Smarkets have this market on whether or not the Tories will do a 2016 and select their new chief with out the swivel eyed loonies Tory celebration members having the ultimate say.
I can’t see it taking place, absent a scandal after the ultimate poll of Tory MPs that includes the highest two. Tory members could be revolting at being excluded as soon as extra, and in 2007 and 2016 reveals the sad precedents of celebration leaders being topped with out members having the ultimate say on who turns into Prime Minister.
I’d in all probability need one thing a bit greater than 10s to again Sure on this market.
TSE