LD voters don’t robotically make LAB their 2nd pref
Inevitably after elections of all kinds there are requires a progressive alliance to be created. The proponents need an association whereby two of Lib Dem, Inexperienced or Labour events in a particular election stand apart in order that the vote of the “progressive” will be maximised.
The one drawback is that this assumes that LD voters would robotically make LAB their second choice. That is merely not the case as proven by the final set of elections when the now abolished “supplementary vote” was in operation.
The above chart is predicated on information ready from former head of BBC political analysis David Cowling. It comes from the Could 2021 elections with a supplementary vote the place solely LAB, CON and the LDs had been standing.
Firstly numerous voters in these elections didn’t choose to make use of their second choice however of those that did the Cowling evaluation finds the above splits.
The Cambs/PBRO mayor had the smallest proportion of LD voters not going for LAB as their second alternative – 25%. Then, transferring up the dimensions it was 38% within the Notts PCC election and greater than 40% within the different three elections.
Mike Smithson
