Good morning. It has been a protracted, scorching—so very, very popular—summer season in Houston. June and July had been the warmest on document for town, and to date August has run barely above regular. However that’s now about to vary. The arrival of a weak entrance later in the present day will kick off a major sample change that can carry temperatures typically within the low 90s, with an honest probability of rain, for a minimum of the subsequent week. I’d go as far as to say that, after in the present day, it’s potential if not possible that the metro space could not document one other 100-degree day in 2022. The remainder of August actually does look fairly affordable, after which we’ll need to see about September.
Thursday
The watchword for in the present day is uncertainty. We’ve boundaries between air plenty in every single place, loads of atmospheric moisture to work with, and a weak entrance that shall be advancing southward later in the present day. We will’t have full confidence within the specifics about how this can play out, however right here’s what we will say extra typically concerning the forecast. Right now shall be one other scorching one, with a lot of the area a minimum of reaching the higher 90s this afternoon. I feel the radar will stay fairly quiet till 2 or 3 pm, after which era we must always begin to see showers and thunderstorms blossoming throughout the area. The popular space shall be north of Interstate 10, however areas nearer to the coast most likely gained’t miss out completely. Storms ought to turn into extra widespread late this afternoon and night, earlier than weakening in a single day.
What ought to your expectations be? As is common with thunderstorms, there most likely shall be loads of lightning, and a few stronger winds within the stronger thunderstorms. A lot of the area will decide up 0.25 to 2 inches of rain via tonight, though decrease accumulations are potential proper alongside the coast. Road flooding is feasible inside the stronger thunderstorms.
Friday
Rain probabilities Friday will rely to some extent on what occurs Thursday, however a wholesome probability of showers stays. I don’t suppose storms will match the depth of Thursday’s, however we’ll need to see. Search for highs within the low 90s with partly sunny skies for a lot of the realm. In case you had been anticipating the entrance to carry cooler nighttime temperatures, it’s best to mood your expectations. We’re not going to see a lot of a change in humidity or lows. It’s mid-August, y’all, and summertime fronts simply don’t pack that form of punch this far south.
Saturday and Sunday
Count on extra of the identical for this weekend, with partly sunny skies and excessive temperatures within the low 90s. Rain probabilities every day shall be about 50 %, however for probably the most half these must be showers that move via pretty rapidly (see caveat, within the Tropics part under).
Subsequent week
Each time we’ve seen a little bit of a reprieve this summer season from deep warmth, excessive strain has fairly rapidly constructed again over the area. Nevertheless, we don’t anticipate that to occur this time. As a substitute, the higher Texas coast will fall between a ridge to our west, and low strain to our east. Consequently we must always see a string of partly to principally cloudy days with highs within the neighborhood of 90 levels. Every day ought to have a wholesome probability of rain within the 30 to 50 % vary, but it surely’s means too early to have a lot confidence in any particulars. This sample ought to maintain for awhile. Fairly nice for late August, proper?
Tropics
The Nationwide Hurricane Heart continues to observe the chance of a tropical disturbance forming within the Southern Gulf of Mexico over the subsequent a number of days. Probabilities stay pretty low for this technique to turn into a tropical despair or storm. As for native results, this disturbance may enhance our area’s rain probabilities on Sunday and Monday, but it surely’s simply too early to inform. For now, I’m leaning towards the concept that it gained’t have a lot of an influence.
