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A Balancing Act – Watts Up With That?


Visitor Put up by Willis Eschenbach

I’m a visible man. I perceive numbers, however not in tables. I make them into graphs and charts and maps so I can perceive what’s happening. I obtained to pondering once more about complete absorbed radiation on the floor. Whole radiation absorbed by the earth’s floor is a mixture of longwave (thermal) and shortwave (photo voltaic) radiation. In my final submit, Placing It Into Reverse, I appeared on the correlation of that absorbed radiation with temperature.

So, being a visible man, I created a worldwide map of the place this complete radiation is being absorbed on the floor. However earlier than exhibiting that consequence, let me digress for a second in regards to the downwelling shortwave (photo voltaic) and downwelling longwave (thermal) radiation. (Be aware that “downwelling radiation” is radiation headed towards the Earth’s floor and “upwelling radiation” is headed to house.)

Photo voltaic radiation begins out as comparatively fixed on the high of the environment. It’s round 340 watts per sq. meter (W/m2) as a 24/7 world common. It solely varies about ± 0.1 W/m2 over the sunspot cycle.

Subsequent, at any given time and site, someplace between somewhat and plenty of the incoming photo voltaic is mirrored by clouds and aerosols. The quantity mirrored varies by date, season, temperature, location, altitude, and native climate.

Subsequent, of the remaining photo voltaic after reflection at that location, someplace between somewhat and plenty of the downwelling photo voltaic radiation is absorbed within the environment, largely by clouds, water vapor, and aerosols (smoke, haze, volcanic aerosols, mineral mud). Once more, the quantity absorbed varies by date, season, temperature, location, aerosol sort, and native climate.

Lastly, when the sunshine reaches the floor, someplace between somewhat and plenty of it’s mirrored again into house by the floor itself. Once more, the quantity mirrored varies by date, season, water state (liquid vs ice vs snow), windiness, floor cowl, location, altitude, and native climate.

Briefly, the quantity of sunshine absorbed by the bottom varies vastly in house and time on all scales.

Downwelling thermal radiation, then again, is radiation emitted by a number of issues within the environment above us—by greenhouse gases resembling water vapor and CO2, by aerosols, and by clouds.

The large variations in downwelling radiation are as a consequence of various quantities of clouds, water vapor, and aerosols. CO2 is a reasonably well-mixed gasoline, whereas quite the opposite, water vapor can fluctuate in a brief distance from nearly none to quantities giant sufficient to condense. Once more, the quantity of thermal radiation emitted by water vapor, greenhouse gases, aerosols, and clouds varies by date, season, windiness, location, and native climate.

And as with photo voltaic radiation, clouds are the massive variable. Clouds are nearly an ideal blackbody with respect to thermal radiation. On a transparent winter night time when a cloud comes over, you’ll be able to immediately really feel the heat. And as above, the quantity of thermal radiation emitted by clouds varies by date, season, temperature, location, and native climate.

Briefly, simply as with sunshine, the quantity of thermal radiation absorbed by the bottom varies vastly in house and time on all scales.

So with that as prologue, right here is Determine 1, exhibiting the whole quantity of radiation (shortwave + longwave) absorbed by the floor of the earth.

Determine 1. A 1° latitude by 1° longitude map of the whole quantity of radiation absorbed by the earth’s floor.

I gotta admit, I checked out that graphic once I first made it, scratched my head, and stated “How very curious!”. I like surprises in science, and this was considered one of them.

Right here’s what I discovered odd. The southern hemisphere is generally water, with a block of ice-covered rock on the backside. It’s very completely different from the northern hemisphere, which has far more land, and water as an alternative of icy rock on the high.

From Determine 1, per sq. meter, the ocean is absorbing about 20% extra downwelling radiation than the land. So that you’d suppose that the southern hemisphere, with considerably extra ocean, can be absorbing considerably extra vitality than the northern.

However it’s not. Actually, the 2 hemispheres are the identical to the closest tenth of a W/m2 … which is why I scratched my head and stated “How very curious”.

Naturally, I needed to know whether or not this was only a coincidence, or whether or not this hemispheric equality is a permanent function of the local weather system. So I appeared on the adjustments over time. Listed here are annual averages for the interval of the CERES satellite tv for pc information.

Determine 2. Annual averages, complete absorbed radiation, shortwave, and longwave.

Curiouser and curiouser. Yr after yr, the annual northern and southern complete vitality absorbed are practically equivalent—half of the years, the 2 hemispheres have been inside a tenth of a % (~ half a watt per sq. meter) of one another.

The longwave and shortwave elements are equally attention-grabbing. Each single yr, barely extra longwave radiation than shortwave is absorbed within the northern hemisphere. Nevertheless, the reverse is true for shortwave radiation. Presumably due to the bigger quantity of ocean, within the southern hemisphere, extra photo voltaic vitality is absorbed than longwave. In any case, when longwave and shortwave are added, the whole radiation absorbed by the 2 hemispheres are practically equivalent.

Now, I began out by saying that as a result of each photo voltaic and thermal radiation are features of quite a lot of components, with clouds main the pack, they always fluctuate in time and house. So a priori, we’ve no motive to imagine that the 2 hemispheres would take in the identical radiation on the floor, and each motive to imagine that they’d not.

I imply, we’ve volcanoes and floods and droughts and forest fires and a complete bunch of issues that have an effect on downwelling longwave and shortwave radiation … and regardless of that, every hemisphere receives the identical quantity of radiation as the opposite, yr after yr.

Setting that oddity apart for a second, the local weather will be profitably analyzed as an enormous warmth engine. It turns incoming photo voltaic vitality into the countless bodily work of driving the movement of the oceans and the environment in opposition to turbulence and friction. These oceanic and atmospheric actions carry warmth polewards from the tropics, the place it’s radiated into house.

This sudden stability over time of the whole vitality absorbed by the floor clearly signifies that this can be a warmth engine with a governor. And never solely is there a governor. The governor works partially by controlling the local weather warmth engine’s throttle.

A “throttle” is any mechanism that regulates the quantity of vitality getting into a warmth engine. In your automotive, the throttle is what’s managed by your gasoline pedal. The clouds carry out that perform for the local weather. They management the quantity of vitality getting into the system by rejecting a few of that incoming photo voltaic vitality again into house. And never only a small quantity. Tons of of watts per sq. meter. Right here’s an instance, a day’s file from a moored TAO buoy on the Equator at 110° West (japanese Pacific Ocean).

Determine 3. Downwelling photo voltaic vitality by the point of day, December 30, 1998.

You possibly can see the clouds altering the quantity of downwelling photo voltaic vitality by a number of hundred watts per sq. meter inside an hour or so.

And this throttling of the incoming photo voltaic vitality have to be a serious half of what’s behind the year-after-year stability of the quantity of photo voltaic vitality absorbed by every hemisphere individually and by each hemispheres collectively.

My speculation is {that a} hierarchy of emergent local weather phenomena, primarily within the tropical oceans however elsewhere as properly, regulate incoming vitality. As will be seen in Determine 3 above, a typical tropical day begins out clear.

Determine 4. Typical tropical ocean early morning situations. Cloudless sky.

As soon as a sure temperature threshold is handed, a cumulus cloud subject is rapidly established. This instantly reduces the quantity of photo voltaic vitality making it to the floor.

Determine 5. Typical tropical ocean late morning situations. Cumulus subject is creating. Cumulus clouds type on the high of the ascending elements of the circulating cells of air.

Then, when the next temperature threshold is handed, among the cumulus clouds grow to be towering thunderstorms. These trigger additional reflective losses, in addition to straight refrigerating the floor.

Determine 6. Typical tropical ocean afternoon to nighttime situations. Thunderstorm subject develops.

All of those emergent transitions enhance the quantity of daylight that’s both mirrored again to house or absorbed earlier than it will get to the floor. And the timing of emergence, the quantity, and the power of these phenomena are all temperature-threshold regulated.

The online results of all of that is that as temperatures go up, clouds type in response and lower down the whole vitality being absorbed by the floor. The next graph exhibits a gridcell by gridcell scatter plot of the temperature versus the floor internet cloud radiative impact (CRE). The floor internet cloud radiative impact (CRE) is the common change in complete floor downwelling radiation that outcomes from the presence of clouds.

Determine 7. Scatterplot, gridcell by gridcell temperature versus internet cloud radiative impact (CRE). Gridcell dimension is 1° latitude by 1° longitude. There are a complete of 64,800 gridcells proven above.

As you’ll be able to see, when the temperature will get excessive, the clouds act strongly to scale back the vitality reaching the floor. In lots of gridcells, clouds are chopping out greater than 50 W/m2 of downwelling vitality on the floor.

In any case, that’s my rationalization for why, regardless of the vastly variable nature of clouds, water vapor, and aerosols, each in time and house, about the identical quantity of complete radiation is absorbed by the 2 hemispheres yearly. Temperature-threshold-dependent emergent local weather phenomena act to cap the potential vitality absorbed.

I’m very happy to listen to alternate theories for the weird stability of the absorbed radiation on the floor. Please don’t say “thermal inertia” until you’ll be able to clarify how “thermal inertia” is controlling the quantity of downwelling photo voltaic vitality.


Late summer season afternoon right here in our clearing within the redwood forest. Can’t see the ocean right now, foggy on the coast, however no clouds right here. My nine-month-old grandson cries within the kitchen, my daughter consoles him. My three-year-old granddaughter explains how she dropped her sock within the cat water. She desires me to play Arlo Guthrie’s “Metropolis of New Orleans” on the pc. Achieved, little woman, achieved.

The solar is slanting throughout the home clearing to the tall redwood forest timber seen by my window.

Bedtime for the girlie. She desires to fade out to “Mercury Blues“. I’m not complaining.

My greatest to each considered one of you, could your lives be full and overflowing.

w.

PS—While you remark, please QUOTE the precise phrases you might be discussing. I can defend my very own phrases. I can’t defend your restatement of them. Thanks.

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