Wednesday, February 15, 2023
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Is that this week Houston’s final shot at a freeze for the winter of 2022-2023? – Area Metropolis Climate


Right here’s the quick reply up entrance: Most likely. Barring some form of an surprising, freakishly chilly entrance coming by means of within the subsequent few weeks, we’re completed.

Now, for an extended reply. Crazier issues have occurred. Houston’s newest ever recorded freeze got here on April 10, 1973. Nevertheless, the chances are towards this. For areas south of Interstate 10, we’re already previous the “common” date of the area’s final freeze, and we’re quick approaching that date for areas alongside and north of Interstate 10. For areas additional inland, comparable to Conroe, the everyday date of the final freeze is available in late February.

After a entrance strikes by means of early tomorrow, we’re going to see a few days of colder climate. Some far inland areas, together with Conroe, have an opportunity of seeing a light-weight freeze on Friday and Saturday mornings. However after that? We glance to be close to or above regular, by way of temperatures, for the remainder of February. So I’d be stunned if it froze once more. For areas alongside and south of Interstate 10, I’d put the possibility of one other freeze this season at 10 p.c or much less. For the northern half of the metro space, it’s in all probability about 25 p.c, or much less.

Wednesday

Patchy to dense fog is current this morning as winds are gentle, and dewpoints and temperatures almost match within the higher 60s. As temperatures heat this morning, the fog will dissipate, and depart us with cloudy skies. A only a few, scattered showers can be attainable later this morning and through the afternoon hours, with highs reaching about 80 levels. Tonight can be sticky heat till the entrance comes by means of.

This HRRR mannequin dewpoint forecast depicts the entrance’s place at 6 am on Tuesday. It’s approximate. (Climate Bell)

Thursday

Talking of stated entrance, a damaged line of showers and maybe a number of thunderstorms will herald its arrival. They’ll cross rapidly. Usually, we will anticipate the entrance to succeed in western parts of the area, comparable to Katy, round 3 to five am on Thursday, downtown from 5 to 7 am, and the coast from 7 to 9 am. Showers will finish rapidly with the entrance’s passage, however clouds will stay. Temperatures will drop into the decrease 60s within the morning, and maybe the 50s through the afternoon, as brisk northerly winds gust to 30 mph or so and herald colder, drier air. Lows on Thursday evening will drop into the higher 30s for a lot of Houston.

Friday

A sunny, and chilly day, with highs within the mid-50s. Winds will nonetheless be round, however backing off into the ten to fifteen mph vary, with increased gusts. Lows Friday evening will once more drop into the higher 30s, with a light-weight freeze attainable for much inland areas.

Low temperature forecast for Saturday morning. (Climate Bell)

Saturday

Yet one more cool day, with partly sunny skies and highs within the higher 50s. As winds begin to flip extra southerly, temperatures can be hotter, within the 40s, in a single day.

Sunday

Anticipate principally sunny, and superb climate with highs round 70 levels or a tick above.

Subsequent week

Washington’s Birthday ought to see hotter circumstances, with partly sunny skies and highs close to 80 levels. Some kind of entrance goes to try to make it by means of by mid-week, however I’m not one hundred pc assured that can occur. A smattering of rain possibilities pop up across the identical time, however they’re not significantly spectacular trying.

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