Eric and I child with one another actually because I personally hate September greater than August, whereas most rational individuals hate August. My purpose for hating September is strictly what is going on this yr. We obtained teased with pretend fall climate this week, and what’s coming subsequent week appears form of like “August-lite” sort climate. Alas, it received’t be fairly as depressing as a typical August, however any goals of autumn breezes and cooler days are on maintain.
As we speak
Yesterday, we obtained some showers to drop rain for coastal areas. Components of Galveston noticed simply shy of an inch, and rural parts of Brazoria and Matagorda Counties noticed 1 to three inches. We even noticed some rain west of Rosenberg again into Wharton County.
As we speak’s rain will probably be extra unfold out I believe. We’re initially seeing some scattered showers this morning close to Bolivar and alongside the coast. The main target ought to stay in these areas for awhile, however inland areas will a minimum of have a shot at showers this afternoon. The steerage for right this moment is that you just most likely received’t see rain, however when you’re one of many fortunate ones that do, it may rain onerous for a quick time period. Highs will probably be within the 80s or low 90s.
Weekend
Saturday appears quite a bit like right this moment, with an remoted bathe or storm attainable nearly wherever, although the main target will probably be close to the coast once more and most inland communities will stay rain-free. Sunday ought to see rain probabilities dwindle a bit, so even fewer locations will see a bathe or storm. Each days must be within the low-90s on common. Morning lows will probably be within the 70s, and winds this weekend must be out of the southeast round 5 to fifteen mph, or a bit gusty over the water.
Subsequent week
Second Summer season is right here. Monday by way of Wednesday received’t have zero rain probabilities, however they’ll be low. Look for lots of solar and plenty of warmth. After morning lows within the low-70s, we’re most likely successive days within the mid-90s.
Proper now, it appears just like the ridge over us will peak on Wednesday, however warmth will linger into Thursday and Friday additionally. File highs subsequent week are usually 96-100 levels, so we will probably be flirting on the decrease finish of that. Don’t search for a lot aid earlier than subsequent weekend. The earliest we may see our subsequent chilly entrance might be not till someday the week of the twenty sixth.
Tropical Storm Fiona
Let’s speak about Fiona. I’ll reply the apparent query immediately: Fiona shouldn’t be anticipated to make it to Texas or the Gulf at the moment. Nonetheless, it’s one thing to a minimum of regulate in case issues change.
Fiona has a superb little bit of thunderstorm exercise with it, however one factor is for positive: It’s lopsided, with most storms on the east facet and little or no on the west facet. Thus, Fiona is one disorganized storm.
Fiona is anticipated to maneuver into the northern half of the Lesser Antilles later right this moment, bringing rain and gusty winds. It would then possible carry tough climate to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later tomorrow into Sunday.
Fiona at the moment has most winds of fifty mph. Because it strikes into the islands, it isn’t anticipated to strengthen a complete lot extra. It might collect some steam later this weekend, however that’s a giant query mark. The present Nationwide Hurricane Middle forecast brings it to Hispaniola by Monday.
From Hispaniola, the forecast will get tougher. A overwhelming majority of fashions flip Fiona northwest or north at this level, finally strengthening it sufficient close to the Bahamas to show it out to sea. Nonetheless, given land interplay, it’s believable to suppose Fiona will battle a bit within the coming days. Personally, Matt is leaning towards Fiona following the southern fringe of the NHC cone above. This nonetheless turns it extra northwest close to Cuba, however possibly not as quickly as we’d like. On the flip facet, it’s attainable to suppose there’s sufficient land interplay to weaken Fiona considerably in some unspecified time in the future, maybe to the purpose of no return. However by no means depend any system out in September within the southwest Atlantic or Caribbean so we’ll see.
All it is a good distance of claiming: Fiona will most likely flip north or meet its demise earlier than attending to the Gulf, however there’s sufficient uncertainty relating to the completely different puzzle items to influence this storm that it’s prudent to verify again in on Monday and see the place we stand. We’ll have extra then.