Thursday, July 21, 2022
HomeWales PoliticsDay 14 – Guido Fawkes

Day 14 – Guido Fawkes


We’ve got our ultimate two: it’s Rishi and Liz. Penny misplaced out on a ultimate spot by simply 4 votes. A nail-biting finale – now it’s time for 4 weeks of hustings.

  • Got here out high of the MP vote-off, properly above the 120 threshold on 137 – up 19 on yesterday
  • Guido’s quantity crunching exhibits he fell properly in need of earlier MP-stage winners, nevertheless:
    • Rishi: 38% of Tory MPs
      Boris: 66% of Tory MPs
      Might: 60% of Tory MPs
      Cameron: 45% of Tory MPs
  • Goes into the membership part nonetheless polling properly behind Truss
  • Shall be relieved to listen to members will be capable to re-vote in the event that they vote early for Liz then have purchaser’s regret, in line with guidelines revealed by CCHQ

  • Pipped Penny by the smallest of margins, moderately shocking given standard knowledge dictated Kemi’s voters would break up en masse for her
  • Is able to “hit the bottom”
  • Will hopefully see and listen to extra from Truss now she’s within the ultimate two
  • Liz could have been happy with Boris’s ultimate peroration at PMQs, which warned to not at all times hearken to Treasury orthodoxy in a thinly-veiled dig at Rishi, and to chop taxes

  • Eradicated from the race

Bookies Odds (Earlier in Brackets):

  • Liz Truss 8/15 (10/11) ↔️
  • Rishi Sunak 11/8 (5/4) ↔️

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