The Week That Was: 2022-10-29 (October 29, 2022)
Dropped at You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking
Quote of the Week: “We completely should go away room for doubt or there isn’t a progress and there’s no studying. There isn’t a studying with out having to pose a query. And a query requires doubt. Individuals seek for certainty. However there isn’t a certainty. Individuals are terrified — how are you going to dwell and never know? It isn’t odd in any respect. You solely suppose you understand, as a matter of truth. And most of your actions are based mostly on incomplete information and you actually don’t know what it’s all about, or what the aim of the world is, or know a substantial amount of different issues. It’s potential to dwell and never know.” — Richard Feynman, [H/t William Readdy]
Variety of the Week:$3.8 Trillion
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking (SEPP)
Scope: Among the many points mentioned are the next: One of many perplexing points coming from satellite tv for pc measurement of sea floor temperatures within the Pacific is the conclusion that there are two distinct varieties of what’s known as El Niño occasions. One sort is the normal El Niño, with a warming occurring off the coast of Peru stretching westward. It’s adopted by a La Niña, a cooling. These altering patterns give rise to the idea known as the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), naturally occurring occasions which change climate worldwide. The conventional part (impartial) is La Niña. A 3-month interval through the common temperature is greater than 0.5°C off regular is named an El Niño if optimistic, a La Niña if adverse
The second sort of El Niño is the Heat Pool El Niño, a warming of a part of the Pacific which isn’t adopted by a La Niña. In a lecture to the Irish Local weather Science Discussion board (ICSF) and the Local weather Intelligence Basis (CLINTEL) Professor Wyss Yim of Hong Kong College explains the 2 kinds of El Niños are distinctly completely different occasions, with the nice and cozy swimming pools shaped by underseas (submarine) volcanoes, not modifications in atmospheric and ocean climate patterns.
Final week, TWTW mentioned Ralph Alexander’s report on how Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) reviews are exaggerated starting with the IPCC Abstract for Policymakers. In response, AMO physicist Howard Hayden identified that IPCC reviews don’t get the essential science right in discussing the greenhouse impact. So, the exaggerators are exaggerating the IPCC science which relies on an exaggeration of the greenhouse impact.
Jim Steele has a considerate presentation on how unhealthy analyses produce unhealthy authorities insurance policies.
A bunch known as Involved Family Electrical energy Customers Council (CHECC) filed litigation within the US Courtroom of Appeals for the Washington DC Circuit in opposition to the EPA for its Endangerment Discovering. CHECC is ably represented by Francis Menton (Manhattan Contrarian) and Harry MacDougald. The clerks on the DC Circuit rejected the preliminary submitting on the bottom that it used an extreme variety of acronyms. Key elements of the transient are mentioned, and the science points introduced by William Happer and Richard Lindzen might be mentioned within the upcoming TWTW.
The Royal Society B revealed a paper the plasticity of corals in adapting the change ocean pH. Decreasing pH is falsely known as acidification. The oceans stay alkaline (pH above 7), apart from extremely localized situations. In CO2 Science, Craig Idso lined plasticity, the power of organisms to adapt to modifications in its surroundings. It’s good to see that the Royal Society B acknowledges this necessary attribute.
The UN is thrashing its warfare drums in making ready for its 27th annual Convention of Events to the UN Framework Conference on Local weather Change (COP 27) demanding a warfare on local weather change. There’s an outpouring of reviews from many UN entities. A couple of of the extra outrageous absurdities are mentioned.
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Ring of Hearth: In addressing altering local weather, usually confused with altering climate patterns, Professor Wyss Yim of Hong Kong College notes that we should think about numerous patterns so as of significance. The primary order of significance is astronomical forcing and the solar which give rise to world modifications similar to glacial/interglacial cycles, regional modifications similar to monsoons seasons and day-to-day modifications similar to altering temperature in the midst of a day, and in the midst of the seasons.
The second order of significance is geothermal warmth/plate climatology which may change local weather domestically, regionally, and globally. Brief time period occasions, similar to main volcanoes can change climate situations for a number of years. The 1815 volcanic eruption of Mount Tambora in Indonesia, essentially the most highly effective volcano in recorded human historical past disrupted climate patterns and temperatures globally, leading to a “yr with no summer season” in North America. It resulted in epidemic of ailments and demise in Europe. It’s estimated that common summer season temperatures within the Northern Hemisphere cooled by 0.53 °C (0.95 °F), leading to failed harvests and famine. This exhibits why cooling is extra harmful to human well being than warming.
In keeping with Yim, human induced local weather change is of third order of significance. We’ve got to totally perceive the primary two earlier than we will attribute change to human causes, and we don’t.
There are three kinds of volcanoes which ship plumes penetrating to the stratosphere. One, the well known terrestrial volcanoes for which the volcanic eruption index (volcanic explosivity index, VEI) has been developed. The classifications are on a scale of zero to eight, zero, with negligible injection of fabric into the troposphere and eight, with huge injection of fabric into the stratosphere. (The final VEI-8 volcanic eruption was Taupo in New Zealand 26,500 years in the past.) Typically, terrestrial volcanoes end in a cooling, however launch water vapor, which causes warming in arid areas, similar to deserts and the polar areas.
A second sort of volcanoes is submarine, which happen beneath the floor of the oceans. As geologist Ian Plimer writes in heaven and earth, these aren’t properly understood. The third sort are blended, ensuing within the formation of latest islands, normally within the Pacific alongside geological plates, “The Ring of Hearth.”
The 1982 eruption of El Chichón in Mexico (VEI of 5, as was Mount St. Helens in 1980) resulted in Hong Kong having the second wettest yr on report. The 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo (VEI 6) resulted in a drought yr with the change in atmospheric circulation. The volcanic cloud disrupted a tropical cyclone. These prompted Professor Yim to check volcanoes.
Thankfully, we now have superior instrumentation to check volcanoes we can not see, such because the coordinated group of earth observing satellites that cross the equator northbound about 1:30 pm on the native photo voltaic time. It’s known as the Afternoon Constellation, the A-Practice. Additionally, there’s the ARGO ocean community of floats observing temperatures, salinity, and currents of the oceans beginning this century.
Sadly, the power to watch the results of submarine (subsurface) volcanoes within the oceans provides rise to many false claims from people and organizations, together with the IPCC, who don’t perceive the greenhouse impact. The infrared radiation radiated downward by greenhouse gases can not penetrate the oceans past one millimeter (lower than 1/16th of an inch, 0.04 inches). Thus, greenhouse gasoline warming can not trigger vital ocean warming with out vital, persistent, atmospheric warming elevating world temperatures. But, the IPCC and lots of of its followers insist that it does with no foundation for the declare.
For instance, volcanic exercise off El Hierro of the Canary Islands induced the Atlantic Ocean to boil instantly above that location, cooking fish. As Yim states, this was shortly blamed on carbon dioxide (CO2) warming. Additional, the volcanic warming was transported to the Arctic, inflicting a discount in sea ice, additionally blamed on CO2 warming.
In 2012 to 2016 a extremely localized ocean warming occurred within the Pacific northwest, cooking crabs and different ocean life, and when broadened grew to become often known as the Pacific Blob. Once more, CO2 was instantly blamed. As Yim states, underseas volcanic eruptions could cause extended modifications in native local weather that’s falsely attributed to CO2. Sea water temperatures off the US west coast from Portland to Mexico have been hotter in 2015-16 than in 1997-98. CO2 was blamed. Nonetheless, when these occasions are over, the warming disappears however the false claims stay.
Professor Yim concludes by stating that polar sea-ice modifications might be defined by ocean warmth waves attributable to volcanic exercise, quite than by CO2-caused warming. Local weather modeling must be improved to account for affect of volcanic eruptions on atmospheric and oceanic circulation. Lacking warmth attributed to CO2 within the oceans is best defined by geothermal warmth from submarine eruptions.
“Volcanic eruptions as a pure explanation for local weather variability (each cooling and warming) is underestimated … Earth is dynamic.”
Yim’s explanations of volcanic warming present a greater understanding of the peaks discovered within the atmospheric temperature report, significantly the height of 2016. Additionally they present a greater understanding of the variability of Arctic Sea ice soften and the heartbeat of heat water that was noticed going by the Bering Strait, leading to alarming reviews in 2018. The IPCC blamed it on growing CO2. The IPCC and its followers are so ideologically pushed that bodily proof means nothing to them. See hyperlinks below Difficult the Orthodoxy, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volcanic_explosivity_index, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argo_(oceanography), , and https://atrain.nasa.gov/.
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Getting the Fundamentals Unsuitable: In utilizing fundamental physics to develop a easy vitality constraint equation, AMO physicist Howard Hayden cited the superb work of Wijngaarden and Happer for the calculation the results of greenhouse gases on earth’s temperatures for the 5 extensively thought-about greenhouse gases. So as of significance, water vapor is most necessary, CO2 is secondary, and the opposite gases, together with methane, are insignificant. Hayden’s essays on the mannequin are discovered on the SEPP web site.
As final week’s TWTW was being completed for distribution, Hayden identified a serious error in the principle physique of the IPCC Sixth Evaluation Report (AR6, 2021). Hayden wrote:
“SSP2-4.5 (Shared Socio-economic Pathway #2, TOTAL radiative forcing of 4.5 W/m2 — [from] all modifications in greenhouse gases from all gases, all modifications in albedo, no modifications in photo voltaic output), supposedly ends in 2.7ºC temperature rise. That is bodily not possible.
“This graph [SSP2-4.5 not shown] comes from the TECHNICAL part, so the issue doesn’t lie fully with the SPM, the political hacks, and the media. The ‘local weather scientists’ don’t apply Stefan-Boltzmann to their projections, and so they totally fail to know the Planetary Warmth Stability.”
In keeping with the Stefan Boltzmann legislation, a warming of two.7ºC requires a rise of 14.8 W/m2 (watts per sq. meter) in floor IR (infrared) emission and the IPCC vary requires a variety: 11.3 to 19 W/m2 enhance in floor IR emission. There isn’t a bodily proof of such a drastic enhance. So, the whole IPCC report relies on an inaccurate exaggeration of what’s really occurring. Additionally, Hayden wrote:
“The projected temperature rise within the graph [Shared Socio-economic Pathway #2] allegedly happens by 2080-2100 and isn’t essentially the equilibrium scenario. Assuming that every one numbers are true, then we now have disequilibrium with extra warmth going to area than is absorbed from the solar. The floor should subsequently be cooling.
“How in thunder does IPCC get to that overheated state?
“They clearly don’t perceive fundamental physics.”
A lot for the local weather scientists who declare that their fashions are based mostly on “First Ideas.” See http://www.sepp.org/science_papers.cfm
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Dangerous Evaluation, Dangerous Coverage: Ecologist Jim Steele produced one other considerate video how on discipline journeys to meadows, his college students instantly insisted that examples of unhealthy land-use insurance policies have been examples of the evils of CO2-caused local weather change.
“In distinction, as an ecologist I needed to think about panorama modifications, geological historical past, modifications to hydrology, organic interactions, in addition to climate and pure local weather modifications. And I had been observing these results for 15 years.”
Steele goes into different poorly understood ideas similar to wildfires, flooding, altering climate, and inconsiderate “options” to those issues. A number of the issues are human induced however unrelated to growing CO2. See hyperlinks below Difficult the Orthodoxy.
Into the Pit: Ably represented by Francis Menton (Manhattan Contrarian) and Harry MacDougald, a bunch known as Involved Family Electrical energy Customers Council (CHECC) filed litigation within the US Courtroom of Appeals for the Washington DC Circuit in opposition to the EPA for its Endangerment Discovering. The DC Circuit Courtroom is loaded with judges who think about bureaucratic decision-making as infallible. Thus, the go well with has little likelihood of success. However it could result in an necessary paper path. Point out writes in his weblog, the Manhattan Contrarian:
Whenever you check out the transient, you will notice that we’re immediately and overtly difficult the pretend science of predicted catastrophic human-caused world warming from GHGs..(No rule on extreme use of acronyms right here at MC.).On this we be a part of our amicus the CO2 Coalition, whose transient was filed on October 21, and mentioned right here on this publish on October 22..Each the Coalition and CHECC comply with the essential principle of the scientific methodology of seeking to see whether or not there are observational knowledge which might be inconsistent with and subsequently invalidate the speculation put forth by the proponents. Each the Coalition and CHECC discover such knowledge. Each briefs then quote the well-known line of physicist Richard Feynman, ‘If it disagrees with experiment, it’s incorrect.’ Nothing very difficult about that.
Menton goes into the similarity between this combat and the issues Galileo and Kepler, who insisted that planetary motion was heliocentric, had with those that insisted it was geocentric. The details within the CHECC transient are:
- “EPA makes use of sure official ‘floor temperature’ information, derived from authorities companies NOAA and NASA, as its temperature historical past. CHECC exhibits that EPA had no knowledge for these sequence for many of the world previous to 2000, together with none for everything of the Southern Hemisphere oceans (about 40% of the earth’s floor proper there)..To fill the hole, it merely fabricated knowledge by pc algorithm to create a report in line with its desired outcomes.
- “EPA claims that the warming in its (flawed) temperature information can solely be defined by human influences. However CHECC exhibits {that a} structural evaluation of credible temperature sequence from satellites and balloons, after backing out influences solely from sure enumerated pure components (ocean currents, volcanoes, and photo voltaic variations), leaves no statistically vital warming left to be defined by human influences.
- “EPA claims its speculation is supported by a particular warming sample within the tropical troposphere, often known as the ‘scorching spot.’ CHECC exhibits that the tropical ‘scorching spot’ doesn’t exist within the real-world knowledge.”
The subsequent TWTW will focus on the transient by Professors Happer and Lindzen and the CO2 Coalition. See hyperlink below Litigation Points.
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Bandwagon Rolling: Dad and mom who raised youngsters might have encountered the dilemma that when many youngsters are caught in a fib, they inform an even bigger fib. So, it’s the case of the IPCC and different UN entities. To construct as much as the upcoming COP 27, UN entities and its supporters are releasing reviews which might be approaching absurdity. The checklist is spectacular. It contains:
UN Setting Programme claims “The Emissions Hole Report 2022 finds that the world should minimize emissions by 45 per cent to keep away from world disaster. Options to remodel societies exist, however the time for collective, multilateral motion is now.” TWTW asserts that by eliminating its elevated emissions, China can cease the “world disaster” all by itself. Who will drive it?
Carbon Transient claims: “If nations meet their 2030 Nationally Decided Contributions (NDCs) below the phrases of the Paris Settlement world temperatures would seemingly find yourself round 2.2C to 2.4C, whereas reaching bold net-zero pledges would restrict warming to round 1.7C.”
“Elsewhere, a joint evaluation from a number of analysis institutes, similar to Local weather Motion Tracker and the World Assets Institute (WRI), finds that the world shouldn’t be doing sufficient to achieve its 2030 local weather targets throughout 40 completely different indicators, starting from red-meat manufacturing and deforestation by to local weather finance and inexperienced hydrogen manufacturing.” In distinction, TWTW asserts that not one of the temperature claims from growing CO2 are supported by bodily proof that CO2 is the trigger.
UNICEF claims nearly each little one on Earth will face frequent warmth waves by 2050 and that this yr and that this yr is “coldest yr of the remainder of their lives.” TWTW asserts that the affect of accelerating CO2 can not stop one other Ice Age.
The Worldwide Power Administration reviews: “World Power Outlook 2022 exhibits the worldwide vitality disaster generally is a historic turning level in the direction of a cleaner and safer future.” TWTW asserts there’s nothing safe about unreliable electrical energy.
See hyperlinks below: Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science.
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Plasticity: CO2 Science produced a lot of reviews of plasticity of ocean life. For the plasticity of corals revealed by The Royal Society B, see hyperlinks below Acidic Waters,
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Variety of the Week: $3.8 Trillion: TWTW has been unable to trace the large subsidies and different spending going into different electrical energy technology, specifically photo voltaic and wind energy. In keeping with reviews, Jeff Currie of Goldman Sachs claimed it has been $3.8 Trillion over the previous ten years. The share of fossil fuels used dropped from 82% of whole vitality used to 81%. But the full use of fossil fuels continues to increase. The silly leaders of western Governments have claimed that their jurisdiction will go Web Zero in just a few years? See hyperlink below Funding Points and Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
Censorship
Elon Musk buys Twitter “to empower citizen journalism”. No marvel the left is scared.
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Oct 28, 2022
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About World Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
World Sea-Stage Rise: An Analysis of the Information
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Could 20, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy
Transient of Amici Curiae Dr. William Happer, Dr Richard Lindzen, and the CO2 Coalition in Help of Petitioners and Reversal
USCA Case #22-1139, Filed Oct 21, 2022
Volcanic Eruptions, a Driver of Pure Local weather Variability – ignored by IPCC
By Professor Wyss Yim, ICSF and CLINTEL, Oct 28, 2022
Local weather Concern Mongering: Dangerous Analyses Produce Dangerous Treatments
By Jim Steele A Stroll On the Pure Aspect, Oct 26, 2022
Textual content: https://perhapsallnatural.blogspot.com/2022/10/climate-fear-mongering-bad-analyses.html
Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pZIlMwGIVCI
Info and Lies about Cattle and Methane
By Walter Starck, Quadrant, Oct 25, 2022
Local weather Debate Belmont RSL twenty fifth October 2022
By David Archibald, The Wentworth Report, Oct 28, 2022
Defending the Orthodoxy
Decreasing demand is the most effective response to OPEC’s oil manufacturing cuts
By Matt Catsale and Tony Dutzik, The Hill, Oct 22, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Authors ignore that US can be independent of OPEC.]
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
Emissions Hole Report 2022: The Closing Window
By Employees, UN Setting Programme, Oct 27, 2022
[SEPP Comment: By eliminating its emissions, China can stop the “global catastrophe” by itself. Who will make it?]
UNEP: Assembly world local weather targets now requires ‘fast transformation of societies’
By A number of Authors, Carbon Transient, Oct 27, 2022
“Elsewhere, a joint evaluation from a number of analysis institutes, similar to Local weather Motion Tracker and the World Assets Institute (WRI), finds that the world shouldn’t be doing sufficient to achieve its 2030 local weather targets throughout 40 completely different indicators, starting from red-meat manufacturing and deforestation by to local weather finance and inexperienced hydrogen manufacturing.”
Virtually each little one on Earth will face frequent warmth waves by 2050: UNICEF
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Oct 26, 2022
Hyperlink to report: The coldest yr of the remainder of their lives
Defending youngsters from the escalating impacts of heatwaves
By Employees, UNICEF, October 2022
Local weather change-fueled warmth waves have value the world’s economic system trillions: examine
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Oct 28, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Globally unequal impact of maximum warmth on financial development
By Christopher “Callahan, and Justin Mankin, AAAS Science Advances Oct 28, 2022
““Virtually no nation on Earth has benefitted from the intense warmth that has occurred,’ Mankin stated.”
[SEPP Comment: Decline of deaths from starvation is of no benefit?]
Increased gasoline costs may result in cleaner vitality: report
By Julia Mueller, The Hill, Oct 27, 2022
Hyperlink to report: World Power Outlook 2022 exhibits the worldwide vitality disaster generally is a historic turning level in the direction of a cleaner and safer future
For the primary time, world demand for every of the fossil fuels exhibits a peak or plateau throughout all WEO eventualities, with Russian exports specifically falling considerably because the world vitality order is reshaped
By Employees, IEA, Oct 27, 2022
World is in its ‘first really world vitality disaster’ – IEA’s Birol
By Emily Chow and Muyu Xu, Reuters, Oct 25, 2022
Pledges to chop emissions are inadequate to deal with local weather change: UN
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Oct 26, 2022
Hyperlink to report: Nationally decided contributions below the Paris Settlement. Synthesis report by the secretariat
By Employees, UNFCCC, Oct 26, 2022
From the report: “106. Most Events (75 per cent) supplied data associated to gender of their NDCs and a few (39 per cent) affirmed that they’ll take gender into consideration in implementing them.”
“107. Many Events (52 per cent) referred to related insurance policies and laws, and a few (28
per cent) affirmed a common dedication to gender equality, whereas some (38 per cent)
included data on how gender had been or was deliberate to be mainstreamed in NDC
implementation, and lots of (46 per cent) on particular instruments and strategies, similar to gender
analyses or assessments, gender indicators, gender-disaggregated knowledge, and gender responsive budgeting, and some (6 per cent) included gender as a criterion for prioritizing
actions.”
[SEPP Comment: The gender of CO2 is important in determining its warming effects?]
Local weather Questions: How do we all know people triggered warming?
By Seth Borenstein, AP, Oct 24, 2022
“However carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels is now trapping warmth to the extent of two.07 watts per meter squared, greater than 20 occasions that of the modifications within the solar, based on the U.S. Environmental Safety Company. Methane, one other highly effective heat-trapping gasoline, is at 0.5 watts per meter sq..”
[SEPP Comment: No carbon dioxide before human use of fossil fuels? Plants disagree.]
Local weather change threatening world well being–Lancet
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 28, 2022
“Sure, it’s that point of yr once more. With COP27 looming, the Lancet publish their newest fraudulent examine:”
Hyperlink to press launch of the report: The 2022 World Report of the Lancet Countdown
By Employees, Lancet Company, 2022
“And as they do yearly, the Lancet completely ignore their very own examine which exhibits that chilly kills about 20 occasions as many individuals than warmth [kills]. That is even the case in what we’d regard as scorching nations:”
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Huge Local weather Brother Coming Your Method (voluntary now, obligatory later)
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Oct 27, 2022
Faux Science Fuels Local weather Extremism
By David Barker, American Institute for Financial Analysis, Oct 25, 2022
“The most effective financial mannequin, validated by a Nobel Prize for William Nordhaus, exhibits that if nothing is completed to cut back emissions, warming will scale back world GDP by about three % by the yr 2100. If world GDP continues to develop on the price it has been rising, then the world in 2100 might be 5 occasions richer than it’s at the moment. A 3-percent discount in GDP would make us 4.8 occasions richer as a substitute of 5.0 occasions.”
The mysterious factor worse than warming
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Oct 26, 2022
Hyperlink to: The freakish winter that turned Europe right into a wasteland
“Individuals ice-skated on the canals of Venice, church bells broke when rung, and vacationers may cross the Baltic Sea on horseback. The winter of 1709 in the end claimed the lives of an enormous variety of Europeans and disrupted two main wars—however to at the present time, there isn’t a conclusive concept for its trigger.” Subscriber Unique
WMO: “Extra unhealthy information for the planet: greenhouse gasoline ranges hit new highs”
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Oct 27, 2022
In case you have been considering it could’t preserve getting worse
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Oct 26, 2022
“’ “It might be one factor if there was a viable choice to speed up a transition to, however the selection isn’t between soiled oil and a few clear, plentiful and dependable unicorn gas. It’s a selection between increasing the more and more environment friendly extraction of oil and gasoline, supplemented by renewables, on one aspect, and a world stuffed with shortages and better and better gas prices on the opposite.’”
Put Mining to Work Regardless of Objections From Greens
By Dan Ervin, Actual Clear Power, Oct 26, 2022
Pure gasoline ban threats spark concern for eating places
“This is a matter that significantly, uniquely impacts restauranteurs in that it impacts the very product that we’re serving.”
By Gianna Melillo, Altering America, Oct. 25, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Induction baking?]
Power and Environmental Evaluation: October 24, 2022
By John Droz, Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Oct 24, 2022
After Paris!
UN COP27 Blueprint: Extra Authorities, Extra Debt, Extra Taxes
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Oct 28, 2022
Flop 27: UN Local weather Summit Heading for Geopolitical Hurricane – Ukraine Conflict Has Set the Stage for Backsliding
By Marc Morano, By way of WUWT, Oct 27, 2022
COP27 — the Camel’s nostril of Loss and Injury enters the talks
By David Wojick, CFACT, Oct 28, 2022
Give Us The Cash
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 26, 2022
New UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak skipping COP27 local weather summit
By Julia Mueller, The Hill, Oct 27, 2022
Somalia Say Drought Is Due To Local weather Change, As They Demand Billions
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 27, 2022
“Undoubtedly the truth that La Nina is now in its third yr has exacerbated the drought, however inhabitants development, a ten-fold enhance since 1950, is the principle cause why droughts like these, that are completely pure and customary occasions, now have such a human impression. The lengthy working civil warfare, in fact, has hardly helped issues both.”
Change in US Administrations
Joe Toomey’s Searing Indictment of President Biden’s Power Insurance policies
By Robert Bryce, Actual Clear Power, Oct 26, 2022
Hyperlink to report: Power Inflation Was by Design
By Joseph Toomey, Actual Clear Power, Sep 2022
“Certainly, Toomey lays out his case proper firstly, saying the present vitality provide and value disaster ‘was a deliberate end result of a coverage that Biden promised to implement, the identical one which Obama had supported throughout his time in workplace…It would evaluation how and why we arrived right here, why report vitality costs weren’t happenstance, why home standard vitality provides are insufficient in relation to ranges of demand seen in recent times, and the way the whole thrust of Obama’s—and now Biden’s—vitality coverage was designed to ship these outcomes. It’s not a bug however a core characteristic of his program.’”
Biden to attend COP27 world local weather summit
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Oct 28, 2022
[SEPP Comment: How much will his pledges cost the US taxpayer?]
Studying All of the Unsuitable Classes From America’s Power Disaster
By Jakob Puckett, Actual Clear Power, Oct 23, 2022
Issues within the Orthodoxy
Wind farm in Germany is being dismantled to increase coal mine
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 26, 2022
“Am I the one one to really feel insulted by the BBC, Committee on Local weather Change, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard and the remainder of the inexperienced mafia, who always inform us that Britain is lagging behind the remainder of the world in preventing local weather change?”
Russia Ships Document Volumes of Gasoline and Steelmaking Coal to China
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 26, 2022
Looking for a Frequent Floor
Meridional Transport, essentially the most elementary local weather variable
By Andy Could, WUWT, Oct 25, 2022
Science, Coverage, and Proof
Dangerous Power Coverage Concepts By no means Die
By Michelle Michot Foss & Lucian Pugliaresi, Actual Clear Power, Oct 25, 2022
Sunak’s ‘ban’ on home shale gasoline is an financial blunder that can worsen Britain’s vitality disaster
Web Zero Watch at the moment expressed dismay and profound remorse that the incoming Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, has caved in to strain from eco-activists and the inexperienced wing of his personal get together, and reinstated the ‘ban’ on shale gasoline exploration in England.
Press Launch, Web Zero Watch, Oct 26, 2022
Measurement Points — Floor
New Examine: Southeastern US Cooling Since The 1800s Related With Elevated Precipitation
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Oct 27, 2022
Hyperlink to check by Christy and McNieder: Time Sequence Development of Summer time Floor Temperatures for Alabama, 1883–2014, and Comparisons with Tropospheric Temperature and Local weather Mannequin Simulations
By John R. Christy and Richard T. McNider, Journal of Utilized Meteorology and Climatology, Mar 1, 2016
Hyperlink to newest paper: Southeastern United States Hydroclimate Throughout Holocene Abrupt Local weather Occasions: Proof From New Stalagmite Isotopic Data From Alabama
By Martín Medina-Elizalde, et al. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, February 2022
The progressive enhance of the City Warmth Island’s affect on temperature information
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Oct 26, 2022
From the CO2Science Archive.
Altering Climate
Drought-Stricken Mississippi River slows or halts grain barge site visitors
By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, ICECAP, Oct 24, 2022
“The drought was anticipated on this third yr of La Nina. Observe on this plot of US drought and El Nino (purple) and La Nina (blue), drought protection within the US spikes in La Ninas, particularly multiyear and powerful ones.” [Plot not shown here]
“However you’ll discover the yields these latest drought years was a lot greater that 2012 and particularly 1988. The reason being elevated irrigation in locations like Nebraska and western Kansas and drought resistant corn and likewise will increase within the important pure fertilizer, CO2. BTW, 1993 dropped due to report flooding in a robust El Nino with assist from seeding from Pinatubo.”
The nice Australian drought continues, apart from all of the rain
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Oct 26, 2022
Britain’s Wild Climate – 1960
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 24, 2022
Texas Longest Heatwave
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Oct 27, 2022
Altering Local weather
Let’s Speak About REAL Local weather Cataclysms
By Paul Driessen, WUWT, Oct 26, 2022
One other Examine Says Europe Was At Instances Hotter Throughout The Final Glacial When CO2 Ranges Have been 40% Decrease
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Oct 24, 2022
Hyperlink to newest paper: Limnological modifications and chironomid-inferred summer season air temperature from the Late Pleniglacial to the Early Holocene within the East Carpathians
By Mónika Tóth, et al. Quaternary Analysis, 2022
Altering Seas
The Fantasy About World Warming Killing Off Ocean Life
By Vijay Jayaraj, Actual Clear Markets, Oct 28, 2022
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Greenland Mass Stability
By Andy Could, WUWT, Oct 24, 2022
Antarctic ozone gap shrinks barely
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Oct 26, 2022
Setting influences coral’s resilience to acidification
Examine seems to be at how coral samples from Australia’s Nice Barrier Reef fare in acidic situations
Press Launch, NSF, Oct 24, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Environmental reminiscence gained from publicity to excessive pCO2 variability promotes coral mobile acid–base homeostasis
By Kristen T. Brown, et al. Proceedings of the Royal Society B, Sep 14, 2022
Agriculture Points & Concern of Famine
‘GMOs,’ Pesticides: Earth-Pleasant Instruments Environmentalists Ought to Love
By Cameron “English, ACSH, Oct 24, 2022
Decreasing Requirements
The Warmists Cop a Plea
By Norman Rogers, American Thinker, Oct 28, 2022
“The worldwide warming doom concept is extra science fiction than science, however a fiction that is superb for the professors who invented the idea. Local weather science was an obscure nook of academia till the professors bought the concept by burning fossil fuels and emitting carbon dioxide mankind will set off a catastrophic change within the local weather.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
Unplug the fridge: UK gears up for laborious chilly winter and BBC secretly plans for a nationwide blackout
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Oct 26, 2022
BBC Frightened That Svalbard Is As Sizzling As In 1922
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 28, 2022
“In between [the record from 1920 to today] in fact Svalbard went by a drastic cooling episode within the Sixties and 70s. And it’s from this unusually chilly base interval that the BBC declare their 4C of warming.
“Solely charlatans would play this trick.”
What Does The BBC Anticipate Svalbard To Do When Its Coal Mine Is Shut?
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 28, 2022
From BBC: “if the fastest-warming place on earth can’t quit fossil fuels, what hope for in all places else?”
If World Warming Does Not Get You, The Area Particles Will!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 28, 2022
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Imprecise?
Air air pollution can amplify results of local weather change, new examine finds
First analysis to simulate how aerosol air pollution impacts local weather and air high quality
Press Launch, NSF, Oct 24, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Geographically resolved social value of anthropogenic emissions accounting for each direct and climate-mediated results
By Jennifer Burney, AAAS Science Advances, Sep 23, 2022
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
Overwhelmed By Junk Science
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Oct 27, 2022
Renewable Power
By Employees, Heart for Local weather and Power Options, Accessed Oct 26, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Typical statistical tricks. Modern renewables are defined as hydropower, biomass, solar, geothermal, wind and ocean power. According to the graph, from 2009 to 2019 modern renewables went up from 8.7% to 11.2% of total final energy consumption while fossil fuels styed approximately the same, 80.3% and 80.2%. However, the total consumption of fossil fuels grew more than modern renewables. Precise numbers are not given. According to the EIA, in 2009 fossil fuels were 427,658 quad BTU and Renewables (and other) 41,348. Then in 2019 fossil fuels were 507,772 and Renewables were 68,856. Much of the growth in renewables has come from other (dung, gathered wood, etc.) and not reducing fossil fuels.]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Do a Ballot?
2 in 3 say not sufficient is being performed to combat local weather change in US: survey
By Brad Gown, The Hill, Oct 25, 2022
Hyperlink to ballot: Individuals don’t suppose the federal government is doing sufficient to fight local weather change
Amidst deep partisan divides on local weather coverage, solely a 3rd of the general public suppose the Inflation Discount Act will have an effect on combatting local weather change.
By Employees, AP and NORC, Oct 25, 2022
Hyperlink to questions: The September 2022 AP-NORC Heart Ballot
Speaking Higher to the Public – Go Private.
Shallow Warmists Strike Once more
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Oct 27, 2022
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda
The BBC’s Hurricane Unreality Checked
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 26, 2022 [with Net Zero Watch]
Video
Speaking Higher to the Public – Protest
NYC Hates Its Center-Class Householders
By Jane Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Oct 28, 2022
New Zealand farmers protest livestock ‘burp and fart’ tax
By Ryland JAMES
Wellington (AFP) Oct 20, 2022
“Blood on their Fingers”: Two Ladies Die, together with a Mom of 4, in Local weather Protest Site visitors Chaos
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Oct 24, 2022
Monday Mirthiness #juststopoil funded by – oil heiress
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Oct 24, 2022
Increasing the Orthodoxy
Biden indicators local weather treaty geared toward limiting greenhouse gases utilized in refrigeration
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Oct 28, 20222
[SEPP Comment: Air conditioning and refrigeration costs increasing!]
Christian Assist Demand Local weather Justice
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 25, 2022
“Demand justice for God’s Earth?”
Questioning European Inexperienced
How Dare They?
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 24, 2022
“’ Sweden’s new right-wing authorities has sparked an outcry after scrapping the Ministry of Setting in a transfer the opposition has branded ‘devastating’.’”
Polish Chief Calls German Power Coverage “A Curse, Fiasco”…2/3 Of Eating places Face Chapter!
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Oct 28, 2022
German Business Involved About Provide Of Uncooked Supplies Wanted For Inexperienced Transition
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 21, 2022
Nova Scotia touted its big ‘inexperienced’ vitality plant. Seems it’s powered by coal
By Joan Baxter, The Guardian, Oct 26, 2022
“The ‘inexperienced’ hydrogen produced to ship ammonia to Europe might be partly powered by the fossil gas to start with, a joint investigation discovered”
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
Web Zero Bombshell: The World Does Not Have Sufficient Lithium and Cobalt to Substitute All Batteries Each 10 Years – Finnish Authorities Report
By Chris Morrison, The Every day Sceptic, Oct 22, 2022
Hyperlink to report: Evaluation of the Further Capability Required of Various Power Electrical Energy Programs to Fully Substitute Fossil Fuels
By Simon P. Michaux, Geological Survey of Finland, Aug 20, 2021
Non-Inexperienced Jobs
BASF To Downsize In Europe As a result of Of Excessive Power Prices & Overregulation
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 28, 2022
Destruction Of German Heritage…430 Yr Outdated Household Craft Bakery Succumbs To “Inexperienced Revolution”
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Oct 26, 2022
Funding Points
Goldman Sachs’ Jeff Currie: ‘$3.8 Trillion of Funding in Renewables Moved Fossil Fuels from 82% to 81% of General Power Consumption’ in 10 Years
By Marc Morano, Local weather Depot, Oct 21, 2022
Re-Finking the entire thing
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Oct 26, 2022
“One nice advantage of markets is that everybody doesn’t make the identical mistake concurrently, as they far too usually do in politics. If most financiers suppose oil is a loser, it solely takes one with the other view to begin correcting the scenario, as earnings movement away from the mistaken herd to the perceptive maverick.”
Fixing the scarcity by prolonging it and vice versa
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Oct 26, 2022
“And simply as Margaret Thatcher famously stated that ‘The issue with socialism is that you simply ultimately run out of different individuals’s cash’ so the issue with the vitality transition is that you simply ultimately run out of different individuals’s vitality… and their cash.”
Litigation Points
CHECC Transient Difficult CO2 Endangerment Discovering Now Publicly Obtainable
By Francs Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Oct 25, 2022
Biden fends off problem to local weather accounting metric
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Oct 21, 2022
[SEPP Comment: No calculation of how much warming and increasing CO2 benefits society!]
Cap-and-Commerce and Carbon Taxes
It Pollutes, So Tax It!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Oct 27, 2022
Hyperlink to report: It Pollutes, So Tax It
Want We Say Extra About Carbon Dioxide,
By Peter Hartley, With responses from Ross McKitrick and Robert Lyman, GWPF, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Who will enforce a tax bill on China?]
EPA and different Regulators on the March
Emperor penguins be a part of polar bears on ESA checklist of threatened species based mostly on flawed local weather fashions
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Oct 26, 2022
Power Points – Non-US
Nationwide Grid warns Britons of blackouts on ‘actually chilly’ evenings
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Oct 27, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Who needs heat if it’s really cold?]
British Authorities Grants Itself New Powers to Cap Renewable Power Earnings
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Oct 27, 2022
Power Points – Australia
The Australian Authorities Imaginative and prescient for Our Renewable Future
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Oct 25, 2022
“The bold clear vitality agenda, introduced in Tuesday evening’s price range, additionally features a plan to have renewable vitality present 82 per cent of the electrical energy community by 2030, which the federal government promised through the election marketing campaign would additionally minimize energy payments by $275 by 2025.”
[SEPP Comment: When it discovers that renewables are incompatible with reliability and reducing costs, which one will the government cut?]
Power Points — US
America’s vitality disaster is usually US Democrats’ fault
Had Democrats spent the final 3.5 years liberating US oil/gasoline funding, manufacturing, and transport as a substitute of strangling them, vitality could be far cheaper.
By Alex Epstein, Power Speaking Factors, Oct 26, 2022
Blackouts Threaten New England, Once more
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Oct 25, 2022
Doug Sheridan on the Rising Recognition of Fossil Gasoline Morality
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Oct 28, 2022
Washington’s Management of Power
Biden Is Destroying Our Strategic Petroleum Reserve
By William Duncan. American Thinker, Oct 26, 2022
Oil and Pure Gasoline – the Future or the Previous?
Philadelphia Freedom – Might A New LNG Export Terminal Be Coming To The Marcellus/Utica’s Yard?
By Lindsay Schneider, RBN Power, Oct 23, 2022
“However not like the earlier LNG tasks proposed in Jap Canada (see our You Nonetheless Imagine in Me sequence), which stay unlikely to ever transfer ahead, feedgas and pipeline infrastructure are a bonus to a Mid-Atlantic-area mission, not a hurdle that must be overcome. In actuality, the one factor standing in the way in which of extra East Coast LNG capability is the robust regulatory surroundings, however that shouldn’t be underestimated.”
Qatar’s Strategic Bets: LNG, U.S., and Europe
By Ivan Sascha Sheehan, Actual Clear Power, Oct 26, 2022
What Environmentalists Don’t Know About Petroleum (that final 30 %)
By Allen Brooks, Grasp Useful resource, Oct 26, 2022
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
Europe Importing $35.77 Billion of Photo voltaic Panels – And so they Nonetheless Have an Power Disaster
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Oct 24, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Doubt solar panels will help on cold, winter nights.]
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Storage
Changing Peaking Energy Vegetation with Battery Power Storage Programs
By Roger Calazza, Pragmatic Environmentalist of New York, Oct 24, 2022
“Everybody desires to do proper by the surroundings to the extent that they’ll afford to and never be unduly burdened by the results of environmental insurance policies. This requires a realistic strategy. The aim of this weblog is to explain the environmental tradeoffs related to vitality manufacturing and use in New York.”
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Autos
All people is aware of: electrical autos are the wave of the long run
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Oct 26, 2022
California Dreaming
Gavin Newsom and California Have the Worst Power Insurance policies within the Nation
By Rick Whitbeck, Actual Clear Power, Oct 24, 2022
Environmental Business
Main inexperienced group on observe to spend report $100M in midterms
Evaluation by Maxine Joselow with analysis by Vanessa Montalbano, Washington Submit , Oct 27, 2022 [H/t Jim Karlock]
Different Scientific Information
The place do high-energy particles that endanger satellites, astronauts and airplanes come from?
New analysis exhibits how and when photo voltaic particles are accelerated
Press Launch, NSF, Oct 3, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Ion and Electron Acceleration in Totally Kinetic Plasma Turbulence
Luca Comisso and Lorenzo Sironi, The Astrophysical Journal Letters, Sep 13, 2022
[SEPP Comment: No mention of the solar wind influencing cloud formation.]
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
A brand new concept of budgeting
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Oct 26, 2022
“U.S. Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, aka Peter Paul Montgomery Buttigieg, Rhodes Scholar graduate of Harvard and Oxford the place extremely he studied economics, together with politics and philosophy, not too long ago intoned that ‘A whole lot of People could possibly be saving some huge cash by proudly owning an EV, however provided that they may afford it.’”
Can’t say we didn’t strive
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Oct 26, 2022
“Or we attempt to give somebody credit score within the spirit of optimistic dialogue solely to be cruelly let down. And this week it’s a two-fer, as Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau blabbers that ‘the transfer off of fossil fuels … goes to occur a lot sooner due to Russia’. A lot for his deputy PM’s tried transfer towards geopolitical vitality sanity, or a sober appreciation of what’s actually taking place within the vitality sector.”
I’ve by no means felt disgrace like this as we preserve ignoring local weather change
By Tanya Gold, Night Commonplace, Oct 25, 2022
“We’re heading for an increase of two.5 levels, and after we hit it we hit tipping factors that can destroy our means to dwell on the planet. That’s not speculative. We are going to burn and we are going to drown: first the Southern Hemisphere, after which the Northern.”
ARTICLES
California’s Local weather Coverage Will get Burned
Wildfires in a single yr erased a decade and a half of greenhouse gasoline declines.
By The Editorial Board, WSJ, Oct. 23, 2022
TWTW Abstract: The editorial begins:
“Twenty years of greenhouse gasoline emission reductions in California went up in smoke in 2020—actually. So finds a brand new examine on Golden State wildfire emissions that highlights the folly of Sacramento’s local weather priorities.
“College of California researchers calculated that wildfire emissions in 2020 alone have been two occasions greater than the state’s greenhouse gasoline reductions from 2003 to 2019. That’s in a single yr. Extremely, wildfires in 2020 have been the state’s second largest supply of CO2 emissions after transportation and generated double the greenhouse gases of all of the state’s energy crops.
“Whereas vegetation will regrow and suck carbon out of the air, the examine says ‘that is unlikely to happen on the time scale essential to satisfy close to and medium-term emission targets wanted to avert passing the 1.5 diploma C threshold’ by 2050. So because of California, the world is doomed. Or so liberals say if the 1.5 diploma warming threshold that’s imagined to sign local weather Armageddon is exceeded.
“The examine says greater temperatures and drier situations have exacerbated wildfires in recent times. Perhaps, however because the examine additionally notes, a lot of the blame goes to ‘a long time of fireplace suppression and underinvestment in preventive measures similar to mechanical clearing or prescribed burns.’
“’Wildfire emissions haven’t acquired practically the identical degree of societal funding or consideration as emissions from different sectors,’ the authors notice. The state focuses on a futile effort to cease temperatures from rising as a substitute of doing what’s achievable and mitigating the impression from no matter warming does happen.
California has spent tens of billions of {dollars} on electrical autos, renewable energy, biofuels and even methane digesters for dairy farms. However solely after a number of horrific wildfire seasons that induced tens of billions of {dollars} in financial injury—to not point out smoky skies that hurt public well being—did Democrats considerably enhance spending on wildfire prevention.
After discussing the efforts to extend electrical energy from so-called renewables, the editorial concludes:
“Democrats in Sacramento appear incapable of political self-reflection. Nevertheless it’s deeply ironic that their monomaniacal concentrate on slicing greenhouse gases emissions has resulted in additional greenhouse gasoline emissions.”