Visitor Submit by Willis Eschenbach
Those that learn my work might recall my publish referred to as “Munging the Sea Stage Knowledge“. In it, I confirmed that the obvious acceleration within the satellite tv for pc sea degree was merely an artifact of the combining of the 4 satellite tv for pc information, viz:
Authentic Caption: NOAA sea degree information, displaying the pattern of every of the complete particular person satellite tv for pc information and the general pattern. SOURCE: NOAA Excel Spreadsheet
Regardless of the plain variations between the primary and final halves of the file, scientists merely spliced them collectively and obscured the splice. My conclusion in that publish was:
There’s no proof of any acceleration within the price of sea-level rise in both the tide gauge or the shabbily-spliced satellite tv for pc information.
So at this time I stumbled throughout a paper printed in Nature journal entitled A revised acceleration price from the altimetry-derived international imply sea degree file. Care to guess what the paper says?
Yep. You’re proper. They conclude that after they took a tough have a look at the satellite tv for pc information, the issue was disagreement between the satellites … and as soon as they utilized their correction strategies to the TOPEX satellite tv for pc information, they discovered:
Based mostly on 4 completely different weighting strategies utilized in a tide-gauge comparability it’s decided that TOPEX is drifting and never ERS. Due to this fact, we propose to calibrate the TOPEX GMSL file with the crossover of ERS1&2 after the elimination of cal-1. The calibration reduces the noticed acceleration in GMSL, in order that it turns into statistically equal to zero on the 95%-confidence degree.
The noticed acceleration in satellite-observed GMSL (international imply sea degree) is “statistically equal to zero” … go determine.
Right here the place I dwell on the northern California coast, we’re getting the blessing of an “atmospheric river”, which is a phenomenon the place numerous moisture comes from the tropics as much as the west coast in a slim band. It was once referred to as the “Pineapple Specific”, however I suppose that was decided to be racist towards pineapples or one thing …
Given the a number of years of the current drought, that is greater than welcome. We obtained 3-1/2 inches (9 cm) of rain yesterday, with extra anticipated tonight.
So, moist blessings to all.
w.
