Monday, September 26, 2022
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My September CON ballot lead guess a wanting a bit sick – politicalbetting.com


Smarkets.com

Common PBers will recall that again in July I used to be suggesting {that a} Tory ballot lead in September was a probable risk as a result of the brand new chief would get a bounce. The competition completed on September fifth and there was loads of time I reasoned through the month for only one ballot to place the Tories over the road

The pollster I assumed could be the one to have a blue lead was Opinium due to its weighting mechanism and the way it treats the views of former Tory voters who now say don’t know.

Nicely we had a survey from the agency on the weekend that this had the Labour lead up a degree to five%. It’s simply doable that one of many remaining polls this month would possibly suffice however I don’t suppose that’s going to occur

Generally you get calls mistaken and in my case you must grin and bear it.

The demise of the Queen reasonably put an finish to any concept of a honeymoon for Truss and that’s what I had been relying on.

Mike Smithson

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