Of the 40 seats that R&Okay embrace within the ballot the Tories gained 39 at GE2019. The opposite seat polled, Hartlepool, was picked up by ‘Johnson’s celebration within the by-election final yr.
What is evident is that that is very a lot the battleground for the following elections although if all 40 had been to flip the Tories would nonetheless have an total majority however a really slim one.
On high of that the Tories are going to face fierce assaults defending all 6 seats held in Scotland and 30 key “blue wall” targets the place the LDs could possibly be in with an opportunity. These are in the primary seats which voted Stay and the place the electorates have a disproportionate variety of graduates.
The following election goes to be very difficult for Truss – assuming she takes the prize subsequent month.
My fear for the Tories is that a number of the rhetoric that now we have seen within the management marketing campaign could possibly be troublesome when confronted with a mass citizens. What is true for Tory members could possibly be poisonous for the nation as a complete.
Mike Smithson
