The Week That Was: 2023-01-07 (January 7, 2023)
Dropped at You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Challenge
Quote of the Week: “The necessary factor is to not cease questioning. Curiosity has its personal purpose for current.” — Albert Einstein.
Variety of the Week: 5% Improve
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Challenge (SEPP)
Scope: Among the many points which might be mentioned are: Kenneth Richard of No Tips Zone brings consideration to a paper written by Wallace Manheimer within the Journal of Sustainable Growth, “a global, double-blind peer-reviewed, open-access journal revealed by the Canadian Middle of Science and Training.” The retired physicist from the US Naval Analysis Laboratory discusses local weather over a Geological Time Scale stating that there’s a poor correlation between carbon dioxide concentrations and temperatures. https://www.ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/jsd
John Christy together with Roy Spencer developed the strategy of comprehensively measuring international temperature developments of the decrease troposphere (and different atmospheric layers) from an isotope of oxygen utilizing microwave sounding items on satellites. Christy consented to an interview by BizNews TV through which he describes himself as being a local weather nerd since he was ten years outdated.
Based mostly on reviewers’ feedback on a paper Roy Spencer and Christy submitted on the affect of El Niño and La Niña on local weather sensitivity estimates, Spencer has re-cast the paper. It now addresses the bigger query:
“If we take the entire varied floor and sub-surface temperature datasets and their differing estimates of warming over the past 50 years, what does it indicate for local weather sensitivity?”
In A Stroll On The Pure Aspect, ecologist Jim Steele begins by discussing that salt laden Photo voltaic Ponds can develop layers of salt density and retailer photo voltaic warmth to temperatures as much as about 90°C (190°F). As much as 10.5 toes deep (3.2 meters) layers of water develop, relying on density, with the extra salty and subsequently highest density layers on the underside. These dense layers suppress convection (mixing) from the underside, leading to excessive temperatures on the backside, reasonably than on the often skilled prime. Steele extends this idea to debate the western Pacific Heat Pool and its affect on local weather.
Writing in Local weather And so forth. Planning Engineer Russell Schussler discusses how simplistically politicians and academicians talk about the complicated, dynamic digital machine referred to as The Grid which should be balanced inside tight tolerances twenty-four hours a day, seven days per week, 300 sixty-five days a 12 months (24/7/365). Averages are meaningless when lives rely upon the grid working on a regular basis, and when it doesn’t work the outcomes may be disastrous.
The “nice” California drought seems to be ending. Meteorologist Cliff Mass explains why. Additional, the Buffalo Blizzard introduced into query New York State’s plan to make western New York a Photo voltaic Middle.
A number of commentators state that once-reliable authorities entities that may very well be depended upon precisely to report the outcomes of their analysis and meeting of knowledge are falsifying experiences to a political agenda, a lot to the hurt of the general public.
The Heartland Local weather Convention affords an alternative choice to groupthink so prevalent at the moment.
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Poor Relationship: Physicist Wallace Manheimer has extensively reviewed revealed materials on local weather and located there may be little or no proof on which to desert fossil fuels in favor of wind and photo voltaic. The summary of his paper states:
“Over the interval of human civilization, the temperature has oscillated between fairly just a few heat and chilly intervals, with most of the heat intervals being hotter than at the moment. Throughout geological instances, it and the carbon dioxide stage have been everywhere with no correlation between them.”
To assist his claims, he offers proof from quite a few sources together with a graph of relationship between temperature proxies and CO2 proxies that return about 425 million years. Some critics of Manheimer could declare that issues could have modified prior to now 50 years or because the starting of the Industrial Revolution. However except they will present that the molecular construction of carbon dioxide has modified, they haven’t any foundation for claiming the affect of CO2 is bigger now than it was tens of millions of years in the past. Manheimer concludes his evaluation with:
“As a remaining indication of the insecurity that the specter of a local weather disaster is actual, there was a big worldwide assembly to debate the local weather dilemma in Scotland in November 2021. World leaders, together with President Biden and lots of European leaders, attended. Nonetheless, the leaders of Brazil, Russia, China, and Turkey voted with their toes, and didn’t attend. The chief of India attended however introduced that India wouldn’t be decreasing its CO2 emission till 2070, a completely meaningless dedication. These are giant, necessary, technically superior international locations, containing ~ 40% of the world’s inhabitants. Really, the western democracies aren’t all that totally different. Sometimes, some bureaucrat orders that we have now to cease or cut back using fossil gasoline on this method and that. Often the brand new rule is put to a vote, and the brand new rule is nearly at all times rejected by the voters. As Yogi Berra put it ‘If individuals don’t wish to come to the ballpark, you’ll be able to’t cease ‘em’.
“In contrast to the claims of believers that there’s almost common (i.e. 97%) settlement on the scientific foundation for CO2 ranges being a vital dial which controls the earth’s temperature, this creator finds that there’s a huge literature, and huge quantities of knowledge from extraordinarily certified scientists disputing this. If in truth ‘the science is settled’, it appears to be rather more settled in the truth that there isn’t any explicit correlation between CO2 stage and the earth’s temperature.”
See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/5/4/76.
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Present Me The Proof: In a low-keyed interview Alabama State Climatologist John Christy describes some great benefits of the satellite tv for pc dataset over floor temperature measurements: floor measurements are scattered, not rigorous, and never sturdy. Satellite tv for pc developments are true international measurements, taken with 14 orbits per day, measure deep layers of the ambiance, and aren’t affected by spurious modifications in native land use.
In testing varied theories and claims concerning the human causes of local weather change Christy’s angle is to construct the datasets first, after which take a look at the claims. He finds that 100% of the worldwide local weather fashions utilized by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) and its followers [which are built on surface temperature measurements], present extra warming of the ambiance than what is definitely occurring. Roy Spencer and he have been publishing papers on this since 1994. But, regardless of this truth even the most recent IPCC fashions present twice as a lot atmospheric warming as what is happening.
Christy finds that the Earth can survive CO2 warming and that rising CO2 has nice advantages for the setting and agriculture. As to the claimed Local weather Disaster, in Washington the extra dramatic your story, the higher is the potential funding. Politicians want to declare there’s a drawback and that they will clear up it. Christy has testified these information earlier than Congress some 20 instances, and it makes no distinction.
A significant drawback with the fashions is that they ignore the rise radiation emitted by a warming floor of the earth. As Howard Hayden has written, the Stefan-Boltzmann regulation should at all times be utilized to model-generated floor temperatures. The radiative forcing brought on by elevated CO2 and different GHGs is at all times incapable of retaining the elevated floor emission from putative warming.
Christy has written a ebook, A Sensible Information to Local weather Change in Alabama, that may be downloaded at no cost as a PDF file. Though its emphasis is on the state of Alabama, the ebook has lots of information for not solely the US however for your complete world. This ebook exhibits that previously 140 years there aren’t any actual developments in excessive climate utilizing all of the stations that cowl your complete pattern.
Christy admits that he can’t reliably state the warming resulting from carbon dioxide emitted by human exercise however estimates it’s about 0.1°C per decade. He states that the worldwide common temperature can change by 0.2°C per thirty days. He estimates {that a} doubling of CO2 from about 1850 ranges could change temperatures by 1.3°C. [According to Howard Hayden, 1.3°C may be too large an estimate.] In the course of the previous forty years agriculture has boomed and Individuals have moved south. [People voted with their feet.] See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy, http://www.sepp.org/science_papers.cfm?whichyear=2022, and
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Backside Finish: Roy Spencer develops a one-dimensional (1D) mannequin estimate of what all the present floor and subsurface datasets point out temperatures will improve with a doubling of CO2. That is all based mostly on a essential assumption:
“However for the aim of demonstration, let’s assume it’s true in at the moment’s local weather system, and that the one factor inflicting current warming is anthropogenic greenhouse gasoline emission (primarily CO2). Does the present charge of warming counsel (as we’re advised) {that a} international warming catastrophe is upon us? I feel this is a crucial query to deal with, separate from the query of whether or not among the current warming is pure (which might make AGW even much less of an issue).”
Spencer states:
“Our strategy is considerably totally different from Lewis & Curry (2018). First, we use solely information from the latest 50 years (1970-2021), which is the interval of most speedy development in CO2-caused forcing, the interval of most speedy temperature rise, and about way back to one can go and discuss with any confidence about ocean warmth content material (a vital variable in local weather sensitivity estimates).
“Secondly, our mannequin is time-dependent, with month-to-month time decision, permitting us to look at (as an illustration) the current acceleration in deep ocean temperature (ocean warmth content material) rise.
“In distinction to Lewis & Curry and differencing two time intervals’ averages separated by 100+ years, our strategy is to make use of a time-dependent mannequin of vertical power flows, which I’ve blogged on earlier than. It’s run at month-to-month time decision, so permits examination of such points because the current acceleration of the rise in oceanic warmth content material (OHC).
“In response to reviewers’ feedback, I prolonged the area from non-ice coated (60N-60S) oceans to international protection (together with land), in addition to borehole-based estimates of deep-land warming developments (I imagine a primary for this sort of work). The mannequin stays a 1D mannequin of temperature departures from assumed power equilibrium, inside three layers, proven schematically in Fig. 1.” [Not shown here]
After going by way of varied steps for calculating equilibrium local weather sensitivity (ECS), Spencer concludes:
“I’ve used a 1D time-dependent mannequin of temperature departures from assumed power equilibrium to deal with the query: Given the assorted estimates of floor and sub-surface warming over the past 50 years, what do they counsel for the sensitivity of the local weather system to a doubling of atmospheric CO2? [Emphasis in original]
“Utilizing the latest estimates of efficient radiative forcing from Annex III within the newest IPCC report (AR6), the observational information counsel decrease local weather sensitivities (ECS) than promoted by the IPCC with a central estimate of +2.09 deg C. for the worldwide common. That is on the backside finish of the most recent IPCC (AR6) possible vary of two.0 to 4.5 deg. C.
“I imagine that is nonetheless possible an higher certain for ECS, for the next causes. [Boldface added]
- Borehole temperatures counsel there was a long-term warming pattern, at the very least up into the early twentieth Century. Ignoring this (no matter its trigger) will result in inflated estimates of ECS.
- I nonetheless imagine that some portion of the land temperature datasets has been contaminated by long-term will increase in City Warmth Island results, that are indistinguishable from climatic warming in homogenization schemes.
See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Heat Pool Points: In his traditional low-keyed model, ecologist Jim Steele introduces readers (or viewers of the video) to salt laden, photo voltaic ponds, as an instance the distinction between Radiative heating and Dynamical heating, stating that the dynamical heating even happens in Antarctica the place the underside of Lake Vanda is about 70°F (20°C). He goes into the significance of blending in ocean layers earlier than contrasting photo voltaic heating with greenhouse gasoline heating. He writes:
“In distinction to deep photo voltaic heating, longwave greenhouse power behaves very in a different way. Though greenhouse power provides almost twice the power to the pores and skin layer, that power doesn’t penetrate any deeper than just a few microns. Thus, in contrast to the delayed cooling of deeper layers, absorbed greenhouse warmth may be radiated again to area instantly.
“A 2018 ocean research measured 410 W/m2 of greenhouse longwave power getting into the ocean’s pores and skin floor, whereas concurrently the pores and skin floor radiated away 470 W/m2. The pores and skin layer nearly instantly radiated the 410 W/m2 of greenhouse warmth again to area [the energy was not absorbed] plus an extra 60 W/m2 of radiation from the rising solar-heated layers. As well as, the pores and skin floor misplaced latent warmth (LH) through evaporation and smart warmth (SH) through contact with the ambiance.”
Steele carries the analogy to the western Pacific Heat Pool, and the variations between El Niño and La Niña phases of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The sharp will increase within the UAH Satellite tv for pc-Based mostly temperature file over the previous 40 some years have been in El Niño phases.
Steele then goes into the altering local weather over the previous 90 million years, then concludes:
“Likewise, earlier than believing we’re plunging right into a human-caused local weather disaster, please ask:
“How does radiative and dynamical heating improve heat pool temperatures?
“How does greenhouse power probably warmth beneath the pores and skin floor? [of oceans]
“How does exported warmth from heat swimming pools have an effect on our local weather and what are the contributions of pure La Nina and El Nino-like situations.” [Boldface added]
See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Don’t Mess It Up: Planning Engineer Russell Schussler has quite a few warnings to teachers, together with analysis organizations and politicians, who want to “enhance” The Grid – be very cautious. Within the first a part of a sequence, he demonstrates his admiration for what we have now. He writes:
“As I wish to say, the electrical grid is the most important, most great, most complicated machine ever. Assembly the electrical wants of our nation is determined by many specialists and specialists in far ranging efforts together with era, transmission, distribution, upkeep, and operations in addition to inside the many subfields encompassing these broad areas. The grid should function seamlessly throughout a wide range of situations with out pause. Recognizing the distinction between what idea suggests and sensible information demonstrates is essential.”
He emphasizes that specializing in one portion of this complicated machine often ignores its complexity and causes hurt. He provides:
The grid and energy provide preparations are an especially complicated system. The interaction and interactions among the many elements are intensive and complex. Change a puzzle piece and your complete puzzle modifications. Actions taken to deal with one drawback will usually create new issues and likewise worsen different issues. The adverse results of such system ‘fixes’ could or will not be seen for a while. It’s a uncommon educational who can efficiently grapple with the good complexities of the ability system. Specialization is a better strategy. Whereas findings from teachers and specialists can have nice worth, their findings shouldn’t be taken to extremes. The standard course for profitable ‘revolutionary’ concepts is that after some struggles to implement working purposes they finally make a modest enchancment inside some area of interest of the trade.
Large modifications should be developed slowly, akin to energy electronics, the applying of electronics to the management and conversion of electrical energy. This was much more pricey than initially thought.
“Years later I discovered it was price tens of tens of millions to put in a big energy digital gadget known as a Static Var Compensator (SVC) to have on standby to stop a possible voltage collapse drawback that had emerged on the grid. Right this moment energy electronics play many necessary roles within the grid. They’re a serious a part of what makes a grid ‘sensible’. They permit asynchronous wind and photo voltaic era to be transformed to alternating present on the grid. Energy electronics assist voltages and assist maintain the system steady in some ways in various conditions. However they didn’t take the trade by storm in a short while body as envisioned by the early experiences. They had been first employed in niches the place they offered explicit advantages. As expertise was gained and enhancements made, they grew to develop into increasingly more necessary. They key to adoption was that installations had been constructed on successive successes. I believe top-down mandates to broadly use such units might need truly hindered growth and adoption.”
Schussler concludes this warning with:
“Tutorial analysis that promotes enhancements to the ability grid should be evaluated fastidiously with the understanding that the grid is a posh system filled with interactions. Modifications to the grid contain quite a few hurdles. Language is commonly imprecise. For example, when readers see a press release stating, ‘Photo voltaic and wind may attain penetration ranges of X’. What the assertion actually means is ‘Based mostly on the components I checked out and ignoring an enormous variety of essential necessities I’ve not checked out, photo voltaic and wind might be able to change fossil assets at a stage of X. However in all probability not.’ Sadly, the assertion is commonly interpreted as ‘Photo voltaic and wind can attain penetration ranges of X with no vital issues.’
Equally, when a research quotes a value, it must be understood that except specified in a different way, the price is for the particular drawback at hand, invariably there might be many different prices added to implement this strategy typically dwarfing the offered quantity. If a research quotes a determine within the billions to offer connections for infrastructure to attach distant wind and photo voltaic to load facilities and/or enable for range, you may be pretty sure that extra enhancements to the underlying methods will rival or exceed the reported value.
For these with no sturdy technical background, it’s laborious generally to inform what is supposed by varied phrases. There are a lot of definitions of capability issue. The distinction between energy and power is essential although not at all times grasped. It’s comprehensible that people may be confused by educational research and articles in regards to the grid. Media reporters ought to do higher. The outcomes could also be tragic when exaggerated and misunderstood findings affect coverage makers and affect coverage.
Search for a observe up piece titled, Lecturers and the Grid: Half 2 Are they Learning the Proper Issues? It’s going to present extra context and assist for the central concepts right here. [Boldface added]
See hyperlinks underneath Questioning the Orthodoxy for this and the announcement of Donn Dears new ebook with emphasis on “The Problem of Changing Fossil Fuels”, an not possible activity?
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Altering Climate: Meteorologist Cliff Mass discussing what would be the ending of the California Drought. Up to now, such storms had been known as “The Pineapple Categorical” and this one originated close to Hawaii. In February 2017, heavy rainfall broken the principle and emergency spillways of the Oroville Dam prompting the evacuation of greater than 180,000 individuals from the Feather River basin, a tributary to the Sacramento River. The heavy rains had been rapidly forgotten within the drought that adopted.
Equally, The State of New York is subsidizing the institution of a photo voltaic middle in and round Buffalo. How rapidly will it neglect the current storm? See hyperlinks underneath Altering Climate and https://buffalosolar.com/?fbclid=IwAR0cBc8hW6Gh3ZQJbSWRkVOK-EJHFRjdf5plhnjbPXQ19EprrXYVsMgqdLY
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No Extra: John Hinderaker of Energy Line brings up the disappointing information that the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported job creation of over a million within the second quarter of 2022, earlier than the election. In accordance with the Philadelphia Federal Reserve, this job creation was largely fictitious. Within the Nineteen Seventies the Bureau of Labor Statistics was reliable by bravely standing as much as President Nixon and wouldn’t manipulate employment information – that integrity is not any extra! See hyperlinks underneath Reducing Requirements”
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Past Groupthink: The 15th Local weather Change Convention by The Heartland Institute might be held from February 23 to 25, 2023, on the Hilton Lake Buena Vista in Orlando, Florida. It’s going to characteristic over 40 audio system, together with members of the SEPP Board of Administrators, Willie Quickly and David Legates. Tom Sheahen, Howard “Cork” Hayden, and Ken Haapala will deal with the query: “Is Local weather Science Scientific?” See https://climateconference.heartland.org/
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Variety of the Week: 5% Improve: In a video, the Computational Analysis Division of the Lawrence Berkeley Nationwide Laboratory introduced that local weather change is inflicting the present Pineapple Categorical (atmospheric river) to extend by 5%.
What brought about the intense flooding within the winter of 1861-62? This was the worst flooding of the Sacramento River because the US seized management of California. Is that this one other data-challenged laptop “skilled” claiming a rise of 5% in excessive climate occasions from added CO2? Based mostly on modern observations of their habits earlier than the 1861-62 floods, native Individuals in all probability higher understood the indicators of atmospheric rivers than these specialists. (The Lawrence Berkeley Nationwide Laboratory is separate from the Lawrence Livermore Nationwide Laboratory which introduced the profitable transient, nuclear fusion experiment.)
Censorship
By Jim Lakely, The Heartland Institute, Jan 6, 2022
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About International Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
International Sea-Degree Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Could 20, 2019
Scientist: ‘There Is No Local weather Disaster’ And ‘No Explicit Correlation Between CO2 And Temperature’
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Jan 2, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: Whereas the Local weather At all times Has and At all times Will Change, There Is not any Local weather Disaster
By Wallace Manheimer, Journal of Sustainable Growth, Sep 8, 2022
https://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/jsd/article/view/0/47745
Knowledge exhibits there’s no local weather disaster looming – climatologist Dr J Christy debunks the narrative
By Charles Rotter, WUWT, Dec 18, 2022
Video
Local weather Sensitivity from 1970-2021 Warming Estimates
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Dec 19, 2022
The Science of Photo voltaic Ponds Challenges the Local weather Disaster
By Jim Steele, A Stroll On The Pure Aspect, Jan 5, 2022
https://perhapsallnatural.blogspot.com/2023/01/the-science-of-solar-ponds-challenges.html
Video: https://youtu.be/wl3_YQ_Vufo
Low atmospheric CO2 ranges earlier than the rise of forested ecosystems
By Tais W. Dahl, et al., Nature Communications, Dec 20, 2022 [H/t WUWT]
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-35085-9#citeas
From the Summary: “We discover that the ambiance contained ~525–715 ppm CO2 earlier than continents had been afforested, and that Earth was partially glaciated based on a palaeoclimate mannequin.”
“A process-driven biogeochemical mannequin (COPSE) exhibits the looks of timber with deep roots didn’t dramatically improve atmospheric CO2 elimination. Fairly, shallow-rooted vascular ecosystems may have concurrently brought about abrupt atmospheric oxygenation and climatic cooling lengthy earlier than the rise of forests, though earlier CO2 ranges are nonetheless unknown.”
It’s Time to Speak About “Capability Elements”
By Dr. Lars Schernikau, power economist and commodity dealer, Switzerland/Singapore, Through WUWT, Dec 27, 2022
“#Germany is an effective instance: Whole put in energy capability greater than doubled prior to now 20 years, basically all consisting of wind and photo voltaic (see determine beneath)
“Wind and photo voltaic put in capability is now above 125GW, greater than 150% larger than peak energy demand in Germany of round 80GW
“Germany’ typical put in energy capability consisting of coal, gasoline, and nuclear nonetheless barely matches peak energy demand
“With all this capability addition in Germany, wind and photo voltaic made up lower than 30% of whole electrical energy era in 2021 and about 5% of whole power consumption”
The fake urgency of the local weather disaster is giving us no time or area to construct a safe power future
By Judith Curry, Local weather And so forth. Dec 27, 2022
My Power Story
How I turned the world’s main champion of fossil fuels
By Alex Epstein, His Weblog, Dec 30, 2022
https://alexepstein.substack.com/p/my-energy-story?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=e-mail
[SEPP Comment: A self-promotion piece; however, as Richard Courtney writes: “I commend everybody to read it because Epstein seems to be capturing attention with all the arguments about fossil fuel usage that I have been failing in my attempts to successfully promote for decades.”]
Difficult the Orthodoxy – Walter Cunningham – RIP
Astronaut Col. Walt Cunningham, a Nice American Legacy
By Larry Bell, Newsmax, Jan 6, 2022
https://www.newsmax.com/larrybell/astronaut-walt-cunningham/2023/01/06/id/1103330/
Defending the Orthodoxy
International local weather purpose ‘gasping for breath,’ UN chief says
By Juliea Mueller, The Hill, Dec 20, 2022
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
A startup says it’s begun releasing particles into the ambiance, in an effort to tweak the local weather
Make Sunsets is already making an attempt to earn income for geoengineering, a transfer prone to provoke widespread criticism.
By James Temple, MIT Know-how Assessment, Dec 24, 2022 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/12/24/1066041/a-startup-says-its-begun-releasing-particles-into-the-atmosphere-in-an-effort-to-tweak-the-climate/
Declare: Aussie Renewables May Have Prevented Increased Payments and Blackouts
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 26, 2022
But One other “Plastic Kills” Story
By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Dec 23, 2022
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Lecturers and the grid Half I: I don’t assume that research means what you assume it means
By Planning Engineer (Russell Schussler), Local weather And so forth. Jan 4, 2023
“Lecturers can strategy the grid with some detachment whereas training engineers should maintain it working 24/7/365.”
Clear Power Disaster
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Jan 3, 2023
The World is Not Ending | Bjørn Lomborg and Jordan Peterson
Video by Jordan Peterson, WUWT, Dec 22, 2022
What If Actual-World Physics Do Not Help The Declare Prime-Of-Ambiance CO2 Forcing Exists?
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Dec 22, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Photo voltaic geoengineering could not stop sturdy warming from direct results of CO2 on stratocumulus cloud cowl
By Tapio Schneider, et al. PNAS, Nov16, 2020
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2003730117
From NASA article on Prime of the Ambiance: “As a result of snow and ice are so reflective, scientists have lengthy anticipated that melting of snow and ice within the polar areas will speed up local weather warming by decreasing the Earth’ albedo. Atmospheric scientist Seiji Kato of NASA’s Langley Analysis Middle and a number of other teammates have used a collection of NASA and NOAA (Nationwide Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) satellite tv for pc observations to analyze whether or not this suggestions is already underway. The crew in contrast mirrored daylight, clouds, and sea ice and snow cowl at polar latitudes from 2000-2004. What they discovered was a little bit of a shock: whereas snow and ice within the Arctic declined, the albedo didn’t change.”https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/photographs/7373/the-top-of-the-atmosphere
Nature Controls CO2 – Not Man: Op-Ed
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 4, 2023
Hyperlink to article: Nature Controls CO2 – Not Man: Op-Ed
By Tom Tamarkin, Shale Magazine, Nov 4, 2022
From Shale Magazine article: “As an avid studier of all issues ‘local weather change’ associated I tracked the affect this vital gasoline use discount had on the Keeling Curve. The Keeling Curve is the chart monitoring carbon dioxide within the ambiance based mostly on near-daily measurements on the Mauna Lao observatory positioned on the massive island of Hawaii.
“The impact was each surprising and predictable. The marked discount of fossil gasoline use had no impact on the Keeling Curve which continued its digital 45% upward slope on the extremely exaggerated chart expressed as components per million per 12 months. This was wholly in step with our findings over the earlier 10 years as creating international locations elevated fossil use with no corresponding change of CO2 as mirrored on this curve.”
Why We Ought to Be Cautious of Local weather Alarmism — We Simply Froze
By Larry Bell, Newsmax, Dec 27, 2022
https://www.newsmax.com/larrybell/bomb-cyclone-tva/2022/12/27/id/1102038/
One other New Examine Affirms The Arctic Was Hotter With Much less Sea Ice Throughout The Mid-Holocene
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Dec 29, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Enhanced Arctic sea ice melting managed by bigger warmth discharge of mid-Holocene rivers
By Jiang Dong, et al. Nature Communications, Sep 13, 2022
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-33106-1
[SEPP Comment: Question the extent of heat discharge of mid-Holocene rivers.]
Being Unpleasant – At Christmas
By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Dec 24, 2022
“In 2022, to be sceptical of the local weather disaster is to be a social outcast, and this extends to eager to rejoice the well being of the Nice Barrier Reef. We are supposed to be crying over all the pieces. But Christmas must be a joyous time.”
By the best way we would all be incorrect
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 21, 2022
“GMST is in fact “International Imply Floor Temperature”. So in English it may be that modifications in temperature developments within the final 20 years are resulting from pure causes. Which, if true, places the kibosh on the entire CO2-as-the-control-knob-of-the-global-thermostat idea. Alarmists are fairly slick with their explanations of why warming causes cooling, and snow proves it’s getting hotter, and drought or flooding does too. However in some unspecified time in the future a really fundamental level turns into seen by way of the fog: If rising CO2 doesn’t reliably correlate with rising temperature over time the idea that it does is incorrect.”
All people is aware of: local weather change is a disaster
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 21, 2022
Power and Environmental Assessment: January 2, 2023
By John Droz, Jr., Mater Useful resource, Jan 2, 2023
After Paris!
COP15: Key outcomes agreed on the UN biodiversity convention in Montreal
By A number of Authors, Carbon Transient, Dec 20, 2022
UN WMO: La Niña Safety from International Warming might be “Brief Lived”
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 26, 2022
Change in US Administrations
Biden administration finalizes rule chopping truck air pollution
By Raqchel Frazin, The Hill, Dec 20, 2022
Hyperlink to: Primary Details about NO2
By Employees, EPA, Accessed Dec 22, 2022
https://www.epa.gov/no2-pollution/basic-information-about-no2#Whatpercent20ispercent20NO2
From web site: “Respiratory air with a excessive focus of NO2 can irritate airways within the human respiratory system,”
“The EPA mentioned Tuesday that its remaining rule is anticipated to end in as much as 2,900 fewer untimely deaths by 2045. It’s additionally anticipated to end in 18,000 fewer instances of childhood bronchial asthma.”
[SEPP Comment: High concentrations irritate, therefore low concentrations kill? Other questionable claims are acid rain (all rain is acidic), haze in national parks (often occurring when natural VOCs are high), and nutrient pollution of coastal waters?]
Biden administration proposing phaseout of compact fluorescent mild bulbs
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 29, 2022
“Power Division estimates undertaking that the proposed rule introduced Monday would save about $20 billion in collective client prices and forestall about 131 million metric tons of carbon emissions within the subsequent three a long time.”
[SEPP Comment: Beyond lightbulbs? Using CO2 emissions to micro-manage energy use?]
The fusion distraction
By Alex Epstein, His Weblog, Dec 21, 2022 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://alexepstein.substack.com/p/the-fusion-distraction?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=513601&post_id=92062890&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=e-mail
“In its first 2 years the Biden administration, by way of its anti-fossil gasoline insurance policies, has helped trigger the worst power disaster because the Nineteen Seventies.
“As an alternative of reversing course it’s utilizing a technical breakthrough in fusion to fake all the pieces goes nice.”
Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide
The carbon-starved world of the final glacial most
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 21, 2022
From the CO2Science Archive:
Issues within the Orthodoxy
China to speed up approval of recent coal initiatives to make sure power provide
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 6, 2023
Carbon Dioxide Emissions Hit New File In 2022
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 3, 2023
“Anyone with an oz of widespread sense would have recognized this was going to occur. And that emissions will keep it up rising whereas ever creating nations wish to develop their economies, or till one thing higher than fossil fuels comes alongside.
“It exhibits simply how divorced from actuality these pushing Web Zero agendas actually are.”
Searching for a Frequent Floor
The yin and yang of local weather science
By Judith Curry, Local weather And so forth. Dec 29, 2022
“Depraved science is tailor-made to the twin scientific and political natures of depraved societal issues. Depraved science makes use of approaches from complexity science and methods pondering in a context that engages with resolution makers and different stakeholders.”
“The web is a good enabler for the follow of depraved science.”
Unknown, Unsure or Each?
By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Jan 3, 2022
Religion, or extra virtually, belief in science manifests itself in all types of professions
By Anthony Sadar, Washington Occasions, Dec 27, 2022
https://www.washingtontimes.com/information/2022/dec/27/faith-or-more-practically-trust-in-science-manifes/
Science, Coverage, and Proof
Aussie Managed Forest Burns at the moment are “Cultural Burns”?
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 24, 2022
Measurement Points — Floor
City Evening Lighting Observations Reveal The Land Floor Temperature Dataset is ‘not match for objective’
By Alan Longhurst, Local weather And so forth. Dec 17, 2022
“One conclusion is unavoidable from this easy exploration of the floor air temperature archive: as used at the moment by the IPCC and the local weather change science neighborhood the instrumental file just isn’t match for objective: it’s contaminated by information obtained from that tiny fraction of Earth’s floor the place most of us spend our transient span of years indoors.” [Boldface in original]
2022 Was Warmest On File In Central England
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 3, 2023
“There is no such thing as a proof in any of the above that 2022 is a part of a longer-term sample of warming within the UK.”
Measurement Points — Ambiance
UAH International Temperature Replace: 2022 was the seventh Warmest of 44-12 months Satellite tv for pc File
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Jan 3, 2023
“The linear warming pattern since January, 1979 continues at +0.13 C/decade (+0.12 C/decade over the global-averaged oceans, and +0.18 C/decade over global-averaged land).”
December 2022: Maps and Graphs, UAH
By Employees, Earth System Science Middle, UAH, January 2023
Map: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2022/december2022/202212_Map.png
Dec 1978 to Dec 2022 Development, Decrease Troposphere https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2022/december2022/2022_Trend.png
Graph: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2022/december2022/202212_Bar.png
Textual content: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2022/december2022/GTR_202212Dec_1.pdf
Altering Climate
The Finish of the Present California Drought
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Jan 5, 2023
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/01/the-end-of-current-california-drought.html
2022 International Vast Hurricane Season Ends with Weakest Storm Ranges of the Final 42 Years
By Larry Hamlin WUWT, Jan 5, 2023
[SEPP Comment: The data collection for Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) began in 1980.]
The 12 months with no summer season? In 2022 Sydney didn’t even attain 32 levels (90 F)
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Jan 6, 2023
What’s a bomb cyclone?
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 22, 2022
The Fantastic thing about an Explosively Creating Cyclone Offshore
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Jan 3, 2023
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/01/the-beauty-of-explosively-developing.html
“As predicted, a midlatitude cyclone is quickly creating west of our shores, and the satellite tv for pc imagery is beautiful.”
La Niña is going on extra typically than it ought to, local weather scientists say
By: Nick Bannin, Eric Henrikson, kxan.com, Dec 20, 2022 [H/t Richard Courtney]
https://www.kxan.com/weather-traffic-qas/la-nina-is-happening-more-often-than-it-should-climate-scientists-say/
[SEPP Comment: From freezing Austin, Texas, with a map showing that La Niñas cause drying and warming in Texas, not freezing.]
Nicole, Late-Season Hurricane or Early-Hen Nor’Easter?
By William Balgord, Townhall, Dec 23, 2022
https://townhall.com/columnists/williamdbalgord/2022/12/23/nicole-late-season-hurricane-or-early-bird-noreaster-n2617489
The Nice Buffalo Christmas Blizzard Of 2022!
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Dec 25, 2022
11-minute video of snowstorm
Declare: Snowboarding over Christmas holidays now not assured – even with snow weapons
Press Launch, College of Basel, Dec 29, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Snowmaking in a hotter local weather: an in-depth evaluation of future water calls for for the ski resort Andermatt-Sedrun-Disentis (Switzerland) within the twenty-first century
By Maria Vorkauf, et al. Worldwide Journal of Biometeorology, 2022
https://hyperlink.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00484-022-02394-z
Altering Local weather
Bering Land Bridge fashioned surprisingly late throughout final ice age, research finds
By Employees Writers, Santa Cruz CA (SPX), Dec 27, 2022
https://www.spacedaily.com/experiences/Bering_Land_Bridge_formed_surprisingly_late_during_last_ice_age_study_finds_999.html
Hyperlink to paper: The Bering Strait was flooded 10,000 years earlier than the Final Glacial Most
By Jesse R. Farmer, et al, PNAS, Dec 27, 2022
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2206742119
Rising forest cowl within the Eifel area 11,000 years in the past resulted within the native lack of megafauna
By Employees Writers, Mainz, Germany (SPX) Dec 22, 2022
https://www.terradaily.com/experiences/Increasing_forest_cover_in_the_Eifel_region_11000_years_ago_resulted_in_the_local_loss_of_megafauna_999.html
Hyperlink to paper: Thresholds for the presence of glacial megafauna in central Europe over the last 60,000 years
By Frank Sirocko, et al., Nature Science Reviews, Nov 21, 2022
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-22464-x
“A few of these dates had been related to clear human presence, which signifies that megafauna was not overkilled by people. In distinction, human presence may fairly possible have been stimulated by the plentiful meals provide. Megafauna presence decreased considerably when tree abundance elevated throughout interstadials. The Megafauna disappeared lastly at 11,400 yr b2k with the event of the early Holocene forest cowl, which seems to be a very powerful threshold for megafauna presence.”
Altering Seas
Science Catches Up With WUWT
By Willis Eschenbach WUWT, Dec 29, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: A revised acceleration charge from the altimetry-derived international imply sea stage file
By Marcel Kleinherenbrink, Riccardo Riva & Remko Scharroo, Nature, Scientific Reviews, July 29, 2019
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-47340-z
From the summary: “Calibration of TOPEX is essential to acquire a steady and constant file, which is required to quantify any current acceleration. We suggest a novel strategy to calibrate TOPEX altimeter information utilizing sea floor peak variations at crossovers of TOPEX and ERS. Tide gauges are solely used to find out a drift in one of many two datasets. We offer a brand new and extra correct estimate of the intra-mission bias, which results in a a lot lowered GMSL acceleration over the entire file.”
From the article: “’ Subsequently, we recommend to calibrate the TOPEX GMSL file with the crossover of ERS1&2 after the elimination of cal-1. The calibration reduces the noticed acceleration in GMSL, in order that it turns into statistically equal to zero on the 95%-confidence stage.’”
[SEPP Comment: Many others including Willie Soon have recognized that there was no standardization of different datasets purporting to measure the same thing.]
The Misplaced Cities Of Yorkshire
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 4, 2023
“In accordance with researcher Brian Williams, the shoreline has retreated by about two to a few miles since Roman instances, which equates to about 1.5m a 12 months.”
Criticism To BBC Over Happisburgh Report
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 4, 2023
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Inuit in Arctic Canada now observing larger numbers of polar bears, says authorities report
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Jan 4, 2023
“Polar bear specialists insist that extra encounters with bears in recent times are resulting from a decline in sea-ice period and extent in comparison with the Nineteen Eighties plus extra attractants like rubbish dumps close to Arctic communities (e.g. Smith et al. 2022; Wilder et al. 2017).”
[SEPP Comment: The new twist on the old European colonial culture, blame the natives?]
Scientists: Antarctica Has Not Warmed For Over 70 Years
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Jan 5, 2023
Hyperlink to 1 research: Traits and area–time patterns of near-surface temperatures on Maxwell Bay, King George Island, Antarctica
By Cinthya Bello, Royal Meteorological Society, Apr 16, 2022
https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/joc.7661
Hyperlink to second 2022 research: Reliability of Antarctic air temperature modifications from Polar WRF: A comparability with observations and MAR outputs
By Yulun Zhang, et al. Atmospheric Analysis, March 2022
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169809521005238
Reducing Requirements
You Should Assume That All Info Put Out By Our Authorities Is Corrupt
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Dec 21, 2022
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2022-12-21-you-must-assume-that-all-information-put-out-by-our-government-is-corrupt
Sorry About These Jobs
By John Hinderaker, PowerLine, Dec 20, 2022
The rise and fall of peer evaluation
Why the best scientific experiment in historical past failed, and why that’s a fantastic factor
By Adam Mastroianni, His Weblog, Dec 13, 2022 [H/t WUWT]
https://experimentalhistory.substack.com/p/the-rise-and-fall-of-peer-review
W. Hudson Bay polar bear inhabitants decline tales are unethical and ignore essential caveats
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Dec 28, 2022
Video: How local weather change is intensifying the winter storms slamming California
Press Launch by Lawrence Berkeley Nationwide Laboratory, Jan 6, 2022 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://phys.org/information/2023-01-video-climate-winter-storms-slamming.html
UK Climate Extremes At all times Had been The Norm, Nationwide Belief!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 29, 2022]
“The entire objective of the Nationwide Belief is to protect the nation’s heritage.
“So maybe as an alternative of spreading faux information about local weather change, they need to as an alternative research a little bit of historical past. For example, what was happening in 1895, the 12 months they had been based:”
[SEPP Comment: Can’t trust the National Trust?]
US ignored personal scientists’ warning in backing Atlantic wind farm
By Jennifer A Dlouhy, Bloomberg Information, Dec 30, 2022
https://phys.org/information/2022-12-scientists-atlantic-farm.html
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
BBC’s Pretend Worst Drought In China Declare
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 29, 2022
[SEPP Comment: BBC demonstrating an ignorance of history!]
Sky’s Excessive Climate Lies
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 6, 2023
“All of this garbage begs the query of who is definitely directing this torrent of Goebbels-like propaganda? It isn’t solely the BBC and Sky who regularly propagate these lies; it’s just about the entire of the media right here and within the western world as a complete.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Obscure?
Media report India’s climate to suit doomsday narrative
By Vijay Jayaraj, American Thinker, Dec 29, 2022
https://www.americanthinker.com/weblog/2022/12/media_report_indias_weather_to_fit_doomsday_narrative.html
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
Prime Ten 2022 Media Local weather Tales – Truth Examine
By Employees, WUWT, Dec 28, 2022
Inexperienced Power Math
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Jan 5, 2023
Mail’s Pretend Bailout Claims Debunked
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 1, 2023
“This actually is a grossly dishonest, scurrillous and factually inaccurate piece:”
Unsuitable, Local weather Dwelling Information, Local weather Change Is Not Hurting India’s Sugar Crops
By H. Sterling Burnett, Local weather Realism, Dec 21, 2022 [H/t WUWT]
Lord Deben Repeats Pakistan Floods Lie–BBC Fail To Problem
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 6, 2023
“Sarcastically the BBC itself admitted their earlier experiences had been false, after their radio programme Extra or Much less investigated the matter right here. They got here to related conclusions, with an estimate of 10%.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Protest
Extinction Rise up “Quits” Uncivil Disobedience (Parliament revolt subsequent?)
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Jan 5, 2023
“Ed. be aware: That is Half III of a three-part sequence on eco-terrorism heading into the brand new 12 months. Half I reported on Bloomberg Inexperienced’s interview with eco-terrorist Andreas Malm. Half II reviewed Simply Cease Oil’s plan for elevated eco-incivility in 2023.”
“The ONLY factor that makes Civil Disobedience a someway noble factor is that the individuals who do it ACCEPT the results of breaking the legal guidelines.”
Increasing the Orthodoxy
No sacrifice is simply too giant
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 21, 2022
‘Saving the Darkish’ (Mild air pollution fanaticism)
By Robert Bradley Jr, Grasp Useful resource, Dec 21, 2022
Inexperienced extremists are reinventing feudalism by banning journey
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 6, 2023
New Zealand Carbon Farming
By Tony Orman, WUWT, Dec 24, 2022
Questioning European Inexperienced
Italy Plans An Power U-Flip, A Comeback To Nuclear Energy As Inexperienced Energies “Far From Ample”
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Dec 30, 2022
Dwelling Insulation Makes Little Distinction To Power Consumption–New Examine
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 1, 2023
“However as power effectivity improves, together with the price of issues we purchase, we have now more cash to spend in different methods. When it comes to power, most individuals, I believe, would use higher insulation to take pleasure in hotter houses, not cut back payments.
“Equally they’ll have a tendency to purchase conservatories and many others, which can improve power consumption. And, sure, individuals will open home windows to let recent air in – we have now our bed room home windows open at evening even in mid-winter.(Little doubt the Guardian can be horrified!)]
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
Our Killer Inexperienced Power Infatuation
The obsession with wind generators places tens of millions susceptible to freezing to dying of their houses.
By Vijay Jayaraj, American Greatness, Dec 29, 2022
“Within the Volunteer State, the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) introduced rolling blackouts to handle a scarcity in energy era. The announcement, which was a primary in its 89-year historical past, was a U-turn from TVA’s 2021 assertion that “rolling blackouts can be unlikely.” Blackouts left greater than 50,000 clients with out energy in freezing situations!”
Non-Inexperienced Jobs
Axing Keystone XL pipeline value hundreds of jobs, billions of {dollars}, Power Division says
By Ramsey Touchberry The Washington Occasions, Jan 6, 2022
https://www.washingtontimes.com/information/2023/jan/6/biden-axing-keystone-xl-pipeline-cost-thousands-jo/?utm_source=Boomtrain&utm_medium=handbook&utm_campaign=night&utm_term=night&utm_content=night&bt_ee=AbuUaIu7e9wt3oJGESihaeDN4pm0KG2sCGvsS0bVKOopercent3D&bt_ts=1673047828302
Transitioning away from coal leaves Navajo communities struggling
By Alice Fordham, NPR, Dec 29, 2022
https://www.npr.org/2022/12/29/1145952413/transitioning-away-from-coal-leaves-navajo-communities-struggling
“A speedy response crew was arrange – a part of a nationwide effort to assist coal-dependent communities. The Nationwide Laboratory at close by Los Alamos is main it, however they are saying truly financial transition isn’t speedy.”
[SEPP Comment: Think of all the green jobs from mining lithium and cobalt, elsewhere.]
Funding Points
2022: The 12 months ESG Fell to Earth
By Rupert Darwall, Actual Clear Power, Dec 27, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/27/2022_the_year_esg_fell_to_earth_872040.html
“Fairly than “doing nicely by doing good,” the logic of Keeley’s case, as I reviewed for RealClear Books, is that buyers in typical ESG funding merchandise are prone to find yourself not doing very nicely and go away buyers feeling good, not doing good.”
Can’t even give it away
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 21, 2022
“The destiny of western economies is within the palms of politicians expert at promising a veritable New Jerusalem of environmentally pristine high-tech employment. However amazingly, they will’t even throw cash out the window, the one talent that they’re fabled for possessing whilst just about all else that they contact wilts on contact.”
The Political Video games Proceed
2022 Revealed in Local weather Litigation: Failures, Duds
By William Allison, Power in Depth, Dec 29, 2022
https://eidclimate.org/what-2022-revealed-in-climate-litigation-coordination-failures-and-duds/
Litigation Points
Municipalities of Puerto Rico v. Exxon Mobil, Half 1
By Russel Prepare dinner, Through WUWT, Dec 24, 2022
Puerto Rico Greens Launch a RICO Lawsuit In opposition to Large Oil
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 21, 2022
“In 1982, Exxon produced an inner abstract doc of different individuals’s analysis. For the reason that doc turned public information, local weather activists have held up the interior memo as proof they “hid” their information of local weather change.
“However the doc comprises reasonably giant caveats, and like I mentioned, was based mostly on public area analysis.”
Subsidies and Mandates Perpetually
“… Authorities grants and loans and excessive diesel costs assist make hydrogen aggressive …”
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 27, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Will the need for subsidies ever stop?]
EPA and different Regulators on the March
EPA And The Electrical energy Price Disaster
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Jan 3, 2022
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2023-1-3-epa-and-the-electricity-cost-crisis
[SEPP Comment: According to the EPA, the costs of Germany’s energy transition to no fossil fuels has no bearing on the EPA’s insistence that carbon dioxide is a pollutant?]
Power Points – Non-US
Power Use 2020 to 2021
By Andy Could, WUWT, Jan 5, 2023
Column: ‘Consideration poor individuals, step away from the gasoline. It’s not for you. And cease utilizing it anyway. Thanks”
By Terry Etam, BOE Report, Dec 12, 2022 [H/t WUWT]
EU Approves a €28 Billion German Renewable Power Scheme
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 22, 2022
Local weather Objectives Thwarted As German Power Consumption Knowledge For 2022 Reveals A Return To Coal!
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Jan 6, 2023
Nuclear crops face shutdown over tax on windfalls
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 2, 2023
“Britain has Grow to be a Poorer Nation” – however is STILL Chasing NET ZERO
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 31, 2022
Power Points – Australia
NSW Authorities Seizes Management of Coal Markets
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 21, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Expanding authoritarian powers!]
Power Points — US
US Utilities Impose Blackouts, Concern Warnings Over Deep Freeze Energy Grid Pressure
By Jack Phillips, Epoch Occasions, Dec 25, 2022 [H/t Gordon Fuchs]
https://www.theepochtimes.com/mkt_app/us-utilities-impose-blackouts-issue-warnings-over-deep-freeze-power-grid-strain_4944618.html?utm_source=Information&src_src=Information&utm_campaign=breaking-2022-12-25-1&src_cmp=breaking-2022-12-25-1&utm_medium=e-mail&est=Lvopercent2Fyr54PUD8lq03abRtCcbWJpercent2BGoxo0mNjdb5qHUp9xBCfDrxsyGpercent2Fi9Ng7xFv9tnYLpercent2FR
Duke Power Apologizes for Winter Storm Renewable Power Failure, Rolling Blackouts
By Theresa Opeka, WUWT, Jan 6, 2023
“Duke Power’s ‘nuclear fleet’ was dependable, however photo voltaic era was unable to satisfy peak demand as a result of it occurred earlier than dawn.
“’The ability that we bought didn’t present up, subsequently, we had been confronted with the laborious fact that our power demand would quickly be eclipsed by our capability,’ said [Duke Energy’s NC president] Bowman.
New York Local weather Act Scoping Plan Permitted
By Roger Caiazza, WUWT, Dec 24, 2022
“The Local weather Act establishes a “Web Zero” goal (85% discount and 15% offset of emissions) by 2050. The Local weather Motion Council is chargeable for making ready the Scoping Plan that may define the best way to “obtain the State’s daring clear power and local weather agenda.” Briefly, that plan is to affect all the pieces potential and energy the electrical grid with zero-emissions producing assets by 2040.”
[SEPP Comment: Hope to get the electricity needed by damming rivers in northern Canada and from the solar center in Buffalo?]
On To The Nice Future Of Offshore Wind Energy
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Dec 19, 2022
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2022-12-19-on-to-the-great-future-of-offshore-wind-power
Washington’s Management of Power
Cowl Me, Half 4 – EPA Proposal Brings Third Events Into Combat In opposition to Methane ‘Tremendous-Emitters’
By Jason Lindquist, RBN Power, Dec 28, 2022
https://rbnenergy.com/cover-me-part-4-epa-supplemental-proposal-on-methane-takes-aim-at-super-emitters
Alaska offshore oil lease sale nets only one bid after being revived by Inflation Discount Act
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Dec 30, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Not the North Slope, Cook Inlet in southern Alaska coast.]
Oil and Pure Fuel – the Future or the Previous?
World Oil’s Prime Tales of 2022: 1-5
By World Oil Employees, World Oil, Dec 26, 2022
https://www.worldoil.com/information/2022/12/26/world-oil-s-top-stories-of-2022-1-5/
Inexperienced EU: The Huge Fuel Area No person will Contact
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 6, 2022
Return of King Coal?
International coal use hits all-time excessive: report
By Jared Gans, The Hill, Dec 17, 2022
Hyperlink to report: Coal 2022: Evaluation and forecast to 2025
By Employees, EIA, 2022
“International coal demand is about to rise in 2022 amid the upheaval of the power disaster”
“Coal utilized in electrical energy era, the most important consuming sector, is anticipated to develop by simply over 2% in 2022. In contrast, coal consumption in trade is anticipated to say no by over 1%, primarily pushed by falling iron and metal manufacturing amid the financial disaster.
“In August, coal energy era in China elevated by round 15% year-on-year to over 500 terawatt-hours (TWh). This month-to-month stage of era is larger than the full annual coal energy era of every other nation, besides India and america.”
“Robust development in renewables will provide lion’s share of extra energy demand, with coal and
gasoline filling the remaining modest hole”
20 International locations with the Largest Coal Reserves
By Ramish Cheema, Yahoo Finance, Dec 29, 2022
https://finance.yahoo.com/information/20-countries-biggest-coal-reserves-223229878.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cucmVhbGNsZWFyZW5lcmd5Lm9yZy8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAL5-lezntzgDQ3Xd0726L0ZUt52nt4FGrblP0Y2o2L_3bb44jcE9hMUf1y_JNttA7NKDrP0mG769uajEnfFUpxuadJoZI10fGE65a-7W5iWNenePTqPL6Z_A0iW59-mDjHuRNecPzmhAoOeVGjSkdABMyVgldKru13s7OMQww7OU
“5. Republic of India, Coal Reserves as of 2021: million brief tonnes; 4. Individuals’s Republic of China, Coal Reserves as of 2021: 157,487 million brief tonnes; 3. The Commonwealth of Australia, Coal Reserves as of 2021: 165,596 million brief tonnes; 2. Russian Federation, Coal Reserves as of 2021: 178,757 million brief tonnes; 1. United States of America, Coal Reserves as of 2021: 251,539 million brief tonnes”
Nuclear Power and Fears
Fusion Confusion
By Donn Dears, Energy for USA, Dec 28. 2022
Placing the fusion in confusion
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 21, 2022
DOE Affords $33 Million to Fund a Credible AI Fusion Proposal
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 25, 2022
“The DOE SC program in Fusion Power Sciences (FES) hereby proclaims its curiosity in purposes within the areas of Machine Studying (ML), Synthetic Intelligence (AI), and Knowledge Assets for fusion power and plasma sciences.”
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
House Based mostly Photo voltaic Energy: Like Terrestrial Photo voltaic, however Extra Costly
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 20, 2022
Photo voltaic Energy In Spain
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 3, 2023
“Simply so as to add my twopenn’orth, right here is the precise solar energy generated in Spain yesterday:”
[SEPP Comment: Just in time for siesta.]
Uncooked Materials Bottlenecks For A Web Zero Future
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 4, 2023
“I coated the work of Simon Michaux just a few months in the past. This newest video provides overview:”
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Different
Don’t It Make My Grey Methanol Blue? – Blue Hydrogen, Blue Ammonia, And Now Blue Methanol
By Housley Carr, RBN Power, Dec 22, 2022
https://rbnenergy.com/dont-it-make-my-grey-methanol-blue-blue-hydrogen-blue-ammonia-and-now-blue-methanol
“It’s too quickly to foretell how massive a job blue hydrogen, blue ammonia and blue methanol would possibly play within the power markets of the late 2020s and ’30s. What is evident, nonetheless, is that by way of beneficiant tax credit and different means the U.S. authorities is now offering the monetary incentives to assist prod super-low-carbon alternate options into the mainstream.”
[SEPP Comment: All part of the ill-conceived, ill-named Inflation Reduction Act, a classic of teenage thinking dominating Washington. All underwritten by corruption of the tax code, making methanol, a necessary but toxic chemical, “blue” by carbon capture and sequestering (CCS)? Is it less toxic?]
Hitachi Power Will Modernize HVDC System, Increase Supply of Canadian Hydropower to U.S.
By Sonal Patel, Energy, Dec 15, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Damming rivers in Canada so NYC can be Net Zero in electric power?]
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Storage
Astronomical battery value looms over “renewables”
By David Wojick, CFACT, Dec 15, 2022
https://www.cfact.org/2022/12/15/astronomical-battery-cost-looms-over-renewables/
“Based mostly on his work, which solely coated 48 states, our spherical working estimate of the required storage for the entire nation is a tremendous 250 million MWh. America at the moment has lower than 20 thousand MWh of grid scale battery storage, which is subsequent to nothing.
“Grid scale batteries at the moment value round $700,000 a MWh. For 250 million MWh we get an astronomical whole value of $175 trillion {dollars} simply to exchange at the moment’s fossil gasoline generated electrical energy wants with wind and photo voltaic.”
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Autos
How Did EVs Deal with America’s Arctic Blast?
By Ross Pomeroy, Actual Clear Science, Dec 29, 2022
https://www.realclearscience.com/weblog/2022/12/29/how_did_evs_handle_americas_arctic_blast_872663.html
“Whereas a typical ICE car might need its vary lowered by 15% to 25% in below-freezing temperatures, an EV’s vary might be slashed 20% to 50% relying upon driving pace, temperature, and inside local weather preferences.”
New USPS automobiles to be all electrical by 2026
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 20, 2022
“Within the Tuesday announcement, in the meantime, the service attributed the improve partially to $3 billion in funding from the Inflation Discount Act.”
New York sees failure in plan to transform rubbish vans to electrical
These examined can’t function for greater than 4 hours with no recharge
By Bob Unruh, WND, Dec 29, 2022 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
Environmental Business
Local weather Change Is Risk To Womxn – Greenpeace
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 4, 2023
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
7 surprising side-effects of local weather change
By Ian Shine, World Financial Discussion board, Dec 23, 2022
[SEPP Comment: The World Economic Forum is worried about sex-changing lizards, shrinking goats and the worsening quality of wine?]
Lecturers Pursue Challenge to ‘Decolonize Physics’
By Marc Morano, Through WUWT, Dec 22, 2022
Australia’s Voracious Termites Are Now “Pushed by Local weather Change”
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 1, 2023
[SEPP Comment: The methane they produce must be staggering!]
Aussie Scientists Freezing Coral to Shield them From Local weather Change
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 19, 2022
Convicted Local weather Activist: “we’d like … a distinct type of democracy”
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 2, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Where my views dominate?]
Melbourne Felling Bushes to Enhance Entry for “Inexperienced” Postal Deliveries
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 19, 2022
Paul Ehrlich Claims Vindication for his Local weather Disaster Prediction
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 3, 2022
ARTICLES
A Quiet Refutation of ‘Web Zero’ Carbon Emissions
Two power experiences present the U.S. is burdening and dismantling its grid to realize an not possible purpose.
By Steve Milloy, WSJ, Dec. 28, 2022
https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-quiet-refutation-of-net-zero-climate-change-emissions-energy-global-warming-sec-goals-clean-power-11672262963?mod=hp_opin_pos_3#cxrecs_s
Hyperlink to: Web-Zero 2050: U.S. Economic system-Vast Deep Decarbonization Situation Evaluation
By Employees, LCRI, Low-Carbon Assets Initiative, Electrical Energy Analysis Institute, 2022
https://lcri-netzero.epri.com/
Hyperlink to: 2022 Lengthy-Time period Reliability Evaluation
By Employees, NERC, North American Electrical Reliability Corp., December 2022
TWTW Abstract: Malloy writes:
“‘Web zero by 2050’ is greater than a slogan of local weather activism. It has develop into a chief organizational precept for multinational companies and the BlackRock-led cartel pushing environmental, social and company governance investing.
“‘Web zero’ was talked about in additional than 6,000 filings with the Securities and Change Fee in 2022 and numerous different instances by publicly traded companies and investor teams in statements and on their web sites. The SEC says its proposed local weather disclosure rule will assist buyers ‘consider the progress in assembly net-zero commitments and assessing any related dangers.’
“‘Web zero’ and its corollary, the ‘power transition,’ are talked about so typically and so loosely that many take them without any consideration as worthy targets that may very well be achieved with higher buy-in from political and enterprise leaders. However two new experiences from the utility trade ought to put an finish to such free discuss.”
Malloy brings up the Electrical Energy Analysis Institute report, linked above and writes:
“In different phrases, no quantity of wind generators, photo voltaic panels, hydropower, nuclear energy, battery energy, electrification of fossil-fuel applied sciences or energy-efficiency applied sciences will get us to web zero by 2050.
“Even to realize ‘deep decarbonization’—which isn’t web zero—by 2050, EPRI says, ‘a broad portfolio of choices that features low-carbon fuels and carbon elimination applied sciences might be required.’
“However ‘low-carbon fuels’—environment friendly biofuels—don’t exist. ‘Carbon elimination applied sciences’ aren’t potential to scale up, and in the event that they had been, it might value about $1 quadrillion—1,000,000 billion {dollars}—at at the moment’s costs to take away the 1.6 trillion tons of atmospheric carbon dioxide that U.S. local weather envoy John Kerry mentioned must be sucked ‘out of the ambiance even after we get to web zero.’
“There’s extra. The EPRI report states: ‘This research doesn’t embody an in depth evaluation of things akin to provide chain constraints [and] operational reliability and resiliency’ of a net-zero electrical energy grid.
“How a net-zero grid may very well be constructed and performance can be a problem price finding out if it had been potential within the first place. However it merely isn’t.
“So, barring some unexpected miracle know-how, ‘web zero by 2050’ received’t occur.
“The curious factor concerning the report is that it has largely remained an EPRI secret. There was no media protection of it. I came upon about it solely after I filed a shareholder proposal about web zero with the electrical utility Alliant Power. The corporate provided the report as a protection towards my proposal that administration clarify the way it deliberate to achieve its purpose of web zero by 2050.”
Malloy brings up the North American Electrical Reliability Corp report linked above and concludes:
“So, there you may have it: We’re dangerously dismantling our electrical grid whereas burdening it with extra demand in hope of achieving the purpose of ‘web zero by 2050,’ which the utility trade has admitted is a fantasy.
“Congress ought to maintain hearings on ‘web zero by 2050’ targets earlier than actual catastrophe occurs. It ought to usher in witnesses from utilities, public-service commissions, grid operators, regulators and the ESG cartel and have them clarify underneath oath how they plan to perform the not possible.”
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2. Will Local weather Change Actually Put New York Underwater?
NOAA says the town’s sea stage will rise a foot by 2050, however there are too many variables to know.
By Steven E. Koonin, WSJ, Jan. 4, 2023
https://www.wsj.com/articles/will-climate-change-really-put-new-york-underwater-nasa-noaa-salinity-global-temperature-average-11672829529?mod=hp_opin_pos_4#cxrecs_s
TWTW Abstract: Professor Koonin writes:
“A current Nationwide Aeronautics and House Administration report but once more raises alarm that New Yorkers are about to be inundated by quickly rising seas. However a evaluation of the information means that such warnings should be taken with various grains of sea salt.
“The file of sea stage measured on the southern tip of Manhattan, referred to as the Battery, begins in 1856. It exhibits that at the moment’s waters are 19 inches larger than they had been 166 years in the past, rising a mean of three.5 inches each 30 years. The geologic file exhibits that this rise started some 20,000 years in the past because the final nice glaciers melted, inflicting the New York shoreline to maneuver inland greater than 50 miles.
“There is no such thing as a query that sea stage on the Battery will proceed to rise in coming a long time, if solely as a result of the land has been steadily sinking about 2 inches each 30 years due to components together with tectonic movement, rebound from the mass of the glaciers, and native subsidence. Fairly, the query is whether or not rising human influences on the local weather will trigger sea stage to rise extra quickly. To evaluate that, we are able to evaluate current charges of rise with these prior to now, when human influences had been a lot smaller.
“The close by chart [not presented here] exhibits how a lot sea stage rose in the course of the 30 years prior to every 12 months since 1920. That [30 year] rise has different between 1.5 and 6 inches. The 5-inch rise over the latest 30 years is larger than the century lengthy common however isn’t unprecedented and exhibits no signal of accelerating.
“Because the Earth warms, modifications in sea stage on the Battery will rely partially on international modifications. These embody the lack of ice from mountain glaciers, Greenland and Antarctica in addition to the ocean’s enlargement because it warms. It’s very tough to foretell these modifications—many components affect ice loss, and the oceans take in solely 0.25% of the warmth flowing by way of the Earth’s local weather system. The 30-year rises within the latter half of the twentieth century had been diminished by about an inch as a result of filling of reservoirs behind dams and modifications in groundwater world wide.
“The Battery’s sea stage additionally is determined by native modifications within the sea and the sinking of the land. Most necessary is the pure variability of winds, currents such because the Gulf Stream, salinity and temperatures of the North Atlantic, which trigger variations in sea stage alongside your complete U.S. Northeast coast. Due to these many variables, local weather fashions can’t account for the ups and downs so evident within the graph.
“Regardless of this, the current NASA report echoes a February Nationwide Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration report predicting greater than 1 foot of rise on the Battery by 2050. Such an increase in the course of the coming 30 years can be greater than double the rise over the previous 30 years and greater than triple the previous century’s common. Much more remarkably, the NOAA report says this rise will occur no matter future greenhouse-gas emissions. There is no such thing as a method of figuring out if this prediction is appropriate.
“So, whereas New Yorkers ought to watch the waters round them, there isn’t any must sprint to larger floor. The Battery’s sea stage hasn’t finished something in current a long time that it hasn’t finished over the previous century. And though we’ll have to attend three a long time to check the expected 1-foot rise, measurements over the subsequent decade ought to inform us how rapidly we’ll want to boost the seawalls.”
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3. The 12 months in Exaggeration
Correcting the file on democracy’s dying, nasty railroads, killer hurricanes, and many others.
By Holman W. Jenkins, Jr., WSJ, Jan. 3, 2023
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-year-in-exaggeration-media-bias-hysteria-election-voters-railroads-2022-fbi-investigation-democracy-11672783427
Hyperlink to report: Inequitable patterns of US flood danger within the Anthropocene
By Oliver E. J. Wing, et al. Nature Local weather Change, Jan 31, 2022
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01265-6
TWTW Abstract: For TWTW, the important thing a part of the article is:
“Mr. Wing’s personal not too long ago revealed research signifies that anticipated will increase in U.S. flooding losses within the subsequent 30 years might be primarily resulting from elevated growth, not local weather change.
“The 12 months that ended noticed the expressions ‘existential’ and ‘local weather disaster’ develop into conjoined twins within the press. But a reader searched in useless for any point out {that a} long-awaited report from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change lowered its estimated path of future emissions and likewise judged the local weather to be much less vulnerable to worst-case warming than beforehand thought.”
