In some ways, the tight results of tonight’s confidence vote is the dream end result for the Sure marketing campaign in #Referendum2023. Even by the requirements of Tory PMs, Boris Johnson is horrifically unpopular in Scotland, and now he’ll stagger on, additional weakened, and be the imaginative and prescient of presidency that unionists current as the choice to independence subsequent 12 months. The hardening of Brexit, which additionally varieties a key a part of what the Sure marketing campaign shall be arguing that Scotland wants independence to keep away from, may also no longer be thwarted within the interim by the election of a extra reasonable Tory chief.
However after all these large benefits for Sure solely maintain true as a result of the bulk SNP-Inexperienced authorities have assured that the referendum will happen properly earlier than the final election in 2024. In the event that they hadn’t finished that, and if there was any query of the referendum not going down till after 2024, tonight would have significantly eroded the prospects for independence. Labour usually tend to win the 2024 election now {that a} weakened Boris stays in harness, and Brexit is thus extra more likely to be softened a bit after that election. The post-2024 setting could be a a lot much less beneficial one during which to hunt a Sure majority. So there can now not be any doubt that the SNP management did completely the best factor by going through down these in their very own get together calling for an additional kicking of the can down the street, and as a substitute saying completely firmly, “no ifs, no buts”, the referendum merely MUST and WILL be held throughout 2023. Convey it on, as a result of everyone knows that now the promise of a 2023 referendum has so correctly been made, we can depend on the SNP-Inexperienced authorities to ship it.
SCOT GOES POP #Referendum2023 COUNTDOWN CLOCK
There are simply 213 days till the earliest attainable date for #Referendum2023 (fifth January)
There are simply 563 days till the final attainable date for #Referendum2023 (twenty first December)
(Observe: the Countdown Clock calculations assume that custom shall be maintained by holding #Referendum2023 on a Thursday, and that it will likely be earlier than Christmas.)
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