Hello all. We’re leaping in right here with a fast replace on the storm system related to a chilly entrance that can transfer by means of Houston on Tuesday afternoon. Put merely, we’re extra involved in regards to the potential for tornadoes to develop forward of, and together with a line of showers and thunderstorms at the moment.
This morning, if you happen to recall, we stated we’d assess whether or not a Stage 1 flood alert is warranted for Tuesday’s storms. After a dialogue, Matt and I don’t assume that’s needed. A lot of the area will doubtless see 1 to three inches of rainfall, which is manageable for space roadways, even when it comes down in some heavy bursts. Some areas might even see greater totals, and low-lying areas might briefly flood. However these storms ought to sweep by means of the world in the course of the afternoon after which be gone. Showers and thunderstorms can be doable forward of the primary line of storms. Nonetheless, we count on the primary occasion to come back with the road itself, which ought to attain west (Katy) and northwest areas (Tomball) round 2 to 4 pm, downtown an hour later, and push off the coast by round sundown.
Our put up this morning additionally talked about sturdy wind gusts, notably alongside and south of Interstate 10. This forecast stays the identical. Areas corresponding to Brazoria and Galveston counties might even see gusts as much as 50 mph. What has modified is the twister menace. Excessive resolutions fashions point out circumstances might grow to be favorable for rotation, which will increase the chance that tornadoes might type. This menace is mirrored in an replace from the NOAA Storm Prediction Heart this afternoon, which highlights an space of biggest danger south of Houston (yellow space within the map above). I do know the point out of “tornadoes” freaks some folks out, however you will need to do not forget that twisters in our area are normally short-lived, and have pretty slim tracks. Your odds of being instantly impacted are fairly low, even throughout an occasion corresponding to we’ll see tomorrow.
The worst of this ought to be over for a lot of the metro space by the night rush hour on Tuesday, however that can be one thing to watch. The underside line is that this: Tomorrow is a day to be climate conscious within the Houston neighborhood, particularly from round midday to sundown. After that point skies can be clearing, and sharply colder air shifting in from the north. Then we’ll get a number of days of very stable winter-like climate.
Our subsequent replace can be posted by 7 am CT on Tuesday.
