Temperatures as soon as once more topped out at 100° formally on Thursday at Bush Airport, our fifth straight day of triple digit warmth and 18th day total in 2022. Solely 1902 (19), 1980 (32), 1998 (24), 2000 (20), and 2011 (46) had extra 100 diploma days for the complete yr.
Drought continues to worsen across the Houston space.
We noticed stage 3 (excessive) drought broaden from 30 p.c protection to 37 p.c protection throughout the area by means of Tuesday. Many of the Houston metro space is in extreme to excessive drought circumstances now. We must always see additional degradation with subsequent week’s replace as properly.
However, we might have not less than one thing to observe within the longer-term forecast that would change issues up. Let’s get into issues.
Right now & Saturday
We’ll see a quick respite in what has been a stifling higher stage sample this week. Texas will lie on the western periphery of a “weak spot” between two ridges, one off the East Coast and one within the Southwest. This could permit for non-zero rain possibilities and not less than barely much less sizzling climate each at present and tomorrow.
We’ll name it a couple of 20 p.c probability of showers or storms, most likely a tinge larger tomorrow than at present, with the very best odds being south and east of Houston.
Exterior of modest rain possibilities, we’ll stay fairly sizzling. A number of locations will seemingly attempt once more for 100 at present and tomorrow, however we should always see extra upper-90s within the space than we have now the previous few days. You’ll see temperatures drop 10 to fifteen levels in case you’re lucky sufficient to see a bathe. In a single day lows will stay heat and muggy within the 70s.
Sunday & Monday
We type of revert again to a extra strong summer time sample Sunday into Monday, which ought to imply extra 100s danger and decrease rain possibilities.
I nonetheless suppose we might see a pop up storm or two, however I’d not be betting on it for both Sunday or Monday. Highs close to 100, lows within the 70s.
Tuesday by means of late week
Tuesday ought to proceed sizzling, however there could also be a barely higher probability of afternoon showers or storms. Identical goes for Wednesday. I’d count on highs properly into the 90s to close 100 on each days. There are indicators of life for late subsequent week. No less than a short lived disruption of the stagnant summer time sample appears attainable. This is able to imply extra mid-90s by day as a substitute of 100s. Extra importantly, it might imply a number of days of common to barely above common rain possibilities. I’m hesitant to get too labored up about this, nevertheless it does seem that the higher sample will permit the Gulf door to open greater than it has been most of this summer time. No less than for a number of days. Fingers crossed. Extra on that for you Monday.
Tropics
Quiet. Nothing to talk of, however there are hints of not less than a attainable weak system wayyyy out within the Atlantic later subsequent week maybe. Nothing the Gulf must be involved with proper now. Extra on that in Tuesday’s tropics submit.
Talking of subsequent week: Simply wish to provide you with a heads up that each Eric and I are planning a while off subsequent week to gear up for the marathon of peak hurricane season. We’ll proceed posting like regular, however simply bear with us if the timing is a little bit off on a day right here or there. Thanks for understanding!