Nicely, right here we’re. As we’ve been discussing all week, a moist Labor Day Weekend is within the playing cards for the Houston space, as we proceed to chip away at our drought and rainfall deficit all throughout Texas. Yesterday’s Drought Monitor report had principally excellent news for Texas, with probably the most extreme drought protection dropping about half its space, in addition to enhancements throughout the state too.
In our space, the one actual protection of maximum drought is west of Katy as of Tuesday, areas which have seen as a lot as 2 to three inches or so of rain since. Subsequent week’s map needs to be even much less ugly, as we count on a number of rounds of showers and storms throughout a lot of the southeastern third of Texas over the following few days.
Right this moment
Very similar to yesterday, we should always see some showers and storms pop up throughout the realm through the afternoon, in all probability alongside the Freeway 59 hall after lunch and erratically increasing because the day progresses. Some areas will see nothing in the present day, whereas others might shortly decide up an inch or two of heavy rain and see some ponding or avenue flooding. Highs might be close to 90 levels. Showers could linger for a pair hours after sundown earlier than fading away.
Saturday and Sunday
With a weak cool entrance in our space this weekend and accessible moisture within the environment working about 150 p.c of regular, we have now an excellent recipe for quite a few showers and thunderstorms and doubtlessly heavy rainfall. If in case you have Saturday morning plans, you might be able to escape with minimal disruption, however after 9 or 10 AM, showers ought to start to pop up from Houston and factors south and east. The sooner you’ll be able to accomplish issues, the higher. Storms will grow to be extra quite a few in protection on Saturday afternoon.
Stick a pin over downtown Houston. Areas south and east of that pin will probably see probably the most protection of rain and storms. Protection needs to be fairly wholesome north and west of there as effectively, however it could be extra scattered or intermittent.
For Sunday, search for a continuation of issues. Showers and storms will blossom because the morning progresses and develop throughout a lot of the realm. Sunday’s forecast is a bit trickier, nevertheless, in that the entrance could sag a bit farther south than Saturday. This might maybe focus extra of the rain farther south of I-10 and alongside the coast. We’ll replace you this weekend on that.
Any storms this weekend might be able to producing frequent lightning, transient robust wind gusts, and a pair of to three inches of rain in an hour or a bit extra. This can probably result in occasional areas of avenue flooding anyplace within the Houston space or alongside the coast. For now, no flood watch or SCW flood alert is posted, however we might be monitoring issues this weekend to see if that should change. Backside line: Assume that if you happen to’re underneath torrential rain, it’s going to keep there a bit and will flood the streets for a time.
We expect about 1 to three inches of rainfall via Monday morning throughout the realm. Necessary: On common. Some locations will virtually definitely see much less, whereas others might simply see 4 to six inches of rain or perhaps a bit extra, relying on precisely how issues setup. Right now, we count on these bullseye areas to be comparatively small geographically, however we’re not certain precisely the place these will happen.
Clouds and showers will maintain temperatures down this weekend, and at finest we are going to in all probability see mid-80s for highs and 70s for lows.
Labor Day
If it doesn’t occur on Sunday, the higher help for storms ought to shift south of Houston on Monday, however I nonetheless do assume we’ll have some wet intervals to take care of even within the metropolis and north. I wouldn’t postpone outside plans, nevertheless. We’ll maintain you posted this weekend. Excessive temperatures needs to be mid to upper-80s, with lows within the 70s.
Remainder of subsequent week
Whereas no days look to be washouts, we are going to in all probability cope with every day showers and storms a lot of the remainder of subsequent week. Temperatures needs to be pretty regular within the upper-80s to low-90s most days, with humid mornings within the 70s.
Tropics
The excellent news: We now have no considerations within the Atlantic for Texas. Tropical Storm Danielle shaped yesterday, and it’s destined to grow to be a hurricane later in the present day. Naturally, it’s occurring proper the place all of us expe—oh, approach up within the far northern Atlantic Ocean. Okay then. Not one of the different waves being monitored within the Atlantic by the Nationwide Hurricane Middle are anticipated to get into the Gulf.
The intrigue: A tropical wave designated as “Make investments 93E” within the Pacific off the south coast of Mexico is anticipated to develop right into a tropical storm or hurricane within the coming days. It’ll curve north and towards Baja, and its leftovers ought to ultimately find yourself over Mexico and both the desert Southwest or maybe Texas. Clearly it received’t be a hurricane at that time, however we don’t know precisely how that system will affect our rain probabilities later subsequent week or weekend, if in any respect. However choices starting from greater rain probabilities to very low rain probabilities, and even some scattered robust thunderstorms are on the desk.
We in all probability received’t get a lot visibility on this till early subsequent week. We’ll maintain you posted.
