Good morning. The showers and thunderstorms that handed by means of the realm on Wednesday afternoon and night represented the final gasp of our area’s moist sample, and we at the moment are shifting right into a drier interval. The area has additionally handed the worst of summer season—what I name “excessive summer season”—and we’re now into “late summer season.” This implies temperatures will nonetheless be heat to scorching, however not excruciatingly so, and we will begin to search for just a few fronts to move by means of. The primary such entrance is within the playing cards for early subsequent week, however sadly it’s not a very robust one.
Thursday
An upper-level low stress system that helped drive Wednesday’s rainfall has shifted east, so whereas we’ll nonetheless see just a few showers and thunderstorms later right this moment they need to be rather more scattered in nature. Rain probabilities can be finest, maybe 20 to 30 p.c, alongside and south of Interstate 10. In any other case anticipate principally sunny skies with excessive temperatures of round 90 levels, plus or minus a level or two. Winds can be gentle out of the north, at about 5 mph. Lows tonight will drop to round 70 levels north of Houston, with temperatures warming the nearer one will get to the coast.
Friday
At this level Friday seems to be quite a bit like Thursday.
Saturday and Sunday
Rain probabilities in all probability fall beneath 20 p.c this weekend, so search for principally sunny skies with excessive temperatures within the low 90s on each days. In case you have out of doors actions deliberate, you ought to be good to go. We’re anticipating a weak entrance the push in direction of the realm afterward Sunday, and this boundary will in all probability transfer by means of in a single day. At this level it seems to be like a dry frontal passage, however we’re not one hundred pc certain of that.
Subsequent week
Don’t anticipate a major calm down behind the entrance. It’s simply not robust sufficient. Nonetheless, the entrance ought to carry a modicum of drier air, serving to to carry nighttime temperatures down just a few levels, particularly for inland areas. This barely drier air can be most noticeable throughout evenings and mornings. Highs look to stay within the neighborhood of 90 levels for many of subsequent week, with principally sunny skies. Some rain probabilities could begin to creep again into the forecast towards the weekend—or not.
Tropics
I hate to sound like a damaged report, however on this case it’s a great factor. Whereas there are two energetic storms within the Atlantic, neither is a major risk to landmasses as Hurricane Earl is now anticipated to move to the east of Bermuda. Trying throughout the deep tropics, and the storm-forming area close to the coast of Africa, I don’t see something that’s more likely to threaten the Gulf of Mexico. Most likely our greatest risk, subsequently, is a storm forming domestically, within the northern Gulf of Mexico from the stays of a entrance. However once more, there’s simply no assist proper now for such a chance in fashions. Issues simply look good, y’all.