The Week That Was: 2023-02-11 (February 11, 2023)
Dropped at You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking
Quote of the Week: “No drawback will be solved from the identical stage of consciousness that created it.” – Albert Einstein
Variety of the Week: 10%
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking (SEPP)
Scope: The problems addressed this week embody the next: In its newest Abstract for Policymakers (2021) the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) has tried to suppress pure variation from any discussions on local weather change over the past 2000 years. Ecologist Jim Steele continues to attempt to present a greater understanding of pure local weather change. Within the newest presentation he discusses the dynamics of Arctic sea ice and the way the emphasis on floor air temperatures hides necessary options of local weather dynamics.
Roy Spencer continues with the second a part of his efforts to estimate an affect of urbanization on land temperature-monitoring stations used within the World Historic Local weather Community (GHCN). Utilizing Landsat-based information he develops a median change over 40 years (1975 to 2014) for 19,885 GHCN stations from 20N to 82.5N latitude.
Judith Curry was interviewed by Jordan Peterson. She reported on the interview however didn’t touch upon the contents. In hopes that the textual content can be posted, TWTW will delay feedback. It acknowledges that Curry’s views on local weather modeling could differ from these expressed in TWTW. See hyperlinks underneath Searching for a Frequent Floor.
Planning engineer Russell Schussler and New York power commentator Roger Caiazza current conventional planning for brand spanking new technology and discover traits for path transferring in direction of Internet Zero emissions of carbon dioxide within the technology of electrical energy. Many politicians have embraced shutting down electrical energy technology utilizing fossil fuels however haven’t fastidiously thought of what is accessible to switch them. Can the replacements present dependable, reasonably priced electrical energy?
Manhattan legal professional Francis Menton continues his name for an indication undertaking for use to calculate the actual prices of offering electrical energy by wind and photo voltaic technology plus the mandatory storage.
Jennifer Marohasy continues her efforts to acquire the information of a climate station in Australia the place each thermometer probes and mercury-based thermometers had been used concurrently. Such information are wanted to determine a interval of standardization exhibiting each sorts of devices measure the identical factor the identical means.
Power skilled Donn Dears begins a sequence to mentioned supplies wanted to transform the car business to 100% battery powered autos. He begins with a cloth that’s seldom mentioned – graphite.
This week, the US army capturing down climate balloons grew to become a information fad. Climate balloons are extraordinarily necessary in climate forecasting and in acquiring data wanted for contemporary atmospheric science (fairly than hypothesis). For instance, the HITRAN database utilized by William van Wijngaarden and William Happer is predicated on laboratory measurements underneath perfect circumstances. Strain and temperature, nevertheless, modify the cross-sections in calculable methods. The climate balloons give them the info they should make the corrections. Cliff Mass explains the devices on board and the wind currents that can be utilized to trace the trail of climate balloons.
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Altering Arctic Ice: Few acts higher exemplify the disregard the IPCC and its authors have for scientific integrity than the sudden inclusion within the Abstract for Policymakers (SPM, AR6, 2021) of a two-thousand-year hockey-stick (Determine SPM.1) underneath the heading “Human affect warmed the local weather at a price that’s unprecedented in at the very least the final 2000 years.” The graph even exhibits the current warming larger than the “Warmest multi-century interval in additional than 100,000 years.” Not said is that the reconstruction is manufactured from tiny bits and items of proxy information, not standardized, or calibrated to make sure they measure the identical factor. It’s like calling furnishings manufactured from sawdust and glue with a skinny veneer stable wooden. In a protracted sequence of posts, mentioned in previous TWTWs, Stephen McIntyre has demolished this false “hockey-stick..”
In a transparent video with textual content, Jim Steele discusses the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability or Multidecadal Oscillation which represents 20 plus years of hotter temperatures within the north Atlantic than the south, then reversing. He concludes:
“This oscillation is intimately linked to variability of the floor currents within the Atlantic’s floor Meridional Overturning circulation inside the Ocean Conveyor Belt.
“First detected within the Nineteen Eighties and formally named round 2000, the constructive part represents a hotter north Atlantic that’s linked to a number of local weather dynamics. From the Thirties to 60s after which Nineties to current, the constructive heat phases had been related to much less Arctic sea ice, elevated Sahel rainfall, elevated hurricane exercise, and frequent warmth extremes within the southwestern USA.
“The detrimental part from the Sixties to 1990 …, noticed a reversal of these dynamics as Arctic sea ice rebounded from its Thirties low extent. Accordingly, a 40-year analysis undertaking over the Arctic ocean throughout a cool part and printed in 1993 decided there was an “absence of proof for greenhouse warming” over the Arctic ocean.”
To construct to this conclusion, Steele begins:
Nonetheless, a doubtful narrative uncritically attributes rising CO2 to these [Arctic temperature] anomalies, then speculates a few future warming disaster whereas ignoring necessary pure dynamics akin to ocean currents.
However there’s a wealth of scientific analysis that has proven ocean currents also can trigger these greater temperature anomalies, however that isn’t apparent from this anomaly illustration. So as to add to the misunderstanding, the excessive Arctic temperatures are paradoxically as a consequence of warmth ventilating out from the ocean and cooling the earth, thus really stopping future excessive warming.
The nice and cozy 2016 winter temperatures within the japanese tropical Pacific had been brought on by a pure El Nino occasion that additionally ventilated warmth beforehand saved within the western Pacific, briefly warming the air however once more really cooling the earth.
El Nino occasions additionally contribute to hotter sea floor temperatures just by lowering the commerce winds that drive upwelling of chilly subsurface water. Such warming when upwelling is inhibited is noticed globally. For instance, a 3-month examine confirmed how month-to-month adjustments in wind course … precipitated a 6 to 8C (11-14F) floor temperature change.
Alongside the coast of Oregon, when winds blow in a southward course, upwelling is enhanced, and floor temperatures fall …
Conversely, when winds blow to the north upwelling of cooler deeper water is inhibited inflicting temperatures to rise by 6-8C (11-14F).
Such dramatic pure temperature adjustments don’t have anything to do with radiative heating from the solar or greenhouse gases. Nonetheless hotter temperatures from decreased upwelling are sometimes mistakenly included into the worldwide common temperature as seen throughout El Nino occasions after which attributed to CO2 warming.
It’s much more insightful to know local weather change by precise temperature adjustments. Utilizing publicly out there nationwide climate service information, a fast survey of subarctic temperatures on January twenty ninth, 2023, at 60 levels latitude simply south of the Arctic Circle, reveals how ocean currents alone trigger large temperature variations.
Steele exhibits that temperatures various considerably on that date. He additional states:
“Although all measurements had been taken on the identical latitude, on the identical date and identical time, there’s a big 40C or 73F temperature distinction between the Hudson Bay and Norwegian coast.
“Indisputably, that variability is brought on by warmth transported northward by ocean currents and ventilated to the Arctic environment. It’s the ocean currents which might be the Arctic’s local weather ‘management knob,’ not atmospheric greenhouse warming, as witnessed by the extraordinarily chilly Hudson Bay.”
Steele provides maps exhibiting the varied currents within the North Atlantic and the Arctic and asserts that carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations are poorly correlated with the extent of Arctic winter sea ice. He discusses the ceaselessly ignored deep basins within the Arctic Ocean that maintain the nice and cozy and funky waters for as much as two to a few a long time.
He then goes into the perplexing drawback of the Youthful Dryas, a sudden cooling lasting about 1300 years adopted by a sudden warming, between roughly 12900 and 11600 years in the past, which CO2 concentrations can not clarify. Steele suggests:
“Pure dynamics have an effect on the stream of warmth within the Atlantic phase of the Ocean Conveyor Belt. One dynamic is the placement of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (or ITCZ) which precipitated a dramatic temperature impact on the finish of the final ice age.
“Ice core information present temperatures that had been quickly warming instantly dropped by 20C or 36F within the northern hemisphere for a few thousand years throughout a chilly interval known as the Youthful Dryas (YD). In distinction, southern hemisphere temperatures barely warmed.
“Proxy information suggests the westward commerce winds and ITCZ had shifted southward inflicting the nice and cozy South Equatorial Present (SEC) to additionally shift southward. Brazil’s japanese most land, Ponta do Seixas amplified that shift by deflecting extra heat water again into the south Atlantic and thus cooling the north Atlantic.
“The hotter 10,000 years of the Holocene interval correlates with the ITCZ shifting northward, inflicting the nice and cozy South Equatorial Present to ship extra heat water throughout the equator, to heat the north Atlantic whereas cooling the south.
“An identical however smaller southward shift of the ITCZ corresponds with the Little Ice Age which principally cooled the northern Atlantic areas. The Little Ice Age ended round 1850 because the ITCZ moved northward for our most up-to-date 150 years.”
Steele doesn’t focus on it however his dialogue of adjustments within the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) could apply to the well-recognized Dansgaard-Oeschger occasions (D-O occasions). These are durations of fast warming adopted by gradual cooling lasting about 1500 years. These have been noticed in ice cores taken in Greenland and elsewhere within the North Atlantic and to a lesser extent in glaciers in South America and Antarctica. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy, Defending the Orthodoxy, https://climateaudit.org, and Unstoppable World Warming by Singer and Avery https://www.amazon.com/Unstoppable-World-Warming-Up to date-Expanded/dp/0742551245
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How Biased? John Christy and Roy Spencer have been analyzing the results of city warmth island results (UHI) on GHCN stations to attempt to estimate the affect of urbanization on reported temperature tendencies, that are utilized by authorities entities to watch world warming and are utilized in world local weather fashions. Spencer stories that not one of the 19,885 GHCN stations skilled detrimental development. Utilizing 21×21 km grids and Landsat-based urbanization values (which he phrases BU). He writes:
Whereas everyone knows that city areas are hotter than rural areas, particularly at night time and throughout the summer season, does a rise in urbanization result in spurious warming on the GHCN stations that skilled development (which is almost all of them)?
And, even when it did, does the homogenization process NOAA makes use of to right for spurious temperature results take away (even partially) city warmth island (UHI) results on reported temperature tendencies? [Italics in original]
“John Christy and I’ve been analyzing these questions by evaluating the GHCN temperature dataset (each unadjusted and adjusted [homogenized] variations) to those Landsat-based measurements of human settlement constructions, which I’ll simply name “urbanization”.
“Right here’s what I’m discovering to this point.
“The Strongest UHI Warming with Urbanization Development Happens at Almost-Rural Stations [Boldface in original.]
“…the city warmth island impact is strongly nonlinear, with (for instance) a 2% improve in urbanization at rural websites producing way more warming than a 2% improve at an city web site. Which means a local weather monitoring dataset utilizing mostly-rural stations is just not immune from spurious warming from creeping urbanization, except there was completely zero development. [Italics in original]
Spencer develops a easy mannequin to estimate seasonal common of UHI and finds that changes by NOAA on the temperature tendencies for urbanization improve, not lower, warming tendencies. He writes:
“Thus, it seems that NOAA’s homogenization process is spuriously warming station temperature tendencies (on common) when it ought to be cooling them. I don’t know the way to conclude any completely different.
“Why are the NOAA changes going within the flawed course? I don’t know.
“To say the least, I discover these outcomes… curious.
“OK, so how large is that this spurious warming impact on land temperature tendencies within the GHCN dataset? [Boldface in original]
“Earlier than you leap to the conclusion that GHCN temperature tendencies have an excessive amount of spurious warming to be relied upon for monitoring world warming, what I’ve proven doesn’t inform us by simply how a lot the land-average temperature tendencies are biased upward. I’ll tackle that in Half III.
“My very preliminary calculations to this point (utilizing the UHI curves in Fig. 4 utilized to the 21×21 km urbanization development curve in Fig. 2) [Figures not shown here] counsel the UHI warming averaged over all stations is about 10-20% of the GHCN tendencies. Small, however not insignificant. However that might change as I dig deeper into the problem.”
See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Good or Unhealthy Plans: In a protracted put up discussing plans by authorities entities, together with New York State, Russell Schussler and Roger Caiazza carry out the distinction of excellent and unhealthy plans for utilities to have the ability to develop electrical technology plans which want a planning horizon of about 30 years. Schussler and Caiazza write:
“Unhealthy plans assume that important parts of the long run are all identified. Unhealthy plans are narrowly constructed to a specified future. They threat not permitting the flexibleness to adapt when issues prove in another way than deliberate. Good plans take a look at their impacts or present selections throughout all kinds of potential futures. Good plans present flexibility and nimbleness for when future circumstances change.”
“Good technology plans acknowledge how folks want to make use of electrical energy. If conduct must be modified, they’re delicate to the capabilities and limits of incentives. Relying on the technology combine the worth of electrical energy will seemingly fluctuate significantly throughout hours, days, months, and seasons. Good plans will search to offer worth. Unhealthy plans have a tendency to not differentiate between when and the way power may be provided. Plans crafted based mostly on simply common use and common prices will seemingly not have good outcomes. Historically technology planning acknowledged baseload, intermediate and peaking wants. Whereas many appear to neglect these distinctions when evaluating options, their significance has not diminished.”
“Good plans take a look at main environmental impacts throughout the manufacturing and lifelong of a useful resource. Unhealthy plans are inclined to look solely at marginal impacts when the services are working. Large assets and prices are incurred simply getting a producing useful resource in place. Typically, the longer that useful resource can function, the higher its common environmental influence may be. Good plans ought to take into account the real looking lifetime of potential useful resource. Many “inexperienced” assets projected to final 30 years fall far shy of 20 years. Typical assets usually are able to lasting a few years past the thirty-year examine life.”
“Good plans depend on confirmed expertise that may fulfill the precise necessities. For instance, offering energy for durations of peak load is required for dependable energy when it’s wanted most. Peak masses are usually related to the most popular and coldest durations of the yr when electrical energy is used for cooling and heating. Sometimes, these durations happen lower than 5% of the time so a expertise ought to be as low value as potential to maintain the value of electrical energy down throughout peak masses. A superb plan would make the wise resolution to maintain an outdated fossil fired plant round to assist the system meet peak masses. Fossil-fired steam boiler electrical producing items are a confirmed expertise that can be utilized to satisfy this want.”
“Unhealthy plans presume {that a} new expertise can fulfill particular wants. A essential part of any future system is reliable emergency capability. For instance, a system would possibly want emergency capability as soon as each 5 years as a consequence of excessive climate both inflicting very excessive masses, an surprising long-term outage of present assets, or due to an prolonged drought of wind and photo voltaic assets. A nasty plan proposes a brand new expertise for this emergency requirement. As a way to present capability in a zero-emissions electrical system a brand new class of producing assets known as Dispatchable Emissions-Free Assets (DEFR) has been steered to maintain the lights on in periods of prolonged low wind and photo voltaic useful resource availability.”
They consider the New York State plan and discover it wanting. Amongst different issues the Dispatchable Emissions-Free Assets (DEFR) is “inexperienced hydrogen” which is, to this point, a fantasy. The authors suggest a compromise plan. See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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A Demonstration Undertaking? In demanding an indication undertaking for a grid based mostly on renewables and storage Francis Menton discusses the skyrocketing prices of electrical energy in Germany, the UK and California. He writes:
“It doesn’t take a genius to determine why the prices explode. They’ll construct hundreds of wind generators and photo voltaic panels, however they will’t do away with any of the dispatchable energy vegetation as a result of they’re all wanted for backup. So now they’re paying for 2 duplicative programs. Then they need to pay the dispatchable vegetation sufficient to cowl their capital prices at half time utilization. Then they need to purchase the fossil fuels for backup on spot markets the place manufacturing has been suppressed by, for instance, banning fracking.”
As Menton explains, many politicians and educational “consultants” ignore such particulars. Menton concludes:
“No person could be happier than me to see an indication undertaking constructed that confirmed that wind and photo voltaic may present dependable electrical energy at low value. Sadly, I do know an excessive amount of in regards to the topic to assume that that’s seemingly, and even remotely potential. However at the very least the remainder of us have to demand an indication undertaking from the promoters of those fantasies.”
See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Mysterious Vanishing? Jennifer Marohasy continues her seek for information from mercury thermometers and platinum resistance probes in Mildura for September 23, 2017 – “the most popular day ever recorded.” This was branded the most popular day in Australia’s historical past and Mildura had each sorts of information. She has found that there are not any parallel information for that day. She has obtained over 10,000 scanned pages from January 1, 1989, to January 31, 2015, with on daily basis within the scorching month of September 2012 lacking. Marohasy attracts no conclusions. See hyperlink underneath Measurement Points – Floor
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I Pencil: Donn Dears begins a sequence to mentioned supplies wanted to transform the car business to 100% battery powered autos with a dialogue of graphite. In response to Dears:
“If each automotive offered within the US in 2019, the yr earlier than the pandemic, had been a battery-powered automobile, the US would have used 1.12 million tons of graphite. Greater than the world consumed in 2021.”
On condition that mining permits are just about inconceivable to acquire within the US and Washington is denying growth of Federal lands, the US vehicle business would want to import graphite from different nations akin to China. See hyperlink underneath Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Automobiles and Article #1
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Using the Winds: Climate balloons are very a lot within the information. Cliff Mass has two posts discussing the devices on board a typical climate balloon and the way balloons can be utilized to make the most of completely different winds at completely different altitudes to be guided to a specific space or area. See hyperlinks underneath Different Scientific Information.
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Past Groupthink: The 15th Local weather Change Convention by The Heartland Institute can be held from February 23 to 25, 2023, on the Hilton Lake Buena Vista in Orlando, Florida. It’s going to function over 40 audio system, together with members of the SEPP Board of Administrators, Willie Quickly and David Legates. Tom Sheahen, Howard “Cork” Hayden, and Ken Haapala will tackle the query: “Is Local weather Science Scientific?”
Mathematician and Physicist Christopher Essex will obtain SEPP’s 2022 Fredrick Seitz Memorial Award. Different featured audio system embody Richard Lindzen, William Happer, Ross McKitrick, who uncovered the improper use of the Gauss-Markov Theorem in CO2 attribution research, Ian Plimer, Patrick Moore, Anthony Watts, Joe Bastardi, and lots of extra. See https://climateconference.heartland.org/
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Variety of the Week: 10% Paul Homewood stories that the BP Power Evaluation, 2023, exhibits that regardless of intensive fanfare over the previous a number of a long time wind and solar energy solely make up about 10% of world electrical energy technology and since 2010 there was a much bigger world-wide improve in fossil gasoline electrical energy technology than in photo voltaic and wind technology. Coal is # 1 and rising; Gasoline is # 2 and rising. TWTW confirmed these statistics with energdata.web and statista.com See hyperlink underneath Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
Censorship
Censoring Inconvenient Truths
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 10, 2023
What appears to be like, acts and smells like a World Information Cartel and simply received hit by an Antitrust lawsuit…
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 5, 2023
“BBC – Past Faux Information”
[SEPP Comment: Beyond truth?]
Steve Hilton speaks out after Huge Tech censors his Instagram put up
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 6, 2023
“Chances are you’ll bear in mind Steve Hilton throughout his time as David Cameron’s coverage advisor. He has been within the US for years since then and now works with Fox Information.”
Suppressing Scientific Inquiry
Welsh School Trains Local weather Disruptors of the Future
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 8, 2023
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About World Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
World Sea-Degree Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Temporary, Could 20, 2019
Why Cooking With Gasoline Gained’t Soften Arctic Sea Ice or How Temperature Anomaly Graphs Obscure Vital Local weather Dynamics
By Jim Steele, A Stroll On The Pure Aspect, Feb 6, 2023
Textual content: https://perhapsallnatural.blogspot.com/2023/02/average-temperature-anomalies-mislead.html
Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LxSi21sar7Y
Urbanization Results on GHCN Temperature Traits, Half II: Proof that Homogenization Spuriously Warms Traits
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Feb 7, 20023
Local weather Nervousness: A Easy Remedy (Heartland convention: February 23–25, 2023)
By Robert Bradley Jr, Grasp Useful resource, Feb 6, 2023
Internet Zero or Good Sufficient?
By Russell Schussler and Roger Caiazza, Local weather And so on. Feb 9, 2023
We Should Demand A Demonstration Undertaking Of A Primarily Renewables-Primarily based Electrical Grid
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Feb 8, 2023
Defending the Orthodoxy
IPCC, 2021: Abstract for Policymakers.
In: Local weather Change 2021: The Bodily Science Foundation. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Evaluation Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change
Local weather change contributing to unfold of antibiotic-resistant ‘superbugs’: UN report
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Feb 7, 2023
Hyperlink to UN report: Bracing for Superbugs: Strengthening environmental motion within the One Well being response to antimicrobial resistance.
By Employees, UNEP, Feb 7, 2023
“Antimicrobial resistance or AMR is taken into account one of many high world public well being issues. It additionally poses an pressing and demanding menace to animal and plant well being, meals safety and financial growth.”
“The views expressed on this publication are these of the authors and don’t essentially replicate the views of the United Nations Surroundings Programme.”
[SEPP Comment; According to the UNEP, We use the UN reputation and authority in publishing this report but are not responsible if it is incompetent?]
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
14 million People dwell inside 5 miles of services emitting cancer-causing gasoline: report
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Feb 8k, 2023
Hyperlink to report: Invisible Risk, Inequitable Influence
By Employees, Union of Involved Scientists, Feb 7,2023
[SEPP Comment: Dosage not discussed, only geographic distance to other facilities.]
Glacier lakes swollen by world warming threaten thousands and thousands
By Employees, AFP, Feb 7, 2023 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
Hyperlink to paper: Glacial lake outburst floods threaten thousands and thousands globally
By Caroline Taylor, et al. Nature Communications, Feb 7, 2023
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Hundreds of thousands face menace of flooding from glacial lakes – (Or Possibly Not!)
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 8, 2023
See hyperlinks instantly above.
Local weather Reality Examine: January 2023 Version
Seven items of local weather propaganda from January 2023 uncovered and debunked.
By Steve Milloy, JunkScience.com, Feb 8, 2023
Transition to we all know not what
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 8, 2023
“One factor about local weather alarmists and inexperienced revolutionaries: they don’t discourage simply. Canada’s authorities stumbles from scandal to fiscal mishap like some political model of Dr. Watson in these outdated Basil Rathbone/Nigel Bruce black-and-white B films however its ambitions simply preserve growing.”
“So how do they know that no matter plan they may in the future concoct will work? Easy: They know that no matter they need to do occurs as a result of they need it to. Which is the form of considering one would count on among the many actually obsessed.”
3 Paleontologist Research Affirm North Sweden Was 3°C Hotter Than At this time When CO2 Was Beneath 280 ppm
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Feb 6, 2023
Hyperlink to 1 paper: Forest-Restrict (Betula pubescens ssp. czerepanovii) Efficiency within the Context of Light Fashionable Local weather Warming
By Leif Kullman, American Journal of Utilized Sciences, Could 2022
Hyperlink to second paper: Early Holocene presence of Norway spruce (Picea abies) on a excessive mountain nunatak within the Swedish Scandes: An additional contribution to the biotic composition of the primary deglaciated panorama and a hyperlink between previous and current
By Leif Kullman, Worldwide Journal of Science and Analysis, June 2022
Hyperlink to 3rd paper: Treeline Ecotone Development and Stability: Time Sequence Evaluation of Particular person Photographic Knowledge 1973-2021 within the Swedish Scandes
By Leif Kullman and Lisa Oberg, Advances In Picture and Video Processing, April 2022
[SEPP Comment: Based on the three papers, cannot draw the same conclusions as Richard does.]
Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide
Craig Idso on CO2 Advantages: A Abstract
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Feb 8, 2023
Gross main productiveness tendencies in China (1982-2015)
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 8, 2023
From the CO2Science Archive: “So, based mostly on the outcomes of the examine offered above, not solely is the vegetation throughout China within the midst of a protracted interval of nice productiveness features, these features are primarily linked to the very issue local weather alarmists contend ought to be inflicting vegetative dieback, i.e., rising temperature. Local weather alarmists couldn’t be extra flawed!”
Issues within the Orthodoxy
India Predicts 500% Improve In Home Pure Gasoline Demand
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 8, 2023
“At present the UK’s gasoline consumption is barely greater than India’s, so any discount right here will rapidly be offset in India.”
Searching for a Frequent Floor
My interview with Jordan Peterson
By Judith Curry, Local weather And so on. Feb 6, 2023
Hyperlink to podcast: The Fashions Are OK, the Predictions Are Unsuitable | Dr. Judith Curry | EP 329
By Jordan Peterson, Youtube, Feb 6, 2023
We Can ‘Repair’ The Local weather With out Destroying Our World
By Denis de Bernardy, American Thinker, Feb 8, 2023
Science, Coverage, and Proof
Various actuality
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 8, 2023
Fashions v. Observations
CMIP6 GCM Validation Primarily based on ECS and TCR Rating for twenty first Century Temperature Projections and Danger Evaluation
By Nicola Scafetta, Ambiance, Feb 9, 2023
From summary: “If the worldwide warming reported by the local weather information is overestimated, the actual ECS and TCR could also be considerably decrease than what’s produced by the CMIP6 GCMs, as some impartial analysis have already steered, which might invalidate the entire CMIP6 GCMs.”
Hyping Most Day by day Temperatures (Half 5)
By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Feb 8, 2023
Skilled BoM excuses a few photo voltaic panel leaning on bushes close to Sydney’s official thermometer.
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 3, 2023
Altering Climate
Report Chilly In New England, As Pure Gasoline Comes To The Rescue Once more
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 5, 2023
“The fossil fuels that Joe Biden has promised to eradicate from the grid by 2035 provided 65% of New England’s electrical energy at 8.00pm on Friday night time. The wind and photo voltaic that he thinks the US can run on solely managed a paltry 4%.”
1952 Groundhog Day Tropical Storm
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 9, 2023
Report Warmth Of February 1954
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 9, 2023
Altering Seas
Regardless of all that CO2, the world’s corals are doing OK
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 9, 2023
Hyperlink to report: Coral in a Warming World: Causes for Optimism
By Peter Ridd, GWPF, February 2023
“The underside line: The Reefs could or might not be superb, however science is in bother.
“Though this can be very encouraging information, the newest statistics about coral reefs world wide, and particularly current ones from the GBR, don’t show that the world’s reefs are all going to be superb. Nonetheless, they show with none shadow of a doubt that the coral reef science group, with a number of exceptions, is missing in scientific integrity. They’ve cried wolf too typically.”
Sea Degree Is Steady Round The World… The Good Information The Media Don’t Need Us To Hear
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Feb 7, 2023
Hyperlink to report: Sea stage is secure world wide
By [the late] Dr. Jay Lehr, Dennis Hedke, CFACT, Jan 9, 2023
From the report: “The Nationwide Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has up to date its coastal sea stage tide gauge information which proceed to point out no proof of accelerating sea stage rise.” [Boldface added]
New Research: 88% Of Venice’s Shoreline Is Now Steady Or Increasing As Sea Degree Rise Slows Since 1970
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Feb 9, 2023
Hyperlink to newest paper: Combining distant sensing evaluation with machine studying to judge short-term coastal evolution pattern within the shoreline of Venice
By S. Fogarin, et al. Science of the Whole Surroundings, Feb 10, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Note that the latest paper applies only to the shoreline around Venice. Broader studies are earlier.]
The Nation Flounders on Miami Sea-Degree Rise Story
By Sterling Burnett and Anthony Watts, Heartland Institute, Feb 8, 2023
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Polar bear that mauled to loss of life Alaskan mom and child was an grownup male in poor situation
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Feb 6, 2023
Agriculture Points & Concern of Famine
Congress’ ‘largest struggle’ over local weather? It’s the farm invoice.
By Adam Aton, E & E Information, Feb 1, 2023
“That’s thanks partially to the Inflation Discount Act allocating about $20 billion of local weather cash to preexisting farm invoice applications.”
[SEPP Comment; Over the past 60 years, possibly the federal government’s most successful social program was President Kennedy’s campaign against hunger which became part of the Kennedy/Johnson War on Poverty. Did it lead to obesity?]
Reducing Requirements
BBC Refuse To Right Blatantly False Hurricane Claims
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 9, 2023
How These Rainfall Projections Turned Out
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 10, 2023
“Is that this the perfect the Met Workplace can do?”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
Plot spoiler: it would fail
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 8, 2023
As soon as upon a time The Economist would have derided writing like: ‘The concept is that, with authorities motion, America can reindustrialise itself, bolster nationwide safety, revive left-behind locations, cheer up blue-collar employees and dramatically cut back its carbon emissions all on the identical time.’
[SEPP Comment: A soviet styled economy without the political prison camps?]
BBC’s Photo voltaic Energy Misinformation
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 10, 2023
“WOW!! Most individuals studying this may consider that electrical energy from fossil fuels is declining quickly, whereas photo voltaic and wind energy now declare a share properly over 20%.
“Most of those self same readers could be unaware what the BBC imply by ‘capability’, or that ‘capability’ and ‘technology’ are two completely separate and various things.
“And once we take a look at technology, we will see how badly misled these readers have been:
“Removed from being main gamers, wind and photo voltaic collectively solely provide 10% of the world’s electrical energy. And since 2010, the rise in fossil gasoline technology has exceeded that of wind and photo voltaic.
“A fairly completely different image to the one the BBC would really like you consider, I feel you would possibly agree!”
Local weather Reality Examine: January 2023 Version
Seven items of local weather propaganda from January 2023 uncovered and debunked.
By Steve Milloy, JunkScience.com, Feb 8, 2023
Climate in Texas, local weather in New York
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 8, 2023
Reuters Are Challenged Over Partisan Reporting On Local weather
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 4, 2023
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Obscure?
Now they inform us
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 8, 2023
At any price The Atlantic’s ‘Weekly Planet,’ briefly underneath new administration, instantly pats us on the pinnacle with ‘1.5 Levels Was By no means the Finish of the World/ Probably the most well-known local weather purpose is woefully misunderstood.’ Foolish us. Wherever did we get that concept?
Considering Out Loud: Ignorance Scales
By Chuck Dinerstein, ACSH, Jan 31, 2023
[SEPP Comment: When does an “embellishment” become a lie?]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
“instability of fossil fuels”
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 9, 2023
The LA Instances blames excessive power costs on ‘the instability of fossil fuels’”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Go Private.
Kevon Martis Responds to ‘Heated’ Advert Hominem
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Feb 10, 2023
Speaking Higher to the Public – Protest
Road Blocking “Final Technology” Local weather Protesters Caught Taking 18,000 km Vacation Flight To Thailand!
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Feb 3, 2023
Increasing the Orthodoxy
Footballers To Put on Inexperienced Armbands To Save The Planet!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 6, 2023
“Will any individual please inform me it is a joke?”
[SEPP Comment: Will they stop flying?]
Questioning European Inexperienced
UKCP Summer season Temperature Projections [in 2009] Are Not Supported By The Knowledge
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 8, 2023
“It’s time that DEFRA [Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs] dropped the make-believe, corrupt recommendation from the Met Workplace, and employed a staff of impartial consultants to advise them who are usually not tainted by self-interest.”
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
EVs Are Designed for ChatGPT – Not “Carbon Models”
By Duggan Flanakin, Actual Clear Power, Feb 08, 2023
“Lest anybody neglect, carbon-based life varieties have declared battle on carbon, which suggests battle on themselves.”
Vermont to turn out to be first state to ban CFL lightbulb gross sales
By Michael Mahar and Michael Bartiromo, The Hill, Feb 8, 2023
[SEPP Comment: How quickly the “green savior” has fallen.]
Litigation Points
Decide declines to dam Nevada lithium mine however says feds violated legislation
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Feb 8, 2023
Power Points – Non-US
The value of Britain’s mad fracking ban
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 8, 2023
“The UK spent £60bn importing gasoline in simply 4 months to stave off a winter power crunch, in response to evaluation from storage consultants Highview Energy.”
[SEPP Comment: But the ban saves us from global warming?]
Power Points — US
Stopping Power Poverty
By Derrick Hollie, Actual Clear Power, Feb 06, 2023
Washington Governor Jay Inslee mandates an all-electric state
By Ronald Stein, CFACT, Feb 7, 2023
In New York, A Very Gradual Political Awakening
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Feb 4, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Explaining that some in New York are calling “cap and trade” (also called cap and tax) “cap and invest.” An “investment” with a negative rate of return?]
Washington’s Management of Power
Commerce Struggle III
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 8, 2023
“However why ‘egocentric’? Nicely, among the many much less appreciated and apparently unanticipated attributes of America’s misleadingly named ‘Inflation Discount Act’ is that the flood of subsidies into unproven expertise has created strain for a lot of different governments to leap into the kinds of ‘beggar thy neighbor’ commerce insurance policies that, within the Thirties, additionally managed to ‘beggar thy residents’ and ‘trigger wars.’ So who may resist?”
Oil and Pure Gasoline – the Future or the Previous?
Let Appalachia’s Power Lead the Approach
Dave Callahan & Charlie Burd & Rob Brundrett, Actual Clear Power Feb 9, 2023
Hyperlink to: Benchmarking Methane and Different GHG Emissions Of Oil & Pure Gasoline Manufacturing in the US
By Tom Curry, et al., Clear Air Process Pressure and Ceres, July 2022
From key findings: “Pneumatic controllers had been the most important supply of complete reported production-segment methane emissions, making up 62% of complete reported methane emissions.”
“In gas-heavy basins, related gasoline is proscribed or non-existent; for instance, there was no reported related gasoline venting and flaring within the Appalachian basin. Throughout all basins, related gasoline venting and flaring was liable for 14% of complete reported onshore manufacturing phase GHG emissions.”
BP makes document revenue in 2022, slows shift from oil
By Ron Bousso and Shadia Nasralla, Reuters, Feb 4, 2023
Nuclear Power and Fears
A Dependable Electrical energy Provide – Six Months and Half a Dozen Years
By Kelvin Kemm, WUWT, Feb 9, 2023
“Think about that you’ve simply undergone open coronary heart surgical procedure and also you’re within the Intensive Care Unit; ask your self; would you fairly have the Intensive Care Unit hooked up to photo voltaic and wind energy, or hooked up to coal and nuclear energy?”
High 10 nuclear energy-producing nations
By Mariam Ahmad, Power Digital, Feb 8, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Ranking countries based on nuclear generation of electricity.]
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
Why Are Whales Dying Off the East Coast?
By Collister Johnson, Actual Clear Power, Feb 10, 2023
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Automobiles
Are Pencils in Hazard?
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Feb 7, 2023
California Dreaming
California performs ‘hardball’ with Colorado River states over cutbacks
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Feb 8, 2023
Newsom requires federal probe into hovering pure gasoline costs
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Feb 6, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Political efforts to restrict production have nothing to do with increasing prices?]
Environmental Business
Reality Vs. Concern
By Susan Goldhaber, ACSH, Jan 31, 2023
“…the PFAS [per-and polyfluoroalkyl substances] in blood has been dramatically decreased through the years. Human blood ranges are 70% to 90% decrease than in 1999.
“It might have been comprehensible to make use of the EPA information if no different information had been out there, however that isn’t the case; actually, the EWG article references FDA research however hides the leads to supplemental tables – one other tried-and-true tactic of misleading articles.”
Different Scientific Information
Was the Chinese language Balloon on A Spy Mission? Meteorologists Can Assist Decide the Reply
By Cliff Mass, Climate weblog, Feb 5, 2023
The Fact About Climate Balloons
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Feb 7, 2023
“Roughly 1000 radiosondes are launched twice a day world wide.”
“And climate balloons don’t get far earlier than they fall to earth–not more than 100 miles or so, even with the strongest winds aloft.”
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
Who knew Scottish wind generators are saved heat with diesel energy…
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 7, 2023
Dozens of large generators at Scots windfarms powered by diesel turbines
Scottish Energy admitted 71 of its windmills had been hooked as much as the fossil gasoline provide after a fault developed with their energy provide.
By John Ferguson, Day by day Report, Feb 5, 2023 [H/t WUWT]
Al Gore boils over in Davos
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 8, 2023
Local weather Aristocrat Invoice Gates Invokes the Particular Particular person Defence for Personal Jet Use
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 8, 2023
I Am Half Of The Answer–Invoice Gates
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 8, 2023
[SEPP Comment: If he is “the solution” should I follow him?]
Sea Degree Examine – Invoice Gates’ Mansion, San Diego CDN 75.2K subscribers
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 9, 2023
“$43 million seaside home.”
ARTICLES
1. Did Biden Neglect Allowing Reform?
An instance of why his SOTU speech was bipartisan in identify solely.
By The Editorial Board, WSJ, Feb. 8, 2023
TWTW Abstract: The editorial begins with:
“President Biden’s speech writers put a bipartisan coat of paint on his State of the Union tackle on Tuesday, however solely in service of lecturing Republicans to move the identical agenda he couldn’t move when Democrats ran the Home. He barely talked about something Republicans need, and the bipartisanship that didn’t bark was any point out of allowing reform for public works and different initiatives.
“Keep in mind allowing reform? It’s a Republican precedence, and Democrats promised Sen. Joe Manchin a vote on it in return for signing off on the Inflation Discount Act. The difficulty didn’t move the Senate final yr as a result of the West Virginian didn’t write his invoice with severe GOP enter. One provision would have given federal regulators broad authority to approve electrical energy transmission strains, together with socializing their prices. Some Democrats opposed Mr. Manchin’s plan as a result of they need to cease all fossil-fuel initiatives.
“Mr. Biden may assist lower this Gordian knot, however he by no means talked about the problem. As a substitute, he advised the nation that drillers shouldn’t be afraid to spend money on new manufacturing, as a result of ‘we’re going to wish oil for at the very least one other decade.’ Attempt to not chortle, though many Members of Congress couldn’t assist themselves. Solely a decade? American power consumption in 2021 was 79% fossil fuels, 12% renewables and eight% nuclear.
“Mr. Biden’s goal is 100% clear electrical energy by 2035. To hit his local weather objectives, in response to a report final yr in E&E Information, ‘annual set up of latest wind and photo voltaic technology must improve from two to seven occasions historic ranges.’ How does he count on to do this with out reducing the crimson tape that ties up building of all types?”
The editorial discusses a photo voltaic undertaking within the desolate Mojave Desert the place Huge Horn Sheep are getting used to forestall allowing, then it concludes:
Sclerosis by authorities has turn out to be a persistent American illness, and a allowing deal might be structured to hurry a spread of initiatives, from pipelines to wind farms. If Mr. Biden is severe about bipartisanship, he ought to get Democrats and Republicans collectively and start hashing out some compromises.
Alas, from the sound of his State of the Union speech, he’s extra all in favour of posturing for the local weather left as he prepares for 2024. [Boldface added]
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2. DEI Spells Demise for the Thought of a College
Wherever this agenda is allowed to take root, free expression and educational integrity are doomed.
By Matthew Spalding, WSJ, Feb. 10, 2023
The vice chairman of Hillsdale School writes:
“The primary object of presidency, James Madison tells us in Federalist 10, is the safety of ‘the range within the schools of males.’ By variety, Madison meant completely different opinions to be inspired to protect liberty. Fairness is an historical authorized idea of justice specifically circumstances, developed over centuries of English common-law observe. Inclusion merely means to make part of, as in defining a mathematical set by what it does and doesn’t embody.
“All good phrases with respectable origins. But in true Orwellian vogue, they’ve been redefined.
“Range is not a time period to explain the breadth of our variations however a requirement to flatter and grant privileges to purportedly oppressed identification teams. Fairness assigns fascinating positions based mostly on race, intercourse and sexual orientation fairly than character, competence and advantage. Inclusion now means making a social atmosphere the place identification teams are celebrated whereas those that disagree are maligned.
“‘Range, Fairness, and Inclusion’—the compound type of these fashionable ideas—is very poisonous. It divides us by social identification teams, ranks these teams on privilege and energy, and excludes those that fail to honor the brand new orthodoxy. Somewhat than being equally endowed with innate dignity and basic rights as human beings—greatest judged by our character and never pores and skin coloration—we’re alleged to discriminate and confer standing based mostly on race, intercourse and cultural affinity.
“This isn’t merely a conceptual drawback. DEI initiatives have proliferated in greater schooling. There are places of work, deans and vice presidents of variety, fairness and inclusion at most faculties and universities, akin to New School of Florida, the place I’ve lately been appointed a trustee. One evaluate of high universities discovered a median of 45 DEI employees members at every faculty (about one DEI staffer for each 30 professors). One other examine discovered that 20% of educational job postings require DEI statements as a requirement of employment or promotion.
“School is a partnership between college and college students targeted on studying and pursuing data. It’s in the end in regards to the enduring query of human flourishing. Freshman orientation shouldn’t be a re-education session. DEI often is the coronary heart of the woke motion, however it deadens the educational thoughts.
“A current report from the Nationwide Affiliation of Range Officers in Increased Training speaks of ‘making a framework for variety officers to advance anti-racism methods, notably anti-Black racism, at their respective establishments of upper schooling.’ How? By means of curriculum and pedagogy for positive, but in addition by admissions, campus tradition, institutional constructions, insurance policies, hiring, promotions and worker coaching. In brief, every little thing.”
Mr. Spalding makes clear he’s referring to a specific division or college, however a common pattern. He concludes:
“DEI assaults the integrity of the educational undertaking. As a substitute of listening to divergent voices, ears are shut. As a substitute of the free expression of opposite opinions, chilling self-censorship takes place. As a substitute of a campus open to all, one finds a slim doorway by which solely an authorized few could enter. If the best pieties and homilies aren’t made, ostracization and exclusion turn out to be the norm fairly than the exception. Unanimity, inequality and exclusion—Orwellian certainly.”