We aren’t lengthy off now the US Midterm elections in November when the expectation is that the Democrats will lose management of the Home however probably enhance their place within the Senate. For the time being that is cut up 50:50 with the Vice President having the casting vote.
As I famous right here final week Betfair has a really completely different method of defining this market than Smarkets and contains an choice for it to come back out at 50:50 as soon as once more. It additionally doesn’t embrace in seat totals these Senators who usually are not Democrats however Caucus with the Democrats. The present odds on the Republicans with each betting exchanges is 43%
I’ve but to wager and am aggravated with myself for not getting on the Dems once they had been longer than evens.
Mike Smithson
