Good morning. The principle occasion for our near-term climate is the arrival of a chilly entrance late tonight that may carry a line of storms by way of our space early Wednesday, possible reaching the metro space shortly earlier than dawn. This entrance will usher in some briefly drier air, with Thursday wanting particularly spring-like with morning lows presumably within the low 60s. Memorial Day weekend appears heat and sunny.
Tuesday
Yesterday I talked about the potential for an upper-level system to carry some showers and thunderstorms into the metro space on Tuesday morning, however famous that all the substances won’t come collectively for the showers to hit Houston. Effectively, they haven’t, and the majority of the rain will stay offshore at this time. Accordingly rain chances are high solely about 50 p.c at this time, and any scattered showers that transfer by way of ought to accomplish that pretty shortly from southwest to northeast. In any other case, anticipate largely cloudy skies at this time with highs within the mid-80s. Winds might gust as excessive as 20 mph out of the south.
Tuesday evening and Wednesday
I’m extra assured within the arrival of a chilly entrance tonight, possible reaching the Faculty Station and Conroe areas round midnight, pushing into central Houston round 2 to 4 am CT, and off the coast by dawn. A line of storms will accompany the entrance, bringing thunderstorms, straight-line winds, hail, and even the potential for a twister or two.
I anticipate that a few of these thunderstorms will carry heavy rainfall, and general accumulations will most likely vary from 1 to three inches for a lot of the metro area, with larger remoted totals. Whereas the majority of the rainfall ought to have handed by round dawn on Wednesday, some gentle to average showers might linger into the late morning hours. Excessive temperatures on Wednesday ought to high out within the higher 70s as skies most likely gained’t begin to clear till Wednesday night.
Thursday
That is going to be a fairly wonderful spring-like day in Houston, particularly for late Might. Lows will begin out at 60 to 65 levels, and regardless of sunny skies we’re going to see temperatures possible high out within the mid-80s. With dewpoints within the low 60s, the air can even really feel fairly dry. The night ought to be fairly nice as nicely, with some drier air holding on and temperatures dropping. Lows on Thursday evening ought to finally fall into the mid-60s.
Friday
This will probably be a transition day again to extra summer-like climate, however there nonetheless ought to be a smidge of drier air, with highs within the higher 80s, sunny skies, and in a single day lows dropping to round 70 levels.
Memorial Day Weekend
The forecast over the weekend will carry three days of sunny skies, highs round 90 levels, and lows within the 70s. It will likely be a lot humid exterior, however not boiling sizzling as this vacation weekend can typically be. Situations ought to be excellent for outside actions, though please ensure and shield your self throughout extended publicity to the solar.
Subsequent week we’ll be monitoring the potential for a tropical disturbance to kind within the Bay of Campeche, within the far southern Gulf of Mexico. This may increasingly finally carry some average rainfall our manner subsequent week, however proper now it’s not one thing to be involved about in any respect.