August is nearly invariably the worst month of the 12 months, weather-wise, in Houston. Temperatures are both blazing scorching with drought-like situations, or we see flooding on account of tropical moisture. Our air is usually at its muggiest through the month. And virtually all the time we see our most sweltering days and warmest nights of the 12 months through the eighth month of the Julian calendar, named after the Roman emperor Augustus.
However not this 12 months! In a rarity, each June (common temperature of 86.7 levels) and July (88.0 levels) topped the common temperature for August this month, 85.0 levels. This month ranks simply barely under the “regular” August temperature as measured over the past 30 years of 85.2 levels. The common temperature is calculated by including the each day excessive, and the each day low, and dividing by two.
This August has seen cooler days than regular, on account of persistent cloud cowl and rain-cooled air, and nights that had been barely hotter than regular. We additionally acquired sufficient rain to interrupt our rising drought, however not sufficient to trigger important flooding. The underside line is that after an exceptionally scorching begin to the summer season of 2022, August was comparatively nice. And that’s one thing I believed I might by no means write in regards to the month of August, within the metropolis of Houston.
Waiting for September, we are going to see a continuation of this wetter and cooler-than-normal climate as our quite wet sample continues. For now we don’t have issues about widespread flooding, however as all the time we may see some streets replenish with water throughout intense downpours.
Thursday
The primary day of September will deliver partly sunny skies and excessive temperatures typically within the low 90s. Of the times through the subsequent week, at the moment most likely has the bottom probability of rain, however I nonetheless assume 40 or 50 % of the Houston area will see showers and thunderstorms this afternoon amid daytime heating. A few of these storms might be briefly intense, with the most effective probabilities for inclement climate alongside and north of Interstate 10. Storms ought to fade as night comes on. Winds will probably be mild, maybe solely at 5 mph, from the east.
Friday
Friday ought to be much like Thursday, albeit with a number of extra clouds, and rain possibilities of maybe 50 to 60 %. Whereas we are going to see a weak entrance advancing southward towards Houston, and rising atmospheric moisture ranges, the most effective probabilities for heavy rain is not going to come till this weekend.
Saturday, Sunday, and Monday
Nicely, you possibly can’t say we didn’t warn you. For awhile now, we’ve been suggesting that Labor Day Weekend in Houston will probably be soggy, and we’re sticking to that story. Every day rain probabilities on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday will probably be upwards of 80 %, with the potential for intermittent heavy rainfall because the aforementioned boundary stalls out over the area. Search for each day highs within the 80s, with nighttime temperatures within the 70s. Skies will probably be largely cloudy. Total, I believe many of the space will see 2 to 4 inches of rainfall by way of Labor Day, however in fact some remoted areas most likely will see extra. This shouldn’t be sufficient precipitation to trigger important flooding issues, however given the tropical air mass that is one thing we’ll be monitoring for you.
Subsequent week and past
Rain probabilities will stay elevated for a lot of subsequent week, it seems like, and this could assist to maintain excessive temperatures within the higher 80s to presumably 90 levels. There’ll most likely be some intervals after we see sunshine later subsequent week, however it’s unimaginable to say when.
Now that we’re in September, we are able to begin to realistically search for fall’s first chilly deliver that brings drier and cooler air into the area. There may be nothing concrete within the forecast fashions, however there are hints at the opportunity of such a entrance by round September 13 to fifteen. Proper now I’d peg the possibilities of such a entrance truly making it at about 25 %, however some hope is best than no hope I might say. Our first entrance sometimes comes through the second half of September.
Tropics
After almost two months of dormancy—the tropics have seen close to historic ranges of low exercise by way of August this 12 months—issues are beginning to choose up with a Tropical Despair within the central Atlantic Ocean and several other different techniques that might develop within the coming days. The excellent information is that none of those techniques seem more likely to threaten the US or through the subsequent week or 10 days, if not additional. So it is a good spot to be as we get very close to the height of the Atlantic hurricane season.
