adults from the Southern California Youngsters’s Well being Research (CHS) had been included within the evaluation.” Boldface added
[SEPP Comment: More questionable Bayesian statistics.]
Environmental Business
Save the whales
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Fed 22, 2023
Different Scientific Information
Who actually found DNA’s construction? 5 folks.
By Matt Ridley, Rational Optimist, Feb 24, 2023
https://www.rationaloptimist.com/weblog/who-really-discovered-dnas-structure-five-people/
Different Information that Might Be of Curiosity
Largest-ever genetic evaluation of grapevine varieties reveals how glacial cycles formed grape domestication and the rise of wine
Press Launch, AAAS Science, Mar 2, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: Twin domestications and origin of traits in grapevine evolution
By Yang Dong, AAAS Science, Mar 2, 2023
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.add8655
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
Al Gore will get dried up in Davos
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Mar 1, 2023
[SEPP Comment: CO2 sucking moisture out of the land, causing droughts?]
Research: Bathroom paper provides to ‘endlessly chemical substances’ in wastewater
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Mar 1, 2023
Study: Toilet paper adds to ‘forever chemicals’ in wastewater
Hyperlink to paper: Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances in Bathroom Paper and the Affect on Wastewater Programs
By Jake T. Thompson, et al. Environmental & Science Know-how Letters, Mar 1, 2023
https://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/acs.estlett.3c00094
[SEPP Comment: Will California ban toilet paper as more hazardous than nerve agents?]
Al Gore bombs in Davos
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 22, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Rain bombs are falling on my head?]
Radio 2 DJ Scott Mills misses vacation after getting locked in electrical automotive for 5 hours
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Mar 2, 2023
“’Get within the automotive. Automotive doesn’t begin. In truth, nothing works. I’m going to get out of the automotive. I can’t get out. Sam tries his door. Nothing. Additionally can’t depart the automotive.’”
US navy seeks to brew jet gasoline from the air
By Saul Elbein, The Hill, Feb 28, 2023
“Final summer time’s Inflation Discount Act, which offers incentives for the manufacturing of other fuels, will assist to make them cost-competitive with fossil fuels at decrease manufacturing volumes, [Air Company Chief Technology Officer] stated.”
[SEPP Comment: Why not put wind turbines on jet fighters?]
ARTICLES
Biden’s Regulatory Deluge
Gridlock in D.C.? Nope, the executive state is at full throttle.
By The Editorial Board, WSJ, Feb. 27, 2023
https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-congress-regulation-administrative-state-democrats-republicans-government-agencies-1c40da77?mod=hp_opin_pos_1
TWTW Abstract: The editorial begins:
“In case you thought the GOP takeover of the Home means gridlock in Washington prevails, assume once more. Rule by regulation is accelerating and the one verify would be the courts.
President Biden is main an unprecedented growth of the executive state. In two years his Administration has imposed 517 regulatory actions with some $318 billion in whole prices. By the identical level in his Administration, President Obama had imposed 740 comparable guidelines with a price of $208 billion. Throughout 4 years President Trump imposed 1,340 guidelines at a price of $64.7 billion.
These figures come from the American Motion Discussion board, which says that in 2022 alone federal companies finalized 264 rules with financial influence, totting up $117.1 billion in internet regulatory prices. One other 311 proposed guidelines are within the pipeline and would price $191.2 billion when ultimate. Twenty-three of these guidelines will price $1 billion every.
Regulatory prices to the financial system at the moment are reckoned to be at the least $2 trillion, or roughly 8% of U.S. gross home product in 2021, in accordance with Wayne Crews on the Aggressive Enterprise Institute. In case you consider regulation as a tax, Mr. Crews notes, it will be bigger than the federal revenue tax and are available out to round $14,684 per household. If the price of U.S. regulation had been a rustic, it will rank somewhat behind France’s GDP.
Regulators at the moment are in excessive gear as they write guidelines to implement the gusher of laws from the final Democratic Congress. However they’re additionally laborious at work imposing new guidelines by rewriting previous statutes to impose insurance policies they’ll’t get by way of Congress.
A look on the regulation tracker by the Brookings Establishment is bracing. Rule-makings in varied phases of the pipeline cowl all the things from “phasedown of hydrofluorocarbons” (EPA) to “climate-related disclosures for public firms” (SEC), “rule to scale back robocalls” (FCC), “decreasing the price of federal scholar mortgage funds” (Training), “menthol cigarette ban” (FDA, HHS) and “intercourse discrimination in faculties” (Training). And far more.
Wanting on the general rule depend is even worse. The Structure grants the ability to make legal guidelines to Congress, not companies. However in calendar 2021, Mr. Crews notes, companies issued 3,257 guidelines, together with 105 last-minute Trump guidelines, whereas Congress handed 143 legal guidelines. Final 12 months they added one other 3,168 guidelines within the Federal Register to go along with 247 legal guidelines handed by Congress. That’s 13 guidelines from unelected companies for each one legislation from elected legislators.
In his first days in workplace, Mr. Biden revoked Trump Administration government orders designed to mood the regulatory state. One Trump order to scale back regulation (nicknamed “one in, two out”) required that for each new regulation from the manager department, two had been eradicated. Mr. Biden repealed it.
Additionally axed was a Trump government order requiring companies to make “steerage” paperwork accessible to taxpayers on public portals. The hope was for somewhat daylight on the opaque actions of regulators. In 2019 then California Sen. Kamala Harris co-sponsored the Steerage Out of Darkness Act to require companies to have portals that may let taxpayers see what they’re as much as.
Today bureaucratic secrecy is in. The White Home Workplace of Info and Regulatory Affairs is meant to overview new proposed guidelines and study prices and advantages. Even the Obama regulatory store reined within the forms now and again. Within the Biden White Home it’s largely a rubber stamp.”
The article offers a chart of estimate regulatory price by 12 months with peak years in 2021 and 20 21 reaching $200,000,000,000.00. It then concludes:
“Congress may use the ability of the purse, however that’s tough provided that Democrats nonetheless run the Senate. Which means the one actual verify is thru lawsuits and the courts. The Supreme Court docket’s West Virginia v. EPA resolution final 12 months means companies can’t rewrite guidelines on “main questions” and not using a clear command from Congress. That ought to save the day on a number of of the worst new guidelines, such because the Federal Commerce Fee’s new ban on non-compete clauses for 30 million employees.
However that also leaves appreciable working room for guidelines that price lower than $100 million, and the Biden forms will take a look at the bounds of the legislation. The burden of rule by regulators will gradual financial progress and present up in almost all the things you pay for.”
