The betting for subsequent prime minister remains to be very a lot dominated by the YouGov polling of Tory members that got here out almost 2 weeks in the past. This had Truss with a really clear lead of 19% and it’s exhausting to see how Sunak can overhaul it
That was all earlier than the TV debates and heightened media curiosity within the course of to decide on who can be Britain’s Prime Minister for when Johnson lastly steps down in early September
Polls can, in fact, be fallacious and it may be difficult for a pollster to get a consultant pattern of members of a political celebration. Additionally we don’t have any measure of the impression of the final fortnight however it’s a very daring individual for the time being who decides to danger cash on the previous Chancellor.
I’ve been sitting on my £20 250/1 Sunak guess which was positioned in November 2019. This has enabled me to guess on Belief at very tight odds as a result of I’m not going to lose cash.
Let’s hope that YouGov run different members’ polls to see if there may be any change.
Mike Smithson
