By P Gosselin
The Alfred Wegner Institute doesn’t see an excessive state of affairs with sea ice within the Arctic (June 2022). The institute’s web page states:
The Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Analysis (AWI) is collaborating once more this 12 months with the AWI Consortium Mannequin, a dynamic coupled sea ice ocean mannequin, and calculated a September sea ice extent of 4.75 million sq. kilometers in its June forecast. This worth is about 4% above the median worth of all submitted fashions however in the course of the predictions given for dynamic fashions.
Dr. Frank Kauker, a physicist within the Sea Ice Physics Part at AWI, assesses the primary prediction as follows: “The primary forecast of a 12 months from the start of June is often nonetheless characterised by a relatively massive uncertainty (this 12 months 0.43 million sq. kilometers). Nonetheless, in the intervening time there’s nothing to point an excessive state of affairs in September.
The ice cowl in September might be with an excellent chance within the vary of the final years, i.e. between 4 and 5 million sq. kilometers. The subsequent forecast in early July will scale back the uncertainty considerably, as it is going to turn into clear in June what number of soften ponds may have fashioned, which can then decisively decide the soften charges of the ice throughout the remainder of the 12 months because of their decrease photo voltaic irradiance return.”
Supply: Meereisportal.de.
