By Robert Bradley Jr. — February 7, 2023
“And right here we’re the place Richard Lyons (et al.) are arguing and successful the mental debate, whereas the alarmist believers of a Cognitive Dissonance are caught in their very own … cognitive dissonance.”
Typically a rebuttal on social media is simply too good to not memorialize. This one considerations a put up about “Cognitive Dissonance” in reference to a 49-minute Apple Podcast, “Hidden Mind: When You Want It to Be True.” Its synopsis states:
After we need one thing very badly, it may be exhausting to see warning indicators that is likely to be apparent to different folks. This week, we revisit a favourite episode from 2021, bringing you two tales about how simple it may be to imagine in a false actuality — even when the information don’t again us up.
The upshot (see beneath) is that since we know local weather science is settled and the decision is a disaster (ahem), psychological explanations are obligatory to know why so many people (the silent majority?) aren’t in anguish and demanding a change of recent life (like crying Peter Kalmus).
Susan Krumdieck, Analysis Director, Islands Centre for Web Zero, interpreted “When You Want It to Be True” as follows:
Cognitive Dissonance is a phenomena these of us in Power Transition want to know and develop methods to cope with in ourselves and others.
The primary massive dissonance was 40 years in the past when the assumption that scientific observations warning of environmental harm would trigger the required change. I nonetheless need it to be true. However I have a look at knowledge and proof to find out what’s most definitely. After which I examine how modifications can work and the way completely different folks play an element.
Purposeful questions on assumptions is critical. Questioning extensively held assumptions about what can and might’t be performed in what timeframe by whom means you might be awake to information.
This story about folks believing alien guardians have been going to come back save them from the destruction of the earth ought to be of curiosity.
To which I commented:
I see ‘Cognitive Dissonance’ as the issue with local weather alarmism and compelled power transformation. Waste, futile –and a mindset geared towards pointless ‘local weather nervousness’.
However a remark earlier than mine was the actual takedown. Said Richard Lyon of Lyon Power Futures Ltd.:
Thanks, Susan. One of many first warnings 40 years in the past was from outstanding local weather catastrophist Paul Ehrlich that “everybody will disappear in a cloud of blue steam by 1989”.
Since then, we’ve thrilled to warnings that the oceans could be “As lifeless as Lake Erie by 1980” (Ehrlich, 1970), that there could be a brand new Ice Age in 10 years (NASA, 1971), that England would stop to exist by 2000 (Ehrlich, 1971), that there was “no finish in sight of the cooling development” (New York Occasions, 1978), that the Maldives could be “utterly underwater in 30 years (1989), that UK snowfalls have been a factor of the previous (College of East Anglia, 2000), that Britain could be “Siberian” by 2025 (Pentagon, 2004), that the Arctic could be ice free by 2013/2014/2016/2018 (Gore, US Navy, NASA), and so forth.
What you observe as “warnings” 40 years in the past are extra precisely labelled as falsified speculations produced by local weather fashions observably unfit for responsibility.
That’s producing extreme Cognitive Dissonance in an business that is dependent upon the speculation being true that there’s a local weather disaster, and is manifesting itself most visibly within the proliferation of what Lakatos proposes as “Auxiliary Concept” in his account of pseudoscience – “concept to elucidate the failure of the idea”
Bravo … And right here we’re the place Richard Lyons (et al.) are arguing and successful the mental debate, whereas the alarmist believers of a Cognitive Dissonance are caught in their very own … cognitive dissonance. Message to Susan Krumdieck, who has purchased into the local weather alarm. Examine your premises reasonably than attempt to discover psychological explanations for the world not heeding the local weather alarm. Begin with the time collection knowledge with every climate excessive, in addition to the satellite tv for pc knowledge on world warming.
Local weather optimism, anybody?
