Simply wished to supply a fast replace on an approaching chilly entrance that may push a line of thunderstorms, a few of them extreme, into the Houston metro space early on Wednesday morning. The primary threats might be damaging wind gusts in addition to heavy rainfall. When it comes to timing, the road of storms ought to attain the Faculty Station space shortly after midnight, push into the central Houston area round 4 am, and be off the coast by about 6 am.
Matt and I mentioned issuing a Stage 1 flood alert for this storm, however in the end we determined to not. To begin with, the storms look to maintain shifting alongside at a great clip as they push via the area. So whereas rains could also be intense, accumulations in all probability gained’t be above 1 or 2 inches for many areas. (Some remoted areas, after all, will in all probability see extra). And given the timing of those storms, they need to have an effect on the majority of the metro space earlier than dawn. In order the morning commute will get happening Wednesday, the worst ought to be over for Houston. For areas additional east, resembling Beaumont-Port Arthur, the timing is such that the storms might be hitting round 6 to eight am.
It’s at all times attainable that these rains are available in heavier than we’ve forecasted above, however for now I feel accumulations might be manageable, and positively our soils want these rains. Some further scattered showers might be attainable afterward Wednesday afternoon, however I feel total likelihood is low, particularly after a a lot drier air mass strikes into the area through the late afternoon and night hours. Thursday morning ought to be completely spectacular.
