We nonetheless do not have the precise date for #Referendum2023, however we’re far nearer to it due to an announcement from Angus Robertson, the Cupboard Secretary for the Structure and Exterior Affairs, on as we speak’s Good Morning Scotland –
“The First Minister made clear yesterday that she intends to make an announcement to the Scottish Parliament within the forthcoming weeks concerning the route-map in the direction of the referendum, which we intend to carry subsequent October.”
Assuming custom is maintained by holding #Referendum2023 on a Thursday, we are able to now slim the date all the way down to 4 doable choices:
fifth October 2023
twelfth October 2023
nineteenth October 2023
twenty sixth October 2023
Let’s hope it is the fifth, as a result of October is a transitional month and the climate is usually quite a bit higher initially than it’s on the finish. (For that motive, September might need been preferable, though maybe there’s another main occasion within the calendar that will have clashed.)
In all seriousness, I feel we’re making some progress now. This most actually doesn’t suggest a referendum will truly be held subsequent 12 months, however the Scottish Authorities have now gone far sufficient that it will be very arduous for them to quietly march their troops again down from the highest of the hill in the best way they have away with prior to now. There could be an amazing sense of betrayal amongst many SNP members and supporters if that occurred, and it would not be arduous to think about numerous defections to Alba or to different independence events. So to keep away from that hazard, the Scottish Authorities will know they’re going to must make a reputable try and ship an October 2023 referendum, and if the vote would not happen it will must be clearly seen that it was exterior forces that thwarted it. Consequently, it could be established that the kind of referendum the SNP and Greens wish to maintain merely is not viable, and the onus would then be on them to clarify how they’ll ship independence and not using a referendum. The one remaining sport on the town could be a plebiscitary election, which is one thing that no UK authorities or court docket can thwart.
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SCOT GOES POP #Referendum2023 COUNTDOWN CLOCK
Due to the October announcement, the Countdown Clock will henceforth have significantly extra precision – and notice this implies we are actually lower than 500 days away at most.
There are simply 477 days till the earliest doable date for #Referendum2023 (fifth October)
There are simply 498 days till the final doable date for #Referendum2023 (twenty sixth October)
(Observe: the Countdown Clock calculations assume that custom might be maintained by holding #Referendum2023 on a Thursday.)