The strategy of releasing canvassing knowledge as if it was a correct ballot with the intention to put the squeeze on Labour voters was first utilized by the Lib Dems within the Richmond Park by-election in 2016.
Then it labored very properly with the entire of LAB votes within the constituency on the night time popping out out as fewer than the variety of LAB social gathering members within the seat.
After claiming final week that they have been simply 2% behind the Tories the LDs at the moment are saying they’re degree pegging in Tiverton and Honiton which votes within the by-election on Thursday.
What is evident is that the Tory are combating very onerous with the intention to keep away from to keep away from the double catastrophe of shedding two Westminster by-elections on the identical night time. Wakefield, the place the previous Tory MP is in jail, votes on the identical time and is seen as close to sure LAB achieve.
Within the Tiverton and Honiton betting the LDs at the moment are a 73% probability.
Mike Smithson
